Houston Alexander gettin KTFO last night...
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Comment -
Adding:
Parlay (double): 1 units on Pettis by Decision (+137.5), & Guillard by TKO/KO (-150) to win 2.958 units.
1.608 units on Maynard KO of the Night at +1100 to win 17.685 units.Comment -
Summary of UFC 136 Plays:
15 units on Stann at +216 to win 32.4 units;
hedged with: 20.901 units on Sonnen by Decision at -130 to win 16.078 units;
11.499 units profit if Stann wins, 1.078 units if Sonnen by decision.
Parlay: 6.427 units on Simpson/Schafer to Go Over 1.5 Rounds (-165), Dawson by Decision (+118), & GSP (-400) to win 21.701 units;
Parlay: 6.427 units on Beltran/Miocic to Go Over 1.5 Rounds (-150), Not Santiago by Submission (-4950), Stann/Sonnen Starts Round 2 (-544), & Edgar/Maynard Starts Round 2 (-870) to win 7.997 units;
Parlay: 6.427 units on Simpson/Schafer to Go Over 1.5 Rounds (-165), Not Garcia by Submission (-1750), & Edgar/Maynard Starts Round 2 to win 5.739 units;
Parlay: 6.431 units on Stephens/Pettis Starts Round 2 (-475), Sonnen by Decision (-140), & Edgar/Maynard Starts Round 2 (-887) to win 8.419 units;
1.285 units on Massenzio/Cantwell to Go Over 2.5 Rounds at +110 to win 1.414 units.
Parlay (double): 10 units on Anthony Johnson (-150) & Guillard (-300) to win 12.222 units;
Parlay: 6.427 units on Sonnen/Stann Starts Round 2 (-600), Florian/Aldo Starts Round 3 (-141), & Edgar/Maynard Starts Round 2 (-870) to win 7.682 units;
Parlay: 6.427 units on Sonnen/Stann Starts Round 2 (-650), & Maynard by Decision (+202) to win 15.969 units;
Parlay: 4.847 units on*Boetsch/Ring distance (-140), Not Gomi by Sub (-1854), & Not Maynard inside distance (-1117) to win 4.694 units;
Parlay: 3.225 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Aldo/Florian Starts Rnd 2 (-345), & Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.617 units;
Parlay: 0.647 units on Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 (-302), & Guillard by Decision (+509) to win 4.598 units;
Parlay: 6.47 units on Not Stephens by Sub (-5175), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-305), Not Maynard by Submission (-2165), & GSP (-400) to win 4.983 units;
Parlay: 1.293 units on Not Pettis by TKO/KO (-1142), Guillard/Lauzon Starts Round 2 (-222), Stann/Sonnen Starts Round 2 (-570), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-306), Maynard/Edgar Starts Round 2 (-1225), & GSP (-400) to win 3.008 units;
Parlay: 3.23 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 at (-345), Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.634 units.
Parlay: 0.641 units on*Wiman by Decision (+157), Mighty Mouse/Cruz to Go the Distance (-210),*Not Lauzon by Decision (-1297), Maynard by Decision (+198), & Not Dos Santos by Decision (-887) to win 8.043 units;
0.97 units on Lauzon by Submission at +645 to win 6.255 units;
2.5 units on Jeremy Stephens at +252 to win 6.3 units;
0.953 units on Aldo by TKO/KO at +137.5 to win 1.31 units;
0.128 units on Maia by TKO/KO at +1100 to win 1.408 units.
6.875 units on Guillard (-300), & Aldo (-275) to win 5.625 units.
Parlay (double): 1 unit on Pettis by Decision (+137.5), & Guillard by TKO/KO (-150) to win 2.958 units;
1.608 units on Maynard KO of the Night at +1100 to win 17.685 units;
1.929 units on Guillard KO of the Night at +525 to win 10.129 units;
0.965 units on Edgar Submission of the Night at +1400 to win 13.505 units;
0.64 units on Nam Phan Submission of the Night at +1800 to win 1.158 units.
Last edited by Vaughany; 10-08-11, 04:35 PM.Comment -
Rock on Vaug!!! Cash big bro!Comment -
Adding:
10 units on Edgar by Decision at +135 to win 13.5 units.
Need a Maynard decision big time to end up in profit. Anything else and I'll be down at least 20 units.Comment -
Wow disgraced with myself for ever doubting Frankie...and people laughed when I said he was the greatest athlete on the planet!
Never betting against him again thats for sure.
Gonna be down about 35.731 units after that.
Have these two parlays still pending at least:
Parlay: 6.427 units on Simpson/Schafer to Go Over 1.5 Rounds (-165), Dawson by Decision (+118), & GSP (-400) to win 21.701 units;
Parlay: 6.47 units on Not Stephens by Sub (-5175), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-305), Not Maynard by Submission (-2165), & GSP (-400) to win 4.983 units.Comment -
Don't beat yourself up. We had a great night of fights.
The best thing about MMA is anything can happen and the worst thing about MMA is anything can happen.
We'll be on the right side next time bro.Comment -
Had the same trouble man. Lost big on Guillard, Stephens, and Aldo not winning inside the distance.
But we'll be back, in greater numbers.Comment -
Record Review:
Since Bellator 26 (August 26th 2010):
Bellator 26: +0.45 units
UFC 118: +6.11 units
MFC Retribution: -1.6 units
UFC Fight Night 22: +5.55 units
UFC 119: +1.5 units
WEC 51: +1.07 units
Cage Warriors 38: +11 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Noons 2: +2.417 units
UFC 120: -0.589 units
UFC 121: +9.011 units
WEC 52: -1.274 units
UFC 122: +17.355 units
Strikeforce Challengers 12: +0.865 units
UFC 123: +1.609 units
TUF 12 Finale: +9.556 units
K1 Grand Prix 2010 Review: +1.1 units
UFC 124: +5.135 units
WEC 53: +0.059 units
Sengoku Soul of Fight & Dream Dynamite: +1.354 units
UFC 125: +3.095 units
UFC Fight for the Troops 2: +3.961 units
UFC 126: +24.577 units
Strikeforce: Fedor vs Silva: +0.941 units
MFC 28 Supremacy: +8.594 units
BAMMA 5: +0.84 units
UFC 127: +10.945 units
UFC Live on Versus 3: +11.622 units
Strikeforce Columbus: -1.4 units
UFC 128: +22.131 units
Bellator 38: +4.875 units
UFC Fight Night 24: +44.283 units
Bellator 40: +2.325 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley: -5.527 units
Bellator 41: -0.7 units
UFC 129: +77.484 units
(Not including risk-free arbs on record from UFC 130 onwards):
UFC 130: +45.077 units
TUF 13 Finale: -16.766 units
UFC 131: +17.688 units
Strikeforce: Overeem vs Werdum: +11.474 units
UFC Versus 4: +25.288 units
UFC 132: +1.783 units
Cage Warriors 43: +1.308 units
Strikeforce: Henderson vs Fedor: +3.274 units
UFC 133: -12.302 units
UFC Versus 5: -5.073 units
UFC 134: -10.214 units
UFC Battle on the Bayou: +20.466
Titan Fighting Championships 19: -1.863 units
UFC 135: +53.938 units
UFC Versus 6: +4.021 units
UFC 136: -35.731 units
Total profit: +381.091 units
Comment -
Pending parlays going into UFC 137 & UFC 138:
Parlay: 6.427 units on Simpson/Schafer to Go Over 1.5 Rounds (-165), Dawson by Decision (+118), & GSP (-400) to win 21.701 units;
Parlay: 6.47 units on Not Stephens by Sub (-5175), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-305), Not Maynard by Submission (-2165), & GSP (-400) to win 4.983 units;
Parlay: 2.5 units on Baczynski (-138), Koch (-175), & BJ Penn (-125) to win 9.714 units;
Parlay: 10 units on Jon Jones (-400), Cruz (-400), & Munoz (-187.5) to win 13.958 units;
Parlay: 10 units on Koscheck (-333.33), Jon Jones (-400), Cruz (-400), & Munoz (-187.5) to win 21.146 units;
Parlay (double): 10 units on Jon Jones (-400), & Mark Munoz (-188.5) to win 9.167 units;
Parlay: 10 units on P.Thiago (-450), Palhares (-275), & Munoz (-188) to win 15.556 units.Comment -
franky has great heart and cardio but greatest athlete on the planet noComment -
At least the Situation had a good night!...
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I see you have Munoz pretty heavy. Do you think that Munoz will be able to finish Leben? I'm still on the fence about this fight and whether it being 5 rounds might give Leben an advantage.Comment -
I've got Munoz in quite a lot of parlays because of the value at the time - he was at -188 odds which I knew would only get worse. I think if anything the extra two rounds will favour Munoz who has the better cardio and will just give Munoz more time to work the takedown and finish with GnP or even a sub - Rosholt was able to sub Leben so I don't think it's out of the question that Munoz might as well (he's working hard on his offensive and defensive BJJ all the time with Rener and Ryron Gracie and Marcel Louzado.) He's got a very useful bunch of training partners at Reign and Kings MMA as well - Soszynski, Wanderlei, & Ellenberger can help Mark prepare for Leben's power. Of course Leben's KO power and Munoz's questionable stand-up defence means there is always a good chance that Leben TKO's him so I will be playing Leben KO of the Night at very least as a back-up.Last edited by Vaughany; 10-09-11, 05:14 PM.Comment -
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Yeah at very least. I'm pretty confident his only way of winning is by TKO/KO and combination of it being the main event, first 5round non-title fight, and Leben being the underdog would mean he'd get KO of the Night if he did finish Munoz. But after seeing Sonnen make Stann tap and Edgar finish Maynard I'm slightly more weary about hedges like these! And can't rule out Thiago Alves getting a KO against Papy Abedi, although I think he might look to play it safe and try and use his wrestling that he's been working hard on at ATT. I think Hathaway/Brown, Barao/Pickett and Njokuani/Taylor will go the distance.Comment -
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I can't believe you chose Stann to defeat Sonnen.
Sonnen always take the fight to the ground against strikers who are not good with submissions.
And I always saw Sonnen as a smart experienced fighter even though he is arrogant. Stann is more inexperienced than Sonnen.
But I see that you were hedging those two fighters. Sonnen to win and Stann by KO would have been the better hedge.
Also, should I take Cro Cop to defeat Nelson? Nelson would be at his best at middleweight. I think Nelson could gas out like he did against Dos Santos with Cro Cop winning by decision.Comment -
It wasnt about thinking Stann would beat Sonnen...it was about the most likely outcomes and value. It easy to say in hindsight after the fight has happened that Sonnen to win and Stann by KO was the best hedge. But how many times has Sonnen finished a fighter in the WEC or UFC? Moreover, how many times has Stann been finished in the WEC or UFC? I'm sure many will play GSP by decision hedged with Condit straight up (or Condit straight up hedged GSP by decision for better payout), but if GSP goes and chokes Condit out will you be saying after the fight that GSP by decision wasn't the smart play and that people should of played GSP straight up hedged with Condit by TKO/KO?
Nelson would be at his best at MW?! You do realise he's at HW or are you trolling?! I don't think Nelson should be so heavily favoured, but I'd probably only play Cro-Cop by decision. We've seen how good Nelson's chin and resilience is against Mir and Dos Santos, I doubt a tentative Cro-Cop is going to finish him.Comment -
Im yet to do a payout with 5dimes/sportbet as I'd have to do it to my moneybookers account which has been suspended for ages for some random reason. From what I've read elsewhere 5dimes are reasonable with their payouts, depends what method though really. Are u in USA?Comment -
UFC 140 Play:
8.286 units on Antonio Rogerio Nogueira at -161 to win 5.147 units.Comment -
is everyone here on Vera?
I have lost big on Vera in the past. But this might be a matchup that the UFC is giving him to turn things around.Comment -
im on marshall if i get +300, but that wont happen. I am on vera until -350 or something. I dont think marshall can thiago silva vera. Outstrike him? pleaseComment -
ha ha i know. completely idiotic statement. not what i ment jesusComment -
i suck with this american odds listings. i should speak in decimals or use the converter next time i open my mouthComment
Unbelievable.
