Wont let me edit but second parlay should be: 0.5 units on Woodley by decision or submission at -200 & Evans by decision (+225).
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Suprised your on Tate tonight, like all the other plays. Didnt see any but do you have a play on Fedor/Hendo? Hendo is +235 on Diamond, hard not too take a shot at those odds.Comment -
fedor is in ALL my bets
i have him parlayed with
tate
saffedine
kennedy woodley dec
woodley dec
so he best not mess up
im real nervous though, he does get very very sloppy in his striking and hendo throws a nice straight right which always beats the looping punchComment -
fedor is faster thoughComment -
V where are you getting that Evans by Decision line?
Paddy?Comment -
Whats a "Woodley by sub" prop paying out at other books? 5dimes is only offering props for Fedor-Hendo and the chick fight...
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It would not suprise me at all if Hendo wins this fight...Comment -
a guy i respect thinks hat scott smith is a live dog...i personally think he`s a wooden indian,but,i`m tempted just based on his say-so.....
i really don`t see it,though...
......Comment -
I dunno, I'm pissed at 5dimes right now... so with a lack of props, I'm only making a few plays... my money is tied up between Tarec and Woodley...
Parlays
1.00u Saffiedine / Woodley
0.50u Saffiedine / Woodley / Tate / Barboza / Aldo
0.13u Hendo / Marloes / Kennedy
If Wager
1.50u Saffiedine
1.00u Woodley (bet is placed only if Saffiedine wins his fight)
*doing the If wager, 'cos I'll be starting the event a bit delayed on DVR, unfortunately, so I may only be able to catch up to live action...Comment -
congrats but ur still a can since u didnt go 6 for 6 (including jz)Comment -
nice work tonight VaughanyComment -
Nice job Vaughn...
And I'd just like to thank 5dimes for not offering me the Woodley by sub prop
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Same here bro, same here. Wish I would have put more faith in tate overall, I was REALLY worried going in and it kept me from putting more on tate. Either way solid night, congrats and cheers big dog!
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Are you familiar with Rob Broughton? I know you are familiar with a lot of the UK fighters which is why I am asking.. I am trying to make my mind up on Browne/Broughton @ UFC 135Comment -
Quite familiar, I saw him at the O2 Arena come from behind and beat up a roided up Vinicius Quiroz at UFC 120! He's reasonably well-rounded and obviously has a lot more experience than Browne. Browne will be a big favourite after that Struve KO, looking at -275 to -350 range. I'd see value in Broughton at +275 or better. Broughton has had injury issues in the past and this will be his first fight since 120 so almost a year out. One thing to consider is that this is the first fighter whom Browne will face since joining the UFC that is a similar weight if not heavier. Struve was a similar weight but that's due to his height rather than bulk size. Broughton showed in the Vinicius fight that he has okay cardio for a HW and is resilient and composed. He got dominated by Vinicius for first half of the fight but choked him out after Quiroz gassed out. If he can avoid getting finished in first Rnd or 2 then he has a decent chance against Browne IMO.Comment -
Poppa Catfish exclusive line: Fedor -240 Chad Griggs +220, which side are you on?Comment -
haha All over the Gravedigger at those odds brah!
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Vaughany,
What is your MMA record?Comment -
Need to update it for last event (Strikeforce) but will wait until after 133...
Record Review:
Since Bellator 26 (August 26th 2010):
Bellator 26: +0.45 units
UFC 118: +6.11 units
MFC Retribution: -1.6 units
UFC Fight Night 22: +5.55 units
UFC 119: +1.5 units
WEC 51: +1.07 units
Cage Warriors 38: +11 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Noons 2: +2.417 units
UFC 120: -0.589 units
UFC 121: +9.011 units
WEC 52: -1.274 units
UFC 122: +17.355 units
Strikeforce Challengers 12: +0.865 units
UFC 123: +1.609 units
TUF 12 Finale: +9.556 units
K1 Grand Prix 2010 Review: +1.1 units
UFC 124: +5.135 units
WEC 53: +0.059 units
Sengoku Soul of Fight & Dream Dynamite: +1.354 units
UFC 125: +3.095 units
UFC Fight for the Troops 2: +3.961 units
UFC 126: +24.577 units
Strikeforce: Fedor vs Silva: +0.941 units
MFC 28 Supremacy: +8.594 units
BAMMA 5: +0.84 units
UFC 127: +10.945 units
UFC Live on Versus 3: +11.622 units
Strikeforce Columbus: -1.4 units
UFC 128: +22.131 units
Bellator 38: +4.875 units
UFC Fight Night 24: +44.283 units
Bellator 40: +2.325 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley: -5.527 units
Bellator 41: -0.7 units
UFC 129: +77.484 units
(Not including risk-free arbs on record from UFC 130 onwards):
UFC 130: +45.077 units
TUF 13 Finale:-16.766 units
UFC 131:+17.688 units
Strikeforce: Overeem vs Werdum:+11.474 units
UFC Versus 4:+25.288 units
UFC 132: +1.783 units
Total profit: +363.267 unitsComment -
Good job
Crazy how you can achive results like you did in UFC 129!Comment -
Nice job vaughany, just to let you know, im 369 units up! not to steal your glory, even though i do...Comment -
How can you guys talk about units when everyone has units of different values? I've seen guys talking about units being between 1% to 3%, but are you guys calculating percentage from original principal, or current bankroll before each event? And many people seem value their units as constants; such as $10 a unit.Comment -
i just follow vaughanys 10$ a unit as a constant.
just to make things simple and to compete with the best bettor offcourse.Comment -
V uses 10 pounds, so i doubt you're stealing his glory.Comment -
A unit is usually 1% of your gambling bankroll. This is why it's usually a constant. If your gambling bankroll is $1000 and you win 100 units ($1000) usually your gambling bankroll would still be $1000 and the rest would just be profit. In Vaughany's case if he has stated that a unit is $10 he would probably be up $3630 according to his units. You can always change your bankroll, but most handicappers keep it about the same. This makes it a lot easier to keep track.
If you were to follow someone's pick you would be best off seeing what there unit sizes are and make adjustments to what works for you based on your bankroll. Just adjust your units to what you are comfortable and keep them constant until you want to increase or decrease your bankroll. Units make things very easy because they allow people to bet based on their bankroll rather than betting based on someone else's.Comment -
It just makes more sense if each bet was a percentage of the current bankroll. It would make it a lot easier for people to tail and understand your confidence in each play. For example: 50 units could seem like a huge play, but what if your bankroll is 5000 units? it would be necessary to mention that. (of course this makes units and progress incredibly hard to track, which is why im sure V uses a constant value) It doesnt seem right if your bets are still relative to your original principal.. it would not be a effective strategy for growth. Its like if i play 50NL... but my bankroll has reached over 100 buyins.... why would i still be playing 50NL? wouldnt i move to higher stakes?Comment -
You are right. It's hard to figure out exactly what's going on for every handicapper. If you follow their numbers though you should be able to adjust and figure out what to do yourself.
As for your poker example, you can win 1000 buy ins and still not change. The profit you make is profit until you decide you want it to be considered bankroll. Therefore if you make 10 units on an event your bankroll wouldn't change on the next one and your unit size would be the same. If someone is grinding 50NL to make some extra money maybe they can't afford to hold all the money they win into the account. Many people gamble as a way to make extra money here and there. Ideally, it would be best to keep building the bankroll and making larger plays, but this doesn't always work and the money you have in your account sometimes means more to you in your wallet than in your sportsbook.Comment -
Units are a percentage. 2 for me which is pretty standard, some use 1 if conservative, some more if aggressive. Anything else is a misunderstanding.Comment
