Boxing/MMA PLAYS

[illmatick]

Damn should of jumped on Hallman! Who do u like for WEC? Im thinking Mendes, Roller and Jorgensen for sure. Possibly Benevidez, Njokuani, Paixao and Castillo. Gonna have to be a few parlays tho as a they will all be favourites except for Benevidez.

I like all of those plays, I have a feeling Jorgensen might be a little overpriced though, I was very impressed with Pickett's last fight.... I like Mendes and Javier Vasquez as the two best bets on the card, we'll have to just wait and see though, hopefully we can catch them sleeping on some openers, also think Lamas could be a nice play

[Chairib]

Nice call on Hallman you big homo!

[Vaughany]

I like all of those plays, I have a feeling Jorgensen might be a little overpriced though, I was very impressed with Pickett's last fight.... I like Mendes and Javier Vasquez as the two best bets on the card, we'll have to just wait and see though, hopefully we can catch them sleeping on some openers, also think Lamas could be a nice play

Yee definitely think Vasquez will be best bet...I think he'll be superior all-round. I like Lamas as well. If Jorgensen is -200 or worse I may resist betting on it.

[illmatick]

Nice call on Hallman you big homo!

I expect big things from your roller/pettis write-up

also wanted to get your opinion on how good you think cub swanson is off his back, that's the only position I see him winning that fight from..Mendes is a little beast

[Trixie]

get on james toney, brother--!

[illmatick]

what up trix, ha... i actually give him a better chance than most here but we'll have to wait and see

you been putting in work on this Dawson fight tonight?? Dawson by decision at -140 is jumping out at me, rest assured that I will let you know what i decide

[illmatick]

JASON LAMBERT -130 x.75

[WIZARDOFBEANTOWN]

illi dawson is in pasquels hometown 2 night i think it goes the distance or he tries to ko him trying not 2 have a hometown dec go against him what you think is most likely

[illmatick]

sorry wizard, I ended up not betting on the fight

[illmatick]

Ricardo Lamas -115 x2
Joseph +215 x.25
Javier -215 x1

would have pulled the trigger on pickett at +215 but he's already down to +165, I couldn't bet the opener at bodog

[dooman14]

any longshots out there guys
i wanna take em all

[Vaughany]

any longshots out there guys
i wanna take em all

Polish dude against Njokuani is best longshot at +400!

[illmatick]

any longshots out there guys
i wanna take em all

joesph holds the most value as far as underdogs imo, the lamas line has moved a bit my way..I see -155 at 5dimes, you cant still get -110 at sportsbook.com and -105 at bodog

[lasker]

Polish dude against Njokuani is best longshot at +400!

I totally agree, but only if you get him at +450!

[lasker]

Although the best "longshot" must be Benavidez inside the distance @+432, if it's still available. Though if you read my blog, I'm more than a bit over-enthusiastic about this matchup.

[jin2daj]

wow hallman was defineately very impressive

[illmatick]

Ricardo Lamas -115 x2
Joseph +215 x.25
Javier -215 x1

would have pulled the trigger on pickett at +215 but he's already down to +165, I couldn't bet the opener at bodog

2-1 for the night..lost my smallest play, figured Cruz's takedowns would be the difference again. would still play Joseph at that number

[Eccocide]

Nice night bud. I wish I woulda put more on Vazquez when the line dropped. There was a lot of value when he fell to -170!!

[MadTiger]

I was so busy with bullshit that I didn't even get a chance to catch the WEC. I will have to look at that later. From the comments in the forum, it looks like it was very good.

[illmatick]

small popcorn bets for tonight

Kevin Knabjian -110 x.75

parlay x.25
shonie carter +125, Brad Blackburn +225

[Chairib]

I expect big things from your roller/pettis write-up

also wanted to get your opinion on how good you think cub swanson is off his back, that's the only position I see him winning that fight from..Mendes is a little beast

Sorry I didn't get around to giving you my thoughts about this fight. My bad.

[illmatick]

Sorry I didn't get around to giving you my thoughts about this fight. My bad.

all good, line opened too high anyway.. check your pm's over at majorwager

Souza -190 to win one unit
Rafael +325 to win 1.25 units

[illmatick]

all good, line opened too high anyway.. check your pm's over at majorwager

Souza -190 to win one unit
Rafael +325 to win 1.25 units

2-0 for the night

+2.25 units tonight... knew I should have added more on Rafael at +375

[phillybadboy]

2-0 for the night +2.25 units tonight... knew I should have added more on Rafael at +375

nice work

[illmatick]

nice work

thanks!
adding two plays for Saturday

Edgar wins by 5 round decision +337..to win one unit

Mario Miranda +160 x.5

also still have my play on Nate Diaz at -190, might be adding a bundle to that one

[Eccocide]

Nice hit on Feijao! I shoulda known better with all the love for Lawal going around. Wish I woulda hedged like I was debating. oh well!

And glad to see you on Miranda as well. I love this matchup!

[Educ8d Degener8]

Nice to see you chaps on Miranda.

Was chatting with a pretty sharp bettor last night, and we both love the value there.

GL!

[illmatick]

Nice hit on Feijao! I shoulda known better with all the love for Lawal going around. Wish I woulda hedged like I was debating. oh well! And glad to see you on Miranda as well. I love this matchup!

Nice to see you chaps on Miranda. Was chatting with a pretty sharp bettor last night, and we both love the value there. GL!

I actually have Miranda capped as the slight favorite here, I would say he wins this fight at around 53% of the time

EDUC8D...you can get +165 right now, I just added another .5 units at that price

[Educ8d Degener8]

Word... thx for the heads up.

Gonna have to watch the videos of Miranda rolling with Drysdale, Garcia and company... to hopefully get a better idea of his sub defense in the event Maia gets it to the ground -- keep in mind, Maia did get Sonnen to the mat (with a slick leg trip if I recall). But if Miranda can neutralize Maia (ie, not get sub'd ala Dan Miller), I like Miranda on the feet.

Really liking the value in that case...

[illmatick]

Word... thx for the heads up.

Gonna have to watch the videos of Miranda rolling with Drysdale, Garcia and company... to hopefully get a better idea of his sub defense in the event Maia gets it to the ground -- keep in mind, Maia did get Sonnen to the mat (with a slick leg trip if I recall). But if Miranda can neutralize Maia (ie, not get sub'd ala Dan Miller), I like Miranda on the feet.

Really liking the value in that case...

good point on the Chael takedown but I don't think Miranda will show nearly as much willingness to clinch up with Maia, I think he'll looks to avoid the takedown in almost an identical fashion to the way Anderson was able to

Hey guys...

I should have an article going up on SBR's front page sometime today, be sure to leave a comment , I plan on adding to my Miranda portion of the article(much more fighter breakdown) and also might include a short write-up on why Diaz will beat Marcus Davis

[Vaughany]

good point on the Chael takedown but I don't think Miranda will show nearly as much willingness to clinch up with Maia, I think he'll looks to avoid the takedown in almost an identical fashion to the way Anderson was able to

Hey guys...

I should have an article going up on SBR's front page sometime today, be sure to leave a comment , I plan on adding to my Miranda portion of the article(much more fighter breakdown) and also might include a short write-up on why Diaz will beat Marcus Davis

Nice one, Il be sure to check it out!

[Educ8d Degener8]

Well I'm in for a unit on Miranda @ +165...

BOL

[Trixie]

Yo Ill, I've been away... thank god as well. I was gonna jump all over a Dawson decision. I got lucky on cloud the week before too. Glen Johnson could've easily eeked it...

This week I'm on Edgar, Nate and of course TONEY. You recommend Miranda?

[Educ8d Degener8]

Yo Ill, I've been away... thank god as well. I was gonna jump all over a Dawson decision. I got lucky on cloud the week before too. Glen Johnson could've easily eeked it...

This week I'm on Edgar, Nate and of course TONEY. You recommend Miranda?

Ill is indeed on Miranda... Quite a few people who I consider "sharp" bettors are on Miranda. Matter of fact, pretty much EVERY person who I consider "sharp" is betting Miranda in this one. The last person I'm waiting to chime in is Mr. Chairib... paging Mr. Chairib...

Last time I recall that type of trend was when most of those same folk were calling Hathaway (+175) over Diego Sanchez...

[illmatick]

Yo Ill, I've been away... thank god as well. I was gonna jump all over a Dawson decision. I got lucky on cloud the week before too. Glen Johnson could've easily eeked it... This week I'm on Edgar, Nate and of course TONEY. You recommend Miranda?

Miranda at anything better than +150 is an excellent play imo, I'm looking forward to a possible Bute vs Pasquel fight

Ill is indeed on Miranda... Quite a few people who I consider "sharp" bettors are on Miranda. Matter of fact, pretty much EVERY person who I consider "sharp" is betting Miranda in this one. The last person I'm waiting to chime in is Mr. Chairib... paging Mr. Chairib... Last time I recall that type of trend was when most of those same folk were calling Hathaway (+175) over Diego Sanchez...

that sonofabitch has been missing in action lately, definitely want his take on Miranda's jiu-jitsu