Boxing/MMA PLAYS

**wake14** · 07-30-10, 08:34 PM

Gotta take the under 11.5 rounds and its even money... too much punches being thrown.. and DIAZ's interview went a little somethings like this.... I see this as a win-win situation for me, because this fight is going to prove to me whether I have it or I don't," Diaz said. "This fight right here is what's going to take me to the top and make me the superstar that I've been wanting to be in the lightweight division. But if it doesn't happen then that means it's not meant to be and I'll move on to bigger and better things, which could be start from the bottom and pick up the pieces to rebuild myself up or just completely do a 180 and just go in the opposite direction."
That direction could be to move on from boxing. Diaz, a recent college graduate, is studying for his law school entrance exam and plans to become a lawyer. He has always made his studies a priority and done well balancing them with boxing. Win or lose, Diaz, who also owns a construction business with younger brother Jose, has plans for the future that don't necessarily include boxing.

stay away from diaz.... i see a 10th round stoppage.. or diaz may quit and go right into his "new" career.

**illmatick** · 07-31-10, 12:32 AM

agree, i like JMM inside the distance at +140

**Vaughany** · 07-31-10, 08:35 AM

Jacobs' nan who he was very close to died recently...when things like this happen the fighter always seems to win! Similar to the 'new baby' phenomonen!

**MadTiger** · 07-31-10, 09:17 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Jacobs' nan who he was very close to died recently...when things like this happen the fighter always seems to win! Similar to the 'new baby' phenomonen!

When you have a situation come up in your life that reminds you that you can be canceled out of this muthafukca at any time, it encourages you to make the most of out everything that you do.

**illmatick** · 08-01-10, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by illmatick

No, I really like Cain in that fight

Full List of plays for sunday

1.Jake Ellenberger -160 to win 2.5 units

2. Parlay x4.5
Tyson Griffen -280
Jake Ellenberger -160

3.Paul Kelley -110 x.5

4.Damarques Johnson +185 x.5

5.Mike Massenzio -135 x1 (I've backed off this play just a bit, might just take the free money with this one, Stann is at +150 right now)

6.Igor +150 x.25

7.Steve Steinbeiss +178 x.25

added another .5 units on both Steinbeiss and Igor

insurance parlays

x.5
riddle -220
Howard wins by 3 round decision +434
Charles Oliveira -240

x.25
Munoz wins by 3 round decision +488
brian stann +180

Jacob Volkman has quickest submission +725.... to win one unit

**Vaughany** · 08-01-10, 04:48 PM

Originally posted by MadTiger

When you have a situation come up in your life that reminds you that you can be canceled out of this muthafukca at any time, it encourages you to make the most of out everything that you do.

Didnt quite turn out like I imagined!

**illmatick** · 08-01-10, 04:54 PM

hope you jumped on Jake Vaughnay, gonna make us rich tonight

I see -240 at bookmaker

**southmadejd** · 08-01-10, 04:59 PM

who is jake vaughnay?

**southmadejd** · 08-01-10, 05:19 PM

nevermind, I am an idiot.

**illmatick** · 08-01-10, 05:22 PM

LOL, who are you on tonight south? the Mike Massenzio line has moved quite a bit our way

**southmadejd** · 08-01-10, 05:30 PM

i know but your comment about backing off of it scares me. I am on massenzio, ellenberger (largely because I trust your opinion on him), those are my big plays. And I am on Munoz for a smaller play and the over 1 1/2 in the jones vs vlad fight at -125.

Who is Bread on? I haven't been on his site in a couple of days. Oh yeah, I like Volkman also. Good luck to you bro!!!

**southmadejd** · 08-01-10, 06:26 PM

Massenzio just killed me, I really hope Ellenberger comes through man. I need this!!!

**illmatick** · 08-01-10, 06:33 PM

no worries, we'll get it back, looks like i was robbed on steinbeis as well, mmajunkie scored it 29-28 for steinbeiss

**southmadejd** · 08-01-10, 06:38 PM

Do you have a live feed of the undercard or are you just reading a live play by play because the guy on Sherdog gave the fight to Kimmons also.

**illmatick** · 08-01-10, 06:48 PM

just reading the play by play, I always go off of mma junkie, I trust their opinion over sherdog, seems like the crowd thought steinbeiss won as well

Igor just subbed Irvin so i got most of my money back there

**southmadejd** · 08-01-10, 06:51 PM

Good for you man. I really should follow all of your plays. Even when you lose, you were normally on the right side but just some bad luck. I can't stress enough how much I hope ellenberger wins. My love for you depends on it

**southmadejd** · 08-01-10, 07:02 PM

Haha, I just read on mmajunkiejohn's twitter that Riddle came in to Thriller and even did the Zombie dance. That kid isn't all upstairs but at least he must be relaxed.

**southie** · 08-01-10, 08:45 PM

Took a small shot on Munoz on MB. Just because someone i fade is on the Japanese dude

**southmadejd** · 08-01-10, 09:26 PM

I still love you illmatik. Great call on ellenberger

**Chairib** · 08-01-10, 09:54 PM

Originally posted by southie

Took a small shot on Munoz on MB. Just because someone i fade is on the Japanese dude

That's funny, because I liked Okami because of someone I normally fade was on this filipino guy.

It's rather a simplistic form of analysis but it can work sometimes.

**Chairib** · 08-01-10, 09:55 PM

Originally posted by southmadejd

I still love you illmatik. Great call on ellenberger

You complete me. And yes it was a nice call on Ellenberger by ill, I was looking at Howard until I saw the weigh in photos.

**Educ8d Degener8** · 08-02-10, 04:29 PM

Nice work on Ellenberger boys. I've been so busy moving and with the job, I haven't been cap'ing much of anything lately... I almost tailed you guys on that play too

BOL at 117. (my only early lean for 117 is Fitch given the current odds)

**illmatick** · 08-03-10, 03:57 PM

added 1.5 more units on Dennis Hallman at +185

**southmadejd** · 08-03-10, 04:03 PM

So how many units do you have total on Hallman? Sorry man, I can't find any of your bets on UFC 117 in the thread. I can't wait to see who else you like this weekend. Looks like a great card.

**illmatick** · 08-03-10, 04:30 PM

2.25 units total, to be honest that may be my only play for the night, i might look into a few prop bets for fun, i have another tiny play on Nelson but it's hardly worth mentioning, Rick story -110 and the anderson wins in round 1 prop might become a play

I think we're getting tremendous value with dennis, I think he should probably be a slight fav here, after re watching Hallman vs Howard and Saunders vs Fitch I want to put even more down on this play but I'll wait to see how the line moves

**Vaughany** · 08-03-10, 04:43 PM

Ive got 0.8 units on Story and Saunders (double) but considering buying back on Hallman and doing a Story single bet!

**southmadejd** · 08-04-10, 02:02 PM

I like Hallman at those odds also. If you don't mind me asking.....what are your opinions on Matt Hughes vs Almeida and Fitch vs Alves.

I was thinking that Almeida has a good bit of value basing it on how old Hughes looked in his fight against Renzo Gracie and how he had trouble even taking him down much less trying to get Almeida down.

**illmatick** · 08-06-10, 02:49 PM

slight lean towards almeida but I think the fight will be close, split decision wouldn't surprise me

Anjos/Guida goes 3 round distance -150 x1

parlay x.5

Alves -130
Silva wins inside distance -260
Almeida over 2.5 rounds -165
Rick story -105

Rodney Wallace +500 x.5

parlay x.25
Sonnen/Silva goes 5 round distance +345
Fitch/Alves goes 3 round distance -150
J.Santos wins in round 1 +173

**Educ8d Degener8** · 08-06-10, 03:04 PM

I'm loving Silva inside the distance.

Strongly considering straddling that prop with Sonnen at +385. I know the popular opinion on this fight is Silva via KO/TKO/Sub or Sonnen by decision; depending on which fighter people are backing, but in my opinion the safer play if straddling is just playing a bit conservative with a straight Sonnen play in the event that he gets top control and lays down some elbows leading to a ref stoppage.

If I don't straddle, I'll probably just play the Silva inside the distance.

GL Ill

**brooks85** · 08-06-10, 03:05 PM

it will be interesting to see hallmans overall conditioning. He recently found out he was allergic to wheat. The wheat would not let his body take nutrients to produce testosterone or cortisol, two hormones essential to the activity and recovery of an athlete.

he found this out after the howard fight and has cut wheat from his diet. He said he noticed a difference right away.

Pretty crazy he had this allergy, probably his whole life, and had a solid career.

http://mmajunkie.com/news/19946/ufcs-dennis-hallman-a-new-man-after-long-running-allergy-problem-solved.mma

**brooks85** · 08-07-10, 06:49 PM

great play on hallman ill, i couldnt get the courage to bet it but it wasnt even close. Sounds like saunders had one meaningful attack in the third round.

**Educ8d Degener8** · 08-07-10, 07:15 PM

I tailed you on Hallman Ill, and threw him in as the kicker on a parlay... thanks bud.

**illmatick** · 08-08-10, 12:42 AM

Originally posted by brooks85

great play on hallman ill, i couldnt get the courage to bet it but it wasnt even close. Sounds like saunders had one meaningful attack in the third round.

Originally posted by Educ8d Degener8

I tailed you on Hallman Ill, and threw him in as the kicker on a parlay... thanks bud.

nice jobs fellas, time to get excited for the wec card

**Vaughany** · 08-08-10, 03:35 AM

Originally posted by illmatick

nice jobs fellas, time to get excited for the wec card

Damn should of jumped on Hallman! Who do u like for WEC? Im thinking Mendes, Roller and Jorgensen for sure. Possibly Benevidez, Njokuani, Paixao and Castillo. Gonna have to be a few parlays tho as a they will all be favourites except for Benevidez.

**Eccocide** · 08-08-10, 02:33 PM

Nice call on Hallman bud. I stayed away because of I was weary about Hallman in the clinch but it sounds like he controlled most of the fight.