UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Saint Preux (August 16, 2014)

[JIBBBY]

so dumb, Glass body glass jaw mcmann might finish literally the toughest woman in the divison

Glass body, glass jaw, really?

Mcmann was tied up in the clinch with Rhonda and probably trying not to get thrown when she caught a perfect Rhonda Rousey knee to the gut that she didn't see coming.. She also has never been KO'd from a strike besides that one time in her entire career..

She's only lost one fight and that was to the best in the world.. Mcmann has finished a bunch of fights before the final bell too..

Keyboard I really don't understand why you are showing Mcmann little to no respect? Blinded by your pick and wager I guess..

http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Sara-McMann-67094

[MarkWoodstick]

Perosh is literally one of the best BJJ guys in Australia he's no slouch on the ground. Feijao has displayed some of the best TDD in MMA (he's Blackhouse's TDD coach) and Bader had his way with him in that regard. Make no mistake, OSP is probably doomed if he can't keep it on the feet. I'd say he has 1 round to do it, that's why I put some money on OSP in round 1. This is a guy who got outwrestled by Gegard Mousasi we're talking about. He's got speed and power, so he might be able to clock Bader and get the finish, but I only see it happening in the first round before Bader tires him out.

To be fair, that fight with Mousasi was three years ago when Ovince was still very raw. Based on his recent fights, (albeit against lower tier opponents) and his natural athletic talent, I can only assume Ovince is making large strides in each fight camp and really refining his skills. Whether that materializes into a strong performance against the toughest UFC opponent he has faced by a landslide remains to be seen.

[JIBBBY]

here you go fuckers

Robbie Peralta +145
Robbie Peralta +155
Peralta wins by 3 round decision +605
Peralta wins in round 1 +475

Punisher this is the only fight on the card that I haven't fully cap'd yet.. Leaning towards Peralta myself just by sherdog look ins and from one or two fights that I remember...

Am gonna try to nail down this scrap tonight if I can find the time.. How do you see this fight going and why P? You got Peralta planted down across the board... Is he money in this one ya think?

[UncleChael]

I remember losing a parlay to Robbie Peralta , with Rony Jason -450 LOL. McMann -333 to -450. I think she is right the call, along with Makovsky -333 and Bader -170 for a 3 play parlay (odds +152).

[Domestic]

Doubt it as both are pretty tough girls Domestic.. I'm thinking Mcmann by decision myself... -155..

Hey but you never know - Mcmann could pound her out late in this fight..

Mcmann wins inside the distance +334 is tempting though... If ya really wanna gamble and throw darts at a board Mcmann winning in the 3rd round pays out at +1475..

Thank you for your thoughts.

[JIBBBY]

Cap time will share..... Jibby's breakdown..

-175 Thiago Taveres (18-5-1) vs +145 Robbie Peralta (18-4)

Let's begin with records, streaks, camps.. Yes Sherdog links to start off...

Robbie Peralta http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Robbie-Peralta-21339 Since coming to the UFC he's only lost 1 fight by decision out of 5.. That's pretty impressive.. Training out of Team Xplode here in California.. Last 2 fights have gone the distance though but he won those fights.. Performed well as an underdog in previous fights as now he goes in again as a dog at +145 in this one.. Hmmm?

Thiago Taveres http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Thiago-Tavares-4647 Since coming to the UFC he is 7-5 but has fought longer in the UFC and faced stiff comp.. Living and training out of Team Taveres in Brazil.. He's coming off an impressive first round win over Justin Sales..

Write ups - Out of all the ones I've read this long read offers up the most information on both fighters - ..http://fantasyfights.wordpress.com/2...hiago-tavares/

Now it's time to watch their most recent fights again.... Private account.. Youtube isn't showing recent fights.. Fight pass works if you guys want to check... I breezed thru both of their last fights as I remembered them anyways..

Conclusion - Robbie Peralta +155 is the call - He has the better stand up and should out point the slower Thiago Taveres, but Taveres has the better ground though most likely not that it should matter as Peralta hasn't been sub'd out in many years, he can defend the sub attempts I think if it gets to that.. Probably can get right back up if taken down too...

Peralta is athletic and mobil so I'm thinking Peralta keeps the fight standing and wins rounds on points with his striking and gets a decision win is my best guess. Maybe even a late KO if Thiago starts to gas out.... I think the cardio favors Peralta too..

(Capped 1 hour).. This was a quick cap....

Peralta to win by decision prop at +761 I gotta take a shot at that!!... Peralta wins in 3rd is +1100 too.. Worth a try I think...

[JIBBBY]

Thank you for your thoughts.

Very polite response.. You're welcome Domestic.... Any time...

[Keyboard Warrior]

I remember losing a parlay to Robbie Peralta , with Rony Jason -450 LOL. McMann -333 to -450. I think she is right the call, along with Makovsky -333 and Bader -170 for a 3 play parlay (odds +152).

Makovsky and mcmann both lose

[Keyboard Warrior]

Glass body, glass jaw, really? Mcmann was tied up in the clinch with Rhonda and probably trying not to get thrown when she caught a perfect Rhonda Rousey knee to the gut that she didn't see coming.. She also has never been KO'd from a strike besides that one time in her entire career.. She's only lost one fight and that was to the best in the world.. Mcmann has finished a bunch of fights before the final bell too.. Keyboard I really don't understand why you are showing Mcmann little to no respect? Blinded by your pick and wager I guess.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Sara-McMann-67094

because she is a can jibby

[marzwoody]

^ Lol a polite response on SBR. is this some kind of trick?

[Keyboard Warrior]

marz you laughed at MD for months for losing over 10k. I would never do that to someone and never have. Check my post history.

[marzwoody]

http://www.foxsports.com/ufc/story/sara-mcmann-wants-ronda-rousey-rematch-whether-she-s-champ-or-not-081214

[Keyboard Warrior]

perfect, overlooking poor Murphy

[JIBBBY]

^ Lol a polite response on SBR. is this some kind of trick?

I know right? I almost gave a brownie point for that response... In fact I will. That's Master Fu polite wise ancient Buddha stuff right there!!!... Respect gets respect...

[marzwoody]

I find it funny how McMann went from being the one to dethrone ronda to a can.

[JIBBBY]

I find it funny how McMann went from being the one to dethrone ronda to a can.

Keyboard is beginning to believe!!!!!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VAGdyyFrFsE

[Keyboard Warrior]

I find it funny how McMann went from being the one to dethrone ronda to a can.

ronda is also a can. Womens mma lol

[UncleChael]

Makovsky and mcmann both lose

No way!

[Bumdeal]

Makovsky and mcmann both lose

omg dude. don't say that. makovsky isn't going to lose!

[JIBBBY]

No way!

Agreed on Mcmann UncleJuice....

[Crassus]

omg dude. don't say that. makovsky isn't going to lose!

Funsize showed some questionable sub defense against Dantas gotta say

[JIBBBY]

He subbed Jorgenson after a blatant headbutt. Formiga is also by far best on top, which i see him having a hard time getting against Markovsky. Would def. bet him by finish though, if you want to bet him. That's the only way he wins.

I agree that if Formiga wins it will be by sub... Hit that prop at +625..

[JIBBBY]

Gonna show my full hand just because Punisher did.. This is what I got placed up on the board already.. A few more to come.. All equal amount small plays.. Trail at own risk as always gents..

Peralta wins by decision +761
Boetsch wins in round 3 +2650 (very small play)
Boetsch wins inside the distance +830
Formiga wins inside the distance +430
Formiga wins by sub + 650
Pearson wins in round 1 +475 *insurance
OSP wins in round 1 +550 *insurance
Mcmann wins inside the distance +347
Mcmann wins in 3rd round +1450 (very small play)

2 parlays up too..

2 team -
Ryan Bader -175
May/Jordan 1 1/2 under rounds -255

3 team -
Frankie Saenz - 155
Sara Mcmann -425
Ryan Bader - 185

Then all my straight win plays as picked on this thread (a few pending upon weigh in results)...

10 team parlay that I do on every event trying to run the table. (5 bucks to win 9,000) placed....

[mirinquads]

Looks pretty good Jibster.

[Vaughany]

could see Thiago Tavares being rather fragile at 145 and not dealing with heavy punches too well

[mirinquads]

Tavares breaks mentally when he gets pressured. Especially if he startes taking punches, and Peralta has serious power. Im on Peralta at these odds. Tavares dropping a weight class as well as V stated. Bad news for an already fragile chin.

On an unrelated note, you guys should get in on this Esports betting shit. Made bank on Dota2 Invitationals, making Bank on Counter Strike tournament as we speak !

[Bumdeal]

could see Thiago Tavares being rather fragile at 145 and not dealing with heavy punches too well

could also see him having the size advantage over Peralta and suffocating him.
doesn't Peralta only train evenings because he has a full time job?


I'm undecided on this one

[Vaughany]

could also see him having the size advantage over Peralta and suffocating him.
doesn't Peralta only train evenings because he has a full time job?


I'm undecided on this one

yep, I havent backed Peralta since tht fight in Sweden against AKira where he was completely flat and blamed it on his job.

[marzwoody]

Bumdeal i think peralta is the smart bet on this one. he lands way more strikes per min aswell. im on peralta and pearson.

[NunyaBidness]

On an unrelated note, you guys should get in on this Esports betting shit. Made bank on Dota2 Invitationals, making Bank on Counter Strike tournament as we speak !

I just noticed one of my books has got these now. I used to tail a guy on starcraft plays, but didn't know there were other options. What's your method of beating these? Post some plays, sharing is caring.

[NunyaBidness]

Bumdeal i think peralta is the smart bet on this one. he lands way more strikes per min aswell. im on peralta and pearson.

Fightmetric capping! It's like wiki-capping, only more so.

[Vaughany]

lol

[marzwoody]

Lol you know it

[mirinquads]

I just noticed one of my books has got these now. I used to tail a guy on starcraft plays, but didn't know there were other options. What's your method of beating these? Post some plays, sharing is caring.

All the certain ones i had for today has already been played, but I will see tomorrow. It's a decent amount of in sighter information, as you need to know if teams have been bootcamping, have changed members and have practised on different maps. A lot of the statistics go out of the window as well, seeing as in this tournament they have players playing a lot of new maps, which is very difficult to a just to, especially if the teams haven't been practising a lot on them. It's BO1's as well in this round, which means basically anything can happen. There's been some real nail biters in there. This means a lot of profit as well though, as if you can cap them, the lines are sometimes WAY off.
Next round should be easier to predict, seeing as it will be best of 3, where the experience will come into play.

[JIBBBY]

Tavares breaks mentally when he gets pressured. Especially if he startes taking punches, and Peralta has serious power. Im on Peralta at these odds. Tavares dropping a weight class as well as V stated. Bad news for an already fragile chin.

Agreed.. Peralta winning inside the distance only pays out out at +214 though, better off just playing him straight at +150 in my mind.. Safer play..