MD's House of Winnerz

**Catchn_Picks** · 07-27-13, 08:02 PM

Congrats MD on a terrific night...I have every one of your posted plays and you are rocking sir.

Thank you for sharing.

MD · 07-27-13, 08:12 PM

No problem man, any time. Glad you're cashing.

Just added Rory by decision +130 live and Rory straight -300 live.

**Catchn_Picks** · 07-27-13, 08:21 PM

Rory DEC= money...me thinks

**Catchn_Picks** · 07-27-13, 08:23 PM

CASH IT!!

MD · 07-27-13, 08:28 PM

Great night. MM is about to make it a fantastic night me thinks.

**bjpenn85** · 07-27-13, 08:31 PM

Congrats, youre now the king of SBR! MM is last leg of a three big parlays, salas, courmouche handicap, masvidal parlays...

**JuicedUp** · 07-27-13, 08:32 PM

MD on fire

. Nice job man!

**Catchn_Picks** · 07-27-13, 08:35 PM

Come on Mouse...run the table...

MD= "Tomorrow's headlines today!"

**bjpenn85** · 07-27-13, 08:49 PM

penetrate, i think my unanimous dec goes to hell now.. must make it to the 4 round, commooon

MD · 07-27-13, 08:55 PM

Thanks guys.

Originally posted by bjpenn85

penetrate, i think my unanimous dec goes to hell now.. must make it to the 4 round, commooon

I have MM -9.5 as a semi-hedge incase he gets the finish. I said to Beelze earlier that I think UD has value, but is risky because Johnson is so much better than Moraga that he really should be able to finish.

Either way, -9.5 +150 is looking good. I was thinking earlier in the night that it's dead money with these judges.

**Catchn_Picks** · 07-27-13, 09:03 PM

Looking good is an understatement to me..I think it goes and Mouse wins every round as improbable as that would have seemed to some.

**Catchn_Picks** · 07-27-13, 09:04 PM

There seems to be a huge difference between the champion and the number one challenger

**bjpenn85** · 07-27-13, 09:14 PM

wins in round. 5 @ 28...yes fakking YES!!!

**JuicedUp** · 07-27-13, 09:16 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

wins in round. 5 @ 28...yes fakking YES!!!

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-28-13, 12:13 AM

Originally posted by MD

Thanks guys.

I have MM -9.5 as a semi-hedge incase he gets the finish. I said to Beelze earlier that I think UD has value, but is risky because Johnson is so much better than Moraga that he really should be able to finish.

Either way, -9.5 +150 is looking good. I was thinking earlier in the night that it's dead money with these judges.

Didnt play decision. Had alot on straight that didnt want more risk

MD · 07-28-13, 03:41 AM

At the risk of giving more dox fuel to my ol' buddy Sider (<3), I'm posting my Twitter. I've been posting my plays on there for the last couple of events. I originally intended to just read what people had to say, but I decided to post plays, too. I post my plays with recommended unit sizes and lines as they are at the time of my tweet. Obviously the results will differ from my actual results as I'm not posting all of my wagers (or even close to it), and the lines are often worse than what I got, but the way I post my plays is probably more useful for people just looking to tail. Anyone tailing my plays will have added 22% to their bankroll in two UFC cards, which is pretty good if I do say so myself.

https://twitter.com/TheMDMMA

No idea how long I'll keep it up. I don't even know how I got 17 followers, I know almost none of them; I just tweeted Wannabet and Luca a few times, and then people started following me.

**bjpenn85** · 07-28-13, 03:46 AM

the naked handicapper LOL

**sorinnn** · 07-28-13, 04:00 AM

thanks MD I also followed all of your picks tonight and I'll follow you on twitter for sure

MD · 07-28-13, 04:06 AM

^ No problem man.

Originally posted by bjpenn85

the naked handicapper LOL

Always naked, all the time, bro.

**Catchn_Picks** · 07-28-13, 09:06 AM

Make it 18 followers...bol

**tbird509** · 07-28-13, 09:24 AM

Guys, md is hands down the best, no bs...Ive with him since gsp vs diaz and havent lost a bet since, and I due not bet small...I owe u md...your the best ive witnessed in handicapping sports...

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-28-13, 09:31 AM

Originally posted by tbird509

Guys, md is hands down the best, no bs...Ive with him since gsp vs diaz and havent lost a bet since, and I due not bet small...I owe u md...your the best ive witnessed in handicapping sports...

T bird don't sell yourself short. You are the best
md is just your protege

MD · 07-29-13, 02:22 AM

Originally posted by tbird509

Guys, md is hands down the best, no bs...Ive with him since gsp vs diaz and havent lost a bet since, and I due not bet small...I owe u md...your the best ive witnessed in handicapping sports...

No problem as always, bro. Any time.

MD · 07-29-13, 02:23 AM

I'm watching tape on Askren at the moment and Jesus, that Amoussou fight is one of the most horrifying things I've ever seen in MMA. It should have been stopped at the end of the second round when Askren was teeing off on him, and at the end of the third when Askren had him mounted. It looked like a Cain Velasquez fight. Never thought I'd see such brutality from Askren.

**plekz** · 07-29-13, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by MD

I'm watching tape on Askren at the moment and Jesus, that Amoussou fight is one of the most horrifying things I've ever seen in MMA. It should have been stopped at the end of the second round when Askren was teeing off on him, and at the end of the third when Askren had him mounted. It looked like a Cain Velasquez fight. Never thought I'd see such brutality from Askren.

Koreshkov has been training 7 months for Askren though, and if he can stop the TD's (unlikely but still) Askren would be in for some pain standing.

**On2TheNext1** · 07-29-13, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by plekz

Koreshkov has been training 7 months for Askren though, and if he can stop the TD's (unlikely but still) Askren would be in for some pain standing.

Still watching Koreshkov fights, but based on his last fight against Good where he was taken down pretty easily and gave up his back with minimal/no resistance... Askren rolls this dude, probably finishes him if he gets 5rds to work from extremely advantageous positions.

MD · 07-29-13, 05:42 PM

Chandler -705, Koreshkov +335, Mo -705, Freire -420. Played them all, all great lines, especially Mo.

**getlucky2win** · 07-29-13, 05:46 PM

Glad I'm not the only1 Layin the juice. Hopin lines improve. I doubt it. But crazy moves have happened b4

MD · 07-29-13, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by getlucky2win

Glad I'm not the only1 Layin the juice. Hopin lines improve. I doubt it. But crazy moves have happened b4

I think there's value on all of them. Especially since Noe and Rickels aren't exactly dangerous fighters. Noe's takedown defence is very good, but he doesn't have the striking to threaten Mo, so it doesn't really matter.

**mmaed** · 07-29-13, 09:09 PM

I read the play by plays for three of Koreshkovs fights and he had his back taken by Jordan smith, Derrick Krantz, and Lyman Good. He is very dangerous on the feet but on the ground he is still a bit of a novice. He is only 22 years old. I think Askren should be able to take this barring a knockout. Frankly I think Askren will have a decent shot at getting the submission in this one. Read naked choke. Either way a better idea is betting Askren straight and the fight doesn't go the distance. If this thing goes five rounds its because Askren has been taking him down repeatedly.

**Ron_Paul_2012** · 07-30-13, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by MD

Chandler -705, Koreshkov +335, Mo -705, Freire -420. Played them all, all great lines, especially Mo.

I'm almost ALL IN on a Mo/Askren/Chandler parlay. Which means your Koreshkov "value" play is not going to cash. However, your Freire play should cash. I have a tiny Mo/Askren/Chandler/Freire parlay as well.

**Ron_Paul_2012** · 07-30-13, 01:34 PM

Originally posted by MD

Chandler -705, Koreshkov +335, Mo -705, Freire -420. Played them all, all great lines, especially Mo.

Downing's wrestling will make this a closer fight than most people think. However, @ -420 and because Downing is taking this fight on short notice I had to include PITBULL in a parlay with Mo/Askren/Chandler. Martinez is a very live dog. He has been training with Mo and Big Country @ Jeff Mayweather's gym. If Minanov's takedown defense is not up to par this will be a very long night for the Russian. However, If the Russian can keep this fight on the outside he can stop Martinez or go 3 rounds to a decision. I believe the value to be on Martinez @ considerable + $. However, I plan on sitting this one out unless the line drops on Minanov because it's almost never a good idea to bet against a Russian.

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**On2TheNext1** · 07-30-13, 02:14 PM

I'd be surprised if Martinez tries to take this to the ground.

MD · 07-31-13, 12:34 PM

Originally posted by mmaed

I read the play by plays for three of Koreshkovs fights and he had his back taken by Jordan smith, Derrick Krantz, and Lyman Good. He is very dangerous on the feet but on the ground he is still a bit of a novice. He is only 22 years old. I think Askren should be able to take this barring a knockout. Frankly I think Askren will have a decent shot at getting the submission in this one. Read naked choke. Either way a better idea is betting Askren straight and the fight doesn't go the distance. If this thing goes five rounds its because Askren has been taking him down repeatedly.

That's great bro, you find out anything cool on Wikipedia, too?

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

I'm almost ALL IN on a Mo/Askren/Chandler parlay. Which means your Koreshkov "value" play is not going to cash. However, your Freire play should cash. I have a tiny Mo/Askren/Chandler/Freire parlay as well.

I 'cap Askren as the favourite, but he's being overvalued here, and I definitely don't see any value in him at -400. He'll probably win, but I don't think you're on the right side here. Askren's top game is no joke, but his takedowns are pretty horrendous. He almost always gets takedowns because his opponent has awful takedown defence, or because they make a huge mistake, as Hieron did repeatedly in their fight. Koreshkov's takedown defence isn't great, but with his prodigious talent, the time he's had to train for this fight, and the insane power and accuracy he possesses, I think there's a lot of value on him.

**mmaed** · 07-31-13, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by MD

That's great bro, you find out anything cool on Wikipedia, too?

I 'cap Askren as the favourite, but he's being overvalued here, and I definitely don't see any value in him at -400. He'll probably win, but I don't think you're on the right side here. Askren's top game is no joke, but his takedowns are pretty horrendous. He almost always gets takedowns because his opponent has awful takedown defence, or because they make a huge mistake, as Hieron did repeatedly in their fight. Koreshkov's takedown defence isn't great, but with his prodigious talent, the time he's had to train for this fight, and the insane power and accuracy he possesses, I think there's a lot of value on him.

No dickhead I didn't look at Wikipedia.