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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #246
    Originally posted by Redscot

    Nice night Biff Tee
    thanks, Redscot!

    Originally posted by dodger33
    Morales and the rest of the Angel bats are starting to wake up. Angels are notoriously a streaky team. Wouldn't be shocked if when they started hitting ran off 7-8 wins by decent sized margins in a row.
    good point, the Angels bats have looked pretty good the last 3 games, and given that they have to listen to a lot of talk about being overpaid/overrated lately, you can see them going on a streak and shutting people up soon. so much talent relative to the results so far.

    Originally posted by pacocn
    Great night biff, keep it going
    thanks, pacocn. let's get back at em tonight. on Mets and O's with you.
    Comment
    • BiffTFinancial
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-29-09
      • 22670

      #247
      adding

      2* Pirates/Diamondbacks under 8' (-107)

      Tuesday 4.18.2012 updated card
      3* Tribe ML (-121)
      2* Cubs ML (+147)
      2* Orioles ML (+122)
      2* Tigers/Royals over 9 (-110)
      2* Pirates/Diamondbacks under 8' (-107)
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #248
        weird line movement on DET/KC total at Pinny. maybe there will be some lineup surprises with 2 lefty starters. whatever, hard not to like Tigers lineup against Chen. at first glance, it looks as if Chen has some decent numbers against Detroit (like .246 BA), but then you realize that that includes Inge being 1-23 (the most ABs of any Tiger vs Chen, and he likely won't be in the lineup tonight) and Tigers still have .500 slug % and .846 OPS vs Chen. if you take out Inge's numbers, the rest of the Tigers are .290/.382/.598/.980 vs Chen.

        interesting tidbit i saw on twitter: Pirates are first MLB team since 1988 to not score or allow over 5 runs in first 10 games of a season.
        Comment
        • svenodds
          SBR MVP
          • 09-12-09
          • 1790

          #249
          Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
          Monday 4.16.2012 final card
          2* Rays/Red Sox under 9 (-110) - WINNER
          2* Parlay: Nationals ML + Tigers ML (+124) - WINNER
          2* Twins/Yankees over 10 (-110) - PUSH
          2* Mets ML (+153) - WINNER
          2* Padres ML (+111) - WINNER

          4-0-1 +9.76u

          26-32-2 -13.37u season to date
          nice monday
          Comment
          • RoadDog
            SBR MVP
            • 05-11-11
            • 2666

            #250
            Nice day Biff. Told you it was just a matter of time
            Comment
            • BiffTFinancial
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-29-09
              • 22670

              #251
              Originally posted by svenodds

              nice monday
              thanks, sven!

              Originally posted by RoadDog
              Nice day Biff. Told you it was just a matter of time
              thanks, RD, appreciate that. now gotta back it up today. i see that you're on the Brewers, that's my next lean off the card, pretty tempting to add it. definitely glad to see that you're not backing the good guys and Danks, heh heh. BOL tonight.
              Comment
              • RoadDog
                SBR MVP
                • 05-11-11
                • 2666

                #252
                Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                definitely glad to see that you're not backing the good guys and Danks, heh heh. BOL tonight.
                Haha. You wont see me on Danks too much. He's a supposed "ace" left-hander and lefties hit .270 off him last year (righties hit .275). This year, lefties are hitting .368 off him. Lefties take away his best pitch, his cutter. I'm not a fan of when lefty "studs" cant get lefties out. I'm not a fan of him.
                Comment
                • BiffTFinancial
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-29-09
                  • 22670

                  #253
                  Originally posted by RoadDog
                  Haha. You wont see me on Danks too much. He's a supposed "ace" left-hander and lefties hit .270 off him last year (righties hit .275). This year, lefties are hitting .368 off him. Lefties take away his best pitch, his cutter. I'm not a fan of when lefty "studs" cant get lefties out. I'm not a fan of him.
                  i hear you. this Orioles lineup can rake against lefties, too.
                  Comment
                  • Redscot
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-16-11
                    • 2571

                    #254
                    Originally posted by RoadDog
                    Haha. You wont see me on Danks too much. He's a supposed "ace" left-hander and lefties hit .270 off him last year (righties hit .275). This year, lefties are hitting .368 off him. Lefties take away his best pitch, his cutter. I'm not a fan of when lefty "studs" cant get lefties out. I'm not a fan of him.
                    Comment
                    • BiffTFinancial
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 22670

                      #255
                      upgrading Pirates/Diamondbacks under 8.5 (-107) from 2* to 3*

                      Tuesday 4.18.2012 updated card
                      3* Tribe ML (-121)
                      3* Pirates/Diamondbacks under 8' (-107)
                      2* Cubs ML (+147)
                      2* Orioles ML (+122)
                      2* Tigers/Royals over 9 (-110)
                      Comment
                      • Redscot
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-16-11
                        • 2571

                        #256
                        Reyburn in Miami Biff Tee.
                        Comment
                        • dodger33
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-14-09
                          • 3962

                          #257
                          Anyone got an update on Berkman and Freese for today?
                          Comment
                          • Redscot
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-16-11
                            • 2571

                            #258
                            Originally posted by RoadDog
                            Haha. You wont see me on Danks too much. He's a supposed "ace" left-hander and lefties hit .270 off him last year (righties hit .275). This year, lefties are hitting .368 off him. Lefties take away his best pitch, his cutter. I'm not a fan of when lefty "studs" cant get lefties out. I'm not a fan of him.
                            Ricky Romero falls into this category as well Roadie.
                            Comment
                            • RoadDog
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-11-11
                              • 2666

                              #259
                              Originally posted by Redscot
                              Ricky Romero falls into this category as well Roadie.
                              True, but I'm starting to fall in love with him today. His numbers against Tampa Bay are ridiculous. No one touches him except Zobrist. They hit .163 off him as a team in a large sample. Trying to find an edge to bet this one because I dont want to lay the -147 juice. I'm thinking Blue Jays -.5 First Five Innings at -105.

                              With the total climbing to 9 (which i dont understand at all), looks like someones giving up some serious runs tonight. I'm willing to bet its Niemann and not Romero at home.
                              Comment
                              • Redscot
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-16-11
                                • 2571

                                #260
                                Originally posted by RoadDog
                                True, but I'm starting to fall in love with him today. His numbers against Tampa Bay are ridiculous. No one touches him except Zobrist. They hit .163 off him as a team in a large sample. Trying to find an edge to bet this one because I dont want to lay the -147 juice. I'm thinking Blue Jays -.5 First Five Innings at -105.
                                YUp, there is a pretty big sample size there, only reason I laid off Tampa.
                                Comment
                                • BiffTFinancial
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-29-09
                                  • 22670

                                  #261
                                  Originally posted by RoadDog
                                  True, but I'm starting to fall in love with him today. His numbers against Tampa Bay are ridiculous. No one touches him except Zobrist. They hit .163 off him as a team in a large sample. Trying to find an edge to bet this one because I dont want to lay the -147 juice. I'm thinking Blue Jays -.5 First Five Innings at -105.
                                  have you considered Jays -1 (-105 at 5D)? with TB's shitty pen, any game with them can get out of hand.
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #262
                                    Originally posted by Redscot
                                    Reyburn in Miami Biff Tee.
                                    gotcha. i have him as a decent under ump, not huge but a factor. do you have any notable home/road numbers for him?
                                    Comment
                                    • RoadDog
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-11-11
                                      • 2666

                                      #263
                                      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                      have you considered Jays -1 (-105 at 5D)? with TB's shitty pen, any game with them can get out of hand.
                                      That's exactly what I'm going to do. I'm gonna think about this for a while, but thats what I've settled on. I'd be sick if i put that first five inning bet in and the score was like 2-2 and i lost.
                                      Comment
                                      • Redscot
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-16-11
                                        • 2571

                                        #264
                                        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                        gotcha. i have him as a decent under ump, not huge but a factor. do you have any notable home/road numbers for him?
                                        Yeah, he has a healthy strike zone and last year had heavy under results (one year does not an under ump make though) . Nothing amiss regarding home field bias.
                                        Comment
                                        • HOT WINGS
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-29-10
                                          • 8055

                                          #265
                                          Originally posted by dodger33
                                          Anyone got an update on Berkman and Freese for today?

                                          There both in case you didn't see yet. Like the Cards alot tonight.
                                          Comment
                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-29-09
                                            • 22670

                                            #266
                                            Originally posted by dodger33
                                            Anyone got an update on Berkman and Freese for today?
                                            Berkman and Freese both in lineup: http://baseballpress.com/lineup.php
                                            Comment
                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-29-09
                                              • 22670

                                              #267
                                              Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                              There both in case you didn't see yet. Like the Cards alot tonight.
                                              beat me to it.
                                              Comment
                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-29-09
                                                • 22670

                                                #268
                                                adding

                                                2* Rays/Blue Jays under 9 (-120)

                                                Tuesday 4.17.2012 updated card
                                                3* Tribe ML (-121)
                                                3* Pirates/Diamondbacks under 8' (-107)
                                                2* Rays/Blue Jays under 9 (-120)
                                                2* Cubs ML (+147)
                                                2* Orioles ML (+122)
                                                2* Tigers/Royals over 9 (-110)

                                                BOL to all tonight.
                                                Comment
                                                • HOT WINGS
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-29-10
                                                  • 8055

                                                  #269
                                                  Speaking of movement on total.... Anyone have a good reason why the total dropped from 7 to 6.5 on Stros game? Where does your model have that game Biff?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dodger33
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-14-09
                                                    • 3962

                                                    #270
                                                    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                    Berkman and Freese both in lineup: http://baseballpress.com/lineup.php
                                                    Gracias!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • CappinTerp
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-26-09
                                                      • 9650

                                                      #271
                                                      Like the Cub bet ......................................gl
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Redscot
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-16-11
                                                        • 2571

                                                        #272
                                                        Your Zona under just got a boost, no Upton. GL tonight Biff Tee, on a number of the plays with ya.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HOT WINGS
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-29-10
                                                          • 8055

                                                          #273
                                                          GL Biff. Took Stros over couldnt see any good reason not too. Also on Cards, Rangers, Jays, Mets and small plays on FF unders in Mets and Cubs games. Almost played Cubs too and lik the Tribe, Giants & Tigers/over later
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-29-09
                                                            • 22670

                                                            #274
                                                            Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                                            Speaking of movement on total.... Anyone have a good reason why the total dropped from 7 to 6.5 on Stros game? Where does your model have that game Biff?
                                                            sorry that i did not reply, Hot Wings. got caught up with some work stuff and then unexpectedly went out for the night and never checked back to SBR. sorry to see that the over didn't work out for you, pal.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-29-09
                                                              • 22670

                                                              #275
                                                              Tuesday 4.17.2012 final card
                                                              3* Tribe ML (-121) - WINNER
                                                              3* Pirates/Diamondbacks under 8' (-107) - LOSER
                                                              2* Rays/Blue Jays under 9 (-120) - LOSER
                                                              2* Cubs ML (+147) - LOSER
                                                              2* Orioles ML (+122) - WINNER
                                                              2* Tigers/Royals over 9 (-110) - LOSER

                                                              2-4 -4.37u

                                                              28-36-2 -17.74u season to date.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-09
                                                                • 22670

                                                                #276
                                                                Wednesday 4.18.2012
                                                                3* Cardinals ML (-124)
                                                                1* Cardinals FF ML (-130)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • YOUNGBUCK
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-16-10
                                                                  • 6510

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Biff u like the rays?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Jermusom
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 02-19-12
                                                                    • 368

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Value in the under in the reds/cards game as well, right?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                                      • 22670

                                                                      #279
                                                                      Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK
                                                                      Biff u like the rays?
                                                                      hey buck. if i went with a side in that game, it would be Rays. Jays struggle against lefties, and Price has good history vs Jays, but Price's first two starts have me a little concerned. lean under/FF under but passing.

                                                                      like Phils a lot, will be on them.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                                        • 22670

                                                                        #280
                                                                        Originally posted by Jermusom
                                                                        Value in the under in the reds/cards game as well, right?
                                                                        no question. i don't like to play side and total in same game, but my model puts that game in the 6.8-6.95 range.
                                                                        Comment
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