on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

[on3]

UPDATED for 06/26/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 78-8-0; Profit: -8
Filtered System: 27-0-0; Profit: +24
5/2 chase: 7-0-0; profit: +29 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 51-42; 16-11
Game 2 (B) win = 26-12; 7-2; 5-2
Game 3 (C) win = 4-8; 2-0; 2-0

RESHUFFLED LABBY LINES FOR 6/26/2012
x-50-56-62
39-39-81-87
56-56-56-56

New Line Filtered
10-10-30-28

REGULAR FOR 06/26/2012
BOSTON -151 to win 87
TEXAS -185 to win 81

Filtered
BOSTON to win 40
TEXAS to win 38

5/2
BOSTON to win 100
TEXAS to win 100

[nato3713]

Whew around 750 in play, let's cash it.

[J.M. Disciple]

Thanks for fixing the unit count on the filtered On3. I remember another where they ran a labby based on 1st inning run and he kept track of that system for martingale and labby.

YES labby = xxx units
NO labby = xxx units
Yes martingale = xxx units
NO martingale = xxx units.

End of the season be able to compare how the two differ.

I am not trying to make things any more complicated then they are. 1 win = 1 unit obviously with martingale, so would only need to keep track of the juice when ever there is a losing series to figure out the final unit count end of the season.

Thanks for keeping my format as well very nice lay out.

[chound]

Only thing I don't like about 1st in is a few cheap runs by away team and your screwed.

[J.M. Disciple]

Only thing I don't like about 1st in is a few cheap runs by away team and your screwed.

sorry was not trying to promote the system, just a way for on3 to keep a unit count to compare martingale vs labby end of season.

[merikson]

What is the 5/2 chase?

[J.M. Disciple]

OMG>>>> I did a $5 ten team parlay I need mets to win!!! $2k!

[bisturis]

Ah JM, I was pulling for you. What a bummer.

[J.M. Disciple]

Yea so close!!!! Still made like 4 or 5 units on the day so its ok..... I am starting to do more parlays. I use to think of parlays as black jack and stay far far away from them cause odds of winning are so low! BUT NOW I just incorporate my losses into my labby so i feel i am basically free rolling on my parlays.

oh ya This SYSTEM IS NOW IN THE BLACK!!!

CONGRATS EVERYONE.

[on3]

huge, huge night. hopefully everyone was on it.

UPDATED for 06/27/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 80-8-0; Profit: +.5
Filtered System: 29-0-0; Profit: +28
5/2 chase: 9-0-0; profit: +39 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 50-42; 18-11
Game 2 (B) win = 26-12; 9-2; 7-2
Game 3 (C) win = 4-8; 2-0; 2-0

LABBY LINES FOR 6/27/2012
x-50-56-62
39-39-x-x
56-56-56-56

New Line Filtered
x-x-x-x

REGULAR FOR 06/27/2012
no plays

Filtered
no plays

5/2
no plays

[jcygts6]

Nice one! Good to see u riding the ship again on3

[J.M. Disciple]

dang mets were suppose to do this yesterday!!! grrrr

[darkmatter117]

What is the 5/2 chase?

Post 790.

[J.M. Disciple]

darkmatter1i7 since you seem to be very knowledgeable on back test, what do you think of taking -1RL on all the A bets? I think push is like 15% long run, so might save this system a lot of higher risk bets. Would cancel some profit as well but greatly lower the variance.

[1gamer]

Bravo...Magnifico...Let's kill it in July!

[on3]

UPDATED for 06/28/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 80-8-0; Profit: +.5
Filtered System: 29-0-0; Profit: +28
5/2 chase: 9-0-0; profit: +39 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 50-42; 18-11
Game 2 (B) win = 26-12; 9-2; 7-2
Game 3 (C) win = 4-8; 2-0; 2-0

LABBY LINES FOR 6/28/2012
x-55-56-57
39-39-x-x
56-56-56-56

New Line Filtered
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 06/28/2012
NY YANKEES -182 to win 55
TEXAS -184 to win 56

Filtered
NYY to win 20
TEX to win 20

5/2
no plays

[nato3713]

What about the O's over -145 and o/u is 9

[on3]

i will be playing the O's, but they are not a system play. opened at -130.

[J.M. Disciple]

Looks like its going to be high scoring game in Tex.

com'on Tex! ITS OAKLAND for crying out loud.

[J.M. Disciple]

weird thought tex was going to lose after being down 4-1 and yanks going to win with a 2 run lead.... either way 1-1 on the night not too bad.Any new series for tomorrow? Yanks B....

[eric14tsui]

Battle between STL and PIT?

[on3]

UPDATED for 06/29/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 81-8-0; Profit: -2
Filtered System: 30-0-0; Profit: +27.25
5/2 chase: 9-0-0; profit: +39 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 51-43; 19-11
Game 2 (B) win = 26-12; 9-2; 7-2
Game 3 (C) win = 4-8; 2-0; 2-0

LABBY LINES FOR 6/29/2012
x-x-56-57
39-39-x-48
56-56-56-56

New Line Filtered
x-10-47-x

REGULAR FOR 06/29/2012
NY YANKS -120 to win 87 (2 #'s on the B line)
STL -190 to win 57 (if o/u closes at 9 or higher we will play filtered to win 20)

Filtered
NY YANKS to win 57

5/2
NY YANKS to win 100

[bigvern]

Probably mean Yankees rather than Texas ??

[nato3713]

Texas won yankees lost yesterday

[J.M. Disciple]

yes definitely switch that around... Texas is a great bet as well

[on3]

thanks for the correction.

[darkmatter117]

Sorry if I'm wrong, but I think the Orioles should also be a 5/2 play. According to Covers, they closed -146 with an O/U of 9. I think closing line is all that matters for the 5/2.

[J.M. Disciple]

Sorry if I'm wrong, but I think the Orioles should also be a 5/2 play. According to Covers, they closed -146 with an O/U of 9. I think closing line is all that matters for the 5/2.

Baltimore was not an A-Bet there for can not be a B bet. On3 based the O's as a no play because line opened at -130. What does the description say for 5/2? I dont know if your wrong or not if its based on closing line....

[kylska1183]

So I am new to this thread. Does this mean I should be playing Yankees big tonight?

[mcmister]

So I am new to this thread. Does this mean I should be playing Yankees big tonight?

REGULAR FOR 06/29/2012
NY YANKS -120 to win 87 (2 #'s on the B line)
STL -190 to win 57 (if o/u closes at 9 or higher we will play filtered to win 20)

Filtered
NY YANKS to win 57

5/2
NY YANKS to win 100

[J.M. Disciple]

Next potential plays

JULY 2
Rays vs Yankees
Blue Jays vs Royals
Indians vs Angels
Tigers vs Twins
Athletics vs Red Sox
Mariners vs Orioles
Braves vs Cubs
Brewers vs Marlins
Pirates vs Astros
Cardinals vs Rockies
D-Backs vs Padres
Dodgers vs Reds

[J.M. Disciple]

So I am new to this thread. Does this mean I should be playing Yankees big tonight?

You can follow the #s on3 post or run your own labby lines as many of us do and just use the same plays on3 post. i would suggest running your own lines cause the juice wont always be the same so lines will quickly change for each person depending on time you bet and sportsbook you use.

also suggest going back and reading most of this thread so you understand how the labby works, filter plays work, as well as 5/2 works. They are 3 seperate systems, but one in the same which over lapping bets many times. You can choose to follow just 1 or all 3 up to you.

[J.M. Disciple]

Battle between STL and PIT?

Anyone agree with STL line being set so high? I thought these two teams match up pretty well based on recent performance and pitching match up.

[eric14tsui]

I guess home team effect. People should not under-estimate PIT. And STL has just picked it up last five games. Should be a nice match up.

Anyone agree with STL line being set so high? I thought these two teams match up pretty well based on recent performance and pitching match up.

[Wallco99]

Sorry if I'm wrong, but I think the Orioles should also be a 5/2 play. According to Covers, they closed -146 with an O/U of 9. I think closing line is all that matters for the 5/2.

Closing line for the O/U, opening line for -145 are the criteria