LTA's MLB Plays

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/8/2012 Recap

0 - 4 - 1 = -4.27x

MLB 2012 Regular Season

73 - 58 - 10 = +11.23x

Just gotta move on and get back to the grind. GL

[brucethebear]

5 dimes is down. Taking this as a sign.

Best of luck with your reds play guys.

[Laissez Faire]

It's all good LTA. I'm still riding in the backseat of the caddy...in it for the long haul

[Love The Action]

Lta, it looks as though C.B. Bucknor will be tomorrow's ump
in the Reds/Brewcrew game, do you have any info on his
strike zone? Thanks

I think another guy was asking about umpires as well...you can get all the ump info you need from Covers, otherwise, just GOOGLE "umpire stats" and there will be a ton of sites. GL

[pacocn]

I think another guy was asking about umpires as well...you can get all the ump info you need from Covers, otherwise, just GOOGLE "umpire stats" and there will be a ton of sites. GL

Thanks lta, i 've been using another
site i will check out covers.

[pacocn]

Lta, bol today

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/9/2012

Play #1

Reds/Brewers under (7)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

Play #2

Mets/Phillies under (7)(-120) 1x (Locked)

We need to monitor the weather as rain is possible. However, my model loves this pitching matchup as Gee is pitching very well this year according to the advanced stats with a 3.17 SIERA, 2 GB/FB and 21% K%. Lee will continue to be great. Kulpa is the ump with a slight under lean and the wind will not be a factor. I have this game set at 5.8 and I am rolling with the under for 1x and possibly more later. Good luck.

[pacocn]

60% chance of thunder showers at Citizen's Bank Park,
very little wind.

[ghislaine]

Your stats look really remarkable so early on in MLB. I will keep tailing You are solid !!
Days like these happen, move on, make money

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/8/2012 Recap

0 - 4 - 1 = -4.27x

MLB 2012 Regular Season

73 - 58 - 10 = +11.23x

Just gotta move on and get back to the grind. GL

[Redscot]

Hey guys, to get our minds off of the current string of neg variance, here is an article I'm sure you are going to love. A very good piece from Deadspin on the wonderful world of touting and how it has evolved (devolved?). The author apparently got fired over pursuing this subject. (He wrote for the parent company of Covers.com and I guess this article hit a little too close to home). I appreciate the author's courage.

It could all be much worse. We could have a tout to pay.

I think you will likee.

http://deadspin.com/5907732/in-the-r...llips?tag=espn

Thanks for sharing that C_P, that was an interesting read.

[SlickRick1382]

Play #2

Mets/Phillies under (7)(-120) 1x (Locked)

We need to monitor the weather as rain is possible. However, my model loves this pitching matchup as Gee is pitching very well this year according to the advanced stats with a 3.17 SIERA, 2 GB/FB and 21% K%. Lee will continue to be great. Kulpa is the ump with a slight under lean and the wind will not be a factor. I have this game set at 5.8 and I am rolling with the under for 1x and possibly more later. Good luck.

LTA

No Concern that C. Lee is coming off a short stint on the DL?

[Love The Action]

LTA

No Concern that C. Lee is coming off a short stint on the DL?

Not with cliff lee. Perhaps with an average pitcher, this would be a fade spot. However, lee is a top tier guy with the knowledge and experience to know how to properly prepare for this start. Plus, an oblique injury is not like elbow/shoulder injuries which would definitely give me pause. In this case, I am not concerned.

[SlickRick1382]

Not with cliff lee. Perhaps with an average pitcher, this would be a fade spot. However, lee is a top tier guy with the knowledge and experience to know how to properly prepare for this start. Plus, an oblique injury is not like elbow/shoulder injuries which would definitely give me pause. In this case, I am not concerned.

Forgot to post the reason why, sorry. At a client so was being quick.

Thought I read that he would be limited to 80-90 pitches or so today which brings up the bullpen issue that has been horrible for us of late....


Edited:
As per ESPN
"Lee is expected to throw around 80 pitches Wednesday."

http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/preview?gameId=320509122&teams=new-york-mets-vs-philadelphia-phillies

[guil0000]

Forgot to post the reason why, sorry. At a client so was being quick.

Thought I read that he would be limited to 80-90 pitches or so today which brings up the bullpen issue that has been horrible for us of late....


Edited:
As per ESPN
"Lee is expected to throw around 80 pitches Wednesday."

http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/previe...lphia-phillies

Thanks for this info. I think this puts serious value on the Mets ML with the Philly bullpen really strugling

[Love The Action]

Forgot to post the reason why, sorry. At a client so was being quick.

Thought I read that he would be limited to 80-90 pitches or so today which brings up the bullpen issue that has been horrible for us of late....


Edited:
As per ESPN
"Lee is expected to throw around 80 pitches Wednesday."

http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/previe...lphia-phillies

That eliminates the possibility of adding any units, but i still remain confident in the under. Good luck on whatever you choose.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/9/2012

Play #1

Reds/Brewers under (7)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

Play #2

Mets/Phillies under (7)(-120) 1x (Locked)

We need to monitor the weather as rain is possible. However, my model loves this pitching matchup as Gee is pitching very well this year according to the advanced stats with a 3.17 SIERA, 2 GB/FB and 21% K%. Lee will continue to be great. Kulpa is the ump with a slight under lean and the wind will not be a factor. I have this game set at 5.8 and I am rolling with the under for 1x and possibly more later. Good luck.

Play #3

Blue Jays -1RL (-120) 1x (Locked)

I like Morrow in this spot as he is coming off one of his most efficient starts of his career with a complete game shut out in only 102 pitches. Morrow seems be taking a new approach more as pitcher than a thrower and I like the results. Ross has been shaky and Toronto needs this game to split the short series. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/9/2012

Play #1

Reds/Brewers under (7)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

Play #2

Mets/Phillies under (7)(-120) 1x (Locked)

We need to monitor the weather as rain is possible. However, my model loves this pitching matchup as Gee is pitching very well this year according to the advanced stats with a 3.17 SIERA, 2 GB/FB and 21% K%. Lee will continue to be great. Kulpa is the ump with a slight under lean and the wind will not be a factor. I have this game set at 5.8 and I am rolling with the under for 1x and possibly more later. Good luck.

Play #3

Blue Jays -1RL (-120) 1x (Locked)

I like Morrow in this spot as he is coming off one of his most efficient starts of his career with a complete game shut out in only 102 pitches. Morrow seems be taking a new approach more as pitcher than a thrower and I like the results. Ross has been shaky and Toronto needs this game to split the short series. Good luck.

Play #4

Braves ML (-107) 1x (Locked)

This is Hudson's third start and I expect him to be sharp against the cubs 27th ranked offense, especially when you consider most of the "new" cubs ate unfamiliar with him. On the other side, the braves are hitting quite well against lefties this season and are quite familiar with Maholm. I have the braves set at -118 and I am rolling with Atlanta for 1x. Good luck.

[TC Woods]

Play #4

Braves ML (-107) 1x (Locked)

This is Hudson's third start and I expect him to be sharp against the cubs 27th ranked offense, especially when you consider most of the "new" cubs ate unfamiliar with him. On the other side, the braves are hitting quite well against lefties this season and are quite familiar with Maholm. I have the braves set at -118 and I am rolling with Atlanta for 1x. Good luck.

Advise requested.

I didn't see your post in time to make the Atlanta ML (-107) wager. I was able to go to Live betting with the game in the 5th...score 0-0 and make a "Atlanta wins" wager at +110

Was that the right move?

[Vasco]

LTA, what's your opinion on the Nats/Pirates game? I lean to the under with 2 weak offenses and the pitching matchup of Bedard vs Detwiler.

[BigBoi]

Advise requested.

I didn't see your post in time to make the Atlanta ML (-107) wager. I was able to go to Live betting with the game in the 5th...score 0-0 and make a "Atlanta wins" wager at +110

Was that the right move?

You got a better number than anyone.

[Love The Action]

LTA, what's your opinion on the Nats/Pirates game? I lean to the under with 2 weak offenses and the pitching matchup of Bedard vs Detwiler.

I lean under as well and am still considering it as a play. GL

[Vasco]

I lean under as well and am still considering it as a play. GL

Damn, it just dropped from u7 -120 to u6.5 EV.

[dlunc3]

Play #2

Mets/Phillies under (7)(-120) 1x (Locked)

We need to monitor the weather as rain is possible. However, my model loves this pitching matchup as Gee is pitching very well this year according to the advanced stats with a 3.17 SIERA, 2 GB/FB and 21% K%. Lee will continue to be great. Kulpa is the ump with a slight under lean and the wind will not be a factor. I have this game set at 5.8 and I am rolling with the under for 1x and possibly more later. Good luck.

Good news for this play... Charlie is putting the weakest lineup he could find out on the field tonight.. Mayberry, Scheider and Galvis all in the lineup over guys like Nix, Willingham, Ruiz (and obviously Howard and Utley). Bottom of this order should be a walk in the park for Gee.

[Redscot]

Good news for this play... Charlie is putting the weakest lineup he could find out on the field tonight.. Mayberry, Scheider and Galvis all in the lineup over guys like Nix, Willingham, Ruiz (and obviously Howard and Utley). Bottom of this order should be a walk in the park for Gee.

I see your weak lineup and raise you:
1. Andres Torres (S) CF
2. Daniel Murphy (L) 2B
3. David Wright (R) 3B
4. Scott Hairston (R) RF
5. Vinny Rottino (R) LF
6. Justin Turner (R) SS
7. Ike Davis (L) 1B
8. Rob Johnson (R)

Lineup wise we definitely set up nicely for the under. GL all

[Love The Action]

Damn, it just dropped from u7 -120 to u6.5 EV.

No play for me at 6.5. I need 7 or better. GL

[Love The Action]

Thanks for the lineup info dlunc and red

[Pross1]

I see your weak lineup and raise you:
1. Andres Torres (S) CF
2. Daniel Murphy (L) 2B
3. David Wright (R) 3B
4. Scott Hairston (R) RF
5. Vinny Rottino (R) LF
6. Justin Turner (R) SS
7. Ike Davis (L) 1B
8. Rob Johnson (R)

Lineup wise we definitely set up nicely for the under. GL all

Haha who the **** are Vinny Rottino and Rob Johnson

[Redscot]

Nice start to the day LTA , Maholm and the Cubs pen blanking the Braves...go figure. Card is a little funky today, not crazy about much. Any opinion on a Tigers -1 RL? Yanks under also tempted me a bit today.

[Love The Action]

Nice start to the day LTA , Maholm and the Cubs pen blanking the Braves...go figure. Card is a little funky today, not crazy about much. Any opinion on a Tigers -1 RL? Yanks under also tempted me a bit today.

Like the tigers with smyly but going to wait and see if we can get a price drop as the night progresses.

[dlunc3]

bad luck yet again.. arguably the worst hitter in the nl, freddy galvis hits a 2 out double to score the slowass snyder from first, followed by a pinch hit rbi by pinch hitter nix.. all with two outs

[Redscot]

bad luck yet again.. arguably the worst hitter in the nl, freddy galvis hits a 2 out double to score the slowass snyder from first, followed by a pinch hit rbi by pinch hitter nix.. all with two outs

Bottom of the Phillies lineup did the damage, Scnheider, Galvis and Lee. Lee's shortened leash was also definitely a detriment.

[Love The Action]

Bottom of the Phillies lineup did the damage, Scnheider, Galvis and Lee. Lee's shortened leash was also definitely a detriment.

Anytime you give up 2 out RBI singles to the PITCHER, you are going to have problems. I do admit, I did not expect Kendrick to be the first guy out of the bullpen. Perhaps a mistake by me, but the Phillies never seem to hit unless I play an under. Philly unders have just killed us in this short season. Oh well....final play coming up.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/9/2012

Play #1

Reds/Brewers under (7)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

Play #2

Mets/Phillies under (7)(-120) 1x (Locked)

We need to monitor the weather as rain is possible. However, my model loves this pitching matchup as Gee is pitching very well this year according to the advanced stats with a 3.17 SIERA, 2 GB/FB and 21% K%. Lee will continue to be great. Kulpa is the ump with a slight under lean and the wind will not be a factor. I have this game set at 5.8 and I am rolling with the under for 1x and possibly more later. Good luck.

Play #3

Blue Jays -1RL (-120) 1x (Locked)

I like Morrow in this spot as he is coming off one of his most efficient starts of his career with a complete game shut out in only 102 pitches. Morrow seems be taking a new approach more as pitcher than a thrower and I like the results. Ross has been shaky and Toronto needs this game to split the short series. Good luck.

Play #4

Braves ML (-107) 1x (Locked)

This is Hudson's third start and I expect him to be sharp against the cubs 27th ranked offense, especially when you consider most of the "new" cubs ate unfamiliar with him. On the other side, the braves are hitting quite well against lefties this season and are quite familiar with Maholm. I have the braves set at -118 and I am rolling with Atlanta for 1x. Good luck.

Play #5

Tigers -1RL (-110) 1x (Locked)

Smyly has been nothing short of spectacular this season and although Vargas has also pitched well, Smyly's advanced stats dwarf that of Vargas despite close WAR values. In addition, while Smyly has the unfamiliarity factor working for him, Vargas has been shelled by Detroit who are all to familiar with what he has to offer. Detroit's offense has been weak this year, but they have a ton of talent and will break out in big way when they do. Until then, I still have to trust them to win this by two considering their talent and familiarity with Vargas. Good luck.

[Redscot]

Anytime you give up 2 out RBI singles to the PITCHER, you are going to have problems. I do admit, I did not expect Kendrick to be the first guy out of the bullpen. Perhaps a mistake by me, but the Phillies never seem to hit unless I play an under. Philly unders have just killed us in this short season. Oh well....final play coming up.

No doubt, 7-9 in the Phil's lineup killed us more than anything.

[Redscot]

Play #5

Tigers -1RL (-110) 1x (Locked)

Smyly has been nothing short of spectacular this season and although Vargas has also pitched well, Smyly's advanced stats dwarf that of Vargas despite close WAR values. In addition, while Smyly has the unfamiliarity factor working for him, Vargas has been shelled by Detroit who are all to familiar with what he has to offer. Detroit's offense has been weak this year, but they have a ton of talent and will break out in big way when they do. Until then, I still have to trust them to win this by two considering their talent and familiarity with Vargas. Good luck.

Love this play, confident we finish the night in the black. Let's get this biznich and start a new run.