"The Hedge Chase" Totals System

[Betting Guru]

yeah, i've still yet to figure out why peeps keep giving JM their hard earned money. he making money on both ends, when u buy his picks and when u lose with the sportsbooks (he gets a certain percentage for the losses)

[dlunc3]

Damn...you lost the milwaukee game after 2 innings! Seems to be a ton of "C" bets for just a few days...

Just received an email from Hedgepeth on this exact topic...

"I ran the figures and historically we can expect about 16% of our plays to go to the C bet...or in other words, 1 out of every 6...so far we've had 11 out of 56 with our 12th coming tomorrow...so we're just a little ahead of that pace...so I really wouldn't expect too much of a difference with the amount of C bets in the future...the only thing that I really expect to change is our C bet win rate...so far we're 6-5 and historically we hit at 87%...so as long as we can stay close to that number, the other side of the rainbow's not far away."

This is good info to know... hope it helps

[DreJay25]

St. Louis under 8.5 -115 B bet
Atlanta under 8 even A bet

Will post all results and more detail tomorrow

[G's pks]

St. Louis under 8.5 -115 B bet
Atlanta under 8 even A bet

Will post all results and more detail tomorrow

post #165 sums up everything....
..

[dlunc3]

wow, another tough, tough beat tonight in the 9th inning... the kid had a .47 ERA in save opportunities.. had given up 1 run in his last 19 innings..then gives up a hr to molina--only his 4th of the year

[BRAVES1985]

[BRAVES1985]

this guy makes up a new system every week now?

unreal

[G's pks]

The Hedge Chase

2011 System to date: 12-1
System profit/loss: +7.15 units
Current open series: 4 (-6.71 units)

Games from 6/16/11 (Early Games)
Philly *UNDER* - 13:05 EST (B bet) WIN
NYY *OVER* - 13:05 EST (A bet) LOSS
Detroit *UNDER* - 13:05 EST (A bet) WIN
Pitt *UNDER* - 14:05 EST (A bet) LOSS
Milwaukee *UNDER* - 14:20 EST (B bet) LOSS

Games for 6/16/11 (LATE GAMES):
SL *UNDER* - 19:05 EST (B bet)
Atlanta *UNDER* - 19:10 EST (A bet)

**Plays are on the game totals, not team totals

******Make note: In case you are wondering where the Boston game is.. I received an email saying that the Boston series has been canceled. So we have to take a 1.1 unit loss on this series. This amount has been updated in the total system profit/loss record.

Good luck tonight

train wreck!

[G's pks]

this guy makes up a new system every week now?

unreal

post #165 sums up everything....

[dlunc3]

tough night, but not sure how you can say that? still just one C bet loss, no? and that loss only cost 4.8 units. What is so ugly that you are speaking of?

[BRAVES1985]

hate to break it to you dlunc but you cant make money on systems in the long run

sure you can make money short term but not long term

[BRAVES1985]

or else you would own vegas

[dlunc3]

probably true, but thats why we are all here... its fun to try

[dlunc3]

This one extremely ugly very quickly....

coming into today, JH has his system documented at +9 units on the year... isnt that about 10x as many units as your system? not being ignorant, bc i have faith in your system and follow that too... but to JH's credit, he has not earned the negative comments quite yet, as his system is one of the few still in the black

[BRAVES1985]

coming into today, JH has his system documented at +9 units on the year... isnt that about 10x as many units as your system? not being ignorant, bc i have faith in your system and follow that too... but to JH's credit, he has not earned the negative comments quite yet, as his system is one of the few still in the black

[bauerranch]

At least you have a system that doesn't have 20 pages of rules, multipliers and filters--

[peeiempee]

hate to break it to you dlunc but you cant make money on systems in the long run sure you can make money short term but not long term

Check out Cisco's systems. 3-0 today. His record is NOT a backtest that many like to do here. It's a forward test since 2006.

[BRAVES1985]

Check out Cisco's systems. 3-0 today. His record is NOT a backtest that many like to do here. It's a forward test since 2006.

k but whats his overall record

[xgame]

Check out Cisco's systems. 3-0 today. His record is NOT a backtest that many like to do here. It's a forward test since 2006.

what was the links.. thx

[xgame]

any c bet tmrw??

[G's pks]

any c bet tmrw??

post #165 sums up everything....

[G's pks]

post #165 sums up everything....

[axa]

I'll checl your picks. Good luck

[dlunc3]

The Hedge Chase

2011 System to date: 12-1
System profit/loss: +7.15 units
Current open series: 5 (-10.12 units)

Games from 6/16/11 (Late Games):
SL *UNDER* - 19:05 EST (B bet): LOSS
Atlanta *UNDER* - 19:10 EST (A bet): LOSS

Games for 6/17/11:
NYY *OVER* - 14:20 EST (B bet)
Pitt *UNDER* - 19:05 EST (B bet)
Milwaukee *UNDER* - 19:10 EST (C bet)
TB *OVER* - 19:10 EST (A bet)
Cincy *UNDER* - 19:10 EST (A bet)
Atlanta *UNDER* - 19:35 EST (B bet)
SD *UNDER* - 20:10 EST (A bet)
SL *UNDER* - 20:15 EST (C bet)

**Plays are on the game totals, not team totals



Good luck today

[DreJay25]

Games from 6/16/11
Phi UNDER 8 (B Bet) Win
Yankees OVER 9.5 (A Bet) Loss
Detroit UNDER 8.5 (A Bet) Win
Pittsburgh UNDER 8 (A Bet) Loss
Milwaukee UNDER 8 (A Bet) Loss
Atlanta UNDER 8 (A Bet) Loss
SL UNDER 8.5 (B Bet) Loss

A Bets (6-12)

B Bets (4-3)

C Bets (2-1)

SYSTEM TOTAL: (12-1)

Current Open Series: 5 (-10.12 units)

Current totals *INCLUDING OPEN SERIES* - 1.74 UNITS

At risk today
A Bets 3.3 Units to win 3 units

B Bets 6.93 units to win 6.3 units

C Bets 9.7 units to win 8.82 units

Overall 19.93 units to win 19.12 units

Games for 6/17/11:
NYY *OVER* 9.5 - 105 - 2:20 EST (B bet)
Pitt *UNDER*8 - 115 - 7:05 EST (B bet)
Milwaukee *UNDER* 9.5 -115 - 7:10 EST (C bet)
TB *OVER* 9 EVEN - 7:10 EST (A bet)
Cincy *UNDER* 9.5 -105 - 7:10 EST (A bet)
Atlanta *UNDER* 8.5 -110 - 7:35 EST (B bet)
SD *UNDER* 8 -115 - 8:10 EST (A bet)
SL *UNDER* 8 -110 - 8:15 EST (C bet)

**Plays are on the game totals, not team totals



Good luck today

I have a feeling that today is going to be a VERY crucial day for the existence of this system... BOL to all

[Wallco99]

It's actually EDT, EST won't be until October.

[Dexter]

The system goes by the final closing number on covers.com, as this is what all the backtesting was done by. I actually just got screwed on this yesterday. The oak As under was an A bet... I got it at 8.5 (was the highest # I could find it at), but it ended up closing at 9 on covers. So the system got a push, yet I had to take the loss since the total score in the game was 9.

you cant bet the closing number. the idea is to try and beat the closing number.

the whole chess match of sports gambling with the books is getting down on the lines at points of value, and to ultimately try and beat the closer...

[G's pks]

Dlunc...please do not post your plays in my thread again thank you! The mods said to ask you nicely one time... I also asked you nicely in a private message...gl today...

[jphil]

G: wish it was that easy on the jm thread.

[dlunc3]

i answered him nicely... dont trash every other system on this forum/post in bold every post/ and post false records... then ill stay clear of his thread.. if not, the plays and records will need to be posted so that people are not confused and possibly making plays that will lose even more. Its as easy as that.. hopefully that keeps the air clear between us

[jphil]

[quote=jwhedgepeth;10455337]just mackin up here and the RX Forum for now...will most likely run em out for free until the All-Star Break so I can draw some attention....


now i remember jw from therx forum w/ the perfect picks thingy. was surprised to see him givin free picks. may not last long.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/sports-promotions-links/1095401-hedge-chase-formerly-known-perfect-picks-p2.html

[BRAVES1985]

Games from 6/16/11 Phi UNDER 8 (B Bet) Win Yankees OVER 9.5 (A Bet) Loss Detroit UNDER 8.5 (A Bet) Win Pittsburgh UNDER 8 (A Bet) Loss Milwaukee UNDER 8 (A Bet) Loss Atlanta UNDER 8 (A Bet) Loss SL UNDER 8.5 (B Bet) Loss A Bets (6-12) B Bets (4-3) C Bets (2-1) SYSTEM TOTAL: (12-1) Current Open Series: 5 (-10.12 units) Current totals *INCLUDING OPEN SERIES* - 1.74 UNITS At risk today A Bets 3.3 Units to win 3 units B Bets 6.93 units to win 6.3 units C Bets 9.7 units to win 8.82 units Overall 19.93 units to win 19.12 units Games for 6/17/11: NYY *OVER* 9.5 - 105 - 2:20 EST (B bet) Pitt *UNDER*8 - 115 - 7:05 EST (B bet) Milwaukee *UNDER* 9.5 -115 - 7:10 EST (C bet) TB *OVER* 9 EVEN - 7:10 EST (A bet) Cincy *UNDER* 9.5 -105 - 7:10 EST (A bet) Atlanta *UNDER* 8.5 -110 - 7:35 EST (B bet) SD *UNDER* 8 -115 - 8:10 EST (A bet) SL *UNDER* 8 -110 - 8:15 EST (C bet) **Plays are on the game totals, not team totals Good luck today I have a feeling that today is going to be a VERY crucial day for the existence of this system... BOL to all

[dlunc3]

[QUOTE=jphil;10469065]

just mackin up here and the RX Forum for now...will most likely run em out for free until the All-Star Break so I can draw some attention....


now i remember jw from therx forum w/ the perfect picks thingy. was surprised to see him givin free picks. may not last long.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/sports-pro...-picks-p2.html

Yea, I had originally met him over on the RX forum... nice guy...

I was suprised he has moved away from the perfect picks.. the win % for them was great, but very strong money management was needed for a system like that.. he claims this over/under system is better, and has given some great backtest numbers to back it... so we'll see.. Ive jumped on for the ride

[Dexter]

hate to break it to you dlunc but you cant make money on systems in the long run

sure you can make money short term but not long term

you talking about a chase system?

[Dexter]

[quote=dlunc3;10470067]

Yea, I had originally met him over on the RX forum... nice guy...

I was suprised he has moved away from the perfect picks.. the win % for them was great, but very strong money management was needed for a system like that.. he claims this over/under system is better, and has given some great backtest numbers to back it... so we'll see.. Ive jumped on for the ride

its pretty clear you're here to pimp this tout.....get the hell out of here. go to the sports promotion forum.