System Integrity 2011

**slapshot** · 05-30-11, 06:12 AM

25-19-13-2-1 +25 units
atlanta tied with philly for the biggest favorite today......atlanta opened with half a run higher total...they are the play.

monday
atlanta -1 to win 1

**peeiempee** · 05-30-11, 10:52 AM

Let's get some cash with the braves,

**honeyeater** · 05-31-11, 02:10 AM

So I have CHI as the Fev with -175. It is very close. In fact i can not figure out if Philly is -176 or not. In any case I'm i AUS so the time difference sucks. I wish you guys would post the night before. GL

**slapshot** · 05-31-11, 06:00 AM

25-20-13-2-1 +23.7 units
several big favorites today.....it came down to philly or the cubs.

at covers, looking at the philly @ washington game, the home line was +169 which translates to -180 on the away team, philly.

cubs opened at -175

play for tuesday
philadelphia -1 to win 2.23

**floridagolfer** · 05-31-11, 06:31 AM

-180 ROAD favorite . . . wow, I just ought to stand on a street corner and give my money away.

**jolmscheid** · 05-31-11, 09:30 AM

Lookin' good in here guys on a nice 20+ units of profit so far! Was just wondering if most of you are using like a 3-line labby I am assuming since it is a chase?

**jolmscheid** · 05-31-11, 09:30 AM

Thanks ahead of time for the insight guys...

**mcbain** · 05-31-11, 10:20 AM

Hey floridagolfer, sometimes road favorite is OK when playing -1.5 because at least you are guaranteed they will get all 9 at-bats to win by 2 or more. Can't say the same for the home team!

**GGPLAYER** · 05-31-11, 11:44 AM

Popping my head in here for the first time this year. I recall doing this one before. Looking good so far.

**floridagolfer** · 05-31-11, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by mcbain

Hey floridagolfer, sometimes road favorite is OK when playing -1.5 because at least you are guaranteed they will get all 9 at-bats to win by 2 or more. Can't say the same for the home team!

Yeah, I understand that. It's just that it has been very difficult to maintain my confidence level on this system this year. I've played it religiously since the start of the season, but we are so far behind last year's pace . . .

**honeyeater** · 05-31-11, 11:03 PM

Originally posted by slapshot

25-20-13-2-1 +23.7 units
several big favorites today.....it came down to philly or the cubs.

at covers, looking at the philly @ washington game, the home line was +169 which translates to -180 on the away team, philly.

cubs opened at -175

play for tuesday
philadelphia -1 to win 2.23

Slapshot could you please post that equation- the one that says +169 = -180 Thank you

**grilldog24** · 05-31-11, 11:28 PM

Did you play all these plays ???????????????

**honeyeater** · 06-01-11, 02:36 AM

Originally posted by grilldog24

Did you play all these plays ???????????????

I didn't- I'll play the next. I play this system the way I play any chase (that's what i do) I just play the end plays if it goes that far. I just keep up with them. Most guys in here play every one. I know the creator plays 1 unit (or equivalent) each play. Basically taking it as single bets. Others do labby. I like jumping in on bet 3 or 4.

**honeyeater** · 06-01-11, 02:41 AM

Looks like ATL -195 tomorrow

**slapshot** · 06-01-11, 04:52 AM

Originally posted by honeyeater

Slapshot could you please post that equation- the one that says +169 = -180 Thank you

there is actually no equation to generate the -180 line.....however there are two ways to find out what the away line is if you know that the home line is +169.

1) check sbr odds...if the home odds opened at +169 you know covers and sbr opened with the same odds...you can easily read the away line was at the opening of the market
2) collect the data from the pinnacle site and simply put a list together with pinnacle odds covering the whole odds scale

i use both techniques to verify what the line was on the away favorite,

**slapshot** · 06-01-11, 05:42 AM

25-21-13-2-1 +20.67 units

wednesday
atlanta -1 to win 5.33

we collected 13 units during may......we weren't able to match the 15 units that system has generated on average per month past seasons....now we need a good june...good luck all.

**floridagolfer** · 06-01-11, 07:48 AM

By my count, we had a Game D seven times for all of last year and tonight will be our eighth this season. It seems much worse, but actually we're only four series wins behind last year.

**Fitz22** · 06-01-11, 07:56 AM

ATL is a D or C?

**teecee** · 06-01-11, 08:48 AM

fitz, read the post above yours, buddy.

**Fitz22** · 06-01-11, 08:55 AM

bahaha, thanks, to early still!

**jolmscheid** · 06-01-11, 08:56 AM

GL guys...I do like the idea of waiting until 3 or 4 losses to hop on, but one would be losing out on a lot of wins...but there would be much less risk involved as well...

**slapshot** · 06-01-11, 09:06 AM

Originally posted by Fitz22

ATL is a D or C?

atlanta is a 'c' bet if you have been playing -1 and they are a 'd' bet if you play -1.5

**soldier1047** · 06-01-11, 10:18 AM

Best of luck!

**smclaurin2** · 06-01-11, 12:28 PM

Just wanted to say that I have enjoyed reading this thread. I will be jumping on today with ATL. A couple questions...I see from a previous post that you have had 8 "D" bets this year. Do you continue to chase a win with this system or does it end with "D". Also, if you bet the -1 line on a "c" bet and it is a push, then does your next bet continue with "C"?

Would also like to hear from labby players how they are doing so far this season with this system. Thanks in advance. It is really nice to read a thread that isn't full of B.S.

**floridagolfer** · 06-01-11, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by smclaurin2

Just wanted to say that I have enjoyed reading this thread. I will be jumping on today with ATL. A couple questions...I see from a previous post that you have had 8 "D" bets this year. Do you continue to chase a win with this system or does it end with "D". Also, if you bet the -1 line on a "c" bet and it is a push, then does your next bet continue with "C"?

Would also like to hear from labby players how they are doing so far this season with this system. Thanks in advance. It is really nice to read a thread that isn't full of B.S.

When this thread was first started a few years ago, the original premise was that you would chase up to six games and then stop. I think most players have decided to play chases that last either four or five games.

**honeyeater** · 06-01-11, 09:57 PM

Looks like bet 5 for me. Staying strong- having faith- most likely STL -172

**slapshot** · 06-02-11, 06:42 AM

25-21-14-2-1 +20.67 units

thursday
st louis -1 to win 5.33
after our 6 game winning streak we have played 9 games......during this stretch we have won 1 game......we need to turn this around right now.

**slapshot** · 06-02-11, 09:26 AM

we have a pitching change for st louis.....they in bring someone called lynn....the odds has obviously changed.

today's action is cancelled at least for me....if you opt to go for the next biggest favorite it's kansas.....i'm staying away.

**floridagolfer** · 06-02-11, 09:38 AM

Reluctantly, I'll be on KC today.

**GGPLAYER** · 06-02-11, 10:39 AM

Ok I'm new and lost at this point. Why would it not be SD?

**zeusky** · 06-02-11, 10:53 AM

I am a bit confused about today's pick; when I checked late last night, KC was not the highest fav; neither were the Mets who are right now the most fav in bookmaker. So what is the play can someone please confirm?

**GGPLAYER** · 06-02-11, 11:05 AM

The way I understood it is it's the opening line. Which STl had till there was a pitching change. Next highest I see is SD. In fact I see several teams which opened higher than KC.

**floridagolfer** · 06-02-11, 01:05 PM

At the site I use to get my odds, St. Louis was the biggest opening favorite, but (I assume) that was with a pitcher that later was scratched. According to my site, St. Louis had opened at -160, KC was -130 and everyone else was a lesser favorite.

If your site has different numbers, then the team you use to replace a scratched biggest opening favorite could very well be different.

The way I look at this is, when I saw the odds for St. Louis with its new pitcher, the Cards were -115. So if the new pitcher had been the one who was originally scheduled to start, KC would still have been my choice.

I'm not crazy about playing KC and giving 1.5, but this won't be the first play I make with this low level of confidence.

**MARCUS** · 06-02-11, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by floridagolfer

-180 ROAD favorite . . . wow, I just ought to stand on a street corner and give my money away.

..I agree!..seldom any value with braves.

BOL

**GGPLAYER** · 06-02-11, 01:20 PM

I don't doubt what your saying but I'm having a hard time seeing where KC opened so big. It was -110 on SBR Odds and Covers. com had it at -113. By covers lines Clev would be the next highest at -140 behind Stl. I guess I'm just having a hard time this week with all my systems losing at the same time and just really want to be sure I bet the correct game.
Pinny which is a book most people will work off of opened it at -113 and did shoot up to -130 but that was well after the open. I guess Stl changing pitchers has messed things up a bit but for me I'll roll with Clev over KC. I already have 2 other systems on Minny so I don't want that headache.