chilidog's top capper tails/fades

Matweizman · 07-26-10, 06:00 AM

Congrats man

Duff85 · 07-26-10, 06:13 AM

Originally posted by chilidog

*shrug* i'm up almost 17 units this month, so it's been working so far

Chilli fukk tha hatas! and the pollllice.

ChicagoCover · 07-26-10, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by chilidog

What's the point in that? The picks are a combo of tails & fades. I don't need to track how many of my wins/losses are a result of tailing or fading, so I don't keep that statistic.

What I'm sayin is, why don't you post next to your plays if its tail or fade?

Thanks.

ChicagoCover · 07-26-10, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by Duff85

Chilli fukk tha hatas! and the pollllice.

That's riiiiiiiight.

chilidog · 07-26-10, 10:33 AM

Originally posted by ChicagoCover

What I'm sayin is, why don't you post next to your plays if its tail or fade?

I dunno, it's just not something that I've ever needed to track. I made this thread more for my own tracking purposes, and since I don't see the reason for me to track if a particular pick is a tail or a fade, I never did do so.

The reality is that most people seem to just break even. I only have one capper that meets my threshold for fading him. And that threshold is that the capper's picks had to have lost $1,000 or more for the previous 7 days. I have 5 cappers who meet my tailing threshold, which is a $500+ profit in the previous 7 days. I filter their plays further, based on different criteria that I have. So out of roughly 50 cappers/posters that I am tracking, only 6 of them get my attention for today.

I base this figures off a $100 unit, playing to win $100, and including the juice.

chilidog · 07-26-10, 11:39 AM

Monday, July 26:

MLB [952] PHI -134 33.50 SBR / 25.00 SBR

I should have some more plays later on. GL to me!

Full Time Hobo · 07-26-10, 11:52 AM

Originally posted by chilidog

*shrug* i'm up almost 17 units this month, so it's been working so far

+units means you're doing something right... or just getting lucky lol...

Keep up the good work Chili

chilidog · 07-26-10, 04:29 PM

And here's my night plays:

MLB [955] CIN -110 27.50 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [961] TOTAL o9EV (NYY vrs CLE) 25.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [965] MIN -110 27.50 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [965] TOTAL o7½+105 (MIN vrs KAN) 25.00 SBR / 26.25 SBR

MLB [968] CWS -136 34.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR

chilidog · 07-27-10, 09:40 AM

went 4-2 yesterday, gaining +1.95 units. sig updated

chilidog · 07-27-10, 05:40 PM

Tuesday, July 27:

MLB [910] MIL -155 38.75 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [913] TOTAL o6½-105 (LOS vrs SDG) 26.25 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [914] SDG -120 30.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [915] FLA -115 28.75 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [925] MIN -155 38.75 SBR / 25.00 SBR

chilidog · 07-28-10, 05:33 AM

ouch. just ouch yesterday. sig updated

Holdin Aces · 07-28-10, 11:28 AM

Yeah I lost on those 3 games also. I felt like I had to take Johnson at that price but I thought it was a setup after Florida won the night before. Oh well hopefully we will have better luck today.

chilidog · 07-28-10, 05:16 PM

Wednesday, July 28:

MLB [955] ATL -155 38.75 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [958] SFO -156 39.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [962] NYM -139 34.75 SBR / 25.00 SBR

chilidog · 07-29-10, 05:11 PM

Thursday, July 29:

MLB [910] SDG -160 40.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [915] NYY -155 38.75 SBR / 25.00 SBR

chilidog · 07-29-10, 10:11 PM

wooohooo, 2-0. sig updated.

chilidog · 07-30-10, 03:32 PM

Friday, July 30:

MLB [954] CIN -140 35.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [956] NYM -143 35.75 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [962] COL -128 32.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [964] SDG -143 35.75 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [971] NYY -118 29.50 SBR / 25.00 SBR

MLB [980] LAA -120 30.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR

kfranz31 · 08-01-10, 07:19 PM

you arent giving up yet are u this system is working

chilidog · 08-02-10, 12:26 PM

Originally posted by kfranz31

you arent giving up yet are u this system is working

Nah, I'm definitely not giving up, I'm just getting started

It's a holiday weekend down here in Costa Rica, so I took a little vacation with the family. I closed out July with almost +15 units up. Hoping to do even better in August. I'll have plays for tonight up in a few hours.

chilidog · 08-02-10, 05:27 PM

Monday, August 2:

MLB [901] CIN -148 59.20 SBR / 40.00 SBR - 2 units

MLB [904] ATL -150 90.00 SBR / 60.00 SBR - 3 units

MLB [905] MIL -122 24.40 SBR / 20.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [908] STL -162 32.40 SBR / 20.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [910] ARI -124 24.80 SBR / 20.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [914] NYY -1½EV 20.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [916] TAM -125 50.00 SBR / 40.00 SBR - 2 units

MLB [918] BOS -1½EV 20.00 SBR / 20.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [920] OAK -1½-110 44.00 SBR / 40.00 SBR - 2 units

chilidog · 08-02-10, 11:40 PM

5-4 for the day, but up +5.14 units. sig updated

Mr Windy City · 08-02-10, 11:43 PM

good job chilidog, I had a nice run in July but I think you missed it. Keep making that money

chilidog · 08-03-10, 11:39 AM

Tuesday, August 3:

MLB [982] DET GM1 -102 25.50 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

chilidog · 08-03-10, 06:00 PM

Adding:

MLB [951] CIN -139 69.50 SBR / 50.00 SBR - 2 units

MLB [954] ATL -146 73.00 SBR / 50.00 SBR - 2 units

MLB [960] STL -1½-110 34.38 SBR / 31.25 SBR - 1.25 units

MLB [966] LOS -110 34.38 SBR / 31.25 SBR - 1.25 units

MLB [967] LAA EV 25.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [970] DET GM2 -127 47.63 SBR / 37.50 SBR - 1.5 units

MLB [972] NYY -159 89.44 SBR / 56.25 SBR - 2.25 units

MLB [974] BOS -1½-125 39.06 SBR / 31.25 SBR - 1.25 units

MLB [979] TEX -160 40.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

chilidog · 08-04-10, 10:28 AM

Yesterday sucked assss.

Wednesday, August 4:

MLB [901] CIN -167 41.75 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

chilidog · 08-05-10, 12:01 PM

Thursday, August 5:

MLB [964] DET -165 41.25 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

chilidog · 08-05-10, 05:23 PM

Adding:

MLB [954] ATL -109 27.25 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [958] ARI -140 35.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [967] CLE +1½-115 28.75 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [969] TEX +105 50.00 SBR / 52.50 SBR - 2 units

MLB [969] TOTAL o7+105 (TEX vrs SEA) 25.00 SBR / 26.25 SBR - 1 unit

chilidog · 08-06-10, 07:44 AM

3-3 yesterday, but up almost 2 units

chilidog · 08-06-10, 01:07 PM

Friday, August 6:

MLB [901] CIN -129 32.25 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

Full Time Hobo · 08-06-10, 05:43 PM

Nice play on cinci.
An late plays for you?

chilidog · 08-06-10, 05:45 PM

Adding:

MLB [904] PHI -137 34.25 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [905] COL -138 138.00 SBR / 100.00 SBR - 4 units

MLB [916] LOS -1½-115 172.50 SBR / 150.00 SBR - 6 units

MLB [918] DET -125 31.25 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [922] TOTAL u8-110 (MIN vrs CLE) 27.50 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [924] TOR EV 25.00 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

MLB [926] NYY -1½+130 100.00 SBR / 130.00 SBR - 4 units

MLB [928] OAK +140 25.00 SBR / 35.00 SBR - 1 unit

chilidog · 08-07-10, 09:21 AM

Saturday, August 7:

MLB [954] ATL -145 116.00 SBR / 80.00 SBR - 4 units

MLB [971] MIN -147 147.00 SBR / 100.00 SBR - 5 units

MLB [974] TOTAL u9-115 (CWS vrs BAL) 69.00 SBR / 60.00 SBR - 3 units

chilidog · 08-07-10, 11:42 AM

Adding:

MLB [961] STL +1½-150 37.50 SBR / 25.00 SBR - 1 unit

chilidog · 08-08-10, 12:13 AM

woohoo... 4-0, and up +13 units in one day

chilidog · 08-09-10, 01:45 PM

was out of town yesterday, and decided not to play the yanks, but will have plays for tonight's games up later this afternoon

chilidog · 08-09-10, 03:45 PM

Monday, August 9:

WagerType:PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
Date: Team:
Aug 09 MLB [958] SFO -167 [C ZAMBRANO -R/M BUMGARNR -L]
Aug 09 MLB [966] LAA -230 [O'SULLIVAN -R/E SANTANA -R]
Risking 25 SBR To Win 32.35 SBR (1 unit)

I just have the one play for tonight. GL