chilidog's top capper tails/fades

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  • chilidog
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-05-09
    • 10305

    #1
    chilidog's top capper tails/fades
    I track numerous cappers, both professional and here on SBR. I only keep track of their picks for the previous 7 days. If any capper is up $500+, then I tail. If a capper is -$1,000+, then I fade them. This system has been very profitable for me. I'm starting this thread a little late today, but I will update with my picks as I make them. I play at the greek, a local, and with my points on sbr, so the bets I'm listing below were placed on sbr.

    Jun 7 Picks: (I know that the cubs have already started, so I apologize for this)

    STRAIGHT BET
    [967] CUB -155
    ( C SILVA -R / D EVELAND -L )
    7.75 / 5.00

    STRAIGHT BET
    [967] TOTAL o8-120 (CUB vrs PIT)
    ( C SILVA -R / D EVELAND -L )
    6.00 / 5.00

    STRAIGHT BET
    [967] CUB -1½+105
    ( C SILVA -R / D EVELAND -L )
    6.00 / 5.00

    Will update this afternoon with more picks
  • chilidog
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-05-09
    • 10305

    #2
    Sweet, cubbies win it, so I'm 2-1 for the day, and up a whole $4. Time to buy a mcdonald's extra value meal! Here's the plays I have so far for this afternoon:

    [952] PHI -172
    9.17 / 5.33

    [956] COL -180
    9.59 / 5.33

    [957] ATL +109
    5.33 / 5.81

    [961] BOS -159
    8.47 / 5.33

    [966] OAK -125
    6.66 / 5.33

    Possibly a few more games coming, I'll know before 5pm est. GL!
    Comment
    • suicideking08
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-29-09
      • 337

      #3
      BOL! nice cubbies picks
      Comment
      • SportsAddict
        Restricted User
        • 05-18-10
        • 250

        #4
        or you can buy 4 mcdoubles and get a mans meal! haha
        Comment
        • chilidog
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-05-09
          • 10305

          #5
          hah, i wish, prices are a bit higher in cr
          Comment
          • chilidog
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-05-09
            • 10305

            #6
            Adding these games:

            MLB [965] TOTAL o8½-110 (LAA vrs OAK) 5.86 SBR / 5.33 SBR

            MLB [1961] TOTAL o5-120 (1H BOS vrs 1H CLE) FF 5 / 4

            MLB [5951] YES- SDG/PHI SCORE 1ST INNING -110 6 / 5
            Comment
            • chilidog
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-05-09
              • 10305

              #7
              Adding:

              MLB [5964] NO- SEA/TEX SCORE 1ST INNING -125 14.00 USD / 11.00 USD
              Comment
              • chilidog
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-05-09
                • 10305

                #8
                Bad day yesterday; 5-7. -$12.36. No problem, I'll get em back today
                Comment
                • chilidog
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-05-09
                  • 10305

                  #9
                  Today's picks so far:

                  NBA [705] LA LAKERS +2½-110 5.64 SBR / 5.13 SBR

                  MLB [910] MIL -150 7.70 SBR / 5.13 SBR

                  MLB [930] OAK +1½-125 14.74 SBR / 11.79 SBR
                  Comment
                  • chilidog
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-05-09
                    • 10305

                    #10
                    Adding:

                    MLB [5908] NO- SDG/NYM SCORE 1ST INNNIG -135 7.00 USD / 5.00 USD
                    Comment
                    • chilidog
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-05-09
                      • 10305

                      #11
                      Adding:

                      MLB [908] NYM -141 7.23 SBR / 5.13 SBR

                      MLB [912] COL -245 12.57 SBR / 5.13 SBR

                      MLB [915] STL -132 6.77 SBR / 5.13 SBR

                      MLB [917] BOS -165 8.46 SBR / 5.13 SBR

                      MLB [919] NYY -230 11.80 SBR / 5.13 SBR

                      MLB [924] TEX -130 6.67 SBR / 5.13 SBR

                      MLB [928] MIN -145 7.44 SBR / 5.13 SBR
                      Comment
                      • chilidog
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-05-09
                        • 10305

                        #12
                        Adding:

                        MLB [5925] YES- DET/CWS SCORE 1ST INNING -125 15.00 USD / 12.00 USD
                        Comment
                        • chilidog
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-05-09
                          • 10305

                          #13
                          Here we go for the night! Let's do this!!
                          Comment
                          • chilidog
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-05-09
                            • 10305

                            #14
                            Adding:

                            MLB [5911] YES- HOU/COL SCORE 1ST INNING -130 26.00 USD / 20.00 USD
                            Comment
                            • chilidog
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-05-09
                              • 10305

                              #15
                              Okay, so for yesterday, June 8, I went 9-4, with a profit of $26.36
                              Comment
                              • clbonham2
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 05-27-10
                                • 125

                                #16
                                I went 1-1 yesterday for even money. better even than a loss.
                                Comment
                                • chilidog
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-05-09
                                  • 10305

                                  #17
                                  Yup, way better than a loss

                                  So far, I'm at 14-11, hitting a 56% ratio, and up a whopping $14. Today will be better! I'm going to be following 3 cappers, and fading 2 of them. When multiple cappers are on opposing teams, the bet cancels out. If multiple cappers agree on the same team, I do not increase my wager; I flat-bet, and usually I bet 'to risk', unless one of the cappers that I am following is using a system, such as the 'score in 1st inning' prop, then I bet 'to win'.
                                  Comment
                                  • chilidog
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-05-09
                                    • 10305

                                    #18
                                    Alright, first pick of the day, Wednesday, June 9:

                                    MLB [5951] YES- PIT/WAS SCORE 1ST INNING 14.00 USD / 12.00 USD
                                    Comment
                                    • chilidog
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-05-09
                                      • 10305

                                      #19
                                      Adding:

                                      MLB [956] CIN -123 6.15 SBR / 5.00 SBR

                                      MLB [959] CUB -115 5.75 SBR / 5.00 SBR

                                      MLB [959] TOTAL o8½-110 (CUB vrs MIL) 5.50 SBR / 5.00 SBR

                                      MLB [962] COL -200 10.00 SBR / 5.00 SBR

                                      MLB [967] NYY -265 13.25 SBR / 5.00 SBR

                                      MLB [969] BOS -180 9.00 SBR / 5.00 SBR

                                      MLB [972] TAM -151 7.55 SBR / 5.00 SBR

                                      MLB [972] TOTAL u7½-125 (TOR vrs TAM) 6.25 SBR / 5.00 SBR

                                      MLB [973] TOTAL o9½-120 (SEA vrs TEX) 6.00 SBR / 5.00 SBR
                                      Comment
                                      • chilidog
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-05-09
                                        • 10305

                                        #20
                                        First pick already won, now let's kick some ass on the rest
                                        Comment
                                        • chilidog
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-05-09
                                          • 10305

                                          #21
                                          Alright, kickass day yesterday! 7 wins, 3 losses, for a net profit of $16.75!! That brings my total up to 21 wins, 14 losses, and a profit of $30.75. It's not a lot, I know, but my point was to start small and increase my bets over time. I do bet more with real money in my other books
                                          Comment
                                          • chilidog
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 04-05-09
                                            • 10305

                                            #22
                                            It takes me about an hour each morning to fully update stats from the previous day; including checking all the cappers' picks and results, and deciding who I'm going to tail/fade for the day. As of now, it looks like I'm going to be following 7 cappers, and fading 2 of them. We have some early games today, which is awesome, because I love day games! First pick coming up soon...
                                            Comment
                                            • chilidog
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-05-09
                                              • 10305

                                              #23
                                              Alright, first pick of the day for Thursday, June 10:

                                              MLB [902] CIN -181 13.63 SBR / 7.53 SBR


                                              wooohooo! i hope this keeps up
                                              Comment
                                              • chilidog
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-05-09
                                                • 10305

                                                #24
                                                I have leans on the early afternoon games on atlanta, detroit, oakland, and houston/colorado on the under. Just waiting on a few more cappers to agree/disagree, and I'll post my bets when I make them. GL!
                                                Comment
                                                • chilidog
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-05-09
                                                  • 10305

                                                  #25
                                                  Still tracking the capper's picks for the afternoon games, but here's my next pick:

                                                  MLB [5905] YES - CUB/MIL SCORE 1ST INNING -120 12.00 USD / 10.00 USD
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dwell
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 03-09-10
                                                    • 141

                                                    #26
                                                    Buena suerte hoy!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chilidog
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-05-09
                                                      • 10305

                                                      #27
                                                      gracias, y igual a ud
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chilidog
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-05-09
                                                        • 10305

                                                        #28
                                                        MLB [930] TOTAL u6½-115 (SDG vrs NYM) 8.66 SBR / 7.53 SBR

                                                        barely a winner, but still a winner
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bigsmitty
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-12-10
                                                          • 3026

                                                          #29
                                                          Good luck Chili, keep up the great work. Cheers
                                                          Comment
                                                          • chilidog
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-05-09
                                                            • 10305

                                                            #30
                                                            Adding:

                                                            MLB [906] MIL +122 7.53 SBR / 9.19 SBR

                                                            MLB [915] DET +115 7.53 SBR / 8.66 SBR
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chilidog
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-05-09
                                                              • 10305

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by bigsmitty
                                                              Good luck Chili, keep up the great work. Cheers
                                                              thx
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheGambler
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-16-06
                                                                • 972

                                                                #32
                                                                Appreciate the work you are doing in this thread. thanks!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • chilidog
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 04-05-09
                                                                  • 10305

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Adding:

                                                                  MLB [908] TOTAL u8½-120 (HOU vrs COL) 7.53 SBR / 6.28 SBR

                                                                  MLB [909] TOTAL o10-105 (ATL vrs ARI) 7.53 SBR / 7.17 SBR

                                                                  MLB [913] FLA +147 7.53 SBR / 11.07 SBR

                                                                  MLB [918] OAK -110 7.53 SBR / 6.85 SBR

                                                                  MLB [919] BOS -1½-135 7.53 SBR / 5.58 SBR

                                                                  MLB [921] NYY -1½-140 7.53 SBR / 5.38 SBR
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • chilidog
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-05-09
                                                                    • 10305

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by bigsmitty
                                                                    Good luck Chili, keep up the great work. Cheers
                                                                    I hope so too!

                                                                    Originally posted by TheGambler
                                                                    Appreciate the work you are doing in this thread. thanks!
                                                                    Hopefully it keeps up being profitable
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • chilidog
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-05-09
                                                                      • 10305

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Adding:

                                                                      MLB [5920] NO - BOS/CLE SCORE 1ST INNING -120 21.00 USD / 17.00 USD
                                                                      Comment
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