Reverend's 2010 MLB

[DustyDiamond]

Same to you. What is the "official play" for the day?

[balls2wall]

Sunday FAV System Play



D Bet: TEX -1rl (-219) risking 55.15 units to win 25.21 units

[JVP3122]

Texas opened at -290 as the fav.

[balls2wall]

Nothing wrong with being honest... Very easy for some to say they win every day when they just enter a thread after the game to criticize or say they won by doing something else... As I said in my thread... this is a series where the odds are a nightmare! The key to these systems is to win by the "B" game...anything past that you can wipe out a good season... I have decided in my thread even if Texas wins... I am not counting it as a win... but if they lose it definitely goes in...

yeah, this series has gotten out of hand because of the insanely high juice along with Texas blowing


on paper there is no way BAL should win today and complete the 4 game sweep of texas on the road, but they shouldn't have won 3 in a row up to this point either...

[balls2wall]

if it loses today the downfall will have been that the same team was the biggest favorite 4 days in a row and they fell into a rut and got blind sided


If it would have been different teams as the fav each day it wouldn't be to the D bet at this point

[G's pks]

Well good luck with the odds at that amount hopefully everyone is playing wisely if they have let it get to this... I am still trying to figure out what I am willing to lose... just in case.

[dynamitappletini]

hm since I left out yesterdays play should I join now again for yesterdays amount? I mean the juice is lower and the risk should be lower bc of the 4 game swept?

[balls2wall]

hm since I left out yesterdays play should I join now again for yesterdays amount? I mean the juice is lower and the risk should be lower bc of the 4 game swept?

good question


I think they win today, but then again, I thought they would win yesterday and the day before


you are kind of getting good value as far as the chase plays go since you are getting a D bet at a C price and an E bet at D price on your next one if it loses today


you may want to go conservative and not do the full C bet like G advocates...


I don't know, just throwing some things out there


let us know what you decide


good luck

[GGPLAYER]

Two blown leads and one of the best pitchers in baseball getting rocked by one of the worst teams.....not many could have seen that coming. Still debating if I'll play today's game. If I do I will probably treat it as a "A" bet. That way I'm not stressed about it and if it hits great I get a little back before the break. If it loses then hey I saved myself a ton of cash.

[timmyboy34243]

no way did i see the O's winning 3 straight. Just couldn't lay that type of juice. Will not be on the Rangers today either but surely don't expect Balt to do a 4 game road sweep, Prior to this series they had only won 9 road games. WTF................

[balls2wall]

here is another O/U chase



chase WAS UNDER for 4 or 5 games


7 overs in a row


44% over team should have 6 overs in a row max on most occasions


a 75% under ump is behind the plate today



I am on it for a unit

[balls2wall]

Two blown leads and one of the best pitchers in baseball getting rocked by one of the worst teams.....not many could have seen that coming. Still debating if I'll play today's game. If I do I will probably treat it as a "A" bet. That way I'm not stressed about it and if it hits great I get a little back before the break. If it loses then hey I saved myself a ton of cash.

sounds like a wise choice GG



I may be on them for a couple of units myself, but that is it. Not even thinking about the full D bet today

[balls2wall]

no way did i see the O's winning 3 straight. Just couldn't lay that type of juice. Will not be on the Rangers today either but surely don't expect Balt to do a 4 game road sweep, Prior to this series they had only won 9 road games. WTF................

WTF is my thought exactly

[G's pks]

I decided to risk a portion of what I am up for the year... if you are down tread lightly.. Bet only an amount you are comfortable with losing... If you cannot be comfortable pass!

"D" bet
Texas -247 5.2/2.1 units

Good luck boys...will stop back after the game...

[balls2wall]

I decided to risk a portion of what I am up for the year... if you are down tread lightly.. Bet only an amount you are comfortable with losing... If you cannot be comfortable pass!

"D" bet
Texas -247 5.2/2.1

Good luck boys...will stop back after the game...

good luck G


Like I told GGplayer, I am probably going to jump on them for a couple of units myself


see you after the game, it should be interesting one way or the other

[G's pks]

good luck G


Like I told GGplayer, I am probably going to jump on them for a couple of units myself


see you after the game, it should be interesting one way or the other

Back after the game..if it wins you are a smart man...if it loses expect the usuals... a few giving out advice a little to late...

[PALLETIZE]

I have been following this Thread all along but have not posted much. I am convinced that the best way to beat the Books is with a Chase system. It has been a learning experience for me and I believe that the number one thing is that you have got to have a Big Bankroll to make it work. Even if you start out the chase with a 5.00 bet a couple D or E bet loses with a small bankroll and you could be wiped out. Lets face it, if you had a large enough bankroll and if you Chased the Yanks to win every game, at the end of the season you would have a very nice profit. Anyway back to this system. I have been doing Two chases. I chase both the #1 and the #2 favorite of the day. I have been doing it since May 22 and so far there has not been much difference in either chase. One has 25 series wins and the other 24. One thing that I do is that if one of the Chases goes past a C bet then I take that money and combine it with the other Chase. As an example, if you are a 20.00 beter and you are down 300.00 after C bet on Chase #1 and you are at a A bet on Chase #2 you take the 620.00 that you would need to put on your Chase #1 D bet and combine it with your 20.00 Chase #2 A bet and you would have Chase #1 D bet 310.00 and Chase #2 A bet 310.00. For me this just helps to buy a little time to get back on your feet after something like this crazy Texas series. Now if both chases were at a C bet or worse it would not be good! However since I started these two chases on May 21, Only once have they both been on a C bet at the same time and they both Won that day. Hope that I don't have anyone too confused but just wanted to share some of my thoughts.

[diegoelmestre]

I also will risk my money on a D bet..

[mizzoujohn]

I wonder if it would make sense to, when taking the biggest favorite of the day, if it is the same team as the day before and they lost, take the second favorite (make sure you aren't taking a losing team on consecutive days as biggest favorite).

[balls2wall]

I have been following this Thread all along but have not posted much. I am convinced that the best way to beat the Books is with a Chase system. It has been a learning experience for me and I believe that the number one thing is that you have got to have a Big Bankroll to make it work. Even if you start out the chase with a 5.00 bet a couple D or E bet loses with a small bankroll and you could be wiped out. Lets face it, if you had a large enough bankroll and if you Chased the Yanks to win every game, at the end of the season you would have a very nice profit. Anyway back to this system. I have been doing Two chases. I chase both the #1 and the #2 favorite of the day. I have been doing it since May 22 and so far there has not been much difference in either chase. One has 25 series wins and the other 24. One thing that I do is that if one of the Chases goes past a C bet then I take that money and combine it with the other Chase. As an example, if you are a 20.00 beter and you are down 300.00 after C bet on Chase #1 and you are at a A bet on Chase #2 you take the 620.00 that you would need to put on your Chase #1 D bet and combine it with your 20.00 Chase #2 A bet and you would have Chase #1 D bet 310.00 and Chase #2 A bet 310.00. For me this just helps to buy a little time to get back on your feet after something like this crazy Texas series. Now if both chases were at a C bet or worse it would not be good! However since I started these two chases on May 21, Only once have they both been on a C bet at the same time and they both Won that day. Hope that I don't have anyone too confused but just wanted to share some of my thoughts.

thanks for the input

it kind of helps validate my theory about not having the same team for each play in the series

[balls2wall]

I also will risk my money on a D bet..

good luck diego



I will be pulling for ya hard buddy

[balls2wall]

I wonder if it would make sense to, when taking the biggest favorite of the day, if it is the same team as the day before and they lost, take the second favorite (make sure you aren't taking a losing team on consecutive days as biggest favorite).

I don't know, but I don't like having texas as the play 4 days in a row at this point


hind sight is 20/20, LOL


I didn't mind it so much when it was the Yankees

[dynamitappletini]

Guys texas line is dropping... from -275 to -235 now... don't know what it means but maybe by the book to keep people off that play... -1RL is -182... I think I'll take a shot at it for a small amount (Probably B bet like) but waiting what the line does...

[balls2wall]

Guys texas line is dropping... from -275 to -235 now... don't know what it means but maybe by the book to keep people off that play... -1RL is -182... I think I'll take a shot at it for a small amount (Probably B bet like) but waiting what the line does...

good luck dyna


up 1-0 early, but bal has a man on with no outs...

[dynamitappletini]

3-1 Orioles I accidently didn't play because I missed it

[balls2wall]

here is another O/U chase



chase WAS UNDER for 4 or 5 games


7 overs in a row


44% over team should have 6 overs in a row max on most occasions


a 75% under ump is behind the plate today



I am on it for a unit

cashed my total, but not looking good on the rangers


still a ways to go though

[NastyStuff]

Palletize.....Thanks for the info ...

I think that I am going to start choosing between the first highest and second highest daily Fav's ...I am getting really sick of high juice chases that make no sense at times...so if we get into another Texas situation...I may just stop betting the same Fav after it has lost the B bet if it is listed as the highest Fav the day following the B loss...and instead, start betting the 2nd highest Fav that day...or else just don't bet any FAV that has lost two in a row period and pass the next day if I don't like the 2nd highest Fav listed as the next choice...this would stop chasing aberrant situations like we just witnessed with Texas...and if you remember early in the season...we had this same situation when Baltimore swept Boston (Apr. 30 - May 2nd) and some of us got stung on that one as well.

[DustyDiamond]

Unbelievable Baltimore wins and completes the sweep. You guys bring up an interesting topic. After a B bet loss, bet your C bet on the 2nd highest fav. Anyone have any stats or research on this? Anyone going to bet an E bet? There is another forum that plays this system and they go all the way to a F bet.

[G's pks]

I lost 8 units on the series and lost 20% of my systems profit in the last two weeks.... Baltimore all of a sudden best bullpen in baseball!

[mizzoujohn]

E bet would be +100 U, thats a lot of units!

[DustyDiamond]

No plays till Thursday where 7 games are scheduled following the at least 5 game rule

[balls2wall]

yeah, I would definitely not want to bet an E bet


Ds are too much for me to stomach really


the good thing is everyone will have the all star break to figure it out

[balls2wall]

Palletize.....Thanks for the info ...

I think that I am going to start choosing between the first highest and second highest daily Fav's ...I am getting really sick of high juice chases that make no sense at times...so if we get into another Texas situation...I may just stop betting the same Fav after it has lost the B bet if it is listed as the highest Fav the day following the B loss...and instead, start betting the 2nd highest Fav that day...or else just don't bet any FAV that has lost two in a row period and pass the next day if I don't like the 2nd highest Fav listed as the next choice...this would stop chasing aberrant situations like we just witnessed with Texas...and if you remember early in the season...we had this same situation when Baltimore swept Boston (Apr. 30 - May 2nd) and some of us got stung on that one as well.

I like it nasty


i like the idea of being able to steer away from plays that just don't feel right and also to steer away from the really high juice if needed (taking a -200 fav instead of a -380 fav)

[G's pks]

Texas has gotten the system into this jam this week and now they could bring it crashing down with a loss today. I hope they pull through to keep this thing going.

I would keep the system going... I know the system here lost over 80 units on this series...and is now down a sizable amount...but hopefully no one was betting those amounts! I did lose eight units but that was because of my system not this...

Maybe come back second half with a few rules... No team can be the fav team more than two times in a row... at that point switch to the second favorite team.... Just a thought...I believe the fix was in for the whole series... I honestly am not here to debate it...but believe it...

[balls2wall]

I will tally it up before long and see what damage was done


it no doubt put the system in the red


I will probably try to keep going with the tracking and see if it can go the second half undefeated and finish with a nice profit


one more loss will obviously make it impossible to profit at a unit per play and there will be no point in continuing to track it