Ck's 2024 mlb thread

[atthehalf]

Damn what a bad run this is. Of course Jalen Hurts is out with a concussion. Egads!

[atthehalf]

Sunday Night FBALL

Bucs-4

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Ok so I think that I am good on NFL FBALL until the playoffs. Anytime that you make moves on the type of numbers that I purchase and lose with that type of result it's time to look elsewhere. Anyone following this thread and took the time to look up on TeamRankings what the return on my FBALL numbers is supposed to be can plainly see that there is a regression to the mean of sorts going on.

I put us in the best possible situations to get wins. I see how it is now. But I can adapt with the best of them.

So since I am good at hoops that is where i will make my area of concentration from here on out.

Gotta go get some reams of paper so I can print out 27 summons and complaints and subpoenas and some Dungeness crabs for the Missus and then I will make my own spreads for NBA in the afternoon.

[atthehalf]

12/23/24




Jazz (+13)

Cavs-14 (-14 to -14.5)
SYNERGY CAVS-12 O/U 230


Spurs (+4 to +5) (+6.5)
Sixers-5.5 (-8.5 to -9)
SYNERGY SIXERS-1 O/U 223.5


Rockets-7 (-6.5)
Hornets (+7)
SYNERGY ROCKETS-2 O/U 229


Celtics-10 (-9.5 to -11)
Magic(+8.5 to +9) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY MAGIC-8 O/U 210


Nets (+12 to +13)
Heats-10 (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY HEATS-7 O/U 221


T-Wolves-3.5 (-6.5)
Hawks (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY T-WOLVES-13.5 O/U 230


Bucks (+2) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Bulls-3 (-3.5 ML)
SYNERGY BUCKS-11 O/U 233


Raptors (+12 to +13)
Knicks-13.5 (-14 to -14.5)
SYNERGY KNICKS-9 O/U 221.5


Clippers (+4 to +5) (+6.5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Grizzlies-6 (-8.5 to -9)
SYNERGY CLIPPERS-0.5 O/U 219


Blazers (+12 to +13)
Mavs-10 (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY MAVS-7 O/U 219


Suns (+4 to +5) (+6.5)
Nuggets-4.5 (-8.5 to -9)
SYNERGY NUGGETS-1.5 O/U 234


Pacers (+4 to +5)
Warriors-5.5 (-8.5 to -9)
SYNERGY WARRIORS-6.5 O/U 226.5


Pistons (+4 to +5) (+6.5)
Lakers-5.5 (-8.5 to -9)
SYNERGY PK O/U 225


Wizards (NO DATA)
Thunder-17 (NO DATA)
SYNERGY THUNDER-18 O/U 225.5

[atthehalf]

Lillard and Antetokounmpo out for the Bucks tonight. All I know is that number better not fall on Bucks+2. The Bulls give up a crisp 122 PPG at home

I love the Grizzlies; the number is a bit high however.

After the big comeback in their last game the Magic now face the Celtics who aren't taking any team for granted anymore after the Bulls got their attention. Mo Wagner is now out too. Where will the points come from? This should be my first move of the evening with Celtics and it is.

Rot.#537 Celtics-10

The Nuggets have a bad number-end of story. Also Kevin Durant will get more minutes with Devin Booker out

Rot.#553 Suns+4.5

The Lakers are not in their best role

Rot.#557 Pistons+6

You already knew this was coming when you saw the line and people running away from it's enormity. The SYNERGY is there however

Rot.#550 Thunder-17.5

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I was glad I caught it

BUY BACK the MAGIC+8.5

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See these are the games that are going on now with the books. The line changed at exactly 5 minutes before tipoff for the Celtic and Magic. I have made myself a promise to watch the slickness from here on out

[atthehalf]

So Jason Tatum decided to sit this one out..ok...and this is why people are not watching the NBA as much as in years past. There was no warning about him sitting out BTW-a GTD

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just a casual observance. The T-Wolves don't have any shooters on their team. This is actually my first time watching them this season and it's obvious as hell. So defenses are able to collapse on Anthony Edwards who also can't shoot outside well

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As prescribed Bucks are blasting the Bulls. I won't take credit for it-I forgot to list it as a move-my bad. When the Bulls make a run you can jump in then. I have the SYNERGY at Bucks -11 so if you can catch them at say -8 it's good to go

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I am looking to grab some Clippers in game hoping that they get down by 10

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If nothing else I will be taking the Clips 2nd half

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How does one prepare for Jimmy Butler playing for 7 minutes and Jayson Tatum being available all day until 5 minutes before tipoff? Not only should fans be given an opportunity to get their money back-I feel that bettors should be able to get their stake back too when something like that happens, I mean I was able to catch the foolishness tonight for Tatum-not so lucky when Butler left 7 minutes in. That one actually wasn't as bad as tonight tho. What if you made the move BIG and had to catch a flight-only to land and found out that you lost because of a GTD. Carry on-I love the Magic anyway

[atthehalf]

Clips+1.5 2nd half

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Baseball talk now. The Red Sox are going to win a lot of games. Not only do they have Tanner Houck-now they have Patrick Sandoval-who I am sure they got because of his AWESOME numbers vs the Bombers 51 AB; 4 hits; 19K; 7BB; .078 AVG; .190 OBP; .196 SLG; .386 OPS; and also Walker Buehler, Brayan Bello who is up and coming; Kutter Crawford; Lucas Giolito (of the elbow issues should be a middle relief guy IMO; 57th on my list) and Garrett Crochet! I don't like Aroldis Chapman one bit. I have him ranked 25th on saves and 28th on saves+holds list. Hopefully he will be slotted as a 7th inning guy who comes in when they are up big. If Trevor Story can give even a third of his usual output in this lineup watch out y'all. Oh and they are trying to get Teoscar Hernandez too.

Folks this next season is one where the Red Sox may overtake the Bombers in the AL East. Sure the Bombers have Garrett Cole, and Max Fried, but I can't help but remember that their bottom of their hitting lineup doesn't produce much, and their relief pitching is suspect.

I am very interested in the Red Sox wins future to go OVER. I just went on a rant supporting their cause on our discord page LOL! I am also going to take them to win the AL East and AL Champion while the prices are good! I just don't see on paper how any AL team would be able to beat them in a 5 or 7 game series with the pieces that they have in place

[atthehalf]

That was a little more like it last night-that solidifies my thoughts on hoops-and one thing is abundantly clear-the Celtics aren't that good without Jayson Tatum. Their system works when they have more than one guy that can create his own shot-that wasn't the case last night

[atthehalf]

12/25/24 MERRY CHRISTMAS


Spurs (+8)
Knicks-9 (-9 to -11.5)
SYNERGY KNICKS-4.5 O/U 221.5


T-Wolves (+4 to +5)
Mavs-5 (-9)
SYNERGY MAVS-4.5 O/U 215


Sixers (+8) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Celtics-10 (-9 to -11.5)
SYNERGY SIXERS-0.5 O/U 220


Lakers (+4 to +5)
Warriors-3.5 (-3.5 ML)
SYNERGY WARRIORS-4.5 O/U 225


Nuggets-2.5 (-2) (-6.5)
Suns (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY SUNS-5.5 O/U 231

[atthehalf]

Watch Jayson Tatum miraculously recover from illness!

[Spite]

I will be tailing that Red Sox over when they put it up.

[atthehalf]

I will be tailing that Red Sox over when they put it up.

Indeed. I kind of know my stuff with MLB and these additions went straight to the heart of the matter for them. Plus Aaron Judge won't have the type of protection that he had last season. I see a bit of a regression on the way.

I know that this will meet with a bit of backlash.

Rot.#402 Steelers+3.5 -130 POINT BUY

[atthehalf]

Ok so the average HOME-8.5 wins by an average of 12.56 points and the number is 6-3-0 ATS good for 66.7% conversion rate. Sounds good to me

Rot.#588 Knicks-8.5

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The hot zone for the T-Wolves would be +4 to +5. Wait it out-let's lay them straight and one at a time and down the line today boys-don't parlay anything

[atthehalf]

Hopefully these games aren't being mis-lined!

T-Wolves+5

[atthehalf]

Celtics-9.5

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[QUOTE=atthehalf;31378450]Hopefully these games aren't being mis-lined!

So the games were indeed mis lined so that all the underdogs would cover. I ain't mad about it. Just something to remember for next Christmas

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I will be back in a bit with what moves I am making for this evening boys

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Give me about an hour

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Looking like there is a lot of tip-toeing around my numbers, The Thunder/Pacers is lined at AWAY-5; the Hornets/Wizards are also lined at AWAY-4.5; the Heat/Magic have a bit of promise at HOME-1 (need a HOME-1.5) . The Bulls/Hawks is lined at AWAY+6.5 which is pretty good. The Nets/Bucks is lined at AWAY+7 (which could be good if it were to fall to AWAY+6.5 or AWAY+8; the Rockets/Pelicans is lined at HOME+7.5 which is good; the Raptors/Grizzlies is lined at HOME-11.5 which is WONDERFUL; the Pistons/Kings is lined at HOME-5.5 which could be good if the line were to go to AWAY+5; the Jazz/Blazers is lined at HOME-3 which looks decent for the HOME-3.5 ML.

So stay tuned-let's see the closers

[atthehalf]

I don't know if I have the stomach to back the Pelicans after losing 16 of their last 17

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A HOME-1 loses by an average of -6.43 points and the Magic are lined at -1....

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The Heats are without Jimmy Butler too and the +1 is hitting at only +2 over the Mendoza Line. El Paso

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Ok so here's what I am going to do

Hawks-245 ML
Kings-220 ML
Grizzlies-610 ML

3 WAY ML PARLAY

Grizzlies-11.5 STRAIGHT

[atthehalf]

Anything for the Grizzlies between 10 to 11.5 is good

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In the event that the Nets are still +6.5 at tipoff then I will go that route too

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Take Hawks 2nd half. Cost/number not a factor