LOSS Rot.#961 Wanderers/Fish UNDER 3 +100 FF Gray/Lopez
LOSS Rot.#951 Giants+105 ML FF Rodon
PUSH Rot.#958 A's-165 ML FF Montas
0-2-1 on those
LOSS Rot.#951 Giants+105 ML FF Rodon
PUSH Rot.#958 A's-165 ML FF Montas
0-2-1 on those
-
Comment -
I did a little restructuring of my roster streams overnight. Having Pablo Lopez moved down was a must so somebody had to move up and that person is the man himself Triston McKenzie and his oodles of value!
Rot.#907 Jays/Red Sox UNDER 4.5 -115 FF Gausman/Eovaldi
Rot.#907 Fathers/Metropolitans UNDER 3.5 -120 FF Darvish/Scherzer
Rot.#915 Bombers/Men Wearing Orange OVER 4.5 -115 FF Taillon/Wells
Rot.#927 Halos/Braves OVER 3.5 -120 FF Ohtani/Morton
Rot.#924 A's+102 FF Irvin
Rot.#913 Giants+118 FF Webb
Ok so now the Halos/Braves total move going the opposite way of a natural under situation. Simply put Ohtani is a destructive force in the batters box and Morton and the Halos have a history that isn't the best. I have them both set up as routine today in only one leagueComment -
LOSS Rot.#907 Jays/Red Sox UNDER 4.5 -115 FF Gausman/Eovaldi
WIN Rot.#907 Fathers/Metropolitans UNDER 3.5 -120 FF Darvish/Scherzer
WIN Rot.#915 Bombers/Men Wearing Orange OVER 4.5 -115 FF Taillon/Wells
LOSS Rot.#927 Halos/Braves OVER 3.5 -120 FF Ohtani/Morton
WIN Rot.#924 A's+102 FF Irvin
PUSH Rot.#913 Giants+118 FF Webb
3-2-1 on thoseComment -
Blasting away...
Rot.#923 Guardians/Pale Hose UNDER 4 -120 FF Bieber/Cease
Rot.#927 Astronauts/Sailors UNDER 3.5 -110 FF Valdez/Ray
Rot.#913 Fathers-105 ML FF Musgrove
Rot.#911 Nats/Snakes OVER 5 -110 FF Fedde/MartinComment -
LOSS Rot.#923 Guardians/Pale Hose UNDER 4 -120 FF Bieber/Cease
LOSS Rot.#927 Astronauts/Sailors UNDER 3.5 -110 FF Valdez/Ray
PUSH Rot.#913 Fathers-105 ML FF Musgrove
LOSS Rot.#911 Nats/Snakes OVER 5 -110 FF Fedde/Martin
0-3-1 on thoseComment -
For my fantasy league streamers I am utilizing Gonsolin. He is my #2 ranked starter for today and the slim pickins for Monday. I will sure be glad when ACE DAY comes later on this week to wash away the sins of the previous last couple of weeks!
There are several DNS pitchers facing one another today which should produce some OVER opportunities and fun games to watch.
Those with Merrill Kelly slated for the start today hang on to him-he is a healthy scratch and not worth the price increase should you waiver him out and then reintroduce him tomorrow. Gallen and Kelly will give managers extreme value down the stretch even with the lowly Snakes.
Rot.#953 Braves-0.5 -120 RL FF Fried (#1)
Rot.#973 Fathers-165 ML FF Manaea (#3)
Rot.#963 Rays-130 ML Kluber (#4)
Rot.#952 Red Leggins-135 ML FF Lodolo (POD)
Rot.#960 Snakes-120 ML FF Kelly(#5)
Rot.#965 Guardians/Red Sox OVER 5 -105 FF Plesac (DNS)/Pivetta (DNS)
Rot.#971 Wanderers/Sailors OVER 4.5 -105 F Otto (DNS)/Flexen (DNS)
Rot.#955 Buccos/Cubs OVER 4.5 -120 Brubaker (DNS)/Sampson (DNS)Comment -
And just like that Merrill Kelly is in against the Giants!
Rot.#960 Snakes-120 ML FF Kelly(#5)Comment -
LOSS Rot.#953 Braves-0.5 -120 RL FF Fried (#1)
LOSS Rot.#973 Fathers-165 ML FF Manaea (#3)
LOSS Rot.#963 Rays-130 ML Kluber (#4)
WIN Rot.#952 Red Leggins-135 ML FF Lodolo (POD)
WIN Rot.#960 Snakes-120 ML FF Kelly(#5)
LOSS Rot.#965 Guardians/Red Sox OVER 5 -105 FF Plesac (DNS)/Pivetta (DNS)
LOSS Rot.#971 Wanderers/Sailors OVER 4.5 -105 F Otto (DNS)/Flexen (DNS)
LOSS Rot.#955 Buccos/Cubs OVER 4.5 -120 Brubaker (DNS)/Sampson (DNS)
2-6-0 on thoseComment -
Well at least there are a few aces going today-now let's get some run support! This format is so much more tougher than fantasy. Only one thing. It's a peaks and valleys sort of thing-and because of the quality of pitchers that I am utilizing it's very easy to go on another one of my hot streaks
It's not even close-ok so I rolled with Pablo Lopez and Hunter Greene both in my streamers along with Josiah Gray and my favorite Frankie Montas. I wish that Montas could have drawn a better assignment than the Astronauts bats still no big deal-he is one of my studs and I will continue to blast away. Having Nola (#3)and Strider (#6) already high on my streams is a warm and comfy feeling!
Rot.#911 Rays-0.5 -150 RL FF McClanahan (#1)
Rot.#907 Giants-0.5 -125 RL FF Rodon (#2)
Rot.#905 Braves/Blunts UNDER 4 -120 FF Strider (#6)/Nola(#3)
Rot.#929 Pale Hose/Rox OVER 6 FF -110 Kopech (DNS)/Marquez(DNS)
Rot.#911 Rays/Men Wearing Orange UNDER 4 -125 FF McClanahan/WatkinsComment -
Added move
Rot.#911 Rays/Men Wearing Orange UNDER 4 -125 FF McClanahan/WatkinsComment -
Everything is okay with Carlos Rodon right? He went 6.0 IP, 5 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 10 Ks – 17 Whiffs, 36% CSW, 99 pitches against the Diamondbacks tonight, allowing 5 ER – all on a pair of home runs – and it’s hard not to feel a little weird about the volatility as it’s the third start of five games where Rodón has allowed at least 4 ER.
In short, naaaah. Sure, the slider wasn’t great and he should have coasted against the Snakes, but he was awfully unlucky to have all five of his baserunners score, while his heater was dominant with 12/59 whiffs and a 41% CSW. He’s still an ace and I’m not worried about what’s ahead in the second half. It’s just a blip, that’s all.Comment -
WIN Rot.#911 Rays-0.5 -150 RL FF McClanahan (#1)
LOSS Rot.#907 Giants-0.5 -125 RL FF Rodon (#2)
LOSS Rot.#905 Braves/Blunts UNDER 4 -120 FF Strider (#6)/Nola(#3)
LOSS Rot.#929 Pale Hose/Rox OVER 6 FF -110 Kopech (DNS)/Marquez(DNS)
LOSS Rot.#911 Rays/Men Wearing Orange UNDER 4 -125 FF McClanahan/Watkins
1-4-0 on thoseComment -
The prices are getting steep with some of my aces I see so I am going to have to go with the RL in a few cases today. Same names on my roster streamers as usual. I will keep on plugging along in this tough format. As far as fantasy league is going I am having a decent time of it and getting demolished with conventional betting LOL!
I do have one atomic bomb that should it hit I would be overjoyed with Keller (Royals) as my POD. He has a less than 20% use rate across the board in all four of the leagues that I am a part of. Should he pull off a performance with more than 3.5 K's and 1 BB or less I will crush all managers. I was absolutely blown away that he was a favorite in this format however given the Royals tepid record. Having a chance to turn 400 bucks into more than 1600 is incentive enough for me. Good luck to all out there today!
Rot.#972 Brews-0.5 -140 RL FF Burnes (#1)
Rot.#976 Jays-0.5 -155 RL FF Gausman (#2)
Rot.#955 Giants/Snakes UNDER 4 -115 FF Webb (#3)/Gallen (#9)
Rot.#969 Fathers/Tigers UNDER 3.5 -115 FF Darvish (#4)/Skubal (#10)
Rot.#958 Red Leggins-160 ML FF Castillo (#5)
Rot.#960 Royals-135 ML FF Keller (POD)Comment -
I did sneak in a flyer move on Chris Archer to go over the 2.5 K's today for the Twinkles at a robust +160 as well. Hey when things are backfiring it's always good to use an arbitrage method which is exactly what is going on with my moves.
While some are looking at the bottom line on this format most aren't paying attention to the fact that any time I am making moves on a total I am on both arms. So for instance when one gets blasted the other pitcher is bringing home the bacon. Webb can get destroyed today, the total move for this format can go over and cause a loss. However say Gallen emerges with better numbers than Webb and pays out +140 in two leagues (for per game ERA vs Giants bats and K's) then a profit is generated.Comment -
Oh my! I just grabbed a flyer on Braxton Garrett (Fish) at +220 to have a better ERA vs the Red Leggins bats than Castillo vs the Fish bats. Garrett has a less than 10% use rate across the board in my leagues and his stuff isn't bad at all. I elected to not go with the K's which was absurdly priced at +150 too. Castillo is a strikeout pitcher so I passed. What a great way to have an opportunity to put up a hundred and get back 320 bucks!Comment -
Looks like the Snakes are a good move against the GiantsComment -
Ok so we are all settled in here in Reno until Sunday for my best friends wedding. This place is shot! I could have thought of much more luxurious places to do this-but who am I. For his family it's been somewhat of a tradition. Out of sheer boredom the guys have placed a challenge of sorts today to bet the entire board today with a starting capital of $1500.00 at the Silver Legacy. One of the boys involved is a manager in my leagues and the others are pretty much joes who like to bet their favorite teams. To make things interesting we are limited to having to make moves on entire games and not halves. I told them that I am not so good betting this format, but hey it's all fun...until you look at the quality of the waitresses...
So for those interested I am going to post the moves that I make once the book opens in about a half an hour or so. Right now it's time to eat breakfast and look over the matchups...betting 13 games is a tall order. Be back in a bitComment -
I am STUFFED! We ate at this dive called Peg's Glorified Ham N Eggs. The country fried steak and eggs and hashbrowns was nothing short of incredible! I added in a red beer for good measure!
These are all full game moves boys. I was kind of taken aback a bit by the book making me take "action" on RL moves meaning you're at their mercy in the event a last minute change happens for the starting pitcher. Every one of the 5 other groomsmen will have to give me a grand if I win.
Andrew Heaney is off the street and is this big of a favorite? I know that Corbin is horrid-nevertheless the challenge is sides only-I do think that this one has the probability to go way over the total.. I looked at how much cash I had left and had to go with the Twins RL instead of the Brews ML. Anyway here's my best try at today's schedule of sides based wholly on my knowledge of the starters-the bullpens are sure to blast me out of the water LOL!
ALL FULL GAME MOVES
Rot.#964 Sailors-102 ML GonzalesRot.#958 Red Leggins-145 ML Castillo
Rot.#966 Men Wearing Orange+100 ML Wells
Rot.#976 Jays-1.5 -120 RL Gausman
Rot.#967 Guardians+116 ML Quantrill
Rot.#978 Metropolitans-173 ML Scherzer
Rot.#961 Astronauts-1.5 -123 RL Javier
Rot.#953 Nats+1.5 +125 RL Corbin
Rot.#974 Rox+122 ML Senzatela
Rot.#971 Twins+1.5 -119 Archer
Rot.#960 Royals-125 ML Keller
Rot.#970 Tigers+126 ML Skubal
Rot.#952 Blunts+130 ML Gibson
Rot.#956 Snakes+102 ML GallenComment -
WIN Rot.#972 Brews-0.5 -140 RL FF Burnes (#1)
LOSS Rot.#976 Jays-0.5 -155 RL FF Gausman (#2)
PUSH Rot.#955 Giants/Snakes UNDER 4 -115 FF Webb (#3)/Gallen (#9)
WIN Rot.#969 Fathers/Tigers UNDER 3.5 -115 FF Darvish (#4)/Skubal (#10)
WIN Rot.#958 Red Leggins-160 ML FF Castillo (#5)
LOSS Rot.#960 Royals-135 ML FF Keller (POD)
3-2-1 on those
ALL FULL GAME MOVES
WIN Rot.#964 Sailors-102 ML Gonzales
WIN Rot.#958 Red Leggins-145 ML Castillo
LOSS Rot.#966 Men Wearing Orange+100 ML Wells
LOSS Rot.#976 Jays-1.5 -120 RL Gausman
WIN Rot.#967 Guardians+116 ML Quantrill
WIN Rot.#978 Metropolitans-173 ML Scherzer
LOSS Rot.#961 Astronauts-1.5 -123 RL Javier
LOSS Rot.#953 Nats+1.5 +125 RL Corbin
WIN Rot.#974 Rox+122 ML Senzatela
LOSS Rot.#971 Twins+1.5 -119 Archer
LOSS Rot.#960 Royals-125 ML Keller
WIN Rot.#970 Tigers+126 ML Skubal
WIN Rot.#952 Blunts+130 ML Gibson
WIN Rot.#956 Snakes+102 ML Gallen
8-6 on those and more importantly the win over my buddies. Only two of us had a .500 or over record LOL! I had to make a few value moves out of those simply because of the restrictions in place. I am going to find a way to give it all back today since we don't leave until tomorrow afternoon. I will be back with some straight full game moves once the sportbook opens downstairsComment -
We went on with a bet the board challenge again today so...here we go
ALL FULL GAMES
Rot.#952 Braves-1.5 -112 RL Fried
Rot.#954 Nats+110 ML Gray
Rot.#955 Blunts*180 ML Nola
Rot.#958 Fish+120 ML Lopez
Rot.#959 Dodgers-1.5 -125 RL Gonsolin
Rot.#962 Giants-180 ML Rodon
Rot.#964 Jays-1.5 -145 Berrios (ALREADY IN PROGRESS)
Rot.#966 Bombers-1.5 -140 Montgomery
Rot.#968 Rays-1.5 -110 McClanahan
Rot.#969 Sailors+128 ML Kirby
Rot.#971 A's+1.5+115 RL Oller
Rot.#973 Wanderers+104 ML Dunning (POD)
Rot.#980 Fathers-150 ML/Rot.#979 Twns+1.5 -155 RL Bundy (ARBITRAGE MOVE)
Rot.#975 Brews-135 ML Ashby
Rot.#978 Red Leggins-120 ML LodoloComment -
I decided to go with an arbitrage move on the Fathers/Twins game betting both sides since the vig was pretty much evenComment -
LOSS Rot.#952 Braves-1.5 -112 RL Fried
LOSS Rot.#954 Nats+110 ML Gray
WIN Rot.#955 Blunts-180 ML Nola
LOSS Rot.#958 Fish+120 ML Lopez
WIN Rot.#959 Dodgers-1.5 -125 RL Gonsolin
WINRot.#962 Giants-180 ML Rodon
WIN Rot.#964 Jays-1.5 -145 Berrios (ALREADY IN PROGRESS)
LOSS Rot.#966 Bombers-1.5 -140 Montgomery
LOSS Rot.#968 Rays-1.5 -110 McClanahan
LOSS Rot.#969 Sailors+128 ML Kirby
LOSS Rot.#971 A's+1.5+115 RL Oller
WIN Rot.#973 Wanderers+104 ML Dunning (POD)
WIN Rot.#980 Fathers-150 ML
WIN Rot.#979 TwIns+1.5 -155 RL Bundy (ARBITRAGE MOVE)
LOSS Rot.#975 Brews-135 ML Ashby
WIN Rot.#978 Red Leggins-120 ML Lodolo
8-8-0 ON THOSEComment -
Ok so I am back in Tampa now and feeling refreshed despite a whopping hangover mixed in over the weekend. I will check the status of my streamers which went pretty darned good for my auto starters while out and about!Comment -
I am excited to see deGrom (#4) back in action for the Metropolitans! I am using him on my fantasy streamers only however with a a wait and see approach. Other than that all of what I am making the FF moves on should look pretty familiar by now as I have utilized them all season long.
Simply put Strider is a stud and has cracked my top tier top 5 now and deservedly so. Please by all means chase K's with him while you are managing your streamers today. K machines Triston McKenzie and Zach Gallen are facing one another and even more wonderful than that neither of the batting lineups are familiar with their styles so taking an under on those offenses is a good option to explore. I should go about .500 today based upon having to take RL instead of ML on some of my top tiers.
Gas Cans are facing one another in Arlington and Minneapolis this evening so try not to go to the kitchen and make a sandwich once those games are under way!
Rot.#957 Brews-0.5 -165 RL FF Burnes (#1)
Rot.#952 Fathers-0.5 -155 RL FF Darvish (#2)
Rot.#969 Jays-131 ML FF Gausman (#3)
Rot.#960 Braves-0.5 -155 RL FF Strider (#5)
Rot.#981 Guardians/Snakes UNDER 4 -115 FF McKenzie (#7)/Gallen (#6)
Rot.#971 Tigers/Twins OVER 5 +105 FF Manning (DNS)/Archer (DNS)
Rot.#973 Men Wearing Orange/Wanderers OVER 5 +105 FF Lyles (DNS)/Howard (DNS)Comment -
Comment -
LOSS Rot.#957 Brews-0.5 -165 RL FF Burnes (#1)
WIN Rot.#952 Fathers-0.5 -155 RL FF Darvish (#2)
WIN Rot.#969 Jays-131 ML FF Gausman (#3)
WIN Rot.#960 Braves-0.5 -155 RL FF Strider (#5)
LOSS Rot.#981 Guardians/Snakes UNDER 4 -115 FF McKenzie (#7)/Gallen (#6)
PUSH Rot.#971 Tigers/Twins OVER 5 +105 FF Manning (DNS)/Archer (DNS)
WIN Rot.#973 Men Wearing Orange/Wanderers OVER 5 +105 FF Lyles (DNS)/Howard (DNS)
4-2-1 on those
Triston and Zack were uncharacteristically off of their games last night! Egads!Comment -
Managers! Woodruff (#4) is a healthy scratch for the Brews this evening- and Wily Peralta is in to start what may end up being a bullpen game. Don't drop Woodruff however just keep him on ice.
It's Ohtani Day! Runs will be hard to come by with Kaprielian on the bump for the A's however so I decided to roll with the UNDER FF on that one. Speaking of the A's; Frankie Montas is now with the Bombers and what a treat this will be having him pitching with awesome run support. I lined him up at #7 overall in my rankings as a result. What a great time to be alive
In other news there isn't a line assigned for the Guardians vs the Snakes. Once it is assigned feel free to blast away on Bieber for the FF RL then pray the Guardians bats help him out!
Rot.#906 Fish-0.5 -125 RL FF Alcantara (#1)
Rot.#927 Halos/A's UNDER 3.5 -115 FF Ohtani (#2)/Kaprielian (POD)
Rot.#917 Sailors/Bombers UNDER 4 -125 Castillo (DNS)/Cole (#3)
Rot.#901 Blunts/Braves UNDER 4 -115 Wheeler (#5)/Morton (#9)
Rot.#913 Dodgers/Giants UNDER 4 -115 Urias (#7)/Cobb (DNS)
Rot.#930 Guardians-0.5 -145 RL FF Bieber (#6)
Rot.#903 Metropolitans-0.5 -150 RL FF Bassitt (#8)
Rot.#922 Wanderers-158 ML FF Perez (#10)
Rot.#910 Cardinals-0.5 -135 RL FF Mikolas (#11)
Rot.#911 Rox/Fathers OVER 4.5 +100 FF Kuhl (DNS)/Snell (DNS)Comment -
This just in
Rot.#930 Guardians-0.5 -145 RL FF Bieber (#6)Comment -
Also managers I know that Blake Snell is one of my top tier pitchers-however I recommend not chasing the clouds as he is sitting on a 6.91 ERA and 14.1 innings pitched with 15 hits 12 runs; 11 earned and 12 walks and 17 K's and a unhealthy .273 batting % against the Rox. In short this is a very bad spot. Sharp money should come raining down on Chad Kuhl even as bad as he has been lately with the 12.27 ERA over the last 7 days. This one has the look of going OVER the 4.5 runs in the FF; therefore I made a move on it.
Rot.#911 Rox/Fathers OVER 4.5 +100 FF Kuhl (DNS)/Snell (DNS)Comment -
Wow! The Sailors are busting out the whoppin stick against the Bombers so far!Comment -
great job so far 6-0Comment -
WIN Rot.#906 Fish-0.5 -125 RL FF Alcantara (#1)
WIN Rot.#927 Halos/A's UNDER 3.5 -115 FF Ohtani (#2)/Kaprielian (POD)
LOSS Rot.#917 Sailors/Bombers UNDER 4 -125 Castillo (DNS)/Cole (#3)
WIN Rot.#901 Blunts/Braves UNDER 4 -115 Wheeler (#5)/Morton (#9)
WIN Rot.#913 Dodgers/Giants UNDER 4 -115 Urias (#7)/Cobb (DNS)
WIN Rot.#930 Guardians-0.5 -145 RL FF Bieber (#6)
WIN Rot.#903 Metropolitans-0.5 -150 RL FF Bassitt (#8)
PUSH Rot.#922 Wanderers-158 ML FF Perez (#10)
POSTPONED Rot.#910 Cardinals-0.5 -135 RL FF Mikolas (#11)
WIN Rot.#911 Rox/Fathers OVER 4.5 +100 FF Kuhl (DNS)/Snell (DNS)
7-1-1 on thoseComment -
The prices in this format to get money down on the pitchers in my top tier is getting outrageous. I will have to go with the RL in most cases today expecting the worst and praying for the best.
I swapped Quintana for Mikolas at #10 today so managers adjust accordingly. Quintana could have some of those first game jitters pitching for his new team (Cardinals). Still and all he will have the best defense behind him every time that he takes the bump. There isn't a line for the FF total assigned yet. Once it is I will blast away on it
I am going to utilize Musgrove (#2) in my fantasy leagues only as the price is a little more than I am willing to pay for this format. This moves Sonny Gray up to have a move made on him as Alek Manoah may have a few issues with the Twins lineup. Manoah has show a bit of a loss of the feel for his slider in recent times.
Rot.#965 Astronauts-0.5 -135 RL FF Verlander (#1)
Rot.#951 Brews-0.5 -160 RL FF Woodruff (#3)
Rot.#953 Dodgers-0.5 -145 RL FF Kershaw (#4)
Rot.#959 Braves/Metropolitans UNDER 4.5 -115 Wright (#5)/Carrasco (#9)
Rot.#967 Rays-0.5 -135 RL FF Springs (#6)
Rot.#958 Blunts-0.5 -155 RL FF Syndergaard (#7)
Rot.#961 Cubs/Cardinals UNDER 4 -120 FF Stroman (#8)/Mikolas (#10)
FULL GAME MOVES BELOW
Rot.#970 Twins+100 ML FF Gray (POD)
Rot.#970 Twins+111 Gray
Rot.#970 Jays/Twins OVER 8-115
2 WAY PARLAY
Twins+111/Jays/Twins OVER 8 -115Comment -
Managers-pay attention! Chase K's with both Stroman and Mikolas. Hamari is behind the dish today
Rot.#961 Cubs/Cardinals UNDER 4 -120 FFComment -
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