MLB Season $$$$$$$ Tracker Thread

Xpertcapper · 08-01-09, 08:11 PM

At the moment San Diego is a LEAN. It will be posted 10-15 minutes before gametime if its a official play

keel44 · 08-01-09, 08:31 PM

If I may ask, why do you wait right before gametime? Are you looking for something specific? This is not a complaint. Just asking is all. Thanks. and great job so far.

Xpertcapper · 08-01-09, 08:48 PM

Originally posted by keel44

If I may ask, why do you wait right before gametime? Are you looking for something specific? This is not a complaint. Just asking is all. Thanks. and great job so far.

All i will say is i track line movement from the opening line until the closing line. Alot of info is gathered the hour before the game. (and also at other specific times)

Xpertcapper · 08-01-09, 08:55 PM

San Diego is a NO PLAY tonight.

dvb02 · 08-01-09, 10:18 PM

Originally posted by Xpertcapper

San Diego is a NO PLAY tonight.

very interesting

obamaismyuncle · 08-01-09, 10:22 PM

Originally posted by Xpertcapper

Cubs (C. Zambrano) @ Florida (B. Badenhop)

Play: Florida ML +128 ($100.00 to win $128.00)

ytd:
5-0, +$571.00

Tough loss with Florida, Marlins almost pulled it out

obamaismyuncle · 08-01-09, 11:20 PM

Originally posted by Xpertcapper

Cubs (C. Zambrano) @ Florida (B. Badenhop)

Play: Florida ML +128 ($100.00 to win $128.00)

ytd:
5-0, +$571.00

Originally posted by Xpertcapper

Totonto (B. Cecil) @ Oakland (T. Cahill)

Play: Oakland ML -103 ($103.00 to win $100.00)

ytd:
5-0, +$571.00

Tough break today, tommorrow you will do better

G's pks · 08-01-09, 11:22 PM

keep your head up...come back strong tomorrow... I went 3-0 with Cubs, Tigers and system pick the Mets... Glad to see others doing good too...

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 12:03 AM

ytd:
5-2, +$368.00

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 12:28 AM

Originally posted by dvb02

very interesting

In all due respect i'm not sure if i understand your comment. In order for a lean i have to move into a posted play that particular team must meet the criteria i have until i am satisfied that at first pitch they will still meet the criteria. If that particular team falls out of my criteria or if i feel they will it is now a no play for me. I understand that the Pads won their game tonight after i posted them as a lean but that will happen now and again. But i do know this....i stick 100% to my criteria regarding the line movement and throughtout the season it will pay off more than it wont.

On another note. Two 1 run defeats tonight, 1 in extras..that happens. I will take 71% every 7 games when the majority of the wins are dogs anytime. Of course you will have some posters chim in when a losing day comes along..which it will now and again which is ok. Those others are always welcome to share their success and thoughts in this thread.

As i have said before my philosophy is simple. I dont handicap games or have a special chase system. I study and know a ton about line movements in sports wagering and i can promise you even though we will have a few 1 run defeats you will be on the SMART side of the play everytime you follow any of my picks. I dont wager or post plays on favs that are -250 or -270. I dont play run lines on big favs to get the juice down to where it should be on the money line. I dont gamble on big favs just to win more than i lose because as you should know, personal posted records dont mean anything in MLB...the amount you win does. Last year, for instance, in MLB i lost about 20 more games than i won and i was + about $13,500 for the season.

As i previously stated, always know obviously i will lose my share of posted plays but i can guarentee you that you were on the right side of the play. GL and tomorrow we will start out next 5 out of 7 streak.

dvb02 · 08-02-09, 08:59 AM

Originally posted by Xpertcapper

In all due respect i'm not sure if i understand your comment. In order for a lean i have to move into a posted play that particular team must meet the criteria i have until i am satisfied that at first pitch they will still meet the criteria. If that particular team falls out of my criteria or if i feel they will it is now a no play for me. I understand that the Pads won their game tonight after i posted them as a lean but that will happen now and again. But i do know this....i stick 100% to my criteria regarding the line movement and throughtout the season it will pay off more than it wont.

On another note. Two 1 run defeats tonight, 1 in extras..that happens. I will take 71% every 7 games when the majority of the wins are dogs anytime. Of course you will have some posters chim in when a losing day comes along..which it will now and again which is ok. Those others are always welcome to share their success and thoughts in this thread.

As i have said before my philosophy is simple. I dont handicap games or have a special chase system. I study and know a ton about line movements in sports wagering and i can promise you even though we will have a few 1 run defeats you will be on the SMART side of the play everytime you follow any of my picks. I dont wager or post plays on favs that are -250 or -270. I dont play run lines on big favs to get the juice down to where it should be on the money line. I dont gamble on big favs just to win more than i lose because as you should know, personal posted records dont mean anything in MLB...the amount you win does. Last year, for instance, in MLB i lost about 20 more games than i won and i was + about $13,500 for the season.

As i previously stated, always know obviously i will lose my share of posted plays but i can guarentee you that you were on the right side of the play. GL and tomorrow we will start out next 5 out of 7 streak.

I didn't mean any disrespect at all. I meant exactly what I said...I find your method very interesting. I hope you keep posting winners. I also appreciate when you post your leans ahead of time to give us an idea what games you are possibly playing. Good luck

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 09:54 AM

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 10:31 AM

My leans for today so far are Cincinati, Baltimore, Minnesota, Oakland, San Francisco and Seattle. As usual the plays will be posted 15 minutes before first pitch.

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 11:09 AM

Cincinati is now a strong lean.

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 11:16 AM

Baltimore is now a strong lean

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 11:18 AM

These 2 early plays really look good in regards to the line movement. Just dont quote this if one or both of them go in the tank..lol...very strong leans as of now.

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 11:35 AM

Colorado (J. Marquis) @ Cincinati (B. Arroyo)

Play: Cincinati ML +121 ($100.00 to win $121.00)

ytd:
5-2, +$368.00

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 11:56 AM

The Baltimore play has tremendous value with the line movement compared to the current line. If it remains a play i will post in a few.

G's pks · 08-02-09, 12:03 PM

No action for me today... I like the idea of you spitting out your leans too.. I do that with my system picks... the picks I cap myself I usually just bet... But I like it and hopefully others can add a little to the leans when they see them... You never know when someone sees a stat, pitching change or something else that might add an edge to one team or the other...

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 12:03 PM

Any questions feel free to ask.

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 12:04 PM

Originally posted by G's pks

No action for me today... I like the idea of you spitting out your leans too.. I do that with my system picks... the picks I cap myself I usually just bet... But I like it and hopefully others can add a little to the leans when they see them... You never know when someone sees a stat, pitching change or something else that might add an edge to one team or the other...

It gives others a idea of the plays i am looking strongly at, I agree. GL

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 12:11 PM

Boston (C. Buchholz) @ Baltimore (J. Berken)

Play: Baltimore ML +135 ($100.00 to win $135.00)

ytd:
5-2, +$368.00

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 12:12 PM

11:10am PST strong lean to Minnesota.

IcE · 08-02-09, 12:34 PM

Gl x

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 12:54 PM

LAA (Jer. Weaver) @ Minnesota (G. Perkins)

Play: Minnesota ML -105 ($105.00 to win $100.00)

ytd:
5-2, +$368.00

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 02:50 PM

Toronto (R. Romero) @ Oakland (V. Mazzaro)

Play: Oakland ML +103 ($100.00 to win $103.00)

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 02:51 PM

Philadephia (C. Hamels) @ San Francisco (B. Zito)

Play: San Francisco ML +149 ($100.00 to win $149.00)

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 05:40 PM

ytd:
6-6, +$112.00

IcE · 08-02-09, 05:50 PM

ouch rough day X. Better luck 2morrow

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 06:49 PM

Its a long season. Its not won or lost in 2 days

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 06:50 PM

LAD (C. Billngsley) @ Atlanta (J. jurrjens)

Play: LAD +129 ($100 to win $129.00)

ytd:
6-6, +$112.00

edlaw · 08-02-09, 06:56 PM

w/u on this 1 GL bro

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 07:23 PM

Originally posted by IcE

ouch rough day X. Better luck 2morrow

Make sure you come back when im on a winning streak

IcE · 08-02-09, 07:31 PM

Originally posted by Xpertcapper

Make sure you come back when im on a winning streak

No need to get pissed. I wish you luck almost every day

Xpertcapper · 08-02-09, 09:31 PM

Im not mad bud i just get a kick out of the posters who come in the thread only after a couple losses to console someone who doesnt need it and who has made alot of money doing it. For all the posters with not alot of experience you will find that this isnt a 2 day sport..Its a season long adventure and you will soon realize that.