Nice work hotcross ....!!! let's bust the books ass all the way to the end of MLB....
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Comment -
Tuesday Sept.10
TORONTO +143 ML // 2 units to win 2.86
OAKLAND +152 ML // 3 units to win 4.56
LA ANGELS +130 ML // 2 units to win 2.60
still working on the rest of the card....Comment -
Results: Sept.10 = +5.42 units (2-1 W/L)
OVERALL: +31.48 units (163-181-14 W/L/D = .474 pct)
Wed. Sept.11
OVER 8.5 -115 ARIZ@NYM // 3.45 units to win 3
OVER 13.5 +100 STL@COL // 2.50 units to win 2.50
PHILADELPHIA +128 ML // 2 units to win 2.56
MIAMI +129 ML // 2 units to win 2.58
BALTIMORE +173 ML // 2 units to win 3.46
KANSAS CITY +149 ML // 2 units to win 2.98
LA ANGELS +133 ML // 3 units to win 3.99
big card full 'o dogs today !!!Comment -
yesterday went 3-4 W/L for -0.06 unit
Thursday Sept.12
BALTIMORE +204 ML // 1.50 units to win 3.06
still taking a look at the later games....Comment -
I've never seen that before....
Top 6th, score 2-2, been raining for awhile but game playing thru.
2 outs, bases loaded, 2 strikes on the batter and pitcher throws a high fastball for the swinging strike,
but (with aid from the rain) the catcher fails to catch the pitch, it goes to the backstop and 2 runs scoreComment -
adding ::
SEATTLE +112 ML // 2 units to win 2.24Comment -
Friday Sept.13
MINNESOTA -103 ML // 5.15 units to win 5
NY METS +123 ML // 2 units to win 2.46
maybe a couple more picks coming for the later games....Comment -
Results: Sept.13 = -2.00 units (0-1 W/L) *RAIN PPD MINN@CLE
OVERALL: +25.92 units (166-188-14 W/L/D = .469 pct)
Dodgers stomped the Mets
Minnesota at Cleveland got stopped by rainComment -
Saturday Sept.14
OVER 10 -115 HOU@KC // 2.30 units to win 2
Comment -
lost yesterday's pick, staying on those teams and taking the home dog today
Sunday Sept.15
KANSAS CITY +198 ML // 2 units to win 3.96Comment -
Results: Sept.14,15 = -4.30 units (0-2 W/L)
OVERALL: +21.62 units (166-190-14 W/L/D = .466 pct)
Messed that up, needed to just play the Over again for a splitComment -
Monday Sept.16
OVER 8.5 +100 WSH@STL // 2 units to win 2
try to get back on track todayComment -
Results: Sept.16 = -2.00 units (0-1 W/L)
OVERALL: +19.62 units (166-191-14 W/L/D = .465 pct)
Thursday Sept.19
CLEVELAND -1.5 -175 runline // 1.75 units to win 1Comment -
Cleveland covered the runline easily yesterday
Gonna have some volume of picks this weekend
Friday Sept.20
MIAMI +210 ML // 1 unit to win 2.10
TORONTO -1.5 +255 alternative runline // 1 unit to win 2.55
LA ANGELS -1.5 +485 alternative runline // 1 unit to win 4.85
still working on the later games.....Comment -
yesterday didn't go well 0-3 as Toronto won by 1-run and the other two games weren't close.
will tally up after Sunday
Saturday Sept.21
TAMPA BAY -1.5 +100 runline // 1.00 unit to win 1
MIAMI +2.5 -106 runline *buy 1 run // 2.12 units to win 2
KANSAS CITY +2.5 +100 runline *buy 1 run // 2.00 units to win 2
LA ANGELS +2.5 -110 runline *buy 1 run // 2.20 units to win 2
TEXAS +2.5 -115 runline *buy 1 run // 2.30 units to win 2
still working to see if I have anything for the later games....Comment -
adding ::
SAN FRANCISCO -1 +165 alternative runline *buy 0.5 run // 2 units to win 3.30Comment -
2-4 W/L Saturday for -3.42 units. Screwed that up because I was supposed to stick with LA Angels on the -1.5 Alternative Runline for a big gain, but I chickened out and decided to play it safe taking the +2.5 runline. Then the difference in the day was Miami going to extra innings tied 4-4 with Washington, but giving up 6 runs in the top of the 10th, thus losing the cover in that game.
Sunday Sept.22
DETROIT +100 ML // 2.50 units to win 2.50
MIAMI +175 ML // 2 units to win 3.50
SAN FRANCISCO +190 ML // 2 units to win 3.80
still looking at the late games...Comment -
Monday Sept.23
NY METS -1.5 -140 runline // 1.40 units to win 1
TORONTO -175 ML // 3.50 units to win 2Comment -
GL tonightComment -
Results: Sept.23 = +0.60 units (1-1 W/L)
OVERALL: +24.60 units (173-199-14 W/L/D = .465 pct)
Toronto won their home game 11-10 score in 15 innings vs Baltimore
Mets lost their home game 8-4 score vs MiamiComment -
Tuesday Sept.24
DETROIT +214 ML // 1 unit to win 2.14
PITTSBURGH +172 ML // 0.58 unit to win 1
ARIZONA +177 ML // 1 unit to win 1.77
ARIZONA -1.5 +350 alternative runline // 1 unit to win 3.50
SAN FRANCISCO -1 -135 runline *buy 0.5 run // 2 units to win 1.48
SAN DIEGO +197 ML // 2 units to win 3.94
still working on the a couple of the late games....Comment -
adding ::
UNDER 5 -105 OAK@LAA first five innings // 2.10 units to win 2
Comment -
Wed. Sept.25
BALTIMORE +138 ML // 2 units to win 2.76
DETROIT +182 ML // 1 unit to win 1.82
UNDER 9.5 -105 CHC@PITT // 3.15 units to win 3
TEXAS +120 ML // 2.50 units to win 3
SAN DIEGO +173 ML // 1.30 units to win 2.25Comment -
adding ::
SAN FRANCISCO +2.5 -155 runline *buy 1 run // 3.10 units to win 2Comment -
Results: Sept.27 = -2.10 units (1-2 W/L)
OVERALL: +15.47 units (177-209-15 W/L/D = .458 pct)
Mets were the only winner yesterday.
Saturday Sept.28
TAMPA BAY -190 ML // 2.40 units to win 1.26
PARLAY 2-TEAMS @ +123 odds:
> TAMPA BAY -190
> WASHINGTON -215
Risk 2.48 units to win 3.05
*WISHFUL MEGA-PARLAY 5-TEAMS @ +7473
> TAMPA BAY -190
> WASHINGTON -215
> KANSAS CITY +174
> CHC CUBS +163
> LA ANGELS +370
Risk 1 unit to win 74.30 units
Comment -
Tampa had nothing on Saturday
Sunday Sept.29 - final day of regular season games
SAN FRANCISCO +155 ML // 2 units to win 3.10
TEXAS +135 ML // 2 units to win 2.70
SEATTLE +135 ML // 2 units to win 2.70
PARLAY 2-TEAMS @ +113:
> CLEVELAND -168 ML
> ST.LOUIS -295 ML
Risk 3.75 units to win 4.26 unitsComment -
Tuesday Oct.1 - NL Wild Card Game
I like Washington to win this game, it is pretty intriguing matchup beyond only looking at the starting pitchers.
But I'm not placing a wager on this game pre-game. If it is tight, or Brewers leading after a few innings, I would consider taking Washington LIVE only if the opportunity presents itself at significantly lower risk odds than what they are available at pre-game, around -175 (patience and discipline).
Here are points I've looked at:
Neither team likes facing the opposing starting pitcher. All-time team batting averages look like this:
Milwaukee .133 vs Max Scherzer
Washington .154 vs Brandon Woodruff
>those are for the players in the starting lineups
THE WAY NOT TO BET THIS GAME, in my opinion, would be taking Washington first five innings. Scherzer hasn't looked fully himself with a 4.74 ERA in seven outings since returning from a back injury in late August, but the team will have Patrick Corbin and Stephen Strasburg available out of the bullpen should things go wrong early (this sentence is exact wording from a rotisserie site, in the interest of time).
Another stat to consider is the Nationals are 1-8 W/L in Mr. Scherzer's last 9 starts during Game 1 of a series.
Furthermore, the Nationals have such a weak history against Brandon Woodruff, who should also be fresher on 8 days of rest since his last outing on Sept.22 in which he only threw 2 innings.
This will be "all hands on-deck" game for both teams, so unless you have inside access to the coaches and pitching staff, its difficult to say exactly which pitchers will be brought in relief, and when.
Let's look at hitting lineups quickly. Washington has the edge with an overall .287 batting average for the season, among the players in the starting lineups (not including the pitcher). Milwaukee batters come in with .256 average. Ryan Braun and Lorenzo Cain have minor injuries reported, but are both in the starting lineup, while Christian Yellich as we know will not play. Washington does not have reported injuries for their position players, other than Catcher Mr. Kurt Suzuki, who is starting the game, despite lingering inflammation in his elbow.
Recent form: Washington has the clear advantage. They played the past 8 games at home since Sept.23 and WON ALL 8 GAMES. Their fans will be rocking out to "Baby Shark" when Gerardo Parra likely enters the game as a pinch hitter in the late innings.
Milwaukee played the last 6 games on the road, getting swept by the Colorado Rockies in Denver for the last 3 games, including Extra Innings losses the final 2 games of the season.
Sorry for the last-minute post before gametime, but I hope this information is helpful to anybody looking to make a late- or-live wager on the Wildcard game tonight.
GL allComment -
LIVE WASHINGTON +220 ML after the Thames homerun 3-0 score
OK took a bite
1 unit to win 2.20Comment -
Results: Oct.1 = +2.20 units (1-0 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: +2.20 units (1-0 W/L)
I'll continue with this thread, but keep a separate W/L and Units record for the Playoffs
Add them up at the end
For the AL Wildcard tonight, I'm leaning Tampa but not sure if I want to play itComment -
GL tonight if you playComment -
Friday Oct.4
ATLANTA +110 first five innings moneyline // 1 unit to win 1.10
*push if tied end 5th inn.
Starting pitchers = Jack Flaherty at Mike Foltynewicz
I know Flaherty is good, but Atlanta was strong at home in the first five innings this year (sorry don't have the exact W/L numbers to support this). Foltynewicz got a postseason start last year against the Dodgers, although he got hit around a bit, this is a new year and I'm liking the fact he has that experience. Braves must win this game, so although this is only a one-unit pick in which I don't have high confidence, I'll take the shot at +plus odds.Comment