Betting Favorites - New Trial System

Panekkkk · 07-28-09, 09:22 AM

Hey gen, no plays made the cut today. Any that did were well above -180 which is just too much juice for me, and the matchups didn't deserve a line that high to begin with. Indians actually hit Weaver very well and their offense is sizzling right now. Villanueva is -190 on a rough Brewers squad that got lit up last night? No thanks. And Boston will probably get it done -1.5 but that's still a lot of juice. Mazzaro has thrown poorly his last few but has the ability to pitch a solid game and keep Oakland in by 1. Bucholz has only pitched on the road so far this year so who knows how he'll do at home. Lifetime his numbers are good in Boston but it's not worth the juice IMO. Across the board most of the pitching matchups are fairly even so nothing is qualifying.

I honestly have very few leans today outside of the system. I might just avoid baseball today entirely!

thegenix · 07-28-09, 12:29 PM

I'm looking at Houston, maybe the Red Sox -1.5 and Yanks...

thegenix · 07-28-09, 12:51 PM

I'm also looking at the Cards/Rocks/Angels..

curious · 07-28-09, 02:38 PM

check these leans out Panekkk

Here are some games I think have an edge:
Seattle .76 WHIP vs 1.3 WHIP
LA Angels OVER 1.75 WHIP+1.41 WHIP
White Sox .94 WHIP vs 1.54 WHIP
Boston 1.55 WHIP vs 2.27 WHIP
Boston OVER same reason
KC 1.24 WHIP vs 1.72 WHIP
Houston .67 WHIP vs 1.6 WHIP
Washington 1.33 WHIP vs 2.55 WHIP and opposing pitcher is a short relief pitcher put into starting.
Colorado 1.05 WHIP vs 1.52 WHIP
Cincinatti 1.48 WHIP vs 1.81 WHIP

all of these WHIP stats are last 5 games, not season

Panekkkk · 07-28-09, 02:43 PM

Nice stuff curious! Of those I like Col, Cinci, Boston, Angels OVER, and SEA (I took the TT over 3.5 instead, it's moved up to 4 now)

khaden · 07-28-09, 04:39 PM

Panekk--unfortunately I just jumped on board with you yesterday--it seems like you system works very well--I'll take 70 units in a month and a half everytime--especially with not having to put up a huge amount on the front end. Is -180 on the ml the cutoff or is that your preference?

Panekkkk · 07-28-09, 08:51 PM

Hey khaden, yeah -180 is a cutoff I set when I run the system. If it's moved past -180 by the time I bet I'll still play it. And key to fading any system, only jump on after it has a losing day :P

On that note ... The Rockies are about to lose me quite a few units ... again

khaden · 07-28-09, 09:09 PM

thanks for the info--then I should be on track to stay on board from this point forward-hopefully it will bring in another 70+ units over the next month!!!!! Can't say I'm sorry about the rockies--I was on the mets--but it didn't matter because the reds screwed me--

Good luck---looking forward to riding with you!!!!!

Panekkkk · 07-28-09, 09:22 PM

Here's to continued success

. I'm not so sure it will do so well but positive units are positive units

GreatDanes52 · 07-29-09, 08:50 AM

looking forward to a big day today panekkk... I think everyone in heres had a rough couple of days but its time to turn around... my one pick besides the system plays is mets -140... I like Johan at this price to sweep Colorado what are your thoughts?... good luck today panekkK

thegenix · 07-29-09, 09:04 AM

Oh man I had a rough day yesterday. 1-4. Here's to a great rest of the week! Lets get em Panekkkk and Major!

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 10:49 AM

Morning meeting...

Picks up soon.

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 10:57 AM

July 29, 2009

Huge card today so far...

Boston -172
Phillies -152
Jays -169
Giants -152

themajormt · 07-29-09, 11:02 AM

I love all 4 of them but decided to start small today and narrowed it down to Giants to start... If Cain gets beat at home I might throw in the towel for a few days... He is like 14-3 at home or something...

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 11:04 AM

Doumit not playing for the Pirates today = more confidence in Giants.

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 11:06 AM

Angels and Reds also qualifying. Not sure how I feel about the Reds. Reds have never faced Latos and Harang hasn't been himself lately. Gonzalez has monster numbers against him and finally got the monkey off his back and crushed one deep last night.

themajormt · 07-29-09, 11:09 AM

Yeah I am not impressed with the Reds at all after yesterday... They dont even pinch hit for a guy who is batting under .100??? in the bottom of the 9th down 1???

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 11:14 AM

July 29, 2009 - FINAL

Angels -170
Boston -172
Phillies -152
Jays -169
Giants -152

Parlay: Jays X Giants X Phillies: 1 unit to win 3.34

Under System: Jays Under 8 -129 (experimental)

SU
YTD: 43-14 +21.32 Units

PARLAYS
YTD: 3-7 +8.65 Units

UNDERS

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 11:15 AM

Yah I think I'm going to lay off the Reds although my gut tells me they win.

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 11:17 AM

Definitely going to Parlay Phillies x Jays x Giants ... not sure if I should add a fourth???

themajormt · 07-29-09, 11:28 AM

I would throw Sox into the mix before the Angels... who the F knows what theyre going to do after the last 2 nights...

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 11:40 AM

Dogs have had their day the last few days. The trend reverses today. Hoping for a 5-1 day!

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 11:41 AM

Angels have pretty good numbers vs. Huff. They'll pull it out tonight!

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 11:45 AM

Angels are 14-4 this season against lefties after coming off a win their previous game

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 11:47 AM

Also playing for 0.5 unit Cubs X Brewers X Angels X Red Sox (personal play for fun)

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 01:40 PM

Originally posted by GreatDanes52

looking forward to a big day today panekkk... I think everyone in heres had a rough couple of days but its time to turn around... my one pick besides the system plays is mets -140... I like Johan at this price to sweep Colorado what are your thoughts?... good luck today panekkK

Honestly I don't know how to feel about that game at all. Rockies screwed me the last two days and now are facing Johan. You'd think that they would lose, so instead they will probably win. I'm not touching it.

themajormt · 07-29-09, 01:41 PM

FUKK I chose the Giants over the Cubs for my day game

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 01:45 PM

I know, I'm kicking myself too. The Cubs qualified but the line was right up around -190 so I held off. I did add them to a small parlay above though (personal play), so that helps!

I was gonna lay on the -1.5 too. I just had the feeling that they were going to come out on fire. I can't believe it's 6-0 already. I held off because Houston is hitting well and have decent numbers vs. Wells!

themajormt · 07-29-09, 01:46 PM

Yeah thats good... I chose the better pitcher in Cain but did not see Cubs opening a can of whoop ass like this... damn

Panekkkk · 07-29-09, 01:48 PM

Hampton is garbage. Shoulda backed the better pitcher at home. Ah well, on to the Giants game. I can't see them losing this one major. They have Garko vs. a left-handed pitcher. Cain is a beast at home. And Doumit is not playing today. No way the Pirates take this one. The bats are starting to show some life at least so it'll prolly end 4-2 Giants!

themajormt · 07-29-09, 01:49 PM

Sanchez is out too!! Thats 2 solid starters out for them...

tb06 · 07-29-09, 02:42 PM

No Doumit, Sanchez orrrrrrr Wilson?! Giants please

aznjeff07 · 07-29-09, 02:45 PM

lets go giants!

aznjeff07 · 07-29-09, 02:48 PM

2 outs for cain in 2 minutes

*3 outs in less than 3 minutes. amazing!

Xpertcapper · 07-29-09, 02:55 PM

Originally posted by Panekkkk

Dogs have had their day the last few days. The trend reverses today. Hoping for a 5-1 day!

The dogs dont have any idea they have won 2 days in a row..lol...the way i look at it is if u go 1-1 betting 2 dogs and 1-1 betting 2 favs the dogs win u more money in the long run. U just have to play the dogs the squares arent on.