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  • Panekkkk
    SBR MVP
    • 03-12-09
    • 2430

    #36
    The parlays are just an experimental system to see if they can be profitable on top of straight bets. This is purely based on observations that this system hits a clean sweep fairly regularly, enough so that a parlay play may also be profitable. But they are more for fun so I wouldn't advise to tail them.
    Comment
    • curious
      Restricted User
      • 07-20-07
      • 9093

      #37
      Panekkkkkk...what is the criteria for these picks?

      I know you said in the top post it was some CIA top secret stuff that you didn't want to reveal because all the 7 figure bettors in SBR would move the lines too much (I guess). Now that you have played for a while can you tell us what the criteria is? Or is the CIA still making you keep that under wraps?
      Comment
      • Panekkkk
        SBR MVP
        • 03-12-09
        • 2430

        #38
        Originally posted by Panekkkk
        July 11, 2009

        Cubs
        -172
        Rays -175
        Red Sox -166

        3-way parlay
        : 1 unit to win 2.96

        STRAIGHT BETS

        YTD: 10-3 +5.59 Units

        PARLAYS
        YTD: 1-2 -0.30 Units
        Comment
        • Panekkkk
          SBR MVP
          • 03-12-09
          • 2430

          #39
          Hah curious, I would love to but seeing as I have yet to make a penny off this (been tracking only) unfortunately the secret will remain for some time. Much like how many others share their picks but keep their spreadsheets/formulas/stats to themselves, so too will I. The system is simple but developing it was rather complex. I'm not so worried about those big 7-figure SBR bettors but I've seen what making some systems public can do (just ask CK). SBR is reaching far too wide an audience nowadays it seems. I will however continue to post pics and after seeing this thing chug along am fairly confident that the results will remain positive.

          And as predicted, system will likely finish 2-1, with Oakland upsetting Tampa! ****ing knew it lol.
          Comment
          • GreatDanes52
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-12-09
            • 297

            #40
            keep up the good work panekk... looks like you could have stumbled onto something... quick question why haven't you started betting on the picks?
            Comment
            • Panekkkk
              SBR MVP
              • 03-12-09
              • 2430

              #41
              I have started betting but just betting small so far. Other plays that I have been making haven't been so successful!
              Comment
              • Panekkkk
                SBR MVP
                • 03-12-09
                • 2430

                #42
                July 12, 2009

                Mariners -145

                STRAIGHT BETS

                YTD: 10-3 +5.59 Units

                PARLAYS
                YTD: 1-2 -0.30 Units

                Not so thrilled with this play but that's all there is for today. GL!
                Comment
                • Panekkkk
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-12-09
                  • 2430

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Panekkkk
                  July 12, 2009

                  Mariners -145

                  STRAIGHT BETS
                  YTD: 11-3 +6.59 Units

                  PARLAYS
                  YTD: 1-2 -0.30 Units

                  Not so thrilled with this play but that's all there is for today. GL!
                  Comment
                  • dreamjob
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-21-09
                    • 1963

                    #44
                    Great job Panek. I look forward to your 2nd half plays. 11-3 is nothing to sneeze at.
                    Comment
                    • GreatDanes52
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-12-09
                      • 297

                      #45
                      great job man... got any plays for tomorrow?
                      Comment
                      • Panekkkk
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-12-09
                        • 2430

                        #46
                        Originally posted by GreatDanes52
                        great job man... got any plays for tomorrow?
                        Won't get a chance to look until tomorrow morning. Expect picks daily between 9 and 11 am.
                        Comment
                        • Panekkkk
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-12-09
                          • 2430

                          #47
                          July 16th, 2009

                          No plays for today. Atlanta was originally a go but the line has dipped way beyond -180 at most books and therefore is a no play.

                          UPDATE: Adding the Dodgers. As I mentioned, this system is subject to when I look at the lines. I have never really gone back in the afternoon after making my morning picks to re-evaluate picks. Because this system has been so successful without me doing that, I'm not so strong on this pick (at least according to the system). Public has much more sway the further into the day you go, hence my hesitation, and the public is heavily influencing these lines (79% on Dodgers, moving line from -120 to -140). We'll see how this turns out and I'll go from there. But I hate riding that heavily with the public.

                          It's crazy how many different systems I have seen this game qualify for which means the books are in line to cash in big if the Dodgers lose!

                          Dodgers -140 (caution)

                          YTD: 11-3 +6.59 Units

                          PARLAYS
                          YTD: 1-2-0.30 Units
                          Comment
                          • Panekkkk
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-12-09
                            • 2430

                            #48
                            Originally posted by Panekkkk
                            July 16th, 2009

                            No plays for today. Atlanta was originally a go but the line has dipped way beyond -180 at most books and therefore is a no play.

                            UPDATE: Adding the Dodgers. As I mentioned, this system is subject to when I look at the lines. I have never really gone back in the afternoon after making my morning picks to re-evaluate picks. Because this system has been so successful without me doing that, I'm not so strong on this pick (at least according to the system). Public has much more sway the further into the day you go, hence my hesitation, and the public is heavily influencing these lines (79% on Dodgers, moving line from -120 to -140). We'll see how this turns out and I'll go from there. But I hate riding that heavily with the public.

                            It's crazy how many different systems I have seen this game qualify for which means the books are in line to cash in big if the Dodgers lose!

                            Dodgers -140 (caution)
                            YTD: 11-4 +5.19 Units

                            PARLAYS
                            YTD: 1-2-0.30 Units


                            Well my instincts were correcting and I will no longer be adding plays late especially when line movements are based heavily on the public. Rodriguez was a beast last night and my original play in Atlanta was the correct call. Plays soon.
                            Comment
                            • Panekkkk
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-12-09
                              • 2430

                              #49
                              July 17th, 2009

                              Cubs -128 (*)
                              Giants -145
                              Mariners -145
                              White Sox -163


                              Parlay: All 4, 1 unit to win 7.1

                              YTD: 11-4 +5.19 Units

                              PARLAYS
                              YTD: 1-2-0.30 Units


                              Update: *Lines have changed such that Cubs game is no longer a play. I still booked it and still think the Cubbies will get it done but this play is flagged.
                              Comment
                              • Panekkkk
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-12-09
                                • 2430

                                #50
                                Let's get a clean sweep or at least a 3 and 1!
                                Comment
                                • thegenix
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-14-08
                                  • 339

                                  #51
                                  I vote for clean sweep.. Lets get em Panekkkk!
                                  Comment
                                  • themajormt
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-30-08
                                    • 3964

                                    #52
                                    Panek have you compared your system to the closing lines like 15 minutes before 1st pitch?
                                    Comment
                                    • Panekkkk
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-12-09
                                      • 2430

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by themajormt
                                      Panek have you compared your system to the closing lines like 15 minutes before 1st pitch?
                                      Unfortunately not and there's really no way to do it retrospectively. Going forward I will do the best I can but it will be a few weeks before anything becomes apparent. I was also a little weary about playing the first few days right after the all-star break but whatever, we'll see how this goes . I'm still trying to analyze and tweak as this goes along but this is the first I've noticed of plays changing as the day progresses. I like sticking to the mornings before the public starts hammering the favorites (like the Dodgers game yesterday).
                                      Comment
                                      • Panekkkk
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-12-09
                                        • 2430

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by thegenix
                                        I vote for clean sweep.. Lets get em Panekkkk!
                                        A clean sweep would really help my bankroll back in check and would get me going heavy on this! So I second this! lol.
                                        Comment
                                        • Panekkkk
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-12-09
                                          • 2430

                                          #55
                                          For anyone wondering, the parlay system since I started tracking this back in June is up 25 units. It hit 5 clean sweeps which is good, but literally way too good, so I don't expect that to keep up.

                                          UPDATE: Okay, so there are actually a number of plays that have changed as the day goes on. For now, I am going to stick with the system and go with the plays that I make in the morning as this is how this system was developed and I don't want to mess with a good thing. I will re-run things at closing (or about 5-6 PM when I leave work) and compare how the results would have fared to my early picks going forward from now on.
                                          Comment
                                          • Panekkkk
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-12-09
                                            • 2430

                                            #56
                                            Keeping in mind how much some of these plays can change as the day goes on, I'd just like to remind anyone following this that this is still in a testing phase so really tail with caution!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • Panekkkk
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-12-09
                                              • 2430

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Panekkkk
                                              July 17th, 2009

                                              Cubs -128 (*)
                                              Giants -145
                                              Mariners -145
                                              White Sox -163

                                              Parlay: All 4, 1 unit to win 7.1
                                              So close to the clean sweep!

                                              YTD: 14-5 +6.74 Units

                                              PARLAYS
                                              YTD: 1-3 -1.30 Units
                                              Comment
                                              • MILEHIGHMONSTERS
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-12-09
                                                • 618

                                                #58
                                                Hey Panek. Please learn to read and learn simple math b4 you come to my thread and run your mouth..Thanks
                                                Comment
                                                • GreatDanes52
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                  • 297

                                                  #59
                                                  the system looks very promising i tailed all 4 picks today because i have been watching this thread... have you started betting each play or you going to wait for more testing?... thanks
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dreamjob
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-21-09
                                                    • 1963

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Panekkkk
                                                    Quote:
                                                    Originally Posted by Panekkkk
                                                    July 17th, 2009

                                                    Cubs -128 (*)
                                                    Giants -145
                                                    Mariners -145
                                                    White Sox -163

                                                    Parlay: All 4, 1 unit to win 7.1

                                                    So close to the clean sweep!

                                                    YTD: 14-5 +6.74 Units

                                                    PARLAYS
                                                    YTD: 1-3 -1.30 Units

                                                    Nice job Panek 3-1 Very solid day.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Panekkkk
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-12-09
                                                      • 2430

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by GreatDanes52
                                                      the system looks very promising i tailed all 4 picks today because i have been watching this thread... have you started betting each play or you going to wait for more testing?... thanks
                                                      Yeah I've been betting each play. Still iffy on the parlays so I've been betting them small but I don't suggest tailing those for now . It's funny because the two games that became plays later both won: Tampa (barely) and Colorado. I'll continue to watch these "late" plays and see what happens. Damn Ohka not starting for Sea personally screwed me out of a unit. I heard he might not start and then forgot to take the action play. Ah well, on to tomorrow
                                                      Comment
                                                      • themajormt
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-30-08
                                                        • 3964

                                                        #62
                                                        SF fukked me pretty bad too man, I had a nickel on them and then I had a $200 6 team parlay with rockies and san fran left to cash and figures san fran fukks me, cost me $4,100!!

                                                        I also forgot to put action on SEA too like you, but if the reverse wouldve happened and Felix was out I wouldve been pissed so oh well I guess..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jakeandba
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-13-09
                                                          • 1033

                                                          #63
                                                          thanks for all the work you do with the system....i think the parley option will not be a play for me but again thanks again
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Jimbo42
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-04-09
                                                            • 2076

                                                            #64
                                                            All right Panekkk you got my attention.....Hmmmm....you up to something here sir!...I like it!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Panekkkk
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-12-09
                                                              • 2430

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by themajormt
                                                              SF fukked me pretty bad too man, I had a nickel on them and then I had a $200 6 team parlay with rockies and san fran left to cash and figures san fran fukks me, cost me $4,100!!

                                                              I also forgot to put action on SEA too like you, but if the reverse wouldve happened and Felix was out I wouldve been pissed so oh well I guess..
                                                              14 innings of one-run ball! I honestly hate those games. The home team seems to win extra innings game every time I bet on the road squad.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Panekkkk
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-12-09
                                                                • 2430

                                                                #66
                                                                July 18, 2009

                                                                No "early"/official plays today. I'll see if anything changes as things progress.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • GreatDanes52
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                                  • 297

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Panekkk... are there any system plays today?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Panekkkk
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-12-09
                                                                    • 2430

                                                                    #68
                                                                    July 19, 2009

                                                                    Got up a little late so hopefully this play wasn't influenced too much by the public.

                                                                    Tampa Bay -142


                                                                    YTD: 14-5 +6.74 Units

                                                                    PARLAYS
                                                                    YTD: 1-3 -1.30 Units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dreamjob
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-21-09
                                                                      • 1963

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Panekkkk
                                                                      July 19, 2009

                                                                      Got up a little late so hopefully this play wasn't influenced too much by the public.

                                                                      Tampa Bay -142


                                                                      YTD: 14-5 +6.74 Units

                                                                      PARLAYS
                                                                      YTD: 1-3 -1.30 Units


                                                                      On it already let's cash it Panek
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • thegenix
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 11-14-08
                                                                        • 339

                                                                        #70
                                                                        GreatDanes you don't need to ask, he posts his picks or posts that there are no picks EVERY day.

                                                                        Lets get it today Panekkkk. I really like Tampa in this spot.
                                                                        Comment
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