o/u 0.5 1st inning plays

[thekoreanmang]

Thanks for providing the pick in the first place! Wish I only went harder! But, hey a win is a win.

[TechnicalTrader]

Thanks for providing the pick in the first place! Wish I only went harder! But, hey a win is a win.

We'll get you there soon! My plan is to ride this until the All Star Break. If I can keep my hit rate above 60%, I'll go in hard and up my payroll to 8-10K. Then you better go hard with me, because I'm not going to be playing around after the break!

I'm overseas so it's getting late. Destroy things if you have any more bets pending but alsofeel free to shut it down if you are in the green! Nothing like going tobed, knowing that you "could've" ****** it allup with one more bet, but layed off it and called it a night!

Good night

[chaka]

Actually, I've had great experience riding hot streak out while slightly increasing my VaR and doing the complete opposite when my system isn't streaking.

BTW, HOU/KC in the books. Close one, but we got it. Mang, thanks for taking it. I would've stayed on the sidelines here!

Problem is you don't know when you are streaking and when you aren't. And if u did why play anything when you aren't streaking so you lose nothing rather than a small pct?

[TechnicalTrader]

Problem is you don't know when you are streaking and when you aren't. And if u did why play anything when you aren't streaking so you lose nothing rather than a small pct?

Two questions, two answers:

1) My performance will tell me if I'm streaking or not. Tracking a system is simple, if it's making me money, flat or losing money can be tracked very easily.

2) The system is built to play through all of it's signals. The reason why I have to play through a dry spout is becuase i am going to need to catch the beginning of a cycle or trend.

[TechnicalTrader]

4 plays today:

all over 0.5, still looking for a decent under.

MIN/NYY (6%/BR, strong signal)
NYM/ATL (3%/BR, not getting the strongest signal bue enoght to play)
OAK/LAA (4%/BR, signal is mixed)
ARZ/COL (5%/BR, decent signal)

I am also taking the u12 1/2 on the ARZ/COL game. Really like Colbin in COL and wouldn't be surpised if both starters only give up a total of 7 runs.

Let's do this! Can't wait to see leps pick!

[killawookie]

Every year a thread comes out on first inning run being scored and I think it does well to start but dies of as the losses pile on. As the baseball goes on, what works one week doesn't always work the next. Good Luck.

[BIG]

Every year a thread comes out on first inning run being scored and I think it does well to start but dies of as the losses pile on. As the baseball goes on, what works one week doesn't always work the next. Good Luck.

I could somewhat agree but it's not like he is saying take every game over so... I disagree lol

[TechnicalTrader]

Every year a thread comes out on first inning run being scored and I think it does well to start but dies of as the losses pile on. As the baseball goes on, what works one week doesn't always work the next. Good Luck.

Thanks for the input and I will do my best to keep this thread alive. No matter how the system performs.

Here are today's unders:

Under 0.5:
WAS/MIL (4% of BR)
HOU/KC (4% of BR) I know, this one is gutsy but my signals are pretty strong. I hope HOU gives Altuve a rest today, or at least in the first. LOL

[thekoreanmang]

4 plays today:

all over 0.5, still looking for a decent under.

MIN/NYY (6%/BR, strong signal)
NYM/ATL (3%/BR, not getting the strongest signal bue enoght to play)
OAK/LAA (4%/BR, signal is mixed)
ARZ/COL (5%/BR, decent signal)

I am also taking the u12 1/2 on the ARZ/COL game. Really like Colbin in COL and wouldn't be surpised if both starters only give up a total of 7 runs.

Let's do this! Can't wait to see leps pick!

Nice looking good! Like the %s next to the plays if one wants to be even more selective.

Do you mind if I ask what % the F1 No Score HOU/KC play was yesterday?

[TechnicalTrader]

Nice looking good! Like the %s next to the plays if one wants to be even more selective.

Do you mind if I ask what % the F1 No Score HOU/KC play was yesterday?

I risked a little over 2%. Btw, I'm getting shitty lines on the ARZ/COL game, might have to ditch that one...

[thekoreanmang]

I risked a little over 2%. Btw, I'm getting shitty lines on the ARZ/COL game, might have to ditch that one...

I'm getting -140 for NYY/MIN and -190 for ARI/COL in Bookmaker. Betonline is not offering yet. I took 0.25u for NYY/MIN. Not sure what to do for ARI/COL.

[chaka]

I could somewhat agree but it's not like he is saying take every game over so... I disagree lol

Risking 30% BR a day on a quarter of games a day full game would be though to sustain long term but now he's attempting to do it with 1 inning ... 1/9th of typical game still risking more than recommendedv% of BR per play for full game ..risking 6% BR on a single play etc etc

guys this is screaming bust

As an example losing 30% of BR one day would require winning over 40+% the next day/days just to get even

[TechnicalTrader]

Risking 30% BR a day on a quarter of games a day full game would be though to sustain long term but now he's attempting to do it with 1 inning ... 1/9th of typical game still risking more than recommendedv% of BR per play for full game ..risking 6% BR on a single play etc etc

guys this is screaming bust

As an example losing 30% of BR one day would require winning over 40+% the next day/days just to get even

LOL. I am risking 26% of BR, spread out over 6 games. My avg VaR per game is a little over 4%. I'm risking more on plays where I am getting better signals. If you are to suggest that I could lose my entire single day wager, which you have, than you have to take in to consideration that I could also win all picks. So if losing 26% of BR in one day is possible, winning 20%+ is also possible. Two options; sit back and watch my results and judge me then or just leave. I'm not here to take anybody's money.

And what is the difference of betting on a single inning or an entire game? I have my indicators, you have yours...

I usually do not like to wish anyone luck in gambling or trading but I have you might just need some.

[thekoreanmang]

Lep just agreed with your MIN NYY pick.

[TechnicalTrader]

I'm getting -140 for NYY/MIN and -190 for ARI/COL in Bookmaker. Betonline is not offering yet. I took 0.25u for NYY/MIN. Not sure what to do for ARI/COL.

Bet365
HOU/KC +100
WAS/MIL +110
MIN/NYY -150
ARZ/COL -250
OAK/LAA -115
NYM/ATL -120

I am going to stayawayform the ARZ/COL matchup if teh line stays there.

[TechnicalTrader]

Lep just agreed with your MIN NYY pick.

Amen! Do we double up? LOL

EDIT; That was also my strongest play for the day!

[thekoreanmang]

Amen! Do we double up? LOL

EDIT; That was also my strongest play for the day!

Tempted to do so. Have to be conservative in increasing bet size.

Would you take -190 for ARI/COL?

Have you thought about using other books for better pricing.

[TechnicalTrader]

Tempted to do so. Have to be conservative in increasing bet size.

Would you take -190 for ARI/COL?

Have you thought about using other books for better pricing.

-190 is too deep. I got it on marathonbet for -173.

I use bet365, marathon and 5dimes. Again, I live overseas which makes this a lot easier

[TechnicalTrader]

5 and 1 on the day. Took the ARI/COL bet at -190. Let'sgo 6 and 1!!

[thekoreanmang]

Damn. Very nice. Too bad I only took the 6% play. Next time I should tail all.

DET just lost their third series in a row to CLE too so there goes that. Had a great week and then lost a lot today.

[TechnicalTrader]

Just play both systems. I'll be back with a few more tomorrow. As of now it looks like I'll be up about 13-18% and that after less than a week. I'm just trying to be lep!!!

[TechnicalTrader]

5 and 1 for today. Happy to see the under bets also coming through.

Bankroll at start: $700.00
Record: 13-5
Total RoI: +20.29%
Bankroll day 4: $842.06

Hit rate: 72.2%

[thekoreanmang]

Just play both systems. I'll be back with a few more tomorrow. As of now it looks like I'll be up about 13-18% and that after less than a week. I'm just trying to be lep!!!

Yeah. That's the plan. Just disappointing. What can you do. Good with the bad. Prob need to risk less with the unofficial and go same or higher on official.

Looking fwd to your plays tomorrow. Muchas gracias.

[wjmb5653]

Do you have twitter??

[TechnicalTrader]

nope, not going to sell picks or try to cash out on this. Feel free to follow and add any sort of helpful feedback. I wonder where that guy went from earlier today who was doubting this??? lol

[wjmb5653]

Saludos amigo. Soy nuevo por aca, puedo ver que posees un muy buen record. Me gustaría saber si por lo que resta de temporada seguiras usando el mismo sistema?

[chaka]

How does a finance guy not know how to calculate ROI?

[jlani93]

4 plays today:

all over 0.5, still looking for a decent under.

MIN/NYY (6%/BR, strong signal)
NYM/ATL (3%/BR, not getting the strongest signal bue enoght to play)
OAK/LAA (4%/BR, signal is mixed)
ARZ/COL (5%/BR, decent signal)

I am also taking the u12 1/2 on the ARZ/COL game. Really like Colbin in COL and wouldn't be surpised if both starters only give up a total of 7 runs.

Let's do this! Can't wait to see leps pick!

on your picks so far.


I originally planned on taking the day off after missing the MIN/NYY game (thanks to a long, sluggish line @Silverton's sports book). After seeing my husband's 6-team parlay , I decided to follow a few of your picks (NYM/ATL and both No Run's).

Thanks for the picks that saved my day today...BOL to you on the weeks to come.

[TechnicalTrader]

How does a finance guy not know how to calculate ROI?

My man, you're back! Sorry about the disspointing evening. Looks like you were right, I sure as hell might just go 8 for 8 one night. LMAO!! Anyway, I'll drop my %BR just to do you a favor.

And please excuse my mistake, you are correct the RoI should be profit. Speaking of profit, how was your day? I'd love to hear about your performance because you sound like the next Billy Walters in here.

[TechnicalTrader]

on your picks so far.


I originally planned on taking the day off after missing the MIN/NYY game (thanks to a long, sluggish line @Silverton's sports book). After seeing my husband's 6-team parlay , I decided to follow a few of your picks (NYM/ATL and both No Run's).

Thanks for the picks that saved my day today...BOL to you on the weeks to come.

No problem, looking to repeat on Monday. It looks like I'llonly have a pick or two.

[TechnicalTrader]

Good morning ladies and gents, let's have ourselves a day.

I am only going with these today:

1st inn o/u 0.5

(risking 4% on each bet)
CHC/CIN U
PHI/ARZ O
OAK/SFG O
TOR/COL U

pending:
STL/KC U (sorta on the fence for this one, mixed signals as of now)

I might take the KC game at 2%. I got decent lines on all of the games, but again I am overseas and am getting early lines.

Can't wait to hear from Chaka Khan.

[thekoreanmang]

Good morning ladies and gents, let's have ourselves a day.

I am only going with these today:

1st inn o/u 0.5

(risking 4% on each bet)
CHC/CIN U
PHI/ARZ O
OAK/SFG O
TOR/COL U

pending:
STL/KC U (sorta on the fence for this one, mixed signals as of now)

I might take the KC game at 2%. I got decent lines on all of the games, but again I am overseas and am getting early lines.

Can't wait to hear from Chaka Khan.

Let's get it!

Betonline/Bookmaker don't make F1 Yes/No Score picks until closer to game time for some reason. I guess we'll have to wait to see what prices I can get. Thanks again for sharing your picks.

[tpark77]

Last time you put "strong signal" "decent signal" etc next to your picks. Do you feel about equal on all of them today?

[TechnicalTrader]

Last time you put "strong signal" "decent signal" etc next to your picks. Do you feel about equal on all of them today?

My bad, here ya go:

CHC/CIN U (Strong)
PHI/ARZ O (Mixed to strong)
OAK/SFG O (Mixed to weak)
TOR/COL U (Strong despite opposite line)
STL/KC U (Strong)

That TOR/COL pick could be huge. Vegas is overpricing the over if you ask me.

Let me know which ones you are taking.

[kaliboyz]

Would it be a good idea if you keep a stats of your signals record? Ex: Strong
3-1
Mixed to strong
1-2

Etc....