2016 SDQL Plays

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 3-6 - 3.94 units
Season to date: 324-292-11 + 18.9 units

Winners: Rangers ML, Giants and Jays RL

Losers: Rangers RL, Astros RL (crazy thought that was a win,) Cubs ML and RL, Orioles and Dodgers under

[Alex Vaile]

Saturday:

Play Giants - 130
Play Giants RL + 170

team = Giants and p:F and p:QS and p2:QS and p3:QS and p:BPRA=0 and date >= 20140720

Giants 18-2 SU in this spot 15-5 RL

And

starter = Jake Peavy and F and s:W and date >= 20140911

Peavy 11-0 SU in this spot 8-3 RL

And

H and 100>=line>-290 and month=7 and 12>total>5.5 and day!=Monday and day!=Tuesday and n:series game!=2 and series games>2 and start time<2210 and rest=0 and conference=o:conference and p:margin>-6 and p:hits>3 and p:errors<2 and op:errors<3

ROI 9% 1300 game sample

And

team=Giants and line <=-120 and p:runs>=6 and p:MRI>=1 and date>=20150627

Giants 23-2 SU in this spot 17-8 RL

And

team = Giants and H and po:BL > 0 and p:W and date >= 20141016

Giants 17-6 SU 16-7 RL in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Cardinals - 149

starter = Carlos Martinez and AF and o:team=Brewers

Martinez 3-0 as an AF vs Brewers

And

team=Cardinals and AF and po:WOW

Cards 24-12 after a walk off loss including 15 of 18 in this situation.

And

A and A(starter whip@starter and season, N=3)<2.50 and A(o:starter whip@o:starter and o:season, N=3)>=2.25 and 2012<=season and line<=160 and rest=0 and 9.5>=total>=8 and month!=8

ROI 25%

And

month = 7 and F and season > 2007 and -149 > line > -190 and s:SRA < 6 and ss:SRA < 7 and 2.5 > STDSWHIP > 1.1 and day != Monday and day != Tuesday and conference = o:conference and (p:hits + pp:hits) < 28 and WP < 59 and (starter wins - starter losses + o:starter losses - o:starter wins) > -2

ROI 23%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Over 7.5 + 105 Braves vs White Sox

H and not C and season>=2016

18% 220 game sample

And

team=White Sox and H and o:team=Braves

White Sox 7/3 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Pirates + 148
Play Pirates RL - 110

team = Pirates and HD and 18 <= p:LOB and date >= 20110520

13-7 SU 19-1 RL after leaving more than 18 men on base in last game and being home dog

[Alex Vaile]

Play Phillies + 147
Play Phillies RL -135

team= Phillies and p:ADW and AD

73-88 SU
80-47 RL overall

7-5 SU this season 9-2 RL in this spot

And

team=Rockies and HF and p:HFL and SG>1

Rockies 5-3 SU in this spot And 4-4 RL this season

[Alex Vaile]

Play Nationals - 178
Play Nats RL -110

line<=-186 and A and division=o:division and league=NL and NGT and rest=0 and 2007<=season

44-5 SU 38-11 RL
only 8 cents away from meeting this line. I think it's close enough for me. After injuries to Mets and Scherzer's dominance over Mets I'll take it.

And


starter=Max Scherzer and -240<=line<=-160 and p:W and season>=2007

33-8 SU and 27-14 RL in this spot

And

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 12% 450 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Red Sox RL + 110
Play Red Sox -180

team = Rays and SG > 1 and 2 <= o:streak and date
>= 20160511

Rays 0-14 SU 2-12 RL in this spot

And

starter = Rick Porcello and HF and season=2016

7-0 SU 6-1 RL

month = 7 and F and season > 2007 and -149 > line > -190 and s:SRA < 6 and ss:SRA < 7 and 2.5 > STDSWHIP > 1.1 and day != Monday and day != Tuesday and conference = o:conference and (p:hits + pp:hits) < 28 and WP < 59 and (starter wins - starter losses + o:starter losses - o:starter wins) > -2

ROI 23% ML 14% RL

And

H and 100>=line>-290 and month=7 and 12>total>5.5 and day!=Monday and day!=Tuesday and n:series game!=2 and series games>2 and start time<2210 and rest=0 and conference=o:conference and p:margin>-6 and p:hits>3 and p:errors<2 and op:errors<3

ROI 9% 1300 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Tigers vs Blue Jays Under 10 -105

HPU=Mark Ripperger and season=2016

Ump is 5/11 o/u this season but last 2 have gone over.

And

WP>50 and o:WP>50 and month=7 and H and season>2008

ROI 8% 600 game sample

This game could go over quickly. I'm giving this ump 1 more shot here. Boyd could easily get rocked 11 to 2 or something.

[thekoreanmang]

Play Over 7.5 + 105 Braves vs White Sox

H and not C and season>=2016

18% 220 game sample

And

team=White Sox and H and o:team=Braves

White Sox 7/3 o/u in this spot

NFL_TOTALS @NFL_Totals Jul 3
After today
QUINTANA is 15-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) in all games this season

Also Bookmaker has the total set at 7 (-125) and Betonline O7.5 at +105.

[thekoreanmang]

Nvm. Lol.

[Alex Vaile]

NFL_TOTALS @NFL_Totals Jul 3
After today
QUINTANA is 15-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) in all games this season

Also Bookmaker has the total set at 7 (-125) and Betonline O7.5 at +105.

Over winner!! And Jays under looking good. Nice start

[thekoreanmang]

3-0 so far. Nice stuff.

The PHI ML and RL play seems weak. Is there a reason you put it up as a play even though the trends seem less than convincing?

Thanks again for your insights. Very helpful and interesting.

[Alex Vaile]

7-0 start. Better than yesterday!

[Alex Vaile]

3-0 so far. Nice stuff.

The PHI ML and RL play seems weak. Is there a reason you put it up as a play even though the trends seem less than convincing?

Thanks again for your insights. Very helpful and interesting.

Well I made those queries and they are very basic. I usually use ones I have saved over the years. I just feel Rockies are overrated a little and Phillies have played NL West teams well 5-3 SU away and 7-1 RL.

[thekoreanmang]

I see. Awesome day today.

[Alex Vaile]

Looks great except Phillies.

[BOA12]

7-0 start. Better than yesterday!

Beautiful day. bol today vaile

[bking79]

Anything good today alex

[tallwhiterussian]

wow VAILE.... CRAZY DAY FOR YOU YESTERDAY GREAT JOB

[bking79]

Alex do yu have anything on braves angels and tigers

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 11-2 + 9.98 units
Season to date: 335-294-11 + 28.88 units

Winners: Giants ML and RL, Nats ML and RL, Pirates ML and RL, Jays under, White Sox over, Red Sox ML and RL and Cardinals

Losers: Phillies ML and RL

[Alex Vaile]

Anything good today alex

Just waking up I'll see what we have for today. Thanks guys was a great day for sure!

[Alex Vaile]

Alex do yu have anything on braves angels and tigers

White Sox have 1 support Braves 1 against. Orioles good support for a play

[Alex Vaile]

Alex do yu have anything on braves angels and tigers

D and p:W and p:runs < 4 and SGS < 5 and SG != 3 and -4 < p:streak < 2 and 6 > o:streak > -4 and line > 134 and op:runs < 10 and 0 < op:TLOB < 11 and p:SG < 4 and p:SGS > 2

ROI 19% pointing towards As and Tigers

[Alex Vaile]

Sunday:

Play Blue Jays -142 (no Encarnacion)

starter = RA Dickey and line <= -140 and s:SIP >= 6
and s:SERA<= 3 and date >= 20140913

Jays 10-0 SU with Dickey as 140+ fav in this spot

And

H and 100>=line>-290 and month=7 and 12>total>5.5 and day!=Monday and day!=Tuesday and n:series game!=2 and series games>2 and start time<2210 and rest=0 and conference=o:conference and p:margin>-6 and p:hits>3 and p:errors<2 and op:errors<3

ROI 8.8% 1300 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Marlins - 147

team=Marlins and line -120 <= line <=120 and p:BL>=2 and date>=20150901

ROI 12%

And

H and 100>=line>-290 and month=7 and 12>total>5.5 and day!=Monday and day!=Tuesday and n:series game!=2 and series games>2 and start time<2210 and rest=0 and conference=o:conference and p:margin>-6 and p:hits>3 and p:errors<2 and op:errors<3

ROI 8.8% 1300 game sample

And

s:SSO = 2 and 3.9 < s:SIP < 4.5 and s:SHA < 9 and day != Saturday and day != Monday and (A or day != Sunday) and (A or day != Tuesday) and (A or day != Wednesday) and line < 185 and p:margin > -9 and p:runs > 0

ROI 23% 220 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Pirates + 138
Play Pirates RL -125

p:runs>=10 and po:STL and o:STR and HD and total>=8.5 and month in [4,5,6,7,8] and 2007<=season

ROI 63% ML 37-12
ROI 32% RL 37-11

[Alex Vaile]

Play Orioles -187
Play Orioles RL -105


team = Orioles and p:HF and 5 <= po:walks and
date >= 20150522

Orioles 13-0 SU in this spot

And


starter=Chris Tillman and HF and day=Sunday

7-3 SU winning comfortably last 3

starter=Tim Lincecum and AD and day=Sunday

5-9 SU It is his first away start of the year
I love Timmy but think he gets rocked today!

And

month = 7 and F and season > 2007 and -149 > line > -190 and s:SRA < 6 and ss:SRA < 7 and 2.5 > STDSWHIP > 1.1 and day != Monday and day != Tuesday and conference = o:conference and (p:hits + pp:hits) < 28 and WP < 59 and (starter wins - starter losses + o:starter losses - o:starter wins) > -2

ROI 23% 200 game sample

And

H and 100>=line>-290 and month=7 and 12>total>5.5 and day!=Monday and day!=Tuesday and n:series game!=2 and series games>2 and start time<2210 and rest=0 and conference=o:conference and p:margin>-6 and p:hits>3 and p:errors<2 and op:errors<3

ROI 8.8% 1300 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Athletics vs Astros Under 8.5 -115

team=Astros and p:HL and p:BL=0 and line>-130 and date>=20140826

Astros 0/20 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Nationals vs Mets Under 8 -120

H and month > 5 and season>2009 and 1.2 > tA(BPRA) > .6 and 8>(s:SRA-os:SRA)>-4 and (p:hits + os:walks)<15 and month!=8 and s:SRA<6 and os:SRA<5 and 30.7>(p:SIP + pp:SIP + ppp:SIP + pppp:SIP)>18.7 and (op:SIP + opp:SIP + oppp:SIP + opppp:SIP)>19.4 and total>6.4 and p: ou margin>-6.6 and streak<5 and o:streak<6 and -8 < o: ou streak<4 and os:SPT<123 and team!=Twins and team!=Red Sox and o:team!=Indians and (s:SSO + ss:SSO + sss:SSO + ssss:SSO)>9 and (s:SSO + ss:SSO + sss:SSO)<26 and (os:SSO + oss:SSO + osss:SSO +ossss:SSO +osssss:SSO)>13 and (os:SSO + oss:SSO + osss:SSO +ossss:SSO)<31

ROI 20% 600 game sample

And

WP>50 and o:WP>50 and month=7 and H and season>2008

ROI 8.8% 650 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Padres vs Dodgers Under 8.5 -108

team =Dodgers and H and season =2016

14/32 o/u this season at home including 3/10 in last game of home series

And

team=Dodgers and line<=-200 and LGS and date>=20131007 and o:runs <2

o/u is 2/18 in this situation as a 200+ favorite in last game of series when opponent scores less than 2 runs in the game. Should b a low scoring rubber match

[Alex Vaile]

Play Rangers -160

H and 100>=line>-290 and month=7 and 12>total>5.5 and day!=Monday and day!=Tuesday and n:series game!=2 and series games>2 and start time<2210 and rest=0 and conference=o:conference and p:margin>-6 and p:hits>3 and p:errors<2 and op:errors<3

ROI 8.8% 1300 game sample

And

team = Rangers and SG > 1 and H and 12 <= po:hits
and date >= 20150729

Rangers 11-0 SU at home after allowing more than 12 hits in previous game

And

team=Twins and AD and LGS and season =2016

Twins 4-9 SU in last game of road dog series this season

And

team=Rangers and HF and LGS and season =2016

Rangers 6-1 SU in last game of home favorite series last loss in this spot May 1

[Alex Vaile]

Today's results: 8-2 + 5.4 units
Season to date: 343-296-11 + 34.28 units

Winners: Blue Jays, Orioles ML and RL, Dodgers under, As under, Pirates RL, Nats Under and Marlins

Losers: Pirates ML and Rangers

Solid weekend!!

[BOA12]

Today's results: 8-2 + 5.4 units
Season to date: 343-296-11 + 34.28 units

Winners: Blue Jays, Orioles ML and RL, Dodgers under, As under, Pirates RL, Nats Under and Marlins

Losers: Pirates ML and Rangers

Solid weekend!!

Like a brick wall. Great finish to the 1st half