***** Totals and Sides *****

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • doubledime
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-22-09
    • 9751

    #491
    Good morning,

    Yesterday:

    Regular Plays: 0-0
    YTD: 63-45 +13.35 units

    Reliever Plays: 4-1
    YTD: 144-101

    Back later with today's plays

    Good luck
    Comment
    • doubledime
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-22-09
      • 9751

      #492
      Good morning,

      Saturday's Reliever Plays:

      AZ/Philly over 7
      Wash/SD over 7
      Milw/LAD over 7.5
      NYY/Min over 8
      Tor/Balt over 9.5
      Sea/Bost over (no line yet)
      Reds/Hou over 9


      Good luck
      Comment
      • HeeluvaGuy
        SBR MVP
        • 02-15-14
        • 3449

        #493
        Fantastic work, as usual. I was giving some thought to you question regarding the need for further handicapping. First off, I don't think it's necessary at all if you're hitting 58%+ at an average line of -113. That said, from what I understand of your reliever plays, you don't look at starters at all. Obviously, if you have an inning eater going on a given day, it's less likely that you'll see the tired bullpen in a game. I wonder if a filter using quality starts (or innings per start) would improve results.

        Just thinking aloud. Certainly nothing needs to be changed.

        I sent you a PM the other day. I believe I've seen your threads in other sports. Just curious what else you do and if you've ever considered some of the lesser-followed sports (AFL, CFL, WNBA, etc.).

        Good luck today!
        Comment
        • doubledime
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-22-09
          • 9751

          #494
          Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
          Fantastic work, as usual. I was giving some thought to you question regarding the need for further handicapping. First off, I don't think it's necessary at all if you're hitting 58%+ at an average line of -113. That said, from what I understand of your reliever plays, you don't look at starters at all. Obviously, if you have an inning eater going on a given day, it's less likely that you'll see the tired bullpen in a game. I wonder if a filter using quality starts (or innings per start) would improve results.

          Just thinking aloud. Certainly nothing needs to be changed.

          I sent you a PM the other day. I believe I've seen your threads in other sports. Just curious what else you do and if you've ever considered some of the lesser-followed sports (AFL, CFL, WNBA, etc.).

          Good luck today!
          I did not even know I had a PM, just did not notice.

          I do not look at starters for the Reliever Plays. It may improve the results, but that's what I do for the Regular Plays. My feeling is that the starters are what most of the line is based on and that's already "baked in the cake" when a line is determined. Going strictly by the total ERA of the starters for both teams, today, the Milw, NYY, Toro and maybe Cinci games would be the stronger over plays.

          Thanks for the good words and I'll answer your PM a little later.
          Comment
          • doubledime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-22-09
            • 9751

            #495
            Good afternoon,

            Saturday's Regular Play:

            Tor/Balt over 9.5 -120


            Back later with tonight's card

            Good luck
            Comment
            • doubledime
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-22-09
              • 9751

              #496
              Good afternoon,

              Saturday night's Regular Play:

              Det /KC over 9 -120

              Good luck
              Comment
              • Mike Huntertz
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-19-09
                • 11207

                #497
                Originally posted by doubledime
                Good afternoon,

                Saturday night's Regular Play:

                Det /KC over 9 -120

                Good luck
                Nice call!
                Comment
                • doubledime
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-22-09
                  • 9751

                  #498
                  Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
                  Nice call!
                  Thanks, at least we split for the day.
                  Comment
                  • JayDr3am
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-06-14
                    • 18260

                    #499
                    Originally posted by doubledime
                    Good morning,

                    Saturday's Reliever Plays:

                    AZ/Philly over 7
                    Wash/SD over 7
                    Milw/LAD over 7.5
                    NYY/Min over 8
                    Tor/Balt over 9.5
                    Sea/Bost over (no line yet)
                    Reds/Hou over 9


                    Good luck
                    good stuff my man
                    Comment
                    • doubledime
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-22-09
                      • 9751

                      #500
                      Originally posted by JayDr3am
                      good stuff my man
                      Thanks
                      Comment
                      • doubledime
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-22-09
                        • 9751

                        #501
                        Good morning,

                        Yesterday:

                        Regular Plays: 1-1
                        YTD: 64-46 +13.15 units

                        Reliever Plays: 3-3-1 (though most probably had a win on Reds/Hou since the line went all the way down to 7.5 from 9)
                        YTD: 147-104

                        Back later with today's plays

                        Good luck
                        Comment
                        • doubledime
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-22-09
                          • 9751

                          #502
                          Good morning,

                          Sunday's Reliever Plays:

                          Col/Mia over 8
                          AZ/Philly over 9
                          Mil/LAD over 8
                          Seat/Bost over 9
                          NYY/Min over 9
                          Det/KC over 9
                          Reds/Hou over 8


                          Good luck
                          Comment
                          • doubledime
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-22-09
                            • 9751

                            #503
                            Good morning,

                            I hope all the fathers out there have a great day!!

                            Sunday's Regular Plays:

                            NYY/Min over 9 -120
                            Det/KC over 9 -115
                            LAA/Oak over 9.5


                            Good luck
                            Comment
                            • doubledime
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-22-09
                              • 9751

                              #504
                              Reasons:

                              NYY/Min: Starters, relievers, weather and ballpark all favor over
                              Det/KC: Same as above plus capped the game at 11.1 runs
                              LAA/Oak: Starters, relievers leaning over and weather. Capped the game at 10.9 runs


                              Good luck
                              Comment
                              • doubledime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-22-09
                                • 9751

                                #505
                                Good morning,

                                Yesterday:

                                Regular Plays: 1-2
                                YTD: 65-48 +11.80 units

                                Reliever Plays: 1-6
                                YTD 148-110

                                Back later with today's plays
                                Comment
                                • doubledime
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-22-09
                                  • 9751

                                  #506
                                  Good afternoon,

                                  Monday's Reliever Plays:

                                  Col/Mia over 8
                                  Seat/Det over 10
                                  WS/Bost over 10
                                  Balt/TX over 9


                                  Good luck
                                  Comment
                                  • doubledime
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-22-09
                                    • 9751

                                    #507
                                    Good afternoon,

                                    Monday's Regular Play:

                                    No play today

                                    Was going to release Seat/Detroit over 10 but the line went to 10.5 that was just too high for me. I capped the game at 10.7 runs and trends, ballpark, weather, relievers and starters are leaning over, but that 10.5 is staring me in the eye, and so we will pass.

                                    Good luck
                                    Comment
                                    • Mike Huntertz
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-19-09
                                      • 11207

                                      #508
                                      I had Det over 10 -105 LN.....only for small.
                                      Good game!
                                      Comment
                                      • doubledime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-22-09
                                        • 9751

                                        #509
                                        Originally posted by doubledime
                                        Good afternoon,

                                        Monday's Regular Play:

                                        No play today

                                        Was going to release Seat/Detroit over 10 but the line went to 10.5 that was just too high for me. I capped the game at 10.7 runs and trends, ballpark, weather, relievers and starters are leaning over, but that 10.5 is staring me in the eye, and so we will pass.

                                        Good luck
                                        Comment
                                        • doubledime
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-22-09
                                          • 9751

                                          #510
                                          Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
                                          I had Det over 10 -105 LN.....only for small.
                                          Good game!
                                          Actually, so did I since earlier when I posted the Reliever Plays, it was at 10. I just could not pull the trigger for anyone following at the 10.5.
                                          Comment
                                          • doubledime
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-22-09
                                            • 9751

                                            #511
                                            Good morning,

                                            Yesterday:

                                            Regular Plays: no plays
                                            YTD: 65-48 +11.80 units

                                            Reliever Plays: 1-2-1
                                            YTD 149-112

                                            Back later with today's plays
                                            Comment
                                            • doubledime
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-22-09
                                              • 9751

                                              #512
                                              Good morning,

                                              The Reliever Plays for Tuesday:

                                              Sea/Det over 8.5
                                              WS/RS over 9
                                              LAA/Hou over 8
                                              Reds/Min over 9.5


                                              Good luck
                                              Comment
                                              • doubledime
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-22-09
                                                • 9751

                                                #513
                                                Good afternoon,

                                                The Regular Plays for Tuesday:

                                                LAA/Hou over 8 -125
                                                Reds/TX over 9.5 -115


                                                Good luck
                                                Comment
                                                • doubledime
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                  • 9751

                                                  #514
                                                  Good morning,

                                                  Yesterday:

                                                  Regular Plays: 1-1
                                                  YTD: 66-49 +11.55 units

                                                  Reliever Plays: 1-3
                                                  YTD 150-115

                                                  Back later with today's plays
                                                  Comment
                                                  • doubledime
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                    • 9751

                                                    #515
                                                    Good morning,

                                                    The Reliever Plays for Wednesday:

                                                    SF/pit over 7.5
                                                    Seat/Det over 8
                                                    KC/NYM over 6.5
                                                    SD/Balt over 10
                                                    Philly/Min over 9


                                                    Good luck
                                                    Comment
                                                    • doubledime
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                      • 9751

                                                      #516
                                                      Adding a Reliever Play that I missed.

                                                      Reds/TX over 9

                                                      Good luck
                                                      Comment
                                                      • doubledime
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                        • 9751

                                                        #517
                                                        Good morning,

                                                        No Regular Plays on the afternoon card


                                                        Good luck
                                                        Comment
                                                        • doubledime
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-22-09
                                                          • 9751

                                                          #518
                                                          Good afternoon,

                                                          Wednesday's Regular Play:

                                                          Philly/Min over 8.5 -125

                                                          Was going to play SD/Balt over 10, but the line once again crept up to 10.5 so I passed, however pretty much everything, including "the kitchen sink", is favoring the over. How about the relief staff has pitched a total of 157 pitches yesterday. Plus trends, starters, weather, umpire and ballpark all favor the over....... but it is 10.5 and that still is a tough hurdle.

                                                          This morning when I posted the Reliever Plays it was at 10 -105.

                                                          Good luck
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Rainemaker
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-06-12
                                                            • 138

                                                            #519
                                                            Great job Dub D. Hit over before a reliever took hill. Been noticing bullpens been holding up on these lately streaking. With summer heat and AS break coming up I am looking forward to streak going our way. Thanks for your work!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doubledime
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-22-09
                                                              • 9751

                                                              #520
                                                              Originally posted by Rainemaker
                                                              Great job Dub D. Hit over before a reliever took hill. Been noticing bullpens been holding up on these lately streaking. With summer heat and AS break coming up I am looking forward to streak going our way. Thanks for your work!
                                                              Let's hope so!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #521
                                                                Good morning,

                                                                Yesterday:

                                                                Regular Plays: 1-0
                                                                YTD: 67-49 +12.55 units

                                                                Reliever Plays: 4-2
                                                                YTD 154-117

                                                                Back later with today's plays
                                                                Comment
                                                                • doubledime
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                                  • 9751

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Good morning,

                                                                  Thursday's Reliever Plays:

                                                                  SF/Pit over 8
                                                                  Mets/Atl over 7
                                                                  AZ/Col over 11
                                                                  Seat/Det over 10
                                                                  WS/Bost over 10
                                                                  Philly/Min over 8


                                                                  Back later with any Regular Plays

                                                                  Good luck
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • doubledime
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                                    • 9751

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Good morning,

                                                                    Thursday's Regular Plays:

                                                                    SF/Pit over 8 -125
                                                                    WS/Bost over 10 -125


                                                                    Back later with tonight's card

                                                                    Good luck
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • doubledime
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                                      • 9751

                                                                      #524
                                                                      Adding a Regular Play

                                                                      Normally I do not do this, but I just saw an updated weather report and the wind has shifted enough to play this one. To be clear, weather is only about 10% of my handicapping, but it was just enough to place it in my play column.

                                                                      Sea/Det over 10 -120

                                                                      Good luck
                                                                      Last edited by doubledime; 06-23-16, 09:58 AM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Can U Tank It
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 08-02-15
                                                                        • 198

                                                                        #525
                                                                        DD- great work and thanks for sharing. ? - have you looked at record of reliever plays that are also regular plays?
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...