Ali & Hayduke's Base Pickers

[mitch51]

Just a heads up NO Play on the early game 1:08pm ET OAK/DET.

Be back later.

Ali

[mitch51]

Booking St. Louis early myself. Hard to pass up a chance to take Wacha at plus money against anyone not named Kershaw or MadBum

Best bet of the day. Hope Wacha ate his Wheaties this morning.

[upscope]

2daPunk along for the troll in 3....2....1

[mitch51]

2daPunk along for the troll in 3....2....1

LMAO!!!

[mitch51]

KC FF -1/2 +120. Food for thought. Good luck whatever........

I like this, Mags.

[larry040681]

got a really good dog, det rl +188 when they were -110..

oak is now -107..

[44 Mag]

I like this, Mags.

Well Mitch, we tried it with the Yankees yesterday and got a score, so hopefuly...

[44 Mag]

got a really good dog, det rl +188 when they were -110..

oak is now -107..

[RollinDo]

KC FF -1/2 +120. Food for thought. Good luck whatever........

I just have KC +1.5...One of my rare juice plays. (-200)
Also StL ML
Under in Philly.

[twestacott]

got a really good dog, det rl +188 when they were -110..

oak is now -107..

BOL man and for what is worth I think you are on the right side here. Tigers lineup just has too much fire power to be this bad offensively. I just don't feel comfortable putting my money on them busting out today behind Shawn Greene. Personally I like Tigers TT better. Plus this bet would break my policy of tailing streaks and not fading them. Wouldn't be the first time I am wrong though and I am on a bit of a skid in terms of DOD picks. (Strangely enough though, yesterday was my first losing day in a week).

[44 Mag]

I just have KC +1.5...One of my rare juice plays. (-200)
Also StL ML
Under in Philly.

Odd to see you lay that much juice, other than a Rolling Kershaw, King Felix or Mad Max ??? BOL to you.

[larry040681]

BOL man and for what is worth I think you are on the right side here. Tigers lineup just has too much fire power to be this bad offensively. I just don't feel comfortable putting my money on them busting out today behind Shawn Greene. Personally I like Tigers TT better. Plus this bet would break my policy of tailing streaks and not fading them. Wouldn't be the first time I am wrong though and I am on a bit of a skid in terms of DOD picks. (Strangely enough though, yesterday was my first losing day in a week).

if they really win more than 1 run, party time with the family...

[16kredit]

Man I wish these dogs would hit a constant stride Ali. I have been following you since start and can't wait for a fine week or month. Its my first seaon for betting MLB and Im kinda scared atm. Best of luck as always!

[mitch51]

I'm kind of tempted with Twinks again. Milone has been off for a while, so passing. But have a hunch they may just pull it off.

[mitch51]

Man I wish these dogs would hit a constant stride Ali. I have been following you since start and can't wait for a fine week or month. Its my first seaon for betting MLB and Im kinda scared atm. Best of luck as always!

The dogs were scary as hell when we first started betting them. You just really have to realize until you go this direction, you basically don't win any money. Just small bets, manage your bankroll, you don't have to take them all. We know you can win half these dogs. We know we're in a slump right now, but we're coming out.

[mitch51]

Looks like just two dogs and an umpire streaker today, Ali is posting soon.

[Artieaa]

The dogs were scary as hell when we first started betting them. You just really have to realize until you go this direction, you basically don't win any money. Just small bets, manage your bankroll, you don't have to take them all. We know you can win half these dogs. We know we're in a slump right now, but we're coming out.

Cheer up!!! Nobody wins them all.... investing in dogs doesn´t demand even winning 50% of them, every system or model has cold and hot streaks and as you said bankrol management is crucial.

[mitch51]

Man I wish these dogs would hit a constant stride Ali. I have been following you since start and can't wait for a fine week or month. Its my first seaon for betting MLB and Im kinda scared atm. Best of luck as always!

16credit, here's a thought. The UMPIRE STREAKERS are starting up now. Last year they did well, especially the unders. We have one today, and they should be more stable than the dogs. We think you can build your bankroll a little with these, but like always, MONEY MANAGEMENT. We bet them to win a unit but...how about trying them for half a unit (only the unders) and see what happens? Oh, Ali told me to tell you "hi".

[mitch51]

Good morning all



06.04.15 ALI DOGS

7:05pm ET
951 CUBS/Arrieta +102 1.00/1.02

10:10pm ET
957 STL/Wacha +100 1.00/1.00



HAYDUKE

None



UMPIRES STREAKING

8:10pm ET
968 KC/CLE UN 7.5 -105 1.05/1.00
Ump-Rackley 5W/4L 2ov/5un 71.4% UN


GLTA


Ali & Hayduke

[mitch51]

Cheer up!!! Nobody wins them all.... investing in dogs doesn´t demand even winning 50% of them, every system or model has cold and hot streaks and as you said bankrol management is crucial.

Good advice from our friend Artieaa. You should check out his thread if you haven't, he is off to a good start. Ali and I love this guy, he's a good capper.

[16kredit]

I might seem an idiot but the umpire streaking means total? I have never bet them before and on Pinnaclesports I think they mean the total=umpire streakers?
got it at 7,5 +105

Hi Ali!

[mitch51]

I might seem an idiot but the umpire streaking means total? I have never bet them before and on Pinnaclesports I think they mean the total=umpire streakers?
got it at 7,5 +105

Hi Ali!

Win or lose that is AWESOME and you also got the under as a DOG line. Koooolaroooo

Ali

[KingHawkins]

I love the Cubs today, and gonna roll with this under, too. Cheers!

[upscope]

I thought OVER in the DeMuth game was going to be on your card tonight....

[mitch51]

I thought OVER in the DeMuth game was going to be on your card tonight....

The umpire looks like an Over umpire but we look at a lot of other factors for these games. This one did come very close but there is a trend opposing the Over.

Split series, final game, road team doing a home stand next game-UNDER is 1348-1121-114 +100.1 units after the month of April.

This is what prevents us from taking the Over.

[alamo]

BOL man and for what is worth I think you are on the right side here. Tigers lineup just has too much fire power to be this bad offensively. I just don't feel comfortable putting my money on them busting out today behind Shawn Greene. Personally I like Tigers TT better. Plus this bet would break my policy of tailing streaks and not fading them. Wouldn't be the first time I am wrong though and I am on a bit of a skid in terms of DOD picks. (Strangely enough though, yesterday was my first losing day in a week).

Nailed it!

[RollinDo]

Going large on Cle - KC Under 8.5!!!

[Lefty123]

I see 9 -130 ?

[RollinDo]

Well this KC game single - handedly killing me.
Young had been so good at home til tonight and Indian hitters weren't incredible statistically vs him in past.
And the one time I play a Haring Under and this happens...he and Dick-Knuckle I should stay far away from.

[mitch51]

I've got a question. We are straight flat bettors. We bet exactly 2% of our bankroll on every bet. We never feel that one bet has more value than another. So, how do you guys bet? We are pretty conservative for the most part.

[mitch51]

Well this KC game single - handedly killing me.
Young had been so good at home til tonight and Indian hitters weren't incredible statistically vs him in past.
And the one time I play a Haring Under and this happens...he and Dick-Knuckle I should stay far away from.

That game got us for a unit but it's just on to the next game. This Game had everything we look for, we'd bet it again. We're gonna win the majority of these unders, we are 6-2 now. Overs are another story, we may just stick with the under umpires.

[Artieaa]

I've got a question. We are straight flat bettors. We bet exactly 2% of our bankroll on every bet. We never feel that one bet has more value than another. So, how do you guys bet? We are pretty conservative for the most part.

IMHO 2% it´s not that conservative I think it is a "regular" stake.... questions here are:
do you recalculate after every bet?
have you backtested your model or system with different % of your bankrol?
What is the average yield after let´s say 2000 plays?

Not trying to be a smart a** but I strongly believe that a good dog model does not need more than 48% of winners, what really matters is how would you manage your $$$...

[KingHawkins]

Fortunate push for us UNDER 7.5 ticket holders. Hope you guys didn't rip up that ticket when that 8th run came. Hoping the Cubbies can hold on

[mitch51]

Fortunate push for us UNDER 7.5 ticket holders. Hope you guys didn't rip up that ticket when that 8th run came. Hoping the Cubbies can hold on

Yea, we were hoping they would call it. No, we acutally bet online now through WmHill so we don't mess with tickets anymore. Boy does it ever make a difference.

Yes, hold on Cubbies and get them out!

Ali

[Cordoba25]

Fortunate push for us UNDER 7.5 ticket holders. Hope you guys didn't rip up that ticket when that 8th run came. Hoping the Cubbies can hold on

I thought this game was a loss till I saw your post... and I was like wtf is this guy talking about??? Sure enough I then checked and saw the game was called in the 8th. Whew!

I believe Mitch and Ali still undefeated on these under streakers. Good job guys.