10+ Runs Home Chase System

[skyscrapers]

Thanks a lot sky I really appreciate it. And I will still be following this chase. Let us know if we're going with ML or RL on some of these bets whenever you get a chance.

Washington closed as a favorite so it was a ML play but I was busy and I didn't place a bet and it won.

White Sox is a very close call.

[skyscrapers]

at 15 units/loss this system would be a looser if it had lost about 1% more chases. I think the uncertainty in this system is more then 1%. 264 units seems alot but at 15 units loss/series its really a small edge. Also there is no guarantee the backtest is accurate.

If think its possible to cut out some chases and not not play every 3rd game to improve the results of this system.

Have to agree. I mean this is a work in progress and definitely will be looking into more filters or strategies or what not.

[skyscrapers]

BUT, and the important part is, that your 24-0 run went straight down the shitter with 2 chase losses.

That is why it's called a chase system you moron.

it has shown a profit for 4 years or 18 years means nothing to me.

Utter stupidity. If a system or a capper can show you they made profit for XX consecutive years and that means nothing to you!! Give me a break...you'll be on your knees begging for their plays. Take your immature comments and move along.

At least I have the guts to try to create something and you...well...not much to say besides standing on the sideline bitching and whining about everything.

[TakingVegasMoney]

That is why it's called a chase system you moron.



Utter stupidity. If a system or a capper can show you they made profit for XX consecutive years and that means nothing to you!! Give me a break...you'll be on your knees begging for their plays. Take your immature comments and move along.

At least I have the guts to try to create something and you...well...not much to say besides standing on the sideline bitching and whining about everything.

Missed both plays today but happened to get that Minnesota one in. Up 5-3 with 2 outs in bottom 9. Looking good !

[skyscrapers]

I'm on the road all day and missed every single play today

[Discipline]

Have to agree. I mean this is a work in progress and definitely will be looking into more filters or strategies or what not.

I took a pass on the sea chase, although it won iam not regretful about it.

edit: I was wrong, sea lost. Also taking a pass on hous chase.

[skyscrapers]

COMPLETED CHASES (Apr. 26 Sat)

Chase #39: WIN (+1.0u)
DET @ MIN [+1.5 RL] 1.68 (A) Apr. 25 Fri - LOSS (-1.47u)
DET @ MIN [+1.5 RL] 1.73 (B) Apr. 26 Sat - WIN (+2.47u)

Chase #58: WIN (+1.0u)
SD @ WSH [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 26 Sat - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (48-5) -11.715u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #53:
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.84 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-2.54u)
STL @ CHC (C) May 02 Fri 11:20a PDT

Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT

Chase #57:
TB @ CWS [+1.5 RL] 1.57 (A) Apr. 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.755u)
TB @ CWS [+1.5 RL] 1.93 (B) Apr. 27 Sun 11:10a PDT
TB @ CWS (C) Apr. 28 Mon 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #59:
TEX @ SEA [ML] 1.59 (A) Apr. 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.695u)
TEX @ SEA [+1.5 RL] 1.59 (B) Apr. 27 Sun 1:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (C) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Apr. 27 Sun)

Chase #56:
HOU @ DET (A) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #60:
OAK @ HOU [+1.5 RL] 1.83 (A) Apr 27 Sun 11:10a PDT
WSH @ HOU (B) Apr. 29 Tue 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
WSH @ HOU (C) Apr. 20 Wed 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)

[skyscrapers]

Seattle will be a +1.5 RL play.

[Yoinkerz]

All in seattle +1 . Legooooo!!!

[TakingVegasMoney]

Hate that Seattle will be a chase again. Still have a sour taste in my mouth

[skyscrapers]

Hate that Seattle will be a chase again. Still have a sour taste in my mouth

At least they came back and won for once.
All 3 dogs came through today.

[skyscrapers]

COMPLETED CHASES (Apr. 27 Sun)

Chase #57: WIN (+1.0u)
TB @ CWS [+1.5 RL] 1.57 (A) Apr. 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.755u)
TB @ CWS [+1.5 RL] 1.93 (B) Apr. 27 Sun - WIN (+2.755u)

Chase #59: WIN (+1.0u)
TEX @ SEA [ML] 1.59 (A) Apr. 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.695u)
TEX @ SEA [+1.5 RL] 1.59 (B) Apr. 27 Sun - WIN (+2.695u)

Chase #60: WIN (+1.0u)
OAK @ HOU [+1.5 RL] 1.83 (A) Apr 27 Sun - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (51-5) -8.715u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #53:
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.84 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-2.54u)
STL @ CHC (C) May 02 Fri 11:20a PDT

Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Apr. 28 Mon)

Chase #56:
HOU @ DET (A) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #61:
TB @ CWS [+1.5 RL] 1.71 (A) Apr. 28 Mon 5:10p PDT
DET @ CWS (B) Apr. 29 Tue 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
DET @ CWS (C) Apr. 30 Wed 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #62:
KC @ SEA (A) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (B) May 09 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 10 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

[HockeyRocks]

Please forgive me, however, i am new to your thread and not all that up to date on chase systems. Is your only play today the CWS at +1.5 runs...Thanks in advance..

[skyscrapers]

Please forgive me, however, i am new to your thread and not all that up to date on chase systems. Is your only play today the CWS at +1.5 runs...Thanks in advance..

Correct. That is the only play.

[ghost212]

Sky...
I think that your system is a very good idea, but with some more modifications.
Playing all teams and all bets can be not profitable in badluck season.
I get the main rules from your system and play on my own but with many options.

I seperate all for games for Win games/Lose games/Home win games/Home lose games/Road win games/Road lose games.
I will chase that for 4 bets and add 1 extra unit on each to win.
I play only ML on team(not any runline) because have many tables with last years results with ML lines only.
I have backtest that system for 7 last years and choose only few teams for each to play with the best results from years.
I think i can get 100-200 units for the season. I start that plays on last week.
I don't know how will be the end of that but wish to don't lose more then 50 units.

[skyscrapers]

Sky...
I think that your system is a very good idea, but with some more modifications.
Playing all teams and all bets can be not profitable in badluck season.
I get the main rules from your system and play on my own but with many options.

I seperate all for games for Win games/Lose games/Home win games/Home lose games/Road win games/Road lose games.
I will chase that for 4 bets and add 1 extra unit on each to win.
I play only ML on team(not any runline) because have many tables with last years results with ML lines only.
I have backtest that system for 7 last years and choose only few teams for each to play with the best results from years.
I think i can get 100-200 units for the season. I start that plays on last week.
I don't know how will be the end of that but wish to don't lose more then 50 units.

Good luck and keep me up to date on how it's working out.
Again this is a work in progress and for sure additional filters, modifications and strategies will have to be implemented.

I still have reservations on any 4-game chases because a series loss can be very costly.
As for playing on specific teams, it may lead to something that's for sure.
I just haven't found a reliable way to determine which teams can qualify.
But based on backtests some teams do perform better for example Detroit and Texas.

[skyscrapers]

COMPLETED CHASES (Apr. 28 Mon)

Chase #61: WIN (+1.0u)
TB @ CWS [+1.5 RL] 1.71 (A) Apr. 28 Mon - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (52-5) -7.715u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #53:
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.84 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-2.54u)
STL @ CHC (C) May 02 Fri 11:20a PDT

Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Apr. 29 Tue)

Chase #56:
HOU @ DET (A) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #62:
KC @ SEA (A) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (B) May 09 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 10 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #63:
DET @ CWS [+1.5 RL] (A) Apr 29 Tue 5:10p PDT
DET @ CWS (B) Apr 30 Wed 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ CWS (C) May 07 Wed 5:05p PDT (If Necessary)

[skyscrapers]

2014 Live Test (Weekly Update)
- Live tests is based on the closing lines on Pinnacle as listed on SBR.

ARI
ATL (2-0)
BAL
BOS (1-0)
CHC (3-0)
CIN (1-0)
CLE (2-0)
COL (5-0)
CWS (5-0)
DET (4-0)
HOU (1-1) (-10.695u [12])
KC (2-0)
LAA (1-0)
LAD (1-0)
MIA (5-0)
MIL
MIN (2-0)
NYM
NYY (1-0)
OAK (1-0)
PHI
PIT (1-2) (-9.5u [38]) (-11.44u [50])
SD
SEA (1-1) (-18.48u [26])
SF (2-0)
STL (3-0)
TB (3-0)
TEX (2-0)
TOR (1-1) (-9.6u [52])
WSH (2-0)

(A) (33-26)
(B) (14-8)
(C) (5-5)

[ghost212]

Good luck and keep me up to date on how it's working out.
Again this is a work in progress and for sure additional filters, modifications and strategies will have to be implemented.

I still have reservations on any 4-game chases because a series loss can be very costly.
As for playing on specific teams, it may lead to something that's for sure.
I just haven't found a reliable way to determine which teams can qualify.
But based on backtests some teams do perform better for example Detroit and Texas.

That's true, 4-chase can lost 20-40 units by serie, but in the worst example can lost over 50-60 units. That's a reason to separate lose and win chases and choose teams for system which are generating less loses and i think you should at least that(seperate win/lose and at least resign from chasing the worst teams which are not profitable from years), because we all knew that they are better and worse teams.
We'll see how it go to happen, good luck for us both.

[skyscrapers]

COMPLETED CHASES (Apr. 29 Tue)

Chase #63: WIN (+1.0u)
DET @ CWS [+1.5 RL] 1.76 (A) Apr 29 Tue - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (53-5) -6.715u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #53:
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.84 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-2.54u)
STL @ CHC (C) May 02 Fri 11:20a PDT

Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Apr. 30 Wed)

Chase #56:
HOU @ DET (A) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #62:
KC @ SEA (A) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (B) May 09 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 10 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #64:
TB @ BOS [??] (A) Apr 30 Wed 4:05p PDT
TB @ BOS (B) May 01 Thu 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
OAK @ BOS (C) May 02 Fri 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #65:
TOR @ KC [ML] (A) Apr 30 Wed 5:10p PDT
TOR @ KC (B) May 01 Thu 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
DET @ KC (C) May 02 Fri 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #66:
CLE @ LAA [ML] (A) Apr 30 4:05p PDT
TEX @ LAA (B) May 02 Fri 7:05p PDT (If Necessary)
TEX @ LAA (C) May 03 Sat 6:05p PDT (If Necessary)

[skyscrapers]

Chase #64 BOS is postponed and chase is cancelled.

[skyscrapers]

COMPLETED CHASES (Apr. 30 Wed)

Chase #64: - CANCELLED
TB @ BOS [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr 30 Wed - POSTPONED

Chase #65: - WIN (+1.0u)
TOR @ KC [ML] 1.76 (A) Apr 30 Wed - WIN (+1.0u)

Chase #66: - WIN (+1.0u)
CLE @ LAA [ML] 1.68 (A) Apr 30 Wed -WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (55-5) -4.715u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #53:
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.84 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-2.54u)
STL @ CHC (C) May 02 Fri 11:20a PDT

Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after May 01 Thu)

Chase #56:
HOU @ DET (A) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #62:
KC @ SEA (A) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (B) May 09 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 10 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #67:
ATL @ MIA [+1.5 RL] (A) May 01 Thu 4:10p PDT
LAD @ MIA (B) May 02 Fri 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
LAD @ MIA (C) May 03 Sat 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #68:
CHC @ STL (A) May 12 Mon 5:05p PDT
CHC @ STL (B) May 13 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ STL (C) May 14 Wed 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)

[Mr. Green]

The Cubs closed out the series yesterday, right?

[skyscrapers]

The Cubs closed out the series yesterday, right?

Nope because this is a home chase. Their next home game is tomorrow.

[whtsox13]

The Cubs closed out the series yesterday, right?

Nope because this is a home chase. Their next home game is tomorrow.

Yikes. I'd 'forget' to bet that one if I was following this system.

<br>
<br>

[skyscrapers]

COMPLETED CHASES (May 01 Thu)

Chase #67: WIN (+1.0u)
ATL @ MIA [+1.5 RL] 1.76 (A) May 01 Thu - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (56-5) -3.715u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #53:
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.84 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-2.54u)
STL @ CHC [+1.5 RL] 1.88 (C) May 02 Fri 11:20a PDT

Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after May 02 Fri)

Chase #56:
HOU @ DET (A) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #62:
KC @ SEA (A) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (B) May 09 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 10 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #68:
CHC @ STL (A) May 12 Mon 5:05p PDT
CHC @ STL (B) May 13 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ STL (C) May 14 Wed 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #69:
MIL @ CIN [ML] (A) May 02 Fri 4:10p PDT
MIL @ CIN (B) May 03 Sat 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
MIL @ CIN (C) May 04 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #70:
NYM @ COL [ML] (A) May 02 Fri 5:40p PDT
NYM @ COL (B) May 03 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
NYM @ COL (C) May 04 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #71:
HOU @ BAL (A) May 09 Fri 4:05p PDT
HOU @ BAL (B) May 10 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ BAL (C) May 11 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)

[skyscrapers]

Watching the Cubbies line go up by the minute. Everyone and their mothers are on Wainwright.

[TakingVegasMoney]

And the cubbies win!! Woot

[skyscrapers]

And the cubbies win!! Woot

Didn't even need the run line

[whtsox13]

Well done! Was a good game to just watch, keep rollin'!

[skyscrapers]

COMPLETED CHASES (May 02 Fri)

Chase #53: WIN (+1.0u)
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.84 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-2.54u)
STL @ CHC [+1.5 RL] 1.88 (C) May 02 Fri -WIN (+4.675u)

Chase #70: WIN (+1.0u)
NYM @COL [ML] 1.76 (A) May 02 Fri - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (58-5) -1.715u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT

Chase #69:
MIL @ CIN [ML] 1.83 (A) May 02 Fri 4:10p PDT - LOSS (-1.205u)
MIL @ CIN [ML] 1.68 (B) May 03 Sat 4:10p PDT
MIL @ CIN (C) May 04 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after May 03 Sat)

Chase #56:
HOU @ DET (A) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #62:
KC @ SEA (A) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (B) May 09 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 10 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #68:
CHC @ STL (A) May 12 Mon 5:05p PDT
CHC @ STL (B) May 13 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ STL (C) May 14 Wed 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #71:
HOU @ BAL (A) May 09 Fri 4:05p PDT
HOU @ BAL (B) May 10 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ BAL (C) May 11 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #72:
STL @ CHC [+1.5 RL] 2.04 (A) May 03 Sat 10:05p PDT
STL @ CHC (B) May 04 Sun 5:05p PDT (If Necessary)
CWS @ CHC (C) May 05 Mon 5:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #73:
CWS @ CLE [ML] 1.61 (A) May 03 Sat 3:05p PDT
CWS @ CLE (B) May 04 Sun 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
MIN @ CLE (C) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #74:
TOR @ PIT [ML] 1.81 (A) May 03 Sat 4:05p PDT
TOR @ PIT (B) May 04 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)
SF @ PIT (C) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #75:
NYM @ COL [ML] 1.78 (A) May 03 Sat 5:10p PDT
NYM @ COL (B) May 04 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
TEX @ COL (C) May 05 Mon 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)

[Plaza23]

58-5 and still be underwater is tough. I dont think i could stomach winning 90% of chases and still be on losing end.

[snark]

Only a dumbasscould Plaza.

[mantorras77]

Only a dumbasscould Plaza.

im sure many thought this way in May of the last 3 years as well only to see that this system ended in at least +60 units profit each one of those year. Only a dumbass doesn't like profit and only a dumbass judges an MLB system in May. No system is flawless and there's no guarantee this system will end in a profit this year but you can't argue its success so far in the last 3 seasons.

[skyscrapers]

58-5 and still be underwater is tough. I dont think i could stomach winning 90% of chases and still be on losing end.

Welcome to chase systems my friend. High risk high reward.