2014 JM MLB Thread

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Want2Win
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-30-09
    • 440

    #666
    Originally posted by hagball52
    Also if you remember that Totals Plays service I was posting earlier, they are at a whopping 164-164. No advantage there either. I quit betting their plays on the 15th of June. Just tracking them for now.
    Thanks for the work and comments Hagball!
    Comment
    • Brundle99
      SBR Sharp
      • 10-23-10
      • 295

      #667
      What did you guys do for the CHW bets?.

      Hagball your feeling about LAA was right, I personally played LAA moneyline in the end.

      i don't normally deviate from the system, but sometimes when you have a feeling, you have to go with your gut, or don't play at all.
      Comment
      • SSSuperSergSSS
        SBR High Roller
        • 02-05-14
        • 115

        #668
        Yeah I know but my tip is free.... Dodger Shit in
        Comment
        • hagball52
          SBR MVP
          • 09-22-10
          • 3053

          #669
          JM MLB System
          2014 Official season series record 12-0 (V1)
          (A) 9-3

          (B) 2-1
          (C) 1-0
          (D) 0-0

          V2 plays 0-1

          V3 system 4-0

          Unofficial series
          15-0(1 series pending)
          (A) 10-6
          (B) 3-3

          (C) 2-0
          (D) 0-0
          V2 plays 2-2

          *Unofficial*
          07/01 Chicago White Sox (.490) v LA Angels (.519) +1.5 R/L (A) LOSS (B) V2 LOSS

          Next Plays
          *Unofficial*
          07/02 Chicago White Sox (.489) v LA Angels (.522) +1.5 R/L (C)

          Upcoming plays
          07/03 Oakland v Toronto
          07/03 Colorado v LA Dodgers
          07/07 Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
          07/07 Toronto @ LA Angels
          07/10 Texas v LA Angels
          07/11 Cleveland v Chicago White Sox
          07/11 Tampa Bay v Toronto
          07/11 Philadelphia v Washington
          07/11 Chicago Cubs v Atlanta

          Notes: The only thing I regret about yesterday is I wanted to parlay the 2 games on the Angels but didn't do it. Oh well, let's reel in the (C) bet today. I will make a small play on the Sox. Good Luck.

          P.S. There are 8 possible sweeps going today with 4 having future plays.

          P.P.S. If you noticed, the second game yesterday qualified as a V2 play so I scored it.

          The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.
          Comment
          • hagball52
            SBR MVP
            • 09-22-10
            • 3053

            #670
            Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
            Official season series record: 35-2
            Unofficial season series record: 24-2
            Unofficial series units -11.9 losses (CHC 04/13 18.00 units, SFO 04/22 17.9 units)
            Official series units +0.64 losses (TOR 06/13 18.07 units, BOS 06/220 17.53 units)

            Last Play(s) results:
            Official
            07/01 SDG over (C) WIN (+114)
            07/01 ARI over (A) LOSS (-115)

            Official Plays (1 series pending)
            (A) 19-19
            (B) 8-10
            (C) 5-5
            (D) 3-2
            Unofficial Plays

            (A) 15-11
            (B) 5-6
            (C) 3-3
            (D) 1-2

            Next Play(s):

            Official
            07/02 ARI over [B](B)B]

            NOTES: We've got 5 possible new plays going today.

            ***** Juice will be posted on the following day based on Covers.com closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total.

            Rules of the system can be found on post #41

            Disclaimer Notice:
            There have been questions about the results and accuracy of this system. All we have for past results can be found in post #357 (pg. 11) of this thread. There is no breakdown between unofficial and official before 2013 and no accounting of the (A), (B), (C) and (D) levels. Play at your own risk.
            Comment
            • hagball52
              SBR MVP
              • 09-22-10
              • 3053

              #671
              JM MLB System
              2014 Official season series record 12-0 (V1)
              (A) 9-3

              (B) 2-1
              (C) 1-0
              (D) 0-0

              V2 plays 0-1

              V3 system 4-0

              Unofficial series
              16-0
              (A) 10-6
              (B) 3-3

              (C) 3-0
              (D) 0-0
              V2 plays 2-2

              *Unofficial*
              07/02 Chicago White Sox (.489) v LA Angels (.522) R/L /M/L (C) WIN

              Next Plays
              Official
              07/03 Oakland (.531) v Toronto (.512) M/L (A) 4 gm. set

              *Unofficial*
              07/03 Colorado (.478) v LA Dodgers (.502) +1.5 R/L (A) 4 gm. set

              Upcoming plays
              07/07 Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
              07/07 Toronto @ LA Angels
              07/07 NY Mets v Atlanta
              07/10 Texas v LA Angels
              07/11 Cleveland v Chicago White Sox
              07/11 Tampa Bay v Toronto
              07/11 Philadelphia v Washington
              07/11 Chicago Cubs v Atlanta

              Notes: We picked up 4 new plays from sweeps yesterday.
              07/07 NYM v ATL
              07/21 COL v WAS
              08/15 NTT @ TAM
              09/08 HOU @ SEA

              The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.
              Comment
              • hagball52
                SBR MVP
                • 09-22-10
                • 3053

                #672
                Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
                Official season series record: 35-2
                Unofficial season series record: 24-2
                Unofficial series units -11.9 losses (CHC 04/13 18.00 units, SFO 04/22 17.9 units)
                Official series units +0.64 losses (TOR 06/13 18.07 units, BOS 06/220 17.53 units)

                Last Play(s) results:
                Official
                07/02 ARI over (B) LOSS (-120)

                Official Plays (1 series pending)
                (A) 19-19
                (B) 8-11
                (C) 5-5
                (D) 3-2
                Unofficial Plays

                (A) 15-11
                (B) 5-6
                (C) 3-3
                (D) 1-2

                Next Play(s):

                Official
                07/03 ARI over (C)

                NOTES: We've got no possible new plays going today.

                ***** Juice will be posted on the following day based on Covers.com closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total.

                Rules of the system can be found on post #41

                Disclaimer Notice:
                There have been questions about the results and accuracy of this system. All we have for past results can be found in post #357 (pg. 11) of this thread. There is no breakdown between unofficial and official before 2013 and no accounting of the (A), (B), (C) and (D) levels. Play at your own risk.
                Comment
                • BarstoolProphet
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-05-14
                  • 1151

                  #673
                  Hag, If you saved your results from Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system 2013. Could you break that down to just the overs and the unders. I have done it for this year 2014. Or at least the Unders.

                  Unders 2014

                  A) 13-8
                  B) 4-4
                  C) 2-2
                  D) 2-0

                  21-0 +21 units

                  Overs 2014 Combined

                  14-2 -21.6 units

                  I have it at a total of -.6 units instead of +.6 as you have it.

                  One more thing this is for Official Only , didnt bother with the Unofficial.

                  Comment
                  • hagball52
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-22-10
                    • 3053

                    #674
                    Originally posted by BarstoolProphet
                    Hag, If you saved your results from Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system 2013. Could you break that down to just the overs and the unders. I have done it for this year 2014. Or at least the Unders.

                    Unders 2014

                    A) 13-8
                    B) 4-4
                    C) 2-2
                    D) 2-0

                    21-0 +21 units

                    Overs 2014 Combined

                    14-2 -21.6 units

                    I have it at a total of -.6 units instead of +.6 as you have it.

                    One more thing this is for Official Only , didnt bother with the Unofficial.

                    I didn't run his system last year. He ran it and I don't think he kept a running tally other than the total wins ans losses. If you want you can go back and check last year's thread. Here's the link.http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-betting/2195472-john-morrison-2013-mlb-thread.html

                    Also on the total units I score it as bet to win on minus money plays and bet to risk on plus money plays.
                    Comment
                    • BarstoolProphet
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-05-14
                      • 1151

                      #675
                      Well Hagball, I didnt realize how easy it was to backtest this O/U system. Just time consuming. But I will share my thoughts on how to "tighten" up this system. Some think that it is just data mining, but if your filters actually have some bit of logic for their use. (rather than just finding ways to make past L's into W's. Then those logical filters should be considered. jmo

                      First I should point out: I did not include the games that had a push in between the 3 qualifying games. I did not see that post by allidoiswin in time, and back tested based on what I thought was correct. The logic is , if a game pushes in between games, if that totals line was moved a half point either way , then those games would not have been consecutive. Therefore I back tested so that the game had to either be O or under , no push in between. Just makes it a bit more logical to me. The idea of the 3 run rule is the offenses or the lack of, are failing to flip that median. So statistically they will regress towards that mean and flip the median and get the other side of that total. Hence why the Push should not be included. That just indicates that they have now regressed directly on the median. And could very well return to original domain.

                      By doing this it eliminated one big loss from 2013. Not that I "data mined" for it. It simply happened so I thought it through as to why.

                      Another observation that I made, was that it seemed that the AL didnt have as many big losses like the NL. In fact in 2012, my results had the NL with ALL the big losses.

                      2012 Results. (BTW Official and UnOfficial are all combined.) Saw no point or logic to not do so. other than the P in between games, which I have already removed.)

                      AL

                      55-0

                      NL

                      72-4

                      Now the only logic that I could apply here is the DH. And typically the totals are a FULL run more than they are in the NL. But that would only pertain to getting 3 qualifying games. For example, you basically need a game total (on Avg) of <4 in the NL as compared to <5 in the AL for an Over play, the opposite can be said of the under plays.

                      Still working on the numbers, But at quick glance we are all betting it wrong. I know a lot of action junkies may not want to get on board with my betting strategy, because it limits plays ,,,,,,but increases the ROI considerably. More on that later.

                      Need to go. Good Luck guys.
                      Comment
                      • hagball52
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-22-10
                        • 3053

                        #676
                        Originally posted by BarstoolProphet
                        Well Hagball, I didnt realize how easy it was to backtest this O/U system. Just time consuming. But I will share my thoughts on how to "tighten" up this system. Some think that it is just data mining, but if your filters actually have some bit of logic for their use. (rather than just finding ways to make past L's into W's. Then those logical filters should be considered. jmo

                        First I should point out: I did not include the games that had a push in between the 3 qualifying games. I did not see that post by allidoiswin in time, and back tested based on what I thought was correct. The logic is , if a game pushes in between games, if that totals line was moved a half point either way , then those games would not have been consecutive. Therefore I back tested so that the game had to either be O or under , no push in between. Just makes it a bit more logical to me. The idea of the 3 run rule is the offenses or the lack of, are failing to flip that median. So statistically they will regress towards that mean and flip the median and get the other side of that total. Hence why the Push should not be included. That just indicates that they have now regressed directly on the median. And could very well return to original domain.

                        By doing this it eliminated one big loss from 2013. Not that I "data mined" for it. It simply happened so I thought it through as to why.

                        Another observation that I made, was that it seemed that the AL didnt have as many big losses like the NL. In fact in 2012, my results had the NL with ALL the big losses.

                        2012 Results. (BTW Official and UnOfficial are all combined.) Saw no point or logic to not do so. other than the P in between games, which I have already removed.)

                        AL

                        55-0

                        NL

                        72-4

                        Now the only logic that I could apply here is the DH. And typically the totals are a FULL run more than they are in the NL. But that would only pertain to getting 3 qualifying games. For example, you basically need a game total (on Avg) of <4 in the NL as compared to <5 in the AL for an Over play, the opposite can be said of the under plays.

                        Still working on the numbers, But at quick glance we are all betting it wrong. I know a lot of action junkies may not want to get on board with my betting strategy, because it limits plays ,,,,,,but increases the ROI considerably. More on that later.

                        Need to go. Good Luck guys.
                        I am glad you are doing something with it. I also didn't like the push rule but it does make it an unofficial play so it should not be included in the discussion. I have not done any backtesting with this system. I just took it on because Allidoiswins was not going to post it this year. This will actually be the first year of this detailed of record keeping and going forward we may be able to study the numbers and come up with additional advantages. As it sits right now the system plays tend to go deep into the series (i.e. too many (C) and (D) bets). Normally you would like to see a much better win rate on the (A) and (B) bets. I do need to mention that I am not a fan of chase betting, especially a 4 game chase because that fourth loss is usually very devastating. It can wipe out weeks and weeks of hard earned profit. I usually look for an angle to play a system and reduce the risk and still make a profit. Between running these 2 systems, this and the JM MLB and my own personal capping it leaves me very little time to dig deep into numbers and stats. I also work full time and have taken on a teaching position part time. Also must mention that I'm older and very old school so that leaves me technically challenged. I have very basic computer skills. I appreciate anyone stepping up and trying to make something better. That's what this forum is for. We all come together and contribute. Just throw it out there for discussion and if it's good it'll fly and if it's not you will get eaten alive. There are some sharp minds in this thread. Good Luck.
                        Comment
                        • hagball52
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-22-10
                          • 3053

                          #677
                          JM MLB System
                          2014 Official season series record 13-0 (V1)
                          (A) 10-3

                          (B) 2-1
                          (C) 1-0
                          (D) 0-0

                          V2 plays 0-1

                          V3 system 4-0

                          Unofficial series
                          17-0
                          (A) 11-6
                          (B) 3-3

                          (C) 3-0
                          (D) 0-0
                          V2 plays 2-2

                          Official
                          07/03 Oakland (.531) v Toronto (.512) M/L (A) WIN

                          *Unofficial*
                          07/03 Colorado (.478) v LA Dodgers (.502) +1.5 R/L (A) WIN

                          Next Plays
                          Monday

                          Upcoming plays
                          07/07 Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
                          07/07 Toronto @ LA Angels
                          07/07 NY Mets v Atlanta
                          07/10 Texas v LA Angels
                          07/11 Cleveland v Chicago White Sox
                          07/11 Tampa Bay v Toronto
                          07/11 Philadelphia v Washington
                          07/11 Chicago Cubs v Atlanta

                          Notes: Nice night again last night. Just wanted to mention that over the course of the season there are usually about 5 or 6 system plays that are rock solid and the Oakland series was one of them. I played it for 5 units and didn't have to chase it so last night was a really good one for me.

                          P.S. I probably won't post again until Sunday. I'll be traveling today and Saturday. You all have a wonderful 4th of July holiday and Good Luck.

                          The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.
                          Comment
                          • hagball52
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-22-10
                            • 3053

                            #678
                            Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
                            Official season series record: 36-2
                            Unofficial season series record: 24-2
                            Unofficial series units -11.9 losses (CHC 04/13 18.00 units, SFO 04/22 17.9 units)
                            Official series units +1.68 losses (TOR 06/13 18.07 units, BOS 06/220 17.53 units)

                            Last Play(s) results:
                            Official
                            07/03 ARI over (C) WIN (+104)

                            Official Plays
                            (A) 19-19
                            (B) 8-11
                            (C) 6-5
                            (D) 3-2
                            Unofficial Plays

                            (A) 15-11
                            (B) 5-6
                            (C) 3-3
                            (D) 1-2

                            Next Play(s):

                            None

                            NOTES: We've got no possible new plays going today. I'll be back Sunday morning. Going on a little Holiday trip. Enjoy the 4th everyone in the USA and everyone else, have a nice weekend.

                            P.S. Can you believe that freaking game last night, 3-2 in the top of the 9th and I'm thinking Oh No not another (D) bet and then they plate 7 runs. Way to go!

                            ***** Juice will be posted on the following day based on Covers.com closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total.

                            Rules of the system can be found on post #41

                            Disclaimer Notice:
                            There have been questions about the results and accuracy of this system. All we have for past results can be found in post #357 (pg. 11) of this thread. There is no breakdown between unofficial and official before 2013 and no accounting of the (A), (B), (C) and (D) levels. Play at your own risk.
                            Comment
                            • hagball52
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-22-10
                              • 3053

                              #679
                              Allidoiswins, got another question for you. Does the All Star break have any effect on your series?
                              Comment
                              • BarstoolProphet
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-05-14
                                • 1151

                                #680
                                Good point Hagball. I too noticed that there has been far too many (c) and (d) plays. Which results in Negative EV on the (a) and (b) plays. Would really like to spell it out using math, but will bore every one. In short we are on to something here. and with solid logic to back it.

                                Simply put for now, still working out back tests for 5 more years at least to get a good sample size. But in short.

                                It will end up being only a 2 game chase.. C and D only. (I know action junkies will be sad with limited action) Plus it will need to be back tested far more years to get the sample size up considerably.

                                With a Minimum of a 2 -1 .

                                Would really like to get this to a 3-1 or even a 4-1.

                                Bets to win 2 units on C

                                Bet C losses and to win 1 unit on D.

                                This will yield by far the best ROI out there atm. And Hag it doesnt put you at that much risk. A 2 game chase is manageable.

                                Will be back after the weekend to work out back tests and filters. (Logical filters) Not stupid crap trends like this:

                                Teams that wear white uniforms on the 3rd Thursday of the month, and a night game. with a 30% or higher chance of rain. are a whopping 142-6 since the dawn of man.

                                As soon as anyone starts with crap like this , I tune them out.
                                Comment
                                • hagball52
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-22-10
                                  • 3053

                                  #681
                                  We've got 3 possible o/u plays going today. Will be back tomorrow. In Flagstaff Arizona enjoying ccool weather right now.
                                  Comment
                                  • hagball52
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-22-10
                                    • 3053

                                    #682

                                    JM MLB System

                                    2014 Official season series record 13-0 (V1)
                                    (A) 10-3

                                    (B) 2-1
                                    (C) 1-0
                                    (D) 0-0

                                    V2 plays 0-1

                                    V3 system 4-0

                                    Unofficial series
                                    17-0
                                    (A) 11-6
                                    (B) 3-3

                                    (C) 3-0
                                    (D) 0-0
                                    V2 plays 2-2

                                    Next Plays
                                    Monday

                                    Upcoming plays
                                    07/07 Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
                                    07/07 Toronto @ LA Angels
                                    07/07 NY Mets v Atlanta
                                    07/10 Texas v LA Angels
                                    07/11 Cleveland v Chicago White Sox
                                    07/11 Tampa Bay v Toronto
                                    07/11 Philadelphia v Washington
                                    07/11 Chicago Cubs v Atlanta

                                    Notes: I'm in deep trouble. My computer crashed and I've lost everything. Hopefully I can take it in and they can save it. All my records for everything are on there. Fortunately I can retrieve the JM MLB stuff from this thread but other stuff is gone for now. We've got one possible future play from a sweep today and a continuation to track on Houston. If they get swept today they play a 2 game series in September.

                                    The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.
                                    Comment
                                    • hagball52
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-22-10
                                      • 3053

                                      #683
                                      Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
                                      Official season series record: 36-2
                                      Unofficial season series record: 24-2
                                      Unofficial series units -11.9 losses (CHC 04/13 18.00 units, SFO 04/22 17.9 units)
                                      Official series units +1.68 losses (TOR 06/13 18.07 units, BOS 06/220 17.53 units)

                                      Last Play(s) results:


                                      Official Plays
                                      (A) 19-19
                                      (B) 8-11
                                      (C) 6-5
                                      (D) 3-2
                                      Unofficial Plays

                                      (A) 15-11
                                      (B) 5-6
                                      (C) 3-3
                                      (D) 1-2

                                      Next Play(s):

                                      None

                                      NOTES: We've got 2 possible official plays going today and 1 possible unofficial. Luckily I've been hand tracking this system on paper because my computer took a big shit and I've lost everything for now. Hoping I can find a way to fix it. I'm so pissed off because I've worked so hard this season. If it's all gone I may just take a break for awhile.

                                      ***** Juice will be posted on the following day based on Covers.com closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total.

                                      Rules of the system can be found on post #41

                                      Disclaimer Notice:
                                      There have been questions about the results and accuracy of this system. All we have for past results can be found in post #357 (pg. 11) of this thread. There is no breakdown between unofficial and official before 2013 and no accounting of the (A), (B), (C) and (D) levels. Play at your own risk.
                                      Comment
                                      • farva88
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 01-29-11
                                        • 35

                                        #684
                                        Hi Hagball,

                                        In the future, look into a free online backup storage service such as google drive, dropbox, iCloud, etc to ensure you don't lose any of your data. I personally use Google drive and it's great as you can access your saved documents anywhere. Hopefully you can retrieve your data as you've put lots of time into it and we appreciate it.
                                        Cheers
                                        Comment
                                        • remeedella
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-17-12
                                          • 4089

                                          #685
                                          Originally posted by hagball52

                                          JM MLB System

                                          2014 Official season series record 13-0 (V1)
                                          (A) 10-3

                                          (B) 2-1
                                          (C) 1-0
                                          (D) 0-0

                                          V2 plays 0-1

                                          V3 system 4-0

                                          Unofficial series
                                          17-0
                                          (A) 11-6
                                          (B) 3-3

                                          (C) 3-0
                                          (D) 0-0
                                          V2 plays 2-2

                                          Next Plays
                                          Monday

                                          Upcoming plays
                                          07/07 Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
                                          07/07 Toronto @ LA Angels
                                          07/07 NY Mets v Atlanta
                                          07/10 Texas v LA Angels
                                          07/11 Cleveland v Chicago White Sox
                                          07/11 Tampa Bay v Toronto
                                          07/11 Philadelphia v Washington
                                          07/11 Chicago Cubs v Atlanta

                                          Notes: I'm in deep trouble. My computer crashed and I've lost everything. Hopefully I can take it in and they can save it. All my records for everything are on there. Fortunately I can retrieve the JM MLB stuff from this thread but other stuff is gone for now. We've got one possible future play from a sweep today and a continuation to track on Houston. If they get swept today they play a 2 game series in September.

                                          The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.

                                          if you are looking for a single file off a HDD/SSD like a spreadsheet or whatever it will be much easier to find. Simply don't reformat that disk, get a new system built off another disk (install windows, etc) Get your own deep scan software that can retrieve files that have been lost/formatted, let it scan for many hours overnight and try and allocate that 1 file and have it rebuilt. I'm sure it's not gone, you can do this yourself.
                                          Comment
                                          • hagball52
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-22-10
                                            • 3053

                                            #686
                                            Originally posted by farva88
                                            Hi Hagball,

                                            In the future, look into a free online backup storage service such as google drive, dropbox, iCloud, etc to ensure you don't lose any of your data. I personally use Google drive and it's great as you can access your saved documents anywhere. Hopefully you can retrieve your data as you've put lots of time into it and we appreciate it.
                                            Cheers
                                            Originally posted by remeedella


                                            if you are looking for a single file off a HDD/SSD like a spreadsheet or whatever it will be much easier to find. Simply don't reformat that disk, get a new system built off another disk (install windows, etc) Get your own deep scan software that can retrieve files that have been lost/formatted, let it scan for many hours overnight and try and allocate that 1 file and have it rebuilt. I'm sure it's not gone, you can do this yourself.
                                            Thanks for the help. My computer won't turn on. The power button lights up but no screen. You try to shut it off and it goes off for a few seconds and the the power lights comes back on. I have to pull the battery to kill it. We are working with HP and their tech department but will probably have to send it in. I will probably import the JM records to my home pc which is an antique and it moves slower than molasses in January. In the future I will find out how to back up files in case this happens again. I think I've probably lost a lot of what I've done this year and I'll just have to move forward. I ust don't have the time to go back and recapture everything.
                                            <br>
                                            <br>
                                            Comment
                                            • hagball52
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-22-10
                                              • 3053

                                              #687

                                              JM MLB System
                                              2014 Official season series record 13-0 (V1)
                                              (A) 10-3

                                              (B) 2-1
                                              (C) 1-0
                                              (D) 0-0

                                              V2 plays 0-1
                                              V3 system 4-0
                                              Unofficial series
                                              17-0
                                              (A) 11-6
                                              (B) 3-3

                                              (C) 3-0
                                              (D) 0-0
                                              V2 plays 2-2

                                              Next Plays
                                              *Unofficial*
                                              07/07 Philadelphia
                                              (.477) @ Milwaukee (.518) +1.5 R/L (A) 4 gm. set
                                              07/07 Toronto (.509)@ LA Angels (.523) +1.5 R/L (A) 3 gm. set **
                                              07/07 NY Mets
                                              (.485) v Atlanta (.509) +1.5 R/L (A) 4 gm. set

                                              ** The Toronto series is unofficial because the LA Angels are #2 in the rpi which makes it an unofficial play according to the "Champs" filters.

                                              Upcoming plays
                                              07/10 Texas v LA Angels
                                              07/11 Cleveland v Chicago White Sox
                                              07/11 Tampa Bay v Toronto
                                              07/11 Philadelphia v Washington
                                              07/11 Chicago Cubs v Atlanta

                                              Notes: We picked up one system play from a sweep yesterday and another has to be tracked.
                                              09/08 PHI v PIT
                                              09/02 HOU v LAA (2 gm. set) need to track

                                              P. S. I will be traveling from Friday the 11th through Tuesday the 15th. Not sure how that is going to work out with my laptop being down. I may need someone to step up and cover the plays for a few days. Ill know more by Thursday.

                                              The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.Points Awarded:
                                              Comment
                                              • hagball52
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-22-10
                                                • 3053

                                                #688
                                                Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
                                                Official season series record: 36-2
                                                Unofficial season series record: 24-2
                                                Unofficial series units -11.9 losses (CHC 04/13 18.00 units, SFO 04/22 17.9 units)
                                                Official series units +1.68 losses (TOR 06/13 18.07 units, BOS 06/220 17.53 units)

                                                Last Play(s) results:


                                                Official Plays
                                                (A) 19-19
                                                (B) 8-11
                                                (C) 6-5
                                                (D) 3-2
                                                Unofficial Plays

                                                (A) 15-11
                                                (B) 5-6
                                                (C) 3-3
                                                (D) 1-2

                                                Next Play(s):

                                                None

                                                NOTES: We've got 2 possible official plays going today.

                                                ***** Juice will be posted on the following day based on Covers.com closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total.

                                                Rules of the system can be found on post #41

                                                Disclaimer Notice:
                                                There have been questions about the results and accuracy of this system. All we have for past results can be found in post #357 (pg. 11) of this thread. There is no breakdown between unofficial and official before 2013 and no accounting of the (A), (B), (C) and (D) levels. Play at your own risk.
                                                Comment
                                                • farva88
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 01-29-11
                                                  • 35

                                                  #689
                                                  Originally posted by hagball52
                                                  Thanks for the help. My computer won't turn on. The power button lights up but no screen. You try to shut it off and it goes off for a few seconds and the the power lights comes back on. I have to pull the battery to kill it. We are working with HP and their tech department but will probably have to send it in. I will probably import the JM records to my home pc which is an antique and it moves slower than molasses in January. In the future I will find out how to back up files in case this happens again. I think I've probably lost a lot of what I've done this year and I'll just have to move forward. I ust don't have the time to go back and recapture everything.
                                                  <br>
                                                  <br>
                                                  I work in IT, and have a decent background on retrieving data from hard rives. From the sounds of it, it doesn't sound like the hard drive has completely crapped out on you, so chances are you will be able to retrieve those files. There's always a way to get those files off It's just a matter of how much value it is and how much you want to spend.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • reddevils64
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 10-15-13
                                                    • 116

                                                    #690
                                                    Can someone please explain how Toronto is a bet today, LAA beat them 3-1 in the last series.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • play4win
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-23-11
                                                      • 2208

                                                      #691
                                                      Originally posted by hagball52

                                                      JM MLB System
                                                      2014 Official season series record 13-0 (V1)
                                                      (A) 10-3

                                                      (B) 2-1
                                                      (C) 1-0
                                                      (D) 0-0

                                                      V2 plays 0-1
                                                      V3 system 4-0
                                                      Unofficial series
                                                      17-0
                                                      (A) 11-6
                                                      (B) 3-3

                                                      (C) 3-0
                                                      (D) 0-0
                                                      V2 plays 2-2

                                                      Next Plays
                                                      *Unofficial*
                                                      07/07 Philadelphia
                                                      (.477) @ Milwaukee (.518) +1.5 R/L (A) 4 gm. set
                                                      07/07 Toronto (.509)@ LA Angels (.523) +1.5 R/L (A) 3 gm. set **
                                                      07/07 NY Mets
                                                      (.485) v Atlanta (.509) +1.5 R/L (A) 4 gm. set

                                                      ** The Toronto series is unofficial because the LA Angels are #2 in the rpi which makes it an unofficial play according to the "Champs" filters.

                                                      Upcoming plays
                                                      07/10 Texas v LA Angels
                                                      07/11 Cleveland v Chicago White Sox
                                                      07/11 Tampa Bay v Toronto
                                                      07/11 Philadelphia v Washington
                                                      07/11 Chicago Cubs v Atlanta

                                                      Notes: We picked up one system play from a sweep yesterday and another has to be tracked.
                                                      09/08 PHI v PIT
                                                      09/02 HOU v LAA (2 gm. set) need to track

                                                      P. S. I will be traveling from Friday the 11th through Tuesday the 15th. Not sure how that is going to work out with my laptop being down. I may need someone to step up and cover the plays for a few days. Ill know more by Thursday.

                                                      The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.Points Awarded:
                                                      why is toronto a play?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • rkelly110
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 10-05-09
                                                        • 39691

                                                        #692
                                                        Tony's e-mail says only Phi and Mets. Let's get 'em boys.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • reddevils64
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-15-13
                                                          • 116

                                                          #693
                                                          Have you heard about his Exterminator V2 ? Do you know how it works ?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • hagball52
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-22-10
                                                            • 3053

                                                            #694
                                                            Originally posted by reddevils64
                                                            Can someone please explain how Toronto is a bet today, LAA beat them 3-1 in the last series.
                                                            Originally posted by play4win

                                                            why is toronto a play?
                                                            Originally posted by rkelly110
                                                            Tony's e-mail says only Phi and Mets. Let's get 'em boys.
                                                            Don't know how I got that one wrong. Mustabeenasleepatthewheel that day. Glad you all caught it. I think the "Champ" is following our thread because right after I post, his emails go out.

                                                            <br>
                                                            <br>
                                                            <br>
                                                            <br>
                                                            &lt;br&gt;<br>
                                                            &lt;br&gt;<br>
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hagball52
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-22-10
                                                              • 3053

                                                              #695
                                                              Originally posted by farva88
                                                              I work in IT, and have a decent background on retrieving data from hard rives. From the sounds of it, it doesn't sound like the hard drive has completely crapped out on you, so chances are you will be able to retrieve those files. There's always a way to get those files off It's just a matter of how much value it is and how much you want to spend.
                                                              Thanks for your input. We are sending my laptop back to HP. It is still under warranty and hopefully all files are not lost. I'm leaving on a 5 day trip on Friday and it may be back by the time we return. So we'll see how things shake out by the middle of next week. I may need some advice after that so I'll seek you out if necessary.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hagball52
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-22-10
                                                                • 3053

                                                                #696
                                                                Originally posted by rkelly110
                                                                Tony's e-mail says only Phi and Mets. Let's get 'em boys.
                                                                I got 2 emails from him. The first one had all 3 plays and then the correction came after that.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ghislaine
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-14-10
                                                                  • 1131

                                                                  #697
                                                                  Thanks for all You do Hagball. I am actually a subs to JM but seems every season the emails come more erratically and def sometimes not on time Your efforts do not go unappreciated or unnoted. So Hope You get Your data back too !
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • allidoiswin89
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-22-11
                                                                    • 915

                                                                    #698
                                                                    Hag, all star break doesn't affect the system. Also, ill be interested to see what results return when backtesting AL <4 runs to qualify a play. As far as the breakdown goes, unfortunately I cant provide hard numbers as I.mentioned I have since had to buy a new computer and lost the data on the.backtest after I posted the results last year. However, I had done an analysis and playing a two game chase on C and D bets was not as profitable as the current way the system is designed. Trust me, I didnt design the system to accumulate as many plays as possible. Thus far I would say this has been the biggest struggle to pick up early series' win.

                                                                    I am hopeful that this is not a sign that this system will flame out in its 6th year as many do on here.

                                                                    But please do post results on qualifying plays for the AL when using 4 runs as the base. I know I looked at greater than 4 and even 5 for both AL and NL and it was less profitable as it reduced a lot more plays and didnt eliminate the handful of losses that occured with the 3 run filter over time. As mentioned, this could have been NL that was throwing my data off as it is true that AL games are ticked up a run or so on average and I didnt ever separate the leagues....would add a little complexity when looking there are AL/NL games as the current system is fairly easy to track
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hagball52
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-22-10
                                                                      • 3053

                                                                      #699
                                                                      JM MLB System
                                                                      2014 Official season series record 13-0 (V1)
                                                                      (A) 10-3

                                                                      (B) 2-1
                                                                      (C) 1-0
                                                                      (D) 0-0

                                                                      V2 plays 0-1
                                                                      V3 system 4-0
                                                                      Unofficial series
                                                                      19-0
                                                                      (A) 13-6
                                                                      (B) 3-3

                                                                      (C) 3-0
                                                                      (D) 0-0
                                                                      V2 plays 2-2

                                                                      *Unofficial*
                                                                      07/07 Philadelphia
                                                                      (.477) @ Milwaukee (.518) R/L/M/L (A) WIN
                                                                      07/07 NY Mets (.485) v Atlanta (.509) R/L/M/L (A) WIN

                                                                      Next Plays
                                                                      V3
                                                                      07/08 Milwaukee
                                                                      (.516) v Philadelphia (.478) M/L (A) 3 gm. set

                                                                      Upcoming plays
                                                                      07/10 Texas v LA Angels
                                                                      07/11 Cleveland v Chicago White Sox
                                                                      07/11 Tampa Bay v Toronto
                                                                      07/11 Philadelphia v Washington
                                                                      07/11 Chicago Cubs v Atlanta

                                                                      Notes: Sorry about the screw up on the Toronto series. I eliminated it and did not score it. I should have checked the series to qualify it but without my regular computer I overlooked it. No excuses, I'll be more dilligent going forward.

                                                                      P. S. I will be traveling from Friday the 11th through Tuesday the 15th. Not sure how that is going to work out with my laptop being down. I may need someone to step up and cover the plays for a few days. I'll know more by Thursday.

                                                                      The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.Points Awarded: Points Awarded:
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • hagball52
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-22-10
                                                                        • 3053

                                                                        #700
                                                                        Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
                                                                        Official season series record: 36-2
                                                                        Unofficial season series record: 24-2
                                                                        Unofficial series units -11.9 losses (CHC 04/13 18.00 units, SFO 04/22 17.9 units)
                                                                        Official series units +1.68 losses (TOR 06/13 18.07 units, BOS 06/220 17.53 units)

                                                                        Last Play(s) results:


                                                                        Official Plays
                                                                        (A) 19-19
                                                                        (B) 8-11
                                                                        (C) 6-5
                                                                        (D) 3-2
                                                                        Unofficial Plays

                                                                        (A) 15-11
                                                                        (B) 5-6
                                                                        (C) 3-3
                                                                        (D) 1-2

                                                                        Next Play(s):

                                                                        None

                                                                        NOTES: We've got 3 possible official plays going today.

                                                                        ***** Juice will be posted on the following day based on Covers.com closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total.

                                                                        Rules of the system can be found on post #41

                                                                        Disclaimer Notice:
                                                                        There have been questions about the results and accuracy of this system. All we have for past results can be found in post #357 (pg. 11) of this thread. There is no breakdown between unofficial and official before 2013 and no accounting of the (A), (B), (C) and (D) levels. Play at your own risk.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...