Todays Action, 2009 M.L.B. Thread

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  • ankh4all2
    SBR Sharp
    • 07-11-09
    • 254

    #5111
    Originally posted by VegasPlayer
    Early games:

    LAD RL -125 1 Unit
    SD -107 7 Units - Gotta get 1 out of 6 don't they? Pitching so well lately, but
    no offensive punch.

    Late Games:

    DET RL +120 2.5 Units
    HOU +117 4.5 Units
    COL +110 4 Units


    3-2 +5.0 Units

    Lesson Learned. Don't chase unless you have the stones to see it all the way through. 4 of 5 plays yesterday were chases. The 4 teams were a combined 0-19 going into yesterday. Early play on SD wins, but goes into extra's. Trying to save on juice I play ML and RL on early evening games and they end up being 1 run also and go the wrong way. Correct way to chase should have been RL HOU and ML DET. COL bails me out in yet another 1 run game. 4 chases going at the same time with big juice is not fun, nor economical especially in September. If not for the chase, would not even have considered SD or HOU. If I ever do this again, everyone has permission to publicly berate me. I'll take a positive day, but I will never go through this process again.
    VP,
    I hear ya, mathematiclly I can't see how a chase can add up?? It appears to me that it still boils down to two things, winning percentage and money managment.
    Comment
    • ankh4all2
      SBR Sharp
      • 07-11-09
      • 254

      #5112
      Originally posted by t4_ever
      Congrat to All boston pick todya
      t4_ever, TA & All,
      Any chance the 1st base ump, Kellogg, now behind the plate today, gives a call or two back to LAA?? Also, Kellogg is a bit of an away team ump!
      Comment
      • Rixsaw
        SBR MVP
        • 10-23-08
        • 4532

        #5113
        Det u7.5 -110 1u.

        Good luck all.
        Comment
        • VegasPlayer
          SBR MVP
          • 07-27-09
          • 3676

          #5114
          Yes ANK, Too much risk vs return and an extremely nerve wracking process. I consider myself lucky this time around, but statistically, this thing is bound to fail. Could have gone either way yesterday.
          Time to move on to bigger and better things rather than sweat out a couple units.
          Comment
          • Nastrovje
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-01-09
            • 187

            #5115
            todays plays
            2* Royals (+101)
            Comment
            • VegasPlayer
              SBR MVP
              • 07-27-09
              • 3676

              #5116
              Early Play:

              KC ML/U7.5 Parlay +248 .5 Units
              Comment
              • ankh4all2
                SBR Sharp
                • 07-11-09
                • 254

                #5117
                I like the under too!
                Why do I feel like TA is going to come in with DET and/with a starfish??

                GL to all!!
                Comment
                • VegasPlayer
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-27-09
                  • 3676

                  #5118
                  Ya never know.....
                  Comment
                  • AceofSP2107
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-28-09
                    • 717

                    #5119
                    Plays 3-1

                    1. NYM/ATL 2u
                    2. WAS/PHI 2u

                    GL
                    Comment
                    • oda11
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-05-09
                      • 3250

                      #5120
                      Originally posted by AceofSP2107
                      Plays 3-11. NYM/ATL 2u 2. WAS/PHI 2u GL
                      Good luck with your system!
                      Comment
                      • oda11
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-05-09
                        • 3250

                        #5121
                        Cubs ML -145 10 units.

                        Good luck everyone.
                        Comment
                        • TodaysAction
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-01-08
                          • 12762

                          #5122
                          Originally posted by ankh4all2
                          I like the under too!
                          Why do I feel like TA is going to come in with DET and/with a starfish??

                          GL to all!!
                          ankh4all2,

                          I tried to get here to post for that situation. I did get it listed at twitter after getting a generous positive line but it will not count here.
                          Comment
                          • oda11
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-05-09
                            • 3250

                            #5123
                            Originally posted by TodaysAction
                            ankh4all2, I tried to get here to post for that situation. I did get it listed at twitter after getting a generous positive line but it will not count here.
                            Twitter?
                            Comment
                            • TodaysAction
                              Restricted User
                              • 08-01-08
                              • 12762

                              #5124
                              Originally posted by ankh4all2
                              t4_ever, TA & All,
                              Any chance the 1st base ump, Kellogg, now behind the plate today, gives a call or two back to LAA?? Also, Kellogg is a bit of an away team ump!
                              ankh4all2,

                              Umps should be consistent and fair. They do have a way of calling each game. Knowing how they call balls and strikes should be taken into your selection process - at least in my opinion.
                              Comment
                              • TodaysAction
                                Restricted User
                                • 08-01-08
                                • 12762

                                #5125
                                Originally posted by oda11
                                Twitter?
                                I use it as a back-up/secondary location for the day/night wagers in case SBR goes off-line.
                                Comment
                                • oda11
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-05-09
                                  • 3250

                                  #5126
                                  Originally posted by TodaysAction
                                  I use it as a back-up/secondary location for the day/night wagers in case SBR goes off-line.

                                  Would love to know how to find ya
                                  Comment
                                  • TodaysAction
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 08-01-08
                                    • 12762

                                    #5127
                                    Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                                    Early games:

                                    LAD RL -125 1 Unit
                                    SD -107 7 Units - Gotta get 1 out of 6 don't they? Pitching so well lately, but
                                    no offensive punch.

                                    Late Games:

                                    DET RL +120 2.5 Units
                                    HOU +117 4.5 Units
                                    COL +110 4 Units


                                    3-2 +5.0 Units

                                    Lesson Learned. Don't chase unless you have the stones to see it all the way through. 4 of 5 plays yesterday were chases. The 4 teams were a combined 0-19 going into yesterday. Early play on SD wins, but goes into extra's. Trying to save on juice I play ML and RL on early evening games and they end up being 1 run also and go the wrong way. Correct way to chase should have been RL HOU and ML DET. COL bails me out in yet another 1 run game. 4 chases going at the same time with big juice is not fun, nor economical especially in September. If not for the chase, would not even have considered SD or HOU. If I ever do this again, everyone has permission to publicly berate me. I'll take a positive day, but I will never go through this process again.
                                    How's your nerves now? You doing ok? Glad you ended up on the correct side of the ledger for the night. Might want to think about putting a ceiling into the fray - just my two cents on it.

                                    Originally posted by ankh4all2
                                    I Like G Tech too!
                                    Total should not be ignored.
                                    Comment
                                    • 18kk
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 09-15-09
                                      • 118

                                      #5128
                                      Just got the bad sweep last night. Hope I can come back with some wins. I like WAS over 9 and CLE ML. Both are 1u.
                                      Comment
                                      • CupWanted
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 08-27-09
                                        • 592

                                        #5129
                                        Originally posted by TodaysAction
                                        How's your nerves now? You doing ok? Glad you ended up on the correct side of the ledger for the night. Might want to think about putting a ceiling into the fray - just my two cents on it.


                                        Total should not be ignored.
                                        what side of the total are you looking at TA? lot of people on the under but Miami's defense looked awful vs. Fla State (who struggled to score 20 vs. Jacksonville State) and Clemson but up a big number on Ga. Techs D. I'm leaning over and Ga. Tech.
                                        Comment
                                        • VegasPlayer
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-27-09
                                          • 3676

                                          #5130
                                          Yea, I'm all right. Just embarrassed more than anything else for putting myself into the situation. Should no better. Ruined a pretty good record too. Still some chance to catch up tho.
                                          Comment
                                          • MexicanStallion
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-08-08
                                            • 20429

                                            #5131
                                            September 17th
                                            A's +100 (10 to win 10)
                                            Braves -240 (24 to win 10)
                                            Orioles -101 (10.10 to win 10)
                                            Red Sox -157 (15.70 to win 10)
                                            White Sox -124 (12.40 to win 10)
                                            Comment
                                            • oda11
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-05-09
                                              • 3250

                                              #5132
                                              O's
                                              Comment
                                              • oda11
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 06-05-09
                                                • 3250

                                                #5133
                                                Took Cubs at +250 for 1 unit while they were down 2 - 4, let's see how that goes...
                                                Comment
                                                • AceofSP2107
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 07-28-09
                                                  • 717

                                                  #5134
                                                  Originally posted by oda11
                                                  Good luck with your system!
                                                  thanks ODA gl with your plays
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Nastrovje
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 09-01-09
                                                    • 187

                                                    #5135
                                                    Originally posted by Nastrovje
                                                    todays plays
                                                    3* Royals (+101) WON
                                                    +3.03

                                                    adding
                                                    3* Indians (-101)
                                                    3* Marlins/Reds under 9 (+100)
                                                    2* Nationals/Phillies over 9 (-115) Netprofit
                                                    1.5* Red Sox (-162)
                                                    1.5* White Sox (-130)

                                                    1.5* Rays (-107)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TodaysAction
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 08-01-08
                                                      • 12762

                                                      #5136
                                                      Originally posted by CupWanted
                                                      what side of the total are you looking at TA? lot of people on the under but Miami's defense looked awful vs. Fla State (who struggled to score 20 vs. Jacksonville State) and Clemson but up a big number on Ga. Techs D. I'm leaning over and Ga. Tech.
                                                      Should have it posted in Shits & Giggles (College Football Forum) once the last person who entered a points contest posts or at 7:31pm EST - whichever one comes first.

                                                      Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                                                      Yea, I'm all right. Just embarrassed more than anything else for putting myself into the situation. Should no better. Ruined a pretty good record too. Still some chance to catch up tho.
                                                      Please take no offense when I tell you this, a "pretty" record does not mean you will always be cash positive. Taking it a step further, I'd rather go 1-4-0 and be up 4.50 units than 4-1-0 and be down 2.75 units. Only ones who need that "pretty" record are touts and I'm fairly certain you and others know my thoughts about them.

                                                      Originally posted by MexicanStallion
                                                      September 17th
                                                      A's +100 (10 to win 10)
                                                      Braves -240 (24 to win 10)
                                                      Orioles -101 (10.10 to win 10)
                                                      Red Sox -157 (15.70 to win 10)
                                                      White Sox -124 (12.40 to win 10)
                                                      Time to turn it around tonight,

                                                      Originally posted by Nastrovje
                                                      +2.01

                                                      adding
                                                      2* Indians (-101)
                                                      1* Red Sox (-162)
                                                      1* White Sox (-130)

                                                      1* Rays (-107)

                                                      went up with the size of a unit, because of that I play less units
                                                      1 unit is now 150 and not 100
                                                      with the added ones

                                                      Since you've changed unit size, please indicate your record in BOTH units since a win and loss is worth more at the higher juice.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Nastrovje
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 09-01-09
                                                        • 187

                                                        #5137
                                                        too complicated I change the units
                                                        Comment
                                                        • VegasPlayer
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-27-09
                                                          • 3676

                                                          #5138
                                                          Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                                                          Early Play:

                                                          KC ML/U7.5 Parlay +248 .5 Units
                                                          PHI RL -140 1 Unit
                                                          FL -113 1 Unit
                                                          OAK -103 1 Unit
                                                          Comment
                                                          • t4_ever
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-20-09
                                                            • 762

                                                            #5139
                                                            Hi Oda11,

                                                            Gtech $1.9 + Pheonix -1 $1.9 = $3.61

                                                            Combine them into 1 game with odds = $3.61

                                                            Go for it mate... !!! For sure this will nail it
                                                            Comment
                                                            • VegasPlayer
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-27-09
                                                              • 3676

                                                              #5140
                                                              Please take no offense when I tell you this, a "pretty" record does not mean you will always be cash positive. Taking it a step further, I'd rather go 1-4-0 and be up 4.50 units than 4-1-0 and be down 2.75 units. Only ones who need that "pretty" record are touts and I'm fairly certain you and others know my thoughts about them.


                                                              None Taken. Could care less about W-L as long as units are +.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • $KARMA$
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 08-04-09
                                                                • 390

                                                                #5141
                                                                Originally posted by CupWanted
                                                                what side of the total are you looking at TA? lot of people on the under but Miami's defense looked awful vs. Fla State (who struggled to score 20 vs. Jacksonville State) and Clemson but up a big number on Ga. Techs D. I'm leaning over and Ga. Tech.
                                                                Agree! Tech's secondary (not the entire D) is who got lit up in that Clemson game, but their O looks good. Leaning with Ga. as well, but line is now 4 not 5.5 like it was yesterday. There's some ATS stats that work for G.T. as well. I'm still looking it over, but really like the Y.J.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Spaceviews
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 06-04-09
                                                                  • 799

                                                                  #5142
                                                                  Good Evening to ALLHope everyones selections work in their favor. I've learned alot from
                                                                  all of the different contributions freely given on this thread. THANKS ALOT GUYS & AS ALWAYS.......
                                                                  BREAK A LEG EVERYONE!!!!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TodaysAction
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 08-01-08
                                                                    • 12762

                                                                    #5143
                                                                    Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                                                                    Please take no offense when I tell you this, a "pretty" record does not mean you will always be cash positive. Taking it a step further, I'd rather go 1-4-0 and be up 4.50 units than 4-1-0 and be down 2.75 units. Only ones who need that "pretty" record are touts and I'm fairly certain you and others know my thoughts about them.


                                                                    None Taken. Could care less about W-L as long as units are +.
                                                                    Time for you to turn things over and remove that red. Hope you saw what in & for tonight's game.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TodaysAction
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 08-01-08
                                                                      • 12762

                                                                      #5144
                                                                      Originally posted by Nastrovje
                                                                      too complicated I change the units
                                                                      Not all all, is EASY. Other choice list only new unit size record or list money up or down for all.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • $KARMA$
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 08-04-09
                                                                        • 390

                                                                        #5145
                                                                        LAA 1.0 U
                                                                        Comment
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