Reading lines, value, BTCL, and some other "tools" let´s talk about it, shall we?

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  • ItsMeMrMattE
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-30-10
    • 5294

    #106
    suggested plays based on movement only:

    #4 ATL RL (-115)
    #5 CIN (-138)
    #6 KC (-138)
    #7 PIT (+163)
    Comment
    • ItsMeMrMattE
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-30-10
      • 5294

      #107
      correct line moves: day 11

      NYY 3
      TB 1
      CLE 3
      WAS 3
      MIN 3
      CIN 6
      DET 4
      PIT 2
      KC 6
      TEX 4
      TOR 2
      BOS 3
      SEA 3
      SF 2
      CHW 2
      ATL 3
      MIL 2
      BAL 3
      STL 1
      NYM 3
      ARI 2
      COL 2
      CHC 1
      SD 2
      LAA 1
      OAK 1
      HOU 1
      LAD 1

      suggested plays based on movement only:

      #4 ATL RL (-115)
      #5 CIN (-138)
      #6 KC (-138)
      #7 PIT (+163)


      4-3, 62/837
      Comment
      • ItsMeMrMattE
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-30-10
        • 5294

        #108
        suggested plays based on movement only:

        #8 NYY (-127)
        #9 PIT (+105)
        #10 LAD RL (+125)
        Comment
        • ItsMeMrMattE
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-30-10
          • 5294

          #109
          correct line moves: day 12

          NYY 4
          TB 1
          CLE 3
          WAS 4
          MIN 3
          CIN 6
          DET 5
          PIT 3
          KC 6
          TEX 4
          TOR 3
          BOS 3
          SEA 3
          SF 2
          CHW 2
          ATL 3
          MIL 2
          BAL 3
          STL 1
          NYM 3
          ARI 2
          COL 2
          CHC 1
          SD 2
          LAA 1
          OAK 1
          HOU 1
          LAD 2

          suggested plays based on movement only:

          #8 NYY (-127)
          #9 PIT (+105)

          #10 LAD RL (+125)

          6-4, 167/1164
          Comment
          • ItsMeMrMattE
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-30-10
            • 5294

            #110
            suggested plays based on movement only:

            #11 WAS (-157)
            Comment
            • ItsMeMrMattE
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-30-10
              • 5294

              #111
              #12 sd (-149)
              Comment
              • ItsMeMrMattE
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-30-10
                • 5294

                #112
                correct line moves: day 13

                NYY 4
                TB 1
                CLE 3
                WAS 4
                MIN 3
                CIN 6
                DET 5
                PIT 3
                KC 6
                TEX 4
                TOR 4
                BOS 3
                SEA 3
                SF 2
                CHW 2
                ATL 3
                MIL 2
                BAL 3
                STL 1
                NYM 3
                ARI 2
                COL 2
                CHC 1
                SD 2
                LAA 1
                OAK 2
                HOU 1
                LAD 2

                #11 WAS (-157)
                #12 sd (-149)



                6-6, -139/1470
                Comment
                • x187soldier
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 02-12-13
                  • 18

                  #113
                  hey mr matte. I have been tracking these movements for awhile and I have tried them for a bit. One solution could be sticking to specific teams that win when the line movement is in your favor to win. Also perhaps maybe a specific time slot are losers while other time slot are winners. Just some ideas. LMK
                  Comment
                  • ItsMeMrMattE
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-30-10
                    • 5294

                    #114
                    Originally posted by x187soldier
                    hey mr matte. I have been tracking these movements for awhile and I have tried them for a bit. One solution could be sticking to specific teams that win when the line movement is in your favor to win. Also perhaps maybe a specific time slot are losers while other time slot are winners. Just some ideas. LMK
                    <br>

                    ya i need to tweak suggested plays for sure. hitting 50% aint gonna cut it. especially if im paying a little xtra than most to see where the money is going each night by waiting to see the line move. sticking to specific teams could be a good solution.
                    Comment
                    • snakedrew
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-24-13
                      • 157

                      #115
                      Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
                      correct line moves: day 13

                      #11 WAS (-157)
                      #12 sd (-149)

                      Can I ask why you took those two for plays?
                      Tracking the line movement, i had TOR with a 12c line movement (open to close) with a 30% public play and KC 11c line movement with a 24% public play.
                      The WAS line moved a shit ton but was a 62% public play.

                      Just wondering what the qualifications were for your plays, thats all
                      Comment
                      • ItsMeMrMattE
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-30-10
                        • 5294

                        #116
                        Originally posted by snakedrew

                        Can I ask why you took those two for plays?
                        Tracking the line movement, i had TOR with a 12c line movement (open to close) with a 30% public play and KC 11c line movement with a 24% public play.
                        The WAS line moved a shit ton but was a 62% public play.

                        Just wondering what the qualifications were for your plays, thats all
                        i have no specific qualifications for the suggested plays. they were just 2 teams that i thouht were gonna win. keep in mind to that i am not actually playing these picks my actual picks are in my theard called picks. just doing some crude line tracking in this thread is all.
                        Comment
                        • ItsMeMrMattE
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-30-10
                          • 5294

                          #117
                          suggested plays based on movement only:

                          #13 DET RL (-105)
                          #14 COL (+165)
                          #15 PIT (-155)
                          #16 TB (-140) x2
                          #17 ATL (-178)
                          #18 TEX (-175) x2
                          #19 MIL (+129)
                          #20 CHW (+108)
                          Comment
                          • ItsMeMrMattE
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-30-10
                            • 5294

                            #118
                            correct line moves: day 14

                            NYY 4
                            TB 2
                            CLE 3
                            WAS 4
                            MIN 3
                            CIN 6
                            DET 5
                            PIT 4
                            KC 6
                            TEX 4
                            TOR 4
                            BOS 3
                            SEA 3
                            SF 2
                            CHW 3
                            ATL 4
                            MIL 3
                            BAL 3
                            STL 1
                            NYM 3
                            ARI 2
                            COL 3
                            CHC 2
                            SD 2
                            LAA 1
                            OAK 3
                            HOU 1
                            LAD 2

                            suggested plays based on movement only:

                            #13 DET RL (-105)
                            #14 COL (+165)
                            #15 PIT (-155)
                            #16 TB (-140) x2
                            #17 ATL (-178)

                            #18 TEX (-175) x2
                            #19 MIL (+129)
                            #20 CHW (+108)

                            12-8, 208/2838

                            Comment
                            • ItsMeMrMattE
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-30-10
                              • 5294

                              #119
                              suggested plays based on movement only:

                              #21 CHC (+121)
                              #22 NYM (+104)
                              #23 LAA (-191)
                              #24 OAK (-153)
                              Comment
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