Bet against a team that loses by 5 or more chase

[spankmythighs]

Apr 27th

batlfm

gm4: Bos
gm2: Det
gm2: Laa
gm1: Atl
gm1: Pitt

shutout
gm4: Bos
gm3: Chi
gm3: Nyy
gm2: Laa
gm1: Cinc
gm1: Atl
gm1: Nym
gm1: Oak

trending
chase
gm5: Cinc
gm3: Mil
gm2: Cle
gm2: Ari
gm2: Pitt
gm1: Bos
gm1: Cws
gm1: Tex

fade
gm2: Phi
gm1: Minn
gm1: Oak
gm1: Sf

there are todays plays. Gl!

[Zmoney]

So if cincy loses the next two games. That's considered 1 chase loss?

guess i cursed the loss here with back to back cincy losses lol

[spankmythighs]

apr 27th

batlfm

gm4: Bos loss
gm2: Det loss
gm2: Laa win
gm1: Atl win
gm1: Pitt loss

shutout
gm4: Bos loss
gm3: Chi loss
gm3: Nyy loss
gm2: Laa win
gm1: Cinc win
gm1: Atl win
gm1: Nym win
gm1: Oak win

trending
chase
gm5: Cinc loss
gm3: Mil win
gm2: Cle loss
gm2: Ari win
gm2: Pitt win
gm1: Bos win
gm1: Cws loss
gm1: Tex loss

fade
gm2: Phi loss
gm1: Minn loss
gm1: Oak win
gm1: Sf win

there are todays plays. Gl!

todays plays up shortly.

[spankmythighs]

Apr 28th

batlfm

gm5: Bos
gm3: Det
gm2: Pitt
gm1: Nym
gm1: Tex
gm1: Cws

shutout

gm5: Bos
gm4: Chi
gm4: Nyy

trending

chase
gm6: Cincy
gm3: Cle
gm2: Cws
gm2: Tex
gm1: Bal
gm1: Nyy
gm1: Was
gm1: Chi
gm1: Sd

fade
gm3: Phi
gm2: Minn
gm1: Tor
gm1: Hou
gm1: Atl
gm1: Nym
gm1: Mia
gm1: Cincy

lots of plays todays! A couple 5 and 6 gamers. Gl!

[spankmythighs]

Updated records:

Batlfm- 83-1
shutout- 54-1
trending- 77-0

combined- 214-2, +78 units.

[mrk77]

Are you chasing cleveland Game 2 tonight?

[texhooper]

I will give you guys a summary of what is happening. BATLFM=Bet Against a Team that Loses by Five or More. So the teams listed are all teams that have lost by 5 or more. We bet against the teams listed under the BATLFM system. The Shutout system is very similar except we are betting against a team that has recently been shutout. So the teams listed under Shutout, we are also betting against. Trending is quite simple aswell. Chase a team on a 3-game win streak for 6 games and fade a team that is on a 3-game losing streak for 6 games. All of the systems are played up to 6 games. If after 6 games you don't win, that is considered a loss.

according to this cincinnati wouldn't have gone to 6 games (congrats on that win today, btw) because they beat the cubs the other day 1-0. are you chasing the runline on favorites? how about dogs, are you chasing those moneylines?

[spankmythighs]

Are you chasing cleveland Game 2 tonight?

Yep on it now!

[spankmythighs]

according to this cincinnati wouldn't have gone to 6 games (congrats on that win today, btw) because they beat the cubs the other day 1-0. are you chasing the runline on favorites? how about dogs, are you chasing those moneylines?

Yup you are right. My fault guys. Thank goodness for the win.

[Jago2008]

Yup you are right. My fault guys. Thank goodness for the win.

So according to your system you will be chasing Cleveland after a 9-0 loss or fading them?? From reading previously I assume fading them since ur a proponent of trends.

[texhooper]

So according to your system you will be chasing Cleveland after a 9-0 loss or fading them?? From reading previously I assume fading them since ur a proponent of trends.

fading. refer to the title of the thread.

[spankmythighs]

So according to your system you will be chasing Cleveland after a 9-0 loss or fading them?? From reading previously I assume fading them since ur a proponent of trends.

Cleveland is a chase because they won 3 in a row and we have been chasing them since. They were under the Trending System which states whether or not we r chasing or fading. They were an 8 unit chase and 1 unit fade.

[spankmythighs]

Remember that you can have a team on chase and fade under the TRENDING SYSTEM. Take Cleveland for instance. After the early game, they were still a chase but also became a game 1 fade.

[spankmythighs]

fading. refer to the title of the thread.

Yes a 1 unit fade under BATLFM and SHUTOUT but an 8 unit chase under TRENDING

[easyliving]

this looks promising so far, can you explain the unit amount for each bet? So do we bet to win 1 unit on the first bet and double up all the way till the 6th bet with the final bet being to win 32 units? I would think with multiple chases and days where theirs multiple games to bet you'd eventually have a day where you need to bet over 100 units.

also when fading a team its always on the ML right? and when their are interfering fades you bet both sides right?

[spankmythighs]

this looks promising so far, can you explain the unit amount for each bet? So do we bet to win 1 unit on the first bet and double up all the way till the 6th bet with the final bet being to win 32 units? I would think with multiple chases and days where theirs multiple games to bet you'd eventually have a day where you need to bet over 100 units.

also when fading a team its always on the ML right? and when their are interfering fades you bet both sides right?

You are correct on all accounts. Exactly.

[spankmythighs]

Picks and results in the morning.

[easyliving]

You are correct on all accounts. Exactly.

what percentage of my BR is a unit. for example if I start off with 1,000 what is my unit size?

[Jago2008]

fading. refer to the title of the thread.

Cleveland is a chase because they won 3 in a row and we have been chasing them since. They were under the Trending System which states whether or not we r chasing or fading. They were an 8 unit chase and 1 unit fade.

Thanks for your input guys. I'd like to follow this, there are some valuable trends to follow here.

[spankmythighs]

apr 28th

batlfm

gm5: Bos loss
gm3: Det loss
gm2: Pitt loss
gm1: Nym win
gm1: Tex win
gm1: Cws win

shutout

gm5: Bos loss
gm4: Chi win
gm4: Nyy loss

trending

chase
gm6: Cincy win
gm3: Cle loss added: Gm4: Cle win
gm2: Cws loss
gm2: Tex loss
gm1: Bal loss
gm1: Nyy win
gm1: Was loss
gm1: Chi loss
gm1: Sd win

fade
gm3: Phi loss
gm2: Minn loss
gm1: Tor win
gm1: Hou win
gm1: Atl win
gm1: Nym win
gm1: Mia loss
gm1: Cincy loss

lots of plays todays! A couple 5 and 6 gamers. Gl!

results from yesterday.

[spankmythighs]

Apr 29th

batlfm

gm6: Bos
gm4: Det
gm3: Pitt
gm2: Cle
gm1: Hou
gm1: Cws
gm1: Tex
gm1: Stl
gm1: Atl
gm1: Kc

shutout

gm6: Bos
gm5: Nyy
gm2: Cle
gm1: Tex
gm1: Stl
gm1: Mil

trending

chase
gm3: Cws
gm3: Tex
gm2: Bal
gm2: Was
gm2: Chi
gm1: Det
gm1: Phi

fade
gm4: Phi
gm3: Minn
gm2: Mia
gm2: Cincy

those are todays plays. Keep in mind some of these plays may not begin today as they are not playing. Gl!

[spankmythighs]

what percentage of my br is a unit. For example if i start off with 1,000 what is my unit size?

between 2.5% and 5% would be wise.

[Stewy]

I like these systems. I started late so I've only been trying it for three days. I'm thinking about Boston's game with the Blue Jays tomorrow. That will be the sixth game on two of the systems. That might be a time to take the spread on Jays and just cross our fingers. They've had a few one run losses lately.

[spankmythighs]

between 2.5% and 5% would be wise.

Sorry I meant .25%-.5%.

[spankmythighs]

I like these systems. I started late so I've only been trying it for three days. I'm thinking about Boston's game with the Blue Jays tomorrow. That will be the sixth game on two of the systems. That might be a time to take the spread on Jays and just cross our fingers. They've had a few one run losses lately.

Yes definitely.

[spankmythighs]

Can Houston beat the Yanks once in the next 2 games? Or should we look at RL +1.5?

[spankmythighs]

I think we should consider playing the RL when odds are -180 and higher.

[spankmythighs]

Can Houston beat the Yanks once in the next 2 games? Or should we look at RL +1.5?

Haha, looks like they can.

[spankmythighs]

apr 29th

batlfm

gm6: Bos resumes today
gm4: Det loss
gm3: Pitt win
gm2: Cle loss
gm1: Hou loss
gm1: Cws resume today
gm1: Tex resume today
gm1: Stl win
gm1: Atl loss
gm1: Kc win

shutout

gm6: Bos resume today
gm5: Nyy win
gm2: Cle loss
gm1: Tex resume today
gm1: Stl win
gm1: Mil loss

trending

chase
gm3: Cws resume today
gm3: Tex resume today
gm2: Bal loss
gm2: Was loss
gm2: Chi win
gm1: Det win
gm1: Phi resume today

fade
gm4: Phi resume today
gm3: Minn win
gm2: Mia loss
gm2: Cincy loss

those are todays plays. Keep in mind some of these plays may not begin today as they are not playing. Gl!

picks for today will be out later.

[dalogester]

I am following for this season and might play next season but how do you guys keep track of the plays with so many games being played at different levels. i.e. Game 1, Game 2, Game 5, Game 6.

Wouldn't this be really hard to keep track of? Do you just use your betting history and go in and see how much you bet and continue chasing that amount plus what you lost to win for the next game?

[spankmythighs]

Just think of it this way, the first 2 systems, BATLFM and Shutout, we are betting against the teams listed. The Trending system is clearly seperated into chasing and fading. You find that you are hedging alot but thats ok just follow along.

Gm1 = wager to win 1 unit
Gm2 = wager to win 2 units
Gm3 = wager to win 4 units
Gm4 = wager to win 8 units
Gm5 = wager to win 16 units
Gm6 = wager to win 32 units

[spankmythighs]

Apr 30th

batlfm

gm6: Bos
gm5: Det
gm3: Cle
gm2: Hou
gm2: Atl
gm1: Cws
gm1: Tex
gm1: Nyy
gm1: Kc
gm1: Pitt
gm1: Lad

shutout

gm6: Bos
gm3: Cle
gm2: Mil
gm1: Tex
gm1: Kc


trending

chase
gm3: Cws
gm3: Tex
gm3: Bal
gm3: Was
gm1: Phi
gm1: Sea

fade
gm4: Phi
gm3: Mia
gm3: Cincy
gm1: Laa
gm1: Stl

those are todays play. Think i will take the jays at +1.5 for one of the two plays.

[spankmythighs]

Updated records:

Batlfm: 89-1
shutout: 57-1
trending: 88-0

combined: 234-2, +98 units

[dalogester]

oh gosh good luck guys on the boston and detroit game... im gonna start tailing with game 1's only

[spankmythighs]

oh gosh good luck guys on the boston and detroit game... im gonna start tailing with game 1's only

Was thinking the same thing about the Houston game last night. Very surprising.