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Warriors vs. Kings Player Props & Odds: Predictions for Curry, Fox, Sabonis

Rob Paul

Last Updated: April 16, 2024 6:25 PM EDT • 4 min 18 sec read.

Stephen Curry of the Golden State Warriors attempts a 3-point jump shot in the fourth quarter against Dyson Daniels of the New Orleans Pelicans. We're backing Curry in our Warriors vs. Kings player props.
Stephen Curry of the Golden State Warriors attempts a 3-point jump shot in the fourth quarter against Dyson Daniels of the New Orleans Pelicans. Photo by Kavin Mistry/Getty Images via AFP.

The Golden State Warriors clash with the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday in the NBA Play-In Tournament with a playoff berth on the line, and we're offering our top Warriors vs. Kings player props based on the best NBA odds.

A year after their epic duel in the 2023 NBA playoffs, the No. 10 seed Golden State Warriors (46-36) face off against the No. 9 seed Sacramento Kings (46-36) in the second game of the NBA Play-In Tournament. Tipoff is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET from the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif.

Despite the Kings having a home-court advantage, the Warriors are favored by 2.5 points across our best sports betting sites behind the strong play of late from Stephen Curry. The winner of this game will strengthen its NBA championship prospects and set up a matchup against the loser of the Los Angeles Lakers vs. New Orleans Pelicans play-in game.

We have you covered for that affair, too, with our Lakers vs. Pelicans player props & odds and LeBron James NBA player props.

Here are our best Warriors vs. Kings player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Warriors vs. Kings player props

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Warriors vs. Kings prop bet predictions

Stephen Curry Over 5.5 made 3-pointers (+145 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Even in a down for the Warriors' high standards, Curry has been keeping the team alive and is the reason Golden State holds a shot at the playoffs. While he may not be among the NBA MVP odds favorites for once, Curry is still the NBA's scariest triggerman. He led the Association in made 3-pointers per game in 2023-24 by a decent margin (4.8, 0.7 more than the next best).

Due to his precision from deep, a few of our best sports betting apps are offering his line on 3-pointers made at just 4.5 with odds as short as -160. However, the alt-line at FanDuel is a great value in comparison. The -160 odds represent a 61.54% implied probability Curry hits at least five 3-pointers, according to our odds calculator. But if he hits just one more, a $10 wager will lead to a $14.50 profit with the +145 odds.

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Six made 3-pointers may be a significant ask for most players, but Curry is the best to ever do it from behind the arc and has gone Over 5.5 made 3-pointers in 29 of 74 games this season (39.1%). This matchup against the Kings also lends well to the veteran producing a big night from deep, as Sacramento allows the second-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA (38.7%).

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De'Aaron Fox Under 28.5 points (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

It's been a polarizing season for De'Aaron Fox. At one point it looked like he would be leading the Kings to their second straight NBA playoff appearance. But late-season missteps led to Sacramento tumbling down the standings in the West. Fox's inconsistent play was tied to that spiral, and now he faces a challenging matchup against Golden State with the Kings' playoff hopes on the line.

While Fox is averaging a team-best 26.6 points per game, the All-Star's production has been sporadic during 2023-24. He's logged 14 games with fewer than 20 points, 11 of which have come since January. After averaging more than 29 points per contest during the first three months of the season, Fox's scoring output slipped to 24.6 over the final four months of the campaign. 

This is a Golden State defense that may not scare opponents, but has done a good job against point guards this season, holding them to just 23.9 points per game. That's why we'll happily take the -108 odds via DraftKings with this same prop as short as -118 at our other best sports betting sites. The -118 odds imply a 54.13% probability Fox hits the Under, but at our odds a $10 bet pays out $19.26.

Domantas Sabonis Over 39.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The play of Domantas Sabonis has been keeping Sacramento's head above water when Fox struggles. The Kings forward was an All-Star snub in 2024, but he also joined an elite group while becoming just the 11th player in NBA history with 50 career triple-doubles. His well-rounded game has made him one of the most unique players in the NBA and a complete matchup nightmare for opponents.

Not known as an elite scorer (19.4 points per game), Sabonis impacts the game other ways. He led the NBA in rebounds this season (13.7) and was sixth in assists (8.2). At 6-foot-10 and 240 pounds, his size and skill should cause issues for a Warriors team that doesn't boast a player over 6-foot-8 in its main seven-man rotation.

Golden State's defense has endured its problems against big men, too. It's allowing a combined 43.05 points, rebounds, and assists to centers in 2023-24 - including the most assists per game to them in the NBA (4.8).

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This prop varies across our top NBA betting sites, and can be had at 38.5 with shorter odds, but we're going with DraftKings. We love this matchup for Sabonis and think he can get to Over 39.5 points, rebounds, and assists, and at these odds a $10 bet can become a $9.52 profit if he does get there.

The same prop is -115 elsewhere, which implies a 53.49% probability Sabonis hits the Over. 

Warriors vs. Kings game info & odds

  • When: Tuesday, April 16
  • Tip-off: 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, Calif.
  • How to watch: TNT
  • Favorite: Warriors -2.5 (-112 via DraftKings)

Warriors-Kings player props made Monday at 11:40 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Rob Paul
A diehard Pittsburgh Steelers fan, Rob's passion for the NFL led him to the NFL Draft, which in turn sparked his love for collegiate sports. Growing up, he was particularly obsessed with the old Big East, MAC, and the Big Ten. That obsession led him to pursue a career in sports media, first as a local reporter, and now as a betting analyst. There's nothing Rob loves more than spending hours on the couch watching college football/basketball, NFL, NBA, or MLB, and hopefully hitting a few bets.