1. 08-30-16 05:20 PM #1
    BigBusiness
    Drug dealin money
    BigBusiness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-12
    Posts: 3,226
    Betpoints: 542

    is Serena Williams @ -515 a lock today??????

    Early exit in the Olympics, she should be a force to be reckoned with today, right?

    Or should I steer clear?

    Any info greatly appreciated.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 08-30-16 05:23 PM #2
    funnyb25
    Go Get Laid Man!
    funnyb25's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-09
    Posts: 39,622
    Betpoints: 24008

    She is a lock tonight
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 08-30-16 05:25 PM #3
    unde0087
    Did we win?
    unde0087's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-27-08
    Posts: 28,146
    Betpoints: 131

    First off, there is no such thing as a lock, and secondly, betting that kind of juice you might as well call your book and tell them to just keep your money. They will have it soon enough anyways
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 08-30-16 05:35 PM #4
    BigBusiness
    Drug dealin money
    BigBusiness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-12
    Posts: 3,226
    Betpoints: 542

    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post
    First off, there is no such thing as a lock, and secondly, betting that kind of juice you might as well call your book and tell them to just keep your money. They will have it soon enough anyways
    Yeah but this is purely a situational bet. Embarrassing early exit from the olympics. No way she loses early in the us open as well.

    She wants to show everyone it was a fluke and you just know she's going to be at the top of her game tonight. Might have to take the chance here......
    Last edited by BigBusiness; 08-30-16 at 06:17 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 08-30-16 05:41 PM #5
    unde0087
    Did we win?
    unde0087's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-27-08
    Posts: 28,146
    Betpoints: 131

    Quote Originally Posted by BigBusiness View Post
    Yeah but this is purely a situational bet. Embarrassing early exit from the olympics. No way she loses early in the wimbeldon as well.

    She should be at the top of her game tonight and has something to prove.
    Guy, you asked, I am just telling you, even if she will win 99.9999% of the time betting that juice it's a loser. You get more out of it by not playing. Betting massive ml will never be worth it because you have to wager way too much for zero return and if she loses then you just wagered most of your bankroll, all because You thought she can't lose. Too me it's fukin stupid, just my 2 cents. GL to you if you pull the trigger.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 08-30-16 05:49 PM #6
    BigBusiness
    Drug dealin money
    BigBusiness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-12
    Posts: 3,226
    Betpoints: 542

    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post
    Guy, you asked, I am just telling you, even if she will win 99.9999% of the time betting that juice it's a loser. You get more out of it by not playing. Betting massive ml will never be worth it because you have to wager way too much for zero return and if she loses then you just wagered most of your bankroll, all because You thought she can't lose. Too me it's fukin stupid, just my 2 cents. GL to you if you pull the trigger.
    Yes, I know and I very rarely bet lines this steep. The last time was 4 years ago I believe. I know nothing is a lock when it comes to sports, but this seems like a really good spot to take a chance.

    Thanks for your insight by the way.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 08-30-16 05:53 PM #7
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Her real
    Line is -110 every match now due to age and injuries
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Optional
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 1
  8. 08-30-16 05:55 PM #8
    JohnnyRudeboy
    Bull In A China Shop
    JohnnyRudeboy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-30-09
    Posts: 1,646
    Betpoints: 4095

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Her real
    Line is -110 every match now due to age and injuries
    And hormonal imbalances
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 08-30-16 05:56 PM #9
    GoBlue77
    GoBlue77's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-20-11
    Posts: 9,166
    Betpoints: 19052

    line had been dropping ever since released. id bet macaroni just for value sake
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 08-30-16 05:59 PM #10
    BigBusiness
    Drug dealin money
    BigBusiness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-12
    Posts: 3,226
    Betpoints: 542

    fckk it I'm tired of thinking about it.

    I've locked on to Serena.
    Good luck to everyone involved
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 08-30-16 06:12 PM #11
    BigBusiness
    Drug dealin money
    BigBusiness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-12
    Posts: 3,226
    Betpoints: 542

    Her sister just won, she be even more motivation to get this win.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 08-30-16 06:21 PM #12
    DrunkHorseplayer
    Redskins forever
    DrunkHorseplayer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-15-10
    Posts: 7,185
    Betpoints: 19599

    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post
    Guy, you asked, I am just telling you, even if she will win 99.9999% of the time betting that juice it's a loser. You get more out of it by not playing. Betting massive ml will never be worth it because you have to wager way too much for zero return and if she loses then you just wagered most of your bankroll, all because You thought she can't lose. Too me it's fukin stupid, just my 2 cents. GL to you if you pull the trigger.
    This is 100% wrong. if you believe she's 90% to win then -515 is superb value. Value does exist on chalk, albeit not nearly as often as on dogs.
    Points Awarded:

    Optional gave DrunkHorseplayer 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 08-30-16 06:27 PM #13
    unde0087
    Did we win?
    unde0087's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-27-08
    Posts: 28,146
    Betpoints: 131

    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    This is 100% wrong. if you believe she's 90% to win then -515 is superb value. Value does exist on chalk, albeit not nearly as often as on dogs.
    Agree to disagree.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 08-30-16 06:33 PM #14
    BigBusiness
    Drug dealin money
    BigBusiness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-12
    Posts: 3,226
    Betpoints: 542

    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    This is 100% wrong. if you believe she's 90% to win then -515 is superb value. Value does exist on chalk, albeit not nearly as often as on dogs.
    I believe there is GREAT value in tonight's serena. Early exit from olympics, wants to shut up all of the critics, her sister just won her match, she should come out motivated and on her game.

    Got it at an even 500 at bookmaker by the way!
    Last edited by BigBusiness; 08-30-16 at 06:36 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 08-30-16 06:48 PM #15
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post

    This is 100% wrong. if you believe she's 90% to win then -515 is superb value. Value does exist on chalk, albeit not nearly as often as on dogs.
    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post

    Agree to disagree.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 08-30-16 07:05 PM #16
    mighty maron
    USA Bra over 2.5
    mighty maron's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-09
    Posts: 4,215
    Betpoints: 85

    I can see Serena going the way and weight of Aretha Franklin 7 years after retirement
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 08-30-16 07:54 PM #17
    BigBusiness
    Drug dealin money
    BigBusiness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-12
    Posts: 3,226
    Betpoints: 542

    Have a good night everyone!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 08-30-16 08:03 PM #18
    Pingpong4590
    Pingpong4590's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-23-16
    Posts: 2
    Betpoints: 24

    Nice call
    Haters gon hate
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 08-30-16 08:08 PM #19
    RudyRuetigger
    Leave of absence until March Madness
    RudyRuetigger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-10
    Posts: 64,799
    Betpoints: 55

    Quote Originally Posted by Boner_18 View Post
    there is nothing wrong with unde's advice. I don't share it in this instance, but everyone agrees with him... at some (input fav) odds they wouldn't bet even though the value is there.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 08-30-16 08:24 PM #20
    BigBusiness
    Drug dealin money
    BigBusiness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-12
    Posts: 3,226
    Betpoints: 542

    Quote Originally Posted by Pingpong4590 View Post
    Nice call
    Haters gon hate
    Thx man! Like I said, it's extremely rare that I bet a line like this. It's been years, but the line should have been set around -1000 to -1200.

    -500 was too good to pass up after an epic early collapse in the olympics.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 08-30-16 08:39 PM #21
    funnyb25
    Go Get Laid Man!
    funnyb25's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-09
    Posts: 39,622
    Betpoints: 24008

    Like I said in Post #2....she was a lock tonight...good simple cash..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 08-30-16 08:55 PM #22
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Good call
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 08-30-16 10:39 PM #23
    lebronjordan
    lebronjordan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-27-16
    Posts: 10
    Betpoints: 18

    one thing she doesn't do is lose 1st rounds at grand slams
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »