1. #281
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Kubot +200 (bet365) (risking 0.381x to win 0.762x)

    Never thought I'd have another crack at it this year but here goes.. Chance to get back even.

  2. #282
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 0-1, -0.381x
    Total: 125-132-3, -1.143x

    Stephens -188 (bet365) (risking 1.41x to win 0.75x)
    Verdasco +133 (pinnacle) (risking 0.75x to win 0.998x)
    Kuznetsova -139 (pinnacle) (risking 0.695x to win 0.5x)

  3. #283
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 1-1, -0.91x
    Total: 126-133-3, -2.053x

  4. #284
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Stosur/Halep over 22 -103 (pinnacle) (risking 0.773x to win 0.75x)

  5. #285
    ExodusNZ
    ExodusNZ's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-02-11
    Posts: 605
    Betpoints: 1314

    Quote Originally Posted by Seto View Post
    Stosur/Halep over 22 -103 (pinnacle) (risking 0.773x to win 0.75x)
    (I already locked this in when it was released) - But seems everyone is on this play!!!

    Either a great play or public burial tonight

  6. #286
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Quote Originally Posted by ExodusNZ View Post
    (I already locked this in when it was released) - But seems everyone is on this play!!!

    Either a great play or public burial tonight
    Well I'm not sure it was public, but I sure got buried. Fukking Stosur couldn't win 2 more games after breaking to start the 2nd. Sickening. Must say Halep played well but still..

  7. #287
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 0-1, -0.773x
    Total: 126-134-3, -2.826x

  8. #288
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Chardy/Isner over 24.5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

  9. #289
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 0-1, -1.1x
    Total: 126-135-3, -3.926x

    Slumping again

  10. #290
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Dolgopolov+1.5 sets -138 (pinnacle) (risking 0.69x to win 0.5x)

  11. #291
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today (updated): 0-2, -1.79x
    Total: 126-136-3, -4.616x

    Dimitrov/Federer over 22.5 -113 (pinnacle) (risking 1.413x to win 1.25x)
    Federer 2-1 +338 (pinnacle) (risking 0.25x to win 0.845x)
    Kvitova -107 (pinnacle) (risking 1.338x to win 1.25x)
    Janowicz+1.5 sets -118 (pinnacle) (risking 0.885x to win 0.75x)

  12. #292
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 2-2, +0.337x
    Total: 128-138-3, -4.279x

    Rarely have I had a winning day and been so utterly distraught after it. I probably shouldn't post all the horrible things I'm wishing on Dimitrov now so I won't, but man this one won't be easy to forget..

  13. #293
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Almagro+1.5 sets -101 (risking 0.756x to win 0.75x)
    Kvitova +126 (risking 0.75x to win 0.945x)

    both pinny

  14. #294
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    shoulda read 0.758x to win 0.75x

    Today: 0-2, -1.508x
    Total: 128-140-3, -5.787x

  15. #295
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Nishikori/Benneteau over 22.5 -106 (risking 0.53x to win 0.5x)
    Benneteau -115 (risking 0.575x to win 0.5x)
    Chardy -211 (risking 1.055x to win 0.5x)

    all pinny

  16. #296
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 0-3, -2.16x
    Total: 128-143-3, -7.947x


  17. #297
    Hardcoar
    Curious Nick and Tenacious Kokk
    Hardcoar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-13
    Posts: 15,606
    Betpoints: 4615

    En Francais!

  18. #298
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Quote Originally Posted by Hardcoar View Post
    En Francais!
    Ces gros fdp de français m'ont bien baisé

  19. #299
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Svitolina +900 (paddy power) (risking 0.25x to win 2.25x)

    100% counting on Halep to tank but in a meaningless match why not.

  20. #300
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 0-1, -0.25x
    Total: 128-144-3, -8.197x

  21. #301
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Gasquet+1.5 sets +150 (risking 0.5x to win 0.75x)
    Ferrer +102 (risking 0.5x to win 0.51x)

    both pinny

  22. #302
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 1-1, +0.01x
    Total: 129-145-3, -8.187x

  23. #303
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Berdych -125 (william hill) (risking 0.625x to win 0.5x)

  24. #304
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 0-1, -0.625x
    Total: 129-146-3, -8.812x

  25. #305
    Hardcoar
    Curious Nick and Tenacious Kokk
    Hardcoar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-13
    Posts: 15,606
    Betpoints: 4615

    : (

    It was a coin-flip to the best of my ability (of telling), but Bird really should have taken some of his early-christmas-present chances in 1:st and 2:nd. The way the match was playing out the 2:nd tiebreak going 7-0 was amazing.

  26. #306
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Quote Originally Posted by Hardcoar View Post
    : (

    It was a coin-flip to the best of my ability (of telling), but Bird really should have taken some of his early-christmas-present chances in 1:st and 2:nd. The way the match was playing out the 2:nd tiebreak going 7-0 was amazing.
    It was a garbage match I thought.

    I really need to stick to slams and occasional big spot plays like Nole against Nadal a few weeks ago. Getting killed betting these random shitshows in other tournaments. Or at least reduce my unit size until I figure out how to win in those.

  27. #307
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Ferrer -111 (pinnacle) (risking 0.555x to win 0.5x)

    Just can't help myself. At least going small these past few days..

  28. #308
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 0-1, -0.555x
    Total: 129-147-3, -9.367x

  29. #309
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Gasquet +995 (pinnacle) (risking 1x to win 9.95x)

    Purely a last-ditch effort to end the season in the black.. Still think this is a good play though, Djoker lost to Tsonga in a similar meaningless match a few years ago at the Finals. Hopefully he cares less than Halep did a week ago against Svitolina. Thankfully Gasquet isn't a scrub like Svitolina so I'll at least have a shot (once again hopefully).

  30. #310
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 0-1, -1x
    Total: 129-148-3, -10.367x

    Meh, was worth the try. Had Gasquet managed to pull out the 1st things just may have been different. Probably shoulda hit the spread too, especially the +1.5 sets, but I was just focused on that last-ditch attempt and wrong choices have pretty much been the story of the season. I've said it a few times then come back into or near the black, but this time I think my first losing season at SBR in any sport is pretty much a sure thing (can't see myself going big on either semi nor the final, still might have a play), kinda bummed but oh well. Hopefully I do better in 2014.

  31. #311
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Djokovic-9 -101 (pinnacle) (risking 5.05x to win 5x)
    Djokovic/Stepanek under 28.5 -109 (pinnacle) (risking 5.45x to win 5x)
    Djokovic-11 +313 (pinnacle) (risking 2x to win 6.26x)
    Djokovic-12.5 +600 (paddy power) (risking 0.75x to win 4x)
    Djokovic-14.5 +3300 (paddy power) (risking 0.25x to win 8.25x)

    I thought my season was over.. But big play here... Really confident about this match. As opposed to some of my bets recently this has nothing to do with getting back in the black, I really just am that confident about this one. Stepanek knows he needs to preserve energy for the rest of the weekend at 34 yo, playing doubles the next day and probably a decisive rubber on Sunday. Djoko is in some of his best form recently and should want to finish this off quickly. Stepanek is not playing at home either so it's not like he needs to show effort to the crowd or anything like that. This thing spells bloodbath to me. Obviously the last 2 are long shots but I think they actually have a better chance than the odds suggest. We'll see.

  32. #312
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Today: 0-4-1, -8.45x
    Total: 129-152-4, -18.817x

    Horrible year

  33. #313
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    After tallying up my spreadsheet (finally) a few errors in the record in the thread..

    pg 3: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/tennis-bet...l#post18286378

    1-2 shoulda been 1-1, 1 loser too many

    pg 5: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/tennis-bet...l#post18990874

    3-4 shoulda been 4-4, 1 winner forgotten

    pg 8: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/tennis-bet...l#post19728726

    mysteriously changed a 110 into a 120, 10 winners too many

    pg 8: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/tennis-bet...l#post19817362

    did not update total record, 3 losers forgotten

    total 2 losers too little and 9 winners too many

    So the total record is in fact: 120-154-4, -18.817x

    did not check units but they more or less correspond to the spreadsheet, and spreadsheet always forgets a few units or adds some here and there so the fact that it's close indicates it should be correct.. used to really double check the units every time.

    Pointer for next year: make vast majority of bets on slams, at least reduce unit size for other tourneys.

First ... 6789
Top