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Mathematics in Sports Betting
Hi guys. I will share with you a betting system I was working on in the last month. Everything based on numbers and percantages. Not sure how it will goes but 60% SR so far is not that bad.
Pick 1: Middlesbrough U23-Norwich U23- Over 2.5- @1.95
Pick 2: Beitar Jerusalem-H.Beer Sheva- 1X First Half- @1.62
GL
long time no see ... GL
Cheers chuda and sportsbook.
Now that was a very good start to the thread, two easy winners. Hopefully there will be more games coming soon.
Pick 3: Dep.Capiata-Cerro Porteno- Under 3- @1.83
Pick 4: Dep.Capiata-Cerro Porteno- X2- @1.44
Pick 5: Turkey Boluspor-Darica Genclebirgi: X2 First Half-@1.80
Pick 6: Turkey Boluspor-Darica Genclebirgi: Under 2.5- @2.05
Risky play because it does not match all the criteria but still represents value at these odds.
Pick 7: Goztepe:Yeni Amasyaspor-Under 2.5- @2.20/2.52 bf
I will list all the games after this one.
So far 7 picks- 5 won and 2 lost and one of the losing games didn't met the neccessary criteria at all
Next picks:
Pick 8: Montana-Vereya-Under 2.5- @1.62
Pick 9: Braila-CS U Craiova-Under 2.5-@1.80
Pick 10- Braila-CS U Craiova- 2-3 total goals-@2.00
3 more winners
Record: 10 picks: 8-2
I'm calculating the next games.
Pick 11: Nantes-Marseille-Under 2.5-@1.60
Starting in 5 minutes
Pick 12: Bournemouth-Leicester- Leicester +0.5 ah-@1.74 (5 units)
Pick 13: MKD-Charlton-Under 2.5- @1.94 (5 units)
Pick 14: Burton-Huddersfield- Under 2.5-@1.68
Pick 15: Burton-Huddersfield- 2-3 total goals-@2.00
Could have been a lot worse. 2-3 last 5 picks. Still in profit overall since the start.
Next game will be Jeonbuk-Mamelodi Sundowns from FIFA Club World Cup. I will post my pick an hour before the game.
Pick 16: Jeonbuk-Mamelodi Sundowns- Over 2.5-@1.70
High probability for 2 or 3 goals in this game. The closest game with the same indexes finished with 3 goals.
how do u cap a meaningless game which is a friendly really and korea team has their best players on bench til the 2nd half most likely
I know nothing about these teams to be honest. Just counting on numbers mate.Originally Posted by calvin34242
what's the basics of ur system without giving away too much information
Just applying some math formulas + my method for odds estimation. A few minor criteria as well and I get a number that shows me what to bet. I don't care about injures, financial problems etc although it matters a lot.
Pick 16 won in the first half. Next games:
Pick 17: Aydinspor-Akhisar Genclik Spor- 1X First Half-@1.50
Pick 18: Inegolspor-Sancaktepe- Under 2.5-@1.83
Turkey Bomber. I will post the country from now on.
Pick 19: Netherlands Zwolle:Ultrecht- Under 2.5-@2.23
Not sure about this at all but that's what my system estimated.
Will you be sharing any of the mathematics?
1-2 FT. 93 min goal
Not yet Division.
Pick 20 Belgium: Oestende-Gent- 1X- @1.67
Pick 21 Belgium: Charleroi-Genk-Under 2.5-@1.91
Pick 22 Belgium: Charleroi-Genk- 2/3 total goals-@2.00
I'm calculating EPL games next.
Pick 23 England: QPR-Derby-Under 2.5-@1.71
Pick 24 West Brom-Swansea-Under 2.5-@1.76 (5 units)
GL all
Just came back home... Record stands at 15-9 with two of the losers not given from the system (Boluspor and Leicester ) so basically 15-7. The system is pretty good I think but if you don't have a proper money managament everything seems useless. I need to work on that.
Next game will be Partizan-Subotica- Serbian Super League.
Pick 25 Serbia Partizan-SP.Subotica-Under 2.5-@2.00
Great odds and strong selection according to my system, should win easily.
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I threw 100 $ on the under 2.5 @1.90 ... I hope Partizan win this 1-0.
2-0 FT. Congrats rankslash.
Next game will be Porto-Maritimo-Portugal Primeira League.
Pick 26 Portugal Porto-Maritimo- Over 3-@1.73
I would be happy with a push at this point
I watched the first half. Porto dominated the game and Maritimo were defending with 11 players like idiots. They are 1-0 down so it's logical to see them in a more attacking formation now. I hope they score an early goal and we might see a goal fest.
A push here. Porto deserved more though.
Next game will be Australia Newcastle Jets-Adelaide United.
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chuda gave LFC1892 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
