1. 05-19-16 07:09 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Thursday, 5/19/16

    3 MLB Plays Thursday

    Indians -1.5 +120 (Heritage)
    Rockies / Cardinals UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Astros / White Sox UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 120-118-6, +10.34
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  2. 05-19-16 07:18 AM #2
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    3 MLB Plays Thursday

    Indians -1.5 +120 (Heritage)
    Rockies / Cardinals UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Astros / White Sox UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 120-118-6, +10.34
    First time I've seen you take a run line, that must be a very strong play.
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  3. 05-19-16 07:28 AM #3
    LT Profits
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    60%ers:

    Cubs 63% (-170)
    Pirates 60% (-150)
    Cleveland 61% (-156)
    White Sox 63% (-170)
    San Francisco 61% (-156)
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  4. 05-19-16 07:29 AM #4
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by dirtycash66 View Post
    First time I've seen you take a run line, that must be a very strong play.
    Yeah, nice Run Line price for road team with a 61% Money Line model %.
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  5. 05-19-16 07:36 AM #5
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Yeah, nice Run Line price for road team with a 61% Money Line model %.
    I couldn't even knock anyone for betting Cleveland -141 right now. I am personally risk adverse and almost never lay more than -130 on anything, but that's just me.
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  6. 05-19-16 07:38 AM #6
    jjgold
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    Laying 1.5 tough

    damn so many 1 run games

    good luck
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  7. 05-19-16 07:41 AM #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Laying 1.5 tough

    damn so many 1 run games

    good luck
    Bit easier with road teams, especially if model's 61% Money Line rate is close. -156 for road team equates to roughly -1.5 +100.
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  8. 05-19-16 08:11 AM #8
    Spartak
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    Hi LT,
    If you dont mind can you tell me are this odds fair enough according your model:
    LAD +105
    MIN +115
    SEA +100

    10x

    GL with your plays.
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  9. 05-19-16 08:23 AM #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spartak View Post
    Hi LT,
    If you dont mind can you tell me are this odds fair enough according your model:
    LAD +105
    MIN +115
    SEA +100

    10x

    GL with your plays.
    I get:

    LAA 52% (-108)
    Tor 55% (-122)
    Sea/Bal 50% (+100)

    So No, No and exactly neutral
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  10. 05-19-16 08:33 AM #10
    Spartak
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    Thanks a lot, Gl
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  11. 05-19-16 08:55 AM #11
    Snake24
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    Gm LT, are the Mets a consideration today?
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  12. 05-19-16 08:56 AM #12
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spartak View Post
    Hi LT,
    If you dont mind can you tell me are this odds fair enough according your model:
    LAD +105
    MIN +115
    SEA +100

    10x

    GL with your plays.
    I like LAD today. I was on LAA yesterday
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  13. 05-19-16 09:29 AM #13
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snake24 View Post
    Gm LT, are the Mets a consideration today?
    I actually like Washington 56% (-127) with Strasburg, but staying away for now because I hate the line movement away from model number.
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  14. 05-19-16 09:31 AM #14
    Spartak
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    Google for you, been Lad yesterday
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  15. 05-19-16 09:38 AM #15
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spartak View Post
    Google for you, been Lad yesterday
    Huh?
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  16. 05-19-16 09:52 AM #16
    Da Manster!
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    I think the Braves are a good dog pick today (+153) with Foltynewicz on the mound!...He's 1 -1 with a 2.89 era with 16 k's in three starts and has improved and gotten better after each start...not too shabby...and Locke is another hamburger who's 1- 3 with a 5.89 era...of'course the game can go either way considering how bad Atlanta sucks, but I'll gladly take a shot at plus money with the better pitcher on the mound...
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  17. 05-19-16 09:58 AM #17
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    I think the Braves are a good dog pick today (+153) with Foltynewicz on the mound!...He's 1 -1 with a 2.89 era with 16 k's in three starts and has improved and gotten better after each start...not too shabby...and Locke is another hamburger who's 1- 3 with a 5.89 era...of'course the game can go either way considering how bad Atlanta sucks, but I'll gladly take a shot at plus money with the better pitcher on the mound...
    Notice I have Pittsburgh at exactly 60% (-150), and the reason it is lower than many expected is that Atlanta starting pitching edge. Still, I'd want more than +160.
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  18. 05-19-16 10:12 AM #18
    Spartak
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spartak View Post
    Google for you, been Lad yesterday
    *Good...
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  19. 05-19-16 10:50 AM #19
    TxAaron
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    Has the line moved much on Indians? I have them -128 ML
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  20. 05-19-16 11:20 AM #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by TxAaron View Post
    Has the line moved much on Indians? I have them -128 ML
    Yes it has, was in the -140s when I opted for the RL.
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  21. 05-19-16 11:51 AM #21
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    1 MLB Addition

    4 MLB Plays Thursday

    Indians -1.5 +120 (Heritage)
    Rockies / Cardinals UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Astros / White Sox UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
    Yankees / Athletics UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
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  22. 05-19-16 01:41 PM #22
    SAX27
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    LT...folks on this forum who I respect says you have been grumpy lately....you do seem a bit edgy....all good?
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  23. 05-19-16 01:49 PM #23
    BeanTownClown88
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    I got the worst line for Cleveland damn! Swore it would have shot up not down.
    Line ups aren't out yet, we better see the usual suspects in there...the boys are slugging as of late
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  24. 05-19-16 02:05 PM #24
    Snake24
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    Quote Originally Posted by SAX27 View Post
    LT...folks on this forum who I respect says you have been grumpy lately....you do seem a bit edgy....all good?
    always cool, calm, and collected. cant believe some of the negative crap folks leave daily on his threads. bunch of bums.
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  25. 05-19-16 02:27 PM #25
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by SAX27 View Post
    LT...folks on this forum who I respect says you have been grumpy lately....you do seem a bit edgy....all good?
    No not at all, at least not that I am aware of. All seems good.

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  26. 05-19-16 03:54 PM #26
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    rlm on cleveland...
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  27. 05-19-16 03:54 PM #27
    SAX27
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    That's funny....handshake back to you!!! In the words of all beauty pageant contestants "All we need is World Peace"!!
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  28. 05-19-16 04:08 PM #28
    blackHIPPY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ghenghis Kahn View Post
    rlm on cleveland...
    welp
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  29. 05-19-16 07:45 PM #29
    LBallday
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    Followed you since the AM on the Clevland game LT.. All the Sharks on Reds... Let's get this.... Lead going into that great bullpen of the Reds is a wonderful thing
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  30. 05-19-16 07:54 PM #30
    smitch124
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    Do you still have that bird? Maybe that is annoying you?
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