1. 01-29-16 08:39 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    CBB - Friday, 1/29/16

    1 CBB Play Friday

    Davidson +2 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 209-205-9, -5.66
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  2. 01-29-16 08:53 AM #2
    mahncpa
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    LT, any reason for taking Davidson. I know they haven't lost at home this year, but VCU
    seems to be the much stronger team. Would be interested in your opinion.
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  3. 01-29-16 09:40 AM #3
    jjgold
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    VCU a better team LT

    A bad play on your end
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  4. 01-29-16 10:27 AM #4
    mahncpa
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    VCU is 4-1 ATS on the road and Davidson is 2-6 ATS at home.
    Strongly leaning to VCU, but respect your opinion LT.
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  5. 01-29-16 11:03 AM #5
    LT Profits
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    VCU is a team that feasts on turnovers and Davidson turns the ball over less than any team in the country. Thus, if this becomes strictly a shooting contest, Wildcats have slightly better effective field goal percentage and the difference is a lot bigger if you use home vs. away splits.
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  6. 01-29-16 11:15 AM #6
    mahncpa
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    VCU is a team that feasts on turnovers and Davidson turns the ball over less than any team in the country. Thus, if this becomes strictly a shooting contest, Wildcats have slightly better effective field goal percentage and the difference is a lot bigger if you use home vs. away splits.
    Thanks for the insight. Do you have a site that shows home/away splits on field goal %?
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  7. 01-29-16 11:28 AM #7
    LT Profits
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    *Home/Away | In-Depth
    Off For FG% 3P% FT% Reb
    VCU
    DAV    		 75.4
    84.1    		 40.4
    46.5    		 32.0
    35.7    		 72.6
    76.0    		 34.6
    33.6
    Def Aga FG% 3P% FT% Reb
    VCU
    DAV    		 72.0
    74.3    		 43.9
    42.1    		 26.3
    33.8    		 73.1
    62.7    		 33.8
    37.7
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  8. 01-29-16 11:30 AM #8
    mahncpa
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    Thanks LT!!
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  9. 01-29-16 11:48 AM #9
    LT Profits
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    1 CBB Addition

    2 CBB Plays Friday

    Davidson +2 -105 (Heritage)
    Cornell +10 -108 (5 Dimes)
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  10. 01-29-16 12:22 PM #10
    Louisvillekid1
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    How do you sort Ken Pom home/away
    Last edited by Louisvillekid1; 01-29-16 at 12:25 PM.
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  11. 01-29-16 01:07 PM #11
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    How do you sort Ken Pom home/away
    You can't that I know of.
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  12. 01-29-16 01:08 PM #12
    FlipsideRM
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    On Davidson as well. Best of luck LT
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  13. 01-29-16 05:10 PM #13
    LT Profits
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    2 CBB Additions

    4 CBB Plays Friday

    Davidson +2 -105 (Heritage)
    Penn / Yale UNDER 132 -105 (Heritage)
    Cornell +10 -108 (5 Dimes)
    Wright State +5.5 -105 (Heritage)
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  14. 01-29-16 05:23 PM #14
    bndet99
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    1 CBB Play Friday


    Davidson +2 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 209-205-9, -5.66
    lol

    Nice call on Notre Dame last night too. Not even close. What a joke!
    Start watching college baskeball will ya
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  15. 01-29-16 05:24 PM #15
    NardVa
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    I think Davidson forgot they had a game tonight. Complete slaughter by VCU. Almost a 20 point lead and the game just started. Davidson has more turnovers than points.
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  16. 01-29-16 05:25 PM #16
    cmatth1326
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    Davidson is terrible
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  17. 01-29-16 05:26 PM #17
    Smoke
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    Wow
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  18. 01-29-16 05:27 PM #18
    bndet99
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    Quote Originally Posted by NardVa View Post
    I think Davidson forgot they had a game tonight. Complete slaughter by VCU. Almost a 20 point lead and the game just started. Davidson has more turnovers than points.
    Not athletic enough, they can't keep up with VCU's speed. It doesn't help that they can't buy a bucket either
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  19. 01-29-16 05:28 PM #19
    cmatth1326
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    Sometimes it pays (literally) to not over think these games and just bet the better team.
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  20. 01-29-16 05:28 PM #20
    bndet99
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    Davidson did lose to St Louis and barely beat UMASS. Both those teams stink
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  21. 01-29-16 05:31 PM #21
    NardVa
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    Quote Originally Posted by cmatth1326 View Post
    Davidson is terrible
    Chalk it up to Friday night. These kids want to get the game over with and go lay up with some women.
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  22. 01-29-16 05:32 PM #22
    Smoke
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    Quote Originally Posted by cmatth1326 View Post
    sometimes it pays (literally) to not over think these games and just bet the better team.
    egg zack lee
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  23. 01-29-16 05:41 PM #23
    Duke Fan
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    Underdogs and under.....probably will spit out 35 plays tomorrow and 32 will be underdog and under. Go ahead and book Denver and under in the superbowl.
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  24. 01-29-16 05:43 PM #24
    Smoke
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    Quote Originally Posted by Duke Fan View Post
    Underdogs and under.....probably will spit out 35 plays tomorrow and 32 will be underdog and under. Go ahead and book Denver and under in the superbowl.
    Dont do it dukes
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  25. 01-29-16 05:46 PM #25
    Duke Fan
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    Not me, going out on a limb and taking a "wild guess" at LT's selection
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  26. 01-29-16 06:32 PM #26
    xdodger19
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    Wright State +5.5 looks good
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  27. 01-29-16 07:20 PM #27
    bndet99
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    You suck LT
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  28. 01-29-16 07:34 PM #28
    NardVa
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    Wright St doing their best Davidson impression. Down by almost 20 and TV game just started.
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  29. 01-29-16 07:36 PM #29
    bndet99
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    Dude what is going on tonight? The one time I look at this guys picks
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  30. 01-29-16 07:40 PM #30
    mikefan1034
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    It's just what LT does throws out a ton of dogs and hopes he hits one and then abandons thread.!
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  31. 01-29-16 07:49 PM #31
    bndet99
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    Dude is garbage
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  32. 01-29-16 11:28 PM #32
    FortyBunk
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    I've followed LT a long time on here, though I rarely post. He's a class act and this was just an off night. It happens to everyone. He killed it in MLB last year. He'll find his NCAABB groove. Keep grinding LT.
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  33. 01-30-16 07:08 AM #33
    LT Profits
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    Meh, at least avoided goose egg thanks to Cornell winning outright. Tomorrow's another day. Sad thing is I went from -25 earlier in the season to -1 a few days ago, and have since given 6 units back without getting in the black. But there is plenty of time.
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  34. 01-30-16 07:10 AM #34
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Duke Fan View Post
    Underdogs and under.....probably will spit out 35 plays tomorrow and 32 will be underdog and under. Go ahead and book Denver and under in the superbowl.
    Actually my terrible start to this season was due to playing more FAVORITES than I have in the past. Once I started playing less favorites, I began my hot streak that saw me make up 24 units in about three weeks up until two days ago.
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  35. 01-30-16 07:45 AM #35
    Duke Fan
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Actually my terrible start to this season was due to playing more FAVORITES than I have in the past. Once I started playing less favorites, I began my hot streak that saw me make up 24 units in about three weeks up until two days ago.
    Glad you were able to make up some ground. My point is if on a given day 95% of your plays are favorites, underdogs, over, or under, regardless of which you land on, you are pretty much running in place. You have to have a mix for all. I think that is reflected in your record of about 420 picks, you are + or - 3 or 4 overall.

    Good luck. I hope you get on another hot streak
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