Originally Posted by
Martinr
I disagree. After years of betting on many sports I've found that opportunities can arise at any stage of the season, be it pre-season, post-season, or at the start or the end of the regular season. Having rules in place that restrict betting to one particular time of the season limits the opportunities. Sure, teams will have motivational issues at certain times of the season, but by knowing your sport you can use these to find good betting spots. I think success in this game depends on waiting for the good bets to present themselves (and being able to recognise them) rather than looking for bets in all or most games on a week to week basis during the regular season.
I heard a guy on Gil Alexander's podcast the other day say that Carolina was a great fade this week based on all his years of watching NFL, handicapping lines, results and scores, against a team with nothing to lose and revenge as a strong motivator, and it was a good example of someone using his years of experience to spot a good bet. It's worth a listen to because he does a good job of explaining how all the years of absorbing information can lead to spotting some good confident wagers.
These bets can present themselves at any time and it's vital that punters have the resources available to take advantage when they do present themselves. Bookies would get killed if we all had the discipline to only bet at these times. Unfortunately too many punters lost their bankroll yesterday on the latest SBR Lock Of The Day and won't be able to take full advantage of tomorrow's great opportunity on the Bronco's game (should it arise).