1. 09-30-15 09:07 PM #1
    JMon
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    How NFL teams respond after a blowout?

    I'm talking about 'blow out' and the 49ers, 40+ pts. Huge. How do they do in their next game?

    Anyone know?
    Last edited by JMon; 09-30-15 at 09:13 PM. Reason: sp
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  2. 09-30-15 09:10 PM #2
    JMon
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    Hasn't happened very often in the last 25+ years! Yet it happened last year three times, what was the result of those teams in their next game.

    Name them...50 points to first right answer
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  3. 09-30-15 09:11 PM #3
    DOM_Toretto
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    Someone just posted this in a diff thread...

    10-2-1 or something... I'll go check.
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  4. 09-30-15 09:15 PM #4
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    Someone just posted this in a diff thread...

    10-2-1 or something... I'll go check.
    40+ loss.... im after not even close
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  5. 09-30-15 09:15 PM #5
    DOM_Toretto
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    #NFL home dogs off a loss of 40 or more points are 10-2-1 ATS since '95 including 6 straight up wins #49ers

    -compliments of bradley121
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  6. 09-30-15 09:22 PM #6
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    #NFL home dogs off a loss of 40 or more points are 10-2-1 ATS since '95 including 6 straight up wins #49ers

    -compliments of bradley121
    not the answer to my question, but he is somewhat correct or correct. In that spot I have 11-2-1 ATS.

    Speaking of above spot, Dec. 29th 2013 CHI vs. BS (+3) 28-33 was the last loss.
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  7. 09-30-15 09:27 PM #7
    DOM_Toretto
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    Soooo you like the 9ers Sunday?
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  8. 09-30-15 09:45 PM #8
    lakerboy
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    Niners obvious play but no one has balls to bet it. These are the games that books love.
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  9. 09-30-15 09:57 PM #9
    Reload
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    Worth at least a light play.
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  10. 09-30-15 10:29 PM #10
    smitch124
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    I can't seem to get what Kaep did to the Packers in 2 playoff games out of my head. But man, that 49ers TEAM ain't no mo.
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  11. 09-30-15 10:33 PM #11
    TwoWays
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    Niners respond pretty well we have evidence already. They get blown out by the steelers and bounced back strong against the cards
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  12. 10-01-15 07:44 AM #12
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    Soooo you like the 9ers Sunday?
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  13. 10-01-15 09:15 AM #13
    dingus kahn
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    If you asked Kaep what his favorite number was, he'd pick 6.
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  14. 10-01-15 09:18 AM #14
    jjgold
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    depends on team period

    bad teams it can happen again

    coaching
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  15. 10-01-15 09:18 AM #15
    seaborneq
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    No way can I back this niners team until I see something good on offense or defense. Niners are bad. The opening win against the Vikings was a fluke
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  16. 10-01-15 11:23 AM #16
    R.P. McMurphy
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    Gun to head take pts , main pause for me is Rodgers. Anyone have his career stats for him vs Frisco? I would imagine he really gets up for showing up his hometown team that passed on him and that Frisco secondary ripe for picking. Frisco only hope is get Hyde going vs Pack who give up 5 a carry and Kaeperpick protects the rock.

    Guess main thing scares me you gotta consider if Pack jump out big early 14-0 or better and Frisco get away from run with Kaep forcing things hang on tight! Lol
    Last edited by R.P. McMurphy; 10-01-15 at 11:31 AM.
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  17. 10-01-15 11:31 AM #17
    POOLSIDE
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    The other trend to consider here is that teams coming off a Monday night blowout are abysmal ATS
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  18. 10-01-15 11:35 AM #18
    SharpAngles
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    Packers will have a hardon to pound the Niners in their house after the playoff humiliations. Niner Linebackers and pass rush are soft and nothing like the D that held Rodgers to 20 points in Lambeau last time. The other huge problem is the niner coaching staff being so fkn predictable. A couple gimmicks worked week 1 but they're on film now and being shut down easily. As a niner diehard it kills me but this is a horrible spot. I won't lay -9 on a road team but I sure as hell added it to a teaser I've got going
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  19. 10-01-15 11:38 AM #19
    SmittyZ28
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    Kap 2-0 against the pack, 2 of the best games of his career. Think he set a single game QB rushing record against GB, 180 yards if I remember the 2012 playoffs. SF a strong bet here
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  20. 10-01-15 11:39 AM #20
    SharpAngles
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    And wouldn't a better stat be home teams after losing 2 on the road by 25 then 40

    Cant see a FG and a TD being enough to back this crap niner team.
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  21. 10-01-15 11:43 AM #21
    SharpAngles
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    Quote Originally Posted by SmittyZ28 View Post
    Kap 2-0 against the pack, 2 of the best games of his career. Think he set a single game QB rushing record against GB, 180 yards if I remember the 2012 playoffs. SF a strong bet here
    Unless Patrick Willis and Justin Smith come out of retirement, Aldon Smith stops being a dipshit and Dante Whitner takes a break from Cleveland, history doesn't matter here. Not to mention Rodgers looks amazing so far. Don't see this being a let down spot for GB but the niner fan in me hopes you're right.
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  22. 10-01-15 11:45 AM #22
    R.P. McMurphy
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    See you point Smitty but those Frisco teams way better and had outstanding defense. Kaep not same gm he was couple years back when he was allowed to freelance more. They are trying to make him more traditional pocket passer and it's like putting a square peg in round hole.
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  23. 10-01-15 12:24 PM #23
    meader99
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    Packers dinged up on a short week and west coast travel to boot against a team that just got humiliated. Niners might win outright. Can't believe LB doesn't have a ML thread on it yet.
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  24. 10-01-15 12:26 PM #24
    meader99
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    Quote Originally Posted by SharpAngles View Post
    Packers will have a hardon to pound the Niners in their house after the playoff humiliations. Niner Linebackers and pass rush are soft and nothing like the D that held Rodgers to 20 points in Lambeau last time. The other huge problem is the niner coaching staff being so fkn predictable. A couple gimmicks worked week 1 but they're on film now and being shut down easily. As a niner diehard it kills me but this is a horrible spot. I won't lay -9 on a road team but I sure as hell added it to a teaser I've got going
    I don't recall playoff humiliations, but everything is cyclical. Niners were due after Green Bay owned them for two decades.
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  25. 10-01-15 12:57 PM #25
    A4K
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    I'm talking about 'blow out' and the 49ers, 40+ pts. Huge. How do they do in their next game?

    Anyone know?
    Going back TEN seasons, 19-10 ATS
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  26. 10-02-15 07:23 PM #26
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by A4K View Post
    Going back TEN seasons, 19-10 ATS

    Since 89', how teams respond after a 40+ blowout is 27-19-4 ATS (+3), and an amazing 24-23 SU. We see this does not happen very often, yet in 2014 we had three teams....

    TB vs Pit (+7) 27-24
    CHI vs MIN (-2.5) 21-13
    OAK vs SF (+8) 24-13

    Home teams cover 8% better in this spot. Week>=4; after early season adjustments this spot is 25-15-1 ATS since '89 (8-3 SU and ATS since 2011, +3.5).

    It would be a nice cash SF ML, but here is the kicker; yet hasn't happened recently..

    Teams off a blowout 40+ loss vs an undefeated team.

    0-3 ATS (+6.8)

    1999 Brown vs Titans (+14) 9-26
    2000 Bears vs Giants (-2) 7-14
    2003 Bears vs Vikings (+8.5) 13-24

    Passing on this one... !

    Anyone playing them?
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  27. 10-02-15 07:40 PM #27
    POOLSIDE
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    I'm playing them. Not ML, but I'll be on them.
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  28. 10-02-15 07:54 PM #28
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by POOLSIDE View Post
    The other trend to consider here is that teams coming off a Monday night blowout are abysmal ATS
    what do you consider blowout here? rest probably a factor.
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  29. 10-02-15 08:02 PM #29
    thebestthereis
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    always try to create a reason to bet bad teams but never good teams. formula for success always. good luck!
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  30. 10-02-15 08:33 PM #30
    thechaoz
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitch124 View Post
    I can't seem to get what Kaep did to the Packers in 2 playoff games out of my head. But man, that 49ers TEAM ain't no mo.
    ; (
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  31. 10-02-15 09:01 PM #31
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by thebestthereis View Post
    always try to create a reason to bet bad teams but never good teams. formula for success always. good luck!
    If any merit, I've always enjoyed your contrarian view! Poster's don't get you! I've always been a contrarian bettor.
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  32. 10-03-15 05:57 AM #32
    finfan88
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    Good point

    And that's why im taking the ML on the Dolphins across the pond. Fins have to much talent. This is a business trip and the coaches asses are on the line. Take the ML +105.
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  33. 10-03-15 07:42 AM #33
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by R.P. McMurphy View Post
    See you point Smitty but those Frisco teams way better and had outstanding defense. Kaep not same gm he was couple years back when he was allowed to freelance more. They are trying to make him more traditional pocket passer and it's like putting a square peg in round hole.
    obviously the d has lost plenty but i really dont think how kap made his career off shredding the pack had anything to do with anyone else on the team as he did it multiple ways a bunch of times. i gotta believe after last week someone with a brain will tell him to just be himself and do what he does this week. pack still running same defensive scheme and have yet to have a answer for this kid as everything they have attempted lead to getting beat another way. regardless of how he playing im sure gb is incredibly aware or what has happened, if history is any indicator that means they will likely over adjust once again and leave themselves exposed in one way or another. my best guess is by worrying so much bout kap on the zone reads that hyde gashes them. while most of what sf is worse kep never had this kind of explosive runner with him in the backfield and i think it will create real problems for gb, more so than betting the gm i have pretty sizable stake in kap and hyde in my daily tourny's. prob good for hyde bad for kap considering how horrible my luck tends to be with qbs in that shit. lol.
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  34. 10-03-15 08:16 AM #34
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by finfan88 View Post
    And that's why im taking the ML on the Dolphins across the pond. Fins have to much talent. This is a business trip and the coaches asses are on the line. Take the ML +105.

    On the fish as well, bol to us
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  35. 10-04-15 04:56 PM #35
    JMon
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    This will be an interesting 2nd half here guys...following this spot.
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