1. 07-21-15 07:01 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Tuesday, 7/21/15

    3 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
    Padres +121 (Heritage)


    YTD: 338-303-19, +66.19
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: alleneburch
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  2. 07-21-15 07:06 AM #2
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    3 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
    Padres +121 (Heritage)


    YTD: 338-303-19, +66.19
    I thought I counted 9-2 for you yesterday ???? Wow!!!
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  3. 07-21-15 07:28 AM #3
    mth61
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    Man that whisox and fathers line looks like it got pummeled
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  4. 07-21-15 07:31 AM #4
    mth61
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    Thoughts on Baltimore? Do you think pub might pound yanks?
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  5. 07-21-15 07:32 AM #5
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by mth61 View Post
    Man that whisox and fathers line looks like it got pummeled
    It pays to bet the overnights, they are up until 8:00am ET
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  6. 07-21-15 07:33 AM #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    I thought I counted 9-2 for you yesterday ???? Wow!!!
    7-2-2
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  7. 07-21-15 07:34 AM #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by mth61 View Post
    Thoughts on Baltimore? Do you think pub might pound yanks?
    Pass on side, not a fan of either pitcher (ergo the Over ).
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  8. 07-21-15 07:36 AM #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Pass on side, not a fan of either pitcher (ergo the Over ).
    FYI, model has Yanks 53% (-113), 9.4
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  9. 07-21-15 07:38 AM #9
    mth61
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    Alright thanks bro, I always look at small dogs with high totals
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  10. 07-21-15 07:38 AM #10
    mth61
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    It pays to bet the overnights, they are up until 8:00am ET

    I didn't get home till late and was waiting for you to post so I could hop on those lol
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  11. 07-21-15 07:41 AM #11
    mth61
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    I like the fathers. I think they will have a nice 2nd half.

    Side opinion note... Also bosox and Indians better 2nd halfs
    Last edited by mth61; 07-21-15 at 07:50 AM.
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  12. 07-21-15 08:05 AM #12
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    7-2-2
    Still, extremely nice work.
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  13. 07-21-15 08:08 AM #13
    BamaCBass
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    LT, I believe you've said before that for record keeping you bet to win one and risk one unit for plus $ but in actuality, you bet to win one for both dogs and faves. Is that correct and if so, can you note the logic or math? Thanks and congrats on your success.
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  14. 07-21-15 09:42 AM #14
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    It pays to bet the overnights, they are up until 8:00am ET
    how do u always know which way the line will move though?

    sometimes you may get a better number by waiting ...no?
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  15. 07-21-15 10:31 AM #15
    mth61
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    how do u always know which way the line will move though?

    sometimes you may get a better number by waiting ...no?
    I think I can answer this for LT, but please correct me if I am wrong LT. When he posts the play say at +120 he's seeing value as his suggested odds suggest that this team doesn't deserve to be such an underdog. If the line moves say to +110 than he would of got the better value, now if it moves to +130 it might be grounds to place more on it since there is more value present but just from following LT he seems to get the better of the line moves more often than not.
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  16. 07-21-15 10:53 AM #16
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  17. 07-21-15 11:12 AM #17
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by mth61 View Post
    I think I can answer this for LT, but please correct me if I am wrong LT. When he posts the play say at +120 he's seeing value as his suggested odds suggest that this team doesn't deserve to be such an underdog. If the line moves say to +110 than he would of got the better value, now if it moves to +130 it might be grounds to place more on it since there is more value present but just from following LT he seems to get the better of the line moves more often than not.
    i gotcha so if it goes from +110 to +130 and he bets it at +110 then he will bet it again at +130?

    the only thing is for some reason when you see rapid line movement going in one direction even though you get a worse number it still seems wise to go with the steam than against it.

    i know the rockies only won by 1 run in walk off fashion but they got off to a 7-0 lead by the 3rd inning last night and right before the game the Rockies line exploded moving about 30 cents to make the Rockies a -160 favorite.
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  18. 07-21-15 11:15 AM #18
    RollinDo
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    I tend to get better lines in nhl, but predicting which way a line will move in mlb is so tricky.
    I got 2 Unders early yesterday in which both jumped quite a bit toward my plays, but they ended up losing badly.
    Today THE Same Situation...Beat the Line Movement FOR 3 OF My Unders...that is rare for me to get the best or nearly the best line in mlb.
    Betting the night before will kill you in totals (Unders in particular) because they most often move to a better price in the a.m.
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  19. 07-21-15 11:39 AM #19
    LT Profits
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    3 MLB Additions

    6 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
    Pirates / Royals OVER 7 -105 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays / Athletics OVER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Padres +121 (Heritage)
    Giants / Padres OVER 7 -110 (5 Dimes)

    A lot more Overs than usual the last couple of days, but that's the way it goes sometimes.
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  20. 07-21-15 11:50 AM #20
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    6 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
    Pirates / Royals OVER 7 -105 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays / Athletics OVER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Padres +121 (Heritage)
    Giants / Padres OVER 7 -110 (5 Dimes)

    A lot more Overs than usual the last couple of days, but that's the way it goes sometimes.
    weather play any role in that?
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  21. 07-21-15 01:31 PM #21
    eddycash
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    Whitesox +115 all good?
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  22. 07-21-15 01:47 PM #22
    mth61
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    i gotcha so if it goes from +110 to +130 and he bets it at +110 then he will bet it again at +130?

    the only thing is for some reason when you see rapid line movement going in one direction even though you get a worse number it still seems wise to go with the steam than against it.

    i know the rockies only won by 1 run in walk off fashion but they got off to a 7-0 lead by the 3rd inning last night and right before the game the Rockies line exploded moving about 30 cents to make the Rockies a -160 favorite.
    I am not putting words in LT's mouth, he would need to verify that but I have see him say he would add on some plays if the odds don't move.
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  23. 07-21-15 02:13 PM #23
    nyymvp
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    Is there any chance the Yanks over drops to 8?
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  24. 07-21-15 02:16 PM #24
    El Sol
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    A lot more Overs than usual the last couple of days, but that's the way it goes sometimes.
    Scares me a little, I'm never comfortable with overs. My service coincides with yours so I'm tailing. Good luck
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  25. 07-21-15 02:23 PM #25
    eddycash
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    Padres over seems fishy
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  26. 07-21-15 02:40 PM #26
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    Whitesox +115 all good?
    Not really, that is close to neutral. I get Cards 53% (-113).
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  27. 07-21-15 02:51 PM #27
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    Another MLB Addition

    7 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
    Pirates / Royals OVER 7 -105 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays -114 (Bookmaker)
    Blue Jays / Athletics OVER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Padres +121 (Heritage)
    Giants / Padres OVER 7 -110 (5 Dimes)
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  28. 07-21-15 03:02 PM #28
    Blackballer
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    I am with you on the overs. Especially the Yankees game.
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  29. 07-21-15 03:03 PM #29
    eddycash
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Not really, that is close to neutral. I get Cards 53% (-113).
    Thanks I'll keep waiting for +120
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  30. 07-21-15 03:04 PM #30
    Blackballer
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    Consider to take the Indians with Salazar on the mound. Good idea??
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  31. 07-21-15 03:09 PM #31
    alleneburch
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    Orioles or Yankees?

    Rays or Phillies?

    Indians or Brewers?
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  32. 07-21-15 03:13 PM #32
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    3 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
    Padres +121 (Heritage)


    YTD: 338-303-19, +66.19
    why you wanna fade MLB's best team with their ace on the bump?
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  33. 07-21-15 03:17 PM #33
    jjgold
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    Bear how can we question LT??

    He is one the greatest baseball run of all times at SBR
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  34. 07-21-15 03:20 PM #34
    STAX
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    love CHISox tonight too LT,,, gonna be leg two of parlay. We both had Padres last night.
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  35. 07-21-15 03:22 PM #35
    eddycash
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    Show me ur parlay stax, I hit a four teamer yesterday, building another today
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