1. 09-19-13 10:59 PM #1
    BennyBigNuts
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    Jaguars currently +2200 Moneyline

    Am I the only idiot throwing a 50 piece on this play for a dime and some change on the comeback?

    Sorry, The Jags can lose 49-3 this Sunday but NO NFL TEAM SHOULD BE 22-1 odds to win one game.
    You telling me if these 2 teams played 22 times the Jags couldn't squeak one low scoring, ugly, defensive, rain-hampered close one out?

    This is the NFL boys, ya never know.
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  2. 09-19-13 11:15 PM #2
    Dom177
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    Eh, I read that 19+ point dogs were like 1-8ATS the last 10 years or something. Not even gonna bother looking at this game
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  3. 09-19-13 11:18 PM #3
    BigDofBA
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dom177 View Post
    Eh, I read that 19+ point dogs were like 1-8ATS the last 10 years or something. Not even gonna bother looking at this game
    Where did you read that?

    I read the opposite.

    I think the link to the article is actually posted in this forum somewhere.
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  4. 09-19-13 11:19 PM #4
    tacostand
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    I might throw a small ammt at it. Got a better chance than the powerball....

    And no, I bet if they played 22 times the Jags wouldn't win. Maybe 1 in 30-35. But hey, it could happen.
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  5. 09-19-13 11:43 PM #5
    MoneyLineDawg
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    Gunna throw a little on it as well.....All professionals here, gimmie 22/1 odds all day

    Obviously this is a prayer, but a good-valued one IMO

    Think the Jags win one in about 17-18 honestly
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  6. 09-19-13 11:44 PM #6
    JuicedUp
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    jags win.
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  7. 09-19-13 11:52 PM #7
    Jayvegas420
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    You can't hit -150 lines, how the fukk do you expect to hit +2200?
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  8. 09-20-13 12:20 AM #8
    BennyBigNuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by MoneyLineDawg View Post
    Gunna throw a little on it as well.....All professionals here, gimmie 22/1 odds all day

    Obviously this is a prayer, but a good-valued one IMO

    Think the Jags win one in about 17-18 honestly
    Agreed. Anything over +1300 is value IMO
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  9. 09-20-13 12:29 AM #9
    tony_come
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    This is crazy!
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  10. 09-20-13 12:32 AM #10
    TwoWays
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    how about buying 18 pts and taking Seattle -1?
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  11. 09-20-13 12:34 AM #11
    TwoWays
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    serious though if you want value on ml, just look to the wnba. there is no difference between top seed and last seed in playoffs. fckin seeding doesn't matter. lowest seed can pummel the top seed by dd with ease. that's crazy.
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  12. 09-20-13 12:37 AM #12
    tony_come
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    Seattle will cover 19.5
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  13. 09-20-13 12:53 AM #13
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Where did you read that?

    I read the opposite.

    I think the link to the article is actually posted in this forum somewhere.
    I posted that NFL underdogs greater than +20 are 7-0 ATS since 1985. Let me run numbers for +19.5+, give me a couple of minutes.
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  14. 09-20-13 12:59 AM #14
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I posted that NFL underdogs greater than +20 are 7-0 ATS since 1985. Let me run numbers for +19.5+, give me a couple of minutes.
    Underdogs of +19.5 or more are 9-3 ATS since 1985. Never won straight up.
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  15. 09-20-13 01:03 AM #15
    LT Profits
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    NFL Dogs of +17 or more are 2-40 straight up since 1985, the biggest underdog to win straight up was +18 (other winner was +17).
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  16. 09-20-13 01:12 AM #16
    hockey216
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    shows all the idiots that are laying seattle -20 lol.

    No NFL team should ever be a 20 point favorite over another nfl team. I don't care if its bad team against super bowl champs. Jacksonville is still an nfl team. an nfl team should never be a 20 point favorite over another nfl team. last year green bay was -16 against jacksonville (without maurice jones drew) and only won by 9. was easy jax cover, even without their star RB.

    Don't ever lay -20 in the nfl. i dont care who is playing.
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  17. 09-20-13 01:17 AM #17
    uup115
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    NFL underdogs greater than +20 are 7-0 ATS since 1985. Underdogs of +19.5 or more are 9-3 ATS since 1985. Never won straight up.
    so, should we just buy a half point to be safe?
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  18. 09-20-13 01:54 AM #18
    Fed_42420
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    i don't think the jags even want to win any games this year, no way the win this one
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  19. 09-20-13 02:25 AM #19
    BennyBigNuts
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    Jets were 17 pt dogs in a Super Bowl and won.
    That was one of them.
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  20. 09-20-13 02:27 AM #20
    PAYTON20
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    Mindnumbingly idiotic comments in this thread.

    "Value" - Lmao
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  21. 09-20-13 04:20 AM #21
    BennyBigNuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAYTON20 View Post

    "Value" - Lmao
    That's the most important thing in making a wager, in case you aren't aware.
    Your avatar excludes you from this thread.
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  22. 09-20-13 05:10 AM #22
    konck
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    NFL Dogs of +17 or more are 2-40 straight up since 1985, the biggest underdog to win straight up was +18 (other winner was +17).
    So at 22-1 you earn profit if you bet all 40But I think the Jags should be 40-1 here
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  23. 09-20-13 07:04 AM #23
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyBigNuts View Post
    Jets were 17 pt dogs in a Super Bowl and won.
    That was one of them.
    That was before 1985 though.
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  24. 09-20-13 07:05 AM #24
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyBigNuts View Post
    Am I the only idiot throwing a 50 piece on this play for a dime and some change on the comeback?

    Sorry, The Jags can lose 49-3 this Sunday but NO NFL TEAM SHOULD BE 22-1 odds to win one game.
    You telling me if these 2 teams played 22 times the Jags couldn't squeak one low scoring, ugly, defensive, rain-hampered close one out?

    This is the NFL boys, ya never know.
    might as well take that $50 and go to Hot N Juicy and get some king crab.

    Honestly if they play this game 100 times. The Seahawks win all 100 times.

    I know you said you were terrible at football betting but this is the most rediculous bet i've ever heard of.
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  25. 09-20-13 07:06 AM #25
    WvGambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dom177 View Post
    Eh, I read that 19+ point dogs were like 1-8ATS the last 10 years or something. Not even gonna bother looking at this game
    If this is true, it's an auto play
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  26. 09-20-13 07:06 AM #26
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by uup115 View Post
    so, should we just buy a half point to be safe?
    No not saying that at all and would never do that. Never buy points in spreads 14+ because the extra half-point not worth 10 cents.
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  27. 09-20-13 07:10 AM #27
    Big Bear
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    i dont think yall get it yet.

    this game is in Seattle.

    There is not a team in the NFL that can beat Seattle in Seattle.

    And the Jaguars are by far the worst of the worst.

    I'm not saying Jags can't keep it within 20 but they dont have any chance whatsoever of winning
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  28. 09-20-13 07:12 AM #28
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by WvGambler View Post
    If this is true, it's an auto play
    It is not, I already posted dogs 19.5+ are 9-3 ATS since 1985. Dogs of exactly +19 are 2-2 ATS, so that is 11-5 ATS since 85. Thus, can't have 8 losses last 10 years.
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  29. 09-20-13 09:20 AM #29
    jjgold
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    If Benny hits this he is an instant star at SBR

    Anyone can beat anyone in NFL..they are all pros

    I am rooting for him here
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  30. 09-20-13 09:25 AM #30
    joco
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    Jags are reeeeal bad tho
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  31. 09-20-13 09:29 AM #31
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    If Benny hits this he is an instant star at SBR

    Anyone can beat anyone in NFL..they are all pros

    I am rooting for him here
    if the Jaguars win i will dye my hair blue and get a Jaguars tatoo on my back.
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  32. 09-20-13 10:15 AM #32
    The Kraken
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyBigNuts View Post
    Am I the only idiot throwing a 50 piece on this play for a dime and some change on the comeback?

    Sorry, The Jags can lose 49-3 this Sunday but NO NFL TEAM SHOULD BE 22-1 odds to win one game.
    You telling me if these 2 teams played 22 times the Jags couldn't squeak one low scoring, ugly, defensive, rain-hampered close one out?

    This is the NFL boys, ya never know.
    I'm on the Jags ATS, can't play them SU. They're terrible. Seattle secondary is so damn good, the can go single coverage and load the box and still not get burned deep. That's why they were so successful against SF. I don't see this being any different.

    On average at home last year, the Seahawks won by 18.5 points/game. Against much better teams than the Jags.

    However it does seem that when something makes sense or seems too easy, it turns out to be anything but.

    Either way, I hope the Jags win and we both cash it
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  33. 09-20-13 10:20 AM #33
    opie1988
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    if the Jaguars win i will get a Jaguars tatoo on my back.
    How could we verify that you actually got the Jaguar tattoo.....you know, with you being black and all??
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  34. 09-20-13 10:47 AM #34
    yahoonino
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    Quote Originally Posted by uup115 View Post
    so, should we just buy a half point to be safe?
    lol lol lol lol
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  35. 09-20-13 10:47 AM #35
    Huckleberry Pig
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    if the Jaguars win i will dye my hair blue and get a Jaguars tatoo on my back.
    holding you to this BB.
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