1. 09-19-13 12:55 PM #1
    Big Bear
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    Hedging Scenario - Advice please

    Okay so I did a 2 team parlay for

    Seahawks ML -160 over 49ers
    and
    NY Giants +1 at +110 over Panthers

    its $400 to win $958

    now i'm starting to get nervous about the Giants vs Panthers game and it does not help that i'm seeing 95% of bets coming in on the Giants...

    so my thought was to bet $275 on
    Carolina -1 to win $250

    that way worst case scenario i only lose $150 and if Giants win i still win $683

    what do yall think ???
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  2. 09-19-13 12:59 PM #2
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by big bear View Post
    okay so i did a 2 team parlay for

    seahawks ml -160 over 49ers
    and
    ny giants +1 at +110 over panthers

    its $400 to win $958

    now i'm starting to get nervous about the giants vs panthers game and it does not help that i'm seeing 95% of bets coming in on the giants...

    So my thought was to bet $275 on
    carolina -1 to win $250

    that way worst case scenario i only lose $150 and if giants win i still win $683

    what do yall think ???
    let it ride pal
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  3. 09-19-13 01:01 PM #3
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    let it ride pal
    haha i can only hedge $275 unless i reload
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  4. 09-19-13 01:02 PM #4
    daneblazer
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    You're having some loss aversion. If you really don't feel good about the game anymore, do it, but I think you hold steady or don't make any more parlays.
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  5. 09-19-13 01:02 PM #5
    Big Bear
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    oh let it ride .. u changed your response . yeah thats tempting i just know i will be pissed if the panthers win and may go on full tilt
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  6. 09-19-13 01:07 PM #6
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    You're having some loss aversion. If you really don't feel good about the game anymore, do it, but I think you hold steady or don't make any more parlays.
    i just wish the game would hurry up and get here. i cant stop thinking about it and i'm going to the game and will be drunk as fukk and being drunk and having lost $400 might make it tough to be in a good mood
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  7. 09-19-13 01:09 PM #7
    greenhippo
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    Lot of people say never hedge, I say hedge. Would I rather have 0 or 500 or take 250 and not worry? I'll take 250 all day everyday.
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  8. 09-19-13 01:45 PM #8
    thunderous
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    I'd wait until half time and hope Giants are up a Touch down, then take -3 or whatever the panthers line is and hope to cash it both.
    I would never hedge a 2 team parlay...on the other hand if this was a 3 or 4 team parlay (and obviously the last leg) its totally different, I'd hedge without a doubt.
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  9. 09-19-13 03:33 PM #9
    InTheDrink
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    hedging on a 2 game parlay?
    Nomination(s):
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  10. 09-19-13 03:35 PM #10
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by InTheDrink View Post
    hedging on a 2 game parlay?
    who do you think will win Giants or Panthers?

    i'm just losing confidence in the Giants as the week goes on
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  11. 09-19-13 03:37 PM #11
    InTheDrink
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    who do you think will win Giants or Panthers?

    i'm just losing confidence in the Giants as the week goes on
    and youre gaining confidence in the panthers?
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  12. 09-19-13 03:38 PM #12
    Russian Rocket
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    Quote Originally Posted by InTheDrink View Post
    hedging on a 2 game parlay?
    Drinker you should be thankful that he's not hedging on a straight bet
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  13. 09-19-13 03:39 PM #13
    greenhippo
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    I gained confidence in the over.
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  14. 09-19-13 03:46 PM #14
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Russian Rocket View Post
    Drinker you should be thankful that he's not hedging on a straight bet
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  15. 09-19-13 04:09 PM #15
    InTheDrink
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    Quote Originally Posted by Russian Rocket View Post
    Drinker you should be thankful that he's not hedging on a straight bet
    Nominated
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  16. 09-19-13 04:13 PM #16
    MCherry281
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    Gonna have to let it ride. Next time if you like two games spaced 7 days apart could be a better idea to bet them one at a time.
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  17. 09-19-13 04:18 PM #17
    Sam Odom
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    Don't be afraid to win
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  18. 09-19-13 04:22 PM #18
    lakerboy
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    Panthers will win. Now figure out what to do.
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  19. 09-19-13 04:32 PM #19
    Big Bear
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    what makes u think the pussy cats win?
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  20. 09-19-13 04:39 PM #20
    str
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    Okay so I did a 2 team parlay for

    Seahawks ML -160 over 49ers
    and
    NY Giants +1 at +110 over Panthers

    its $400 to win $958

    now i'm starting to get nervous about the Giants vs Panthers game and it does not help that i'm seeing 95% of bets coming in on the Giants...

    so my thought was to bet $275 on
    Carolina -1 to win $250

    that way worst case scenario i only lose $150 and if Giants win i still win $683

    what do yall think ???
    Seeing 95% of bets on the Panthers should make you feel good about your play IMO.
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  21. 09-19-13 06:41 PM #21
    Louisvillekid1
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    The Over is the best play in this game, its going to be a shoot out...

    Eli probably wins on last drive
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  22. 09-19-13 07:16 PM #22
    pattymayo
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    why make the parlay in the first place then if you don't have confidence in 1 of the 2 teams involved?
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  23. 09-19-13 07:25 PM #23
    BIGSACK
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    Don't hedge it now that LAKERBOY picks the panthers, think about hedging on a two team parlay? actually u should just stop betting completely now
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  24. 09-19-13 07:53 PM #24
    Deol
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    Let it ride or hope NYG scores early and live bet CAR. Why would you hedge a 2 teamer? Basically a coin flip, either win $958 or lose $400, just leave it be.
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  25. 09-19-13 07:59 PM #25
    Big Bear
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    Fellas ,

    i tend to over analyze stuff.

    i was drunk when i hit submit parlay.

    The Seahawks part of the bet was the last minute part.

    originally i was going to take the Giants in this game. Been thinking about this game for awhile.
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  26. 09-19-13 08:04 PM #26
    Big Bear
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    But now that the first part has hit and i've had time to think about this play some more ...

    And i stream the panthers local radio , they used to be my favorite team. ive never heard the panthers get bashed as bad as they have this week by the local media..

    if they arent fired up this week they have no pulse.

    They are talking about firing ron rivera if they lose this one.

    they are also talking about trading Cam Newton like the Browns traded Richardson...

    i just thought it might be smart to hedge b/c if i lose this bet i'm down to my last $275
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  27. 09-19-13 08:13 PM #27
    jjgold
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    Giants are not losing

    Bear your a winner!!!
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  28. 09-19-13 08:34 PM #28
    actiondan
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    just parlay Carolina with a week 4 game you like
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  29. 09-19-13 10:26 PM #29
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by actiondan View Post
    just parlay Carolina with a week 4 game you like
    haha
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  30. 09-20-13 03:55 AM #30
    goduke
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Panthers will win. Now figure out what to do.
    Have you ever thought a team the public was on could win?
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  31. 09-20-13 10:20 AM #31
    Big Bear
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    so i guess i will let it ride unless Cowherd picks
    the Panthers...

    he is due for a win.
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  32. 09-20-13 10:26 AM #32
    Smoke
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    BB we believe in you
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  33. 09-20-13 10:27 AM #33
    blowseq
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    Don't worry about the public money, books will have the balance on this game. Go with Giants ..
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  34. 09-20-13 11:06 AM #34
    Big Bear
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    Both starting safteys for the panthers have been ruled out Quentin michael and Charles Godfrey.

    And Cowherd picked G-men so i will let it ride fo'sho
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  35. 09-20-13 11:39 AM #35
    Smoke
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    Good job bruh
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