1. #1
    tatddy
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    First Baseball Plays for 2013

    I'm not big on tying up money on futures for 6 months...time value of money and all...but I've had a decent run over the past 6 weeks and have some extra money for my baseball bankroll. Was gonna cash out but will bite on a few futures for 2013.

    Tampa Bay D Rays:

    Odds to win AL East +300 Risking 2 Units
    Over 86.5 wins -110 Risking 4 units
    Odds to win AL Pennant +1000 1/3 Unit

    Los Angeles Dodgers:

    Field wins NL West over LA -120 1 unit

    Arizona D-Backs

    Over 82.5 wins +105 1 unit

  2. #2
    JMobile
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    I'll go with the Rays for sure. If the Dodgers win the West, I hope they lose it in the Postseason. (Mayan, don't hurt me)

  3. #3
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMobile View Post
    I'll go with the Rays for sure. If the Dodgers win the West, I hope they lose it in the Postseason. (Mayan, don't hurt me)
    Dodgers won't win with Mattingly. He fails at basic in game strategy. Can he foster chemistry great enough to overcome his incompetences in game? I'm betting against it. The NL west is better than you think.

  4. #4
    BigDeem5
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    I like it tat, I may tail for my life

  5. #5
    lakerboy
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    dont like the zona play but good luck on the rest.

  6. #6
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    dont like the zona play but good luck on the rest.
    I like a rebound year from them with underachieving upton gone and a healthy staff. Prado is a great addition.

    Ps sorry in advance Boeing power and blue jays backers. They are a fade in 2013

  7. #7
    italianbandit
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    Tat have you seen Lincecum pitch at all. He might be a reliever by September...

  8. #8
    broadway6
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    I'm not big on tying up money on futures for 6 months...time value of money and all...but I've had a decent run over the past 6 weeks and have some extra money for my baseball bankroll. Was gonna cash out but will bite on a few futures for 2013.

    Tampa Bay D Rays:

    Odds to win AL East +300 Risking 2 Units
    Over 86.5 wins -110 Risking 4 units
    Odds to win AL Pennant +1000 1/3 Unit

    Los Angeles Dodgers:

    Field wins NL West over LA -120 1 unit

    Arizona D-Backs

    Over 82.5 wins +105 1 unit

    best bet by far

  9. #9
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by italianbandit View Post
    Tat have you seen Lincecum pitch at all. He might be a reliever by September...
    Well see. Velocity is fine. Movement is fine. All that matters in spring.

  10. #10
    JMobile
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post

    Dodgers won't win with Mattingly. He fails at basic in game strategy. Can he foster chemistry great enough to overcome his incompetences in game? I'm betting against it. The NL west is better than you think.
    Yeah, Donny doesn't know how to use the pen real well. Ever since Donny took over, Bochy was able to get through them. It's going to be an interesting year. Can't wait!
    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post

    I like a rebound year from them with underachieving upton gone and a healthy staff. Prado is a great addition.

    Ps sorry in advance Boeing power and blue jays backers. They are a fade in 2013
    Jays are kind of like the Dodgers of the AL East. I like Boeing, but I doubt the Jays will show up to the Postseason. Sorry Boeing.

  11. #11
    italianbandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Well see. Velocity is fine. Movement is fine. All that matters in spring.
    His hair looks better too. Belt should improve as well.

  12. #12
    YouHave2outs
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    Quote Originally Posted by italianbandit View Post
    Tat have you seen Lincecum pitch at all. He might be a reliever by September...
    the man will be pitching for $, the biggest contract he will get in his career will likely be gotten at the end of this season. doesn't everyone know what happens when this is the case?

    edit:

  13. #13
    TankHankerous
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    He better start auditioning for some Hanson Bros cover bands

  14. #14
    Louisvillekid1
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    Very Sharp as usual

  15. #15
    tatddy
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    Well if it wasn't for PUIGMANIA I'd be really happy with where these wagers stand at the break. I have to say I didn't factor that kid into my analysis.

  16. #16
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Well if it wasn't for PUIGMANIA I'd be really happy with where these wagers stand at the break. I have to say I didn't factor that kid into my analysis.
    Tat, goddammit, don't you have the itch again yet?

  17. #17
    The Giant
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    Baseball is such a long, tedious season. Even more than halfway through, it's really hard to tell how these wagers are going. You can still win every one, or lose every one.

    Here is to a profitable second half.

  18. #18
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Tat, goddammit, don't you have the itch again yet?
    Bro to be honest I don't. I reinvested my cashouts in other markets. I'm sure ill get back in the game at some point. Been a nice break.

  19. #19
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    Baseball is such a long, tedious season. Even more than halfway through, it's really hard to tell how these wagers are going. You can still win every one, or lose every one.

    Here is to a profitable second half.
    Giant no doubt. I'm not trying to say I have winners. At this point in the season you get a general idea of who will contend. To that end, I feel good that I backed contenders.

  20. #20
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Bro to be honest I don't. I reinvested my cashouts in other markets. I'm sure ill get back in the game at some point. Been a nice break.
    I wish I had the same discipline. I'm burned out, but every day at about 5, I start twitching.

  21. #21
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I wish I had the same discipline. I'm burned out, but every day at about 5, I start twitching.
    I hear you. Fortunately I love the game much more than I love the action from wagering. A year ago I'd have tilted away my profits after the shyte week I had to end May. Fortunately I've learned how to get out ahead.

  22. #22
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    I hear you. Fortunately I love the game much more than I love the action from wagering. A year ago I'd have tilted away my profits after the shyte week I had to end May. Fortunately I've learned how to get out ahead.
    Baseball's been a fvcking chalk-fest for a good month now.

  23. #23
    BigDeem5
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    Tattttty

  24. #24
    tatddy
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    So I've been out of the game since late May. Since I got pissed at a bad few days of bases and cashed out everything at every book. Prob would have titled off 10K the next day if I handnt.

    Been a nice break...no reloads....and since in such a fukking gem I still checked I'm with you clowns a few times a week.

    But shyte just got dangerous up in here. If the Rays win today, or 1 more game, will be sitting with $1660 funded at a shop. Even more if the dbacks keep winning

    Will be putting the whole $1660, or whatever it is, allin on one game. I don't need the cash and I don't need back into this fukking club.

    1 NFL game...or 1 MLB playoff game...will be posted here. Feel free to send cheers or jeers. Same thing to me.

    If that allin wins shyte is gonna get fun up in here...cause I might do it again.

    So go Rays

  25. #25
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    So I've been out of the game since late May. Since I got pissed at a bad few days of bases and cashed out everything at every book. Prob would have titled off 10K the next day if I handnt.

    Been a nice break...no reloads....and since in such a fukking gem I still checked I'm with you clowns a few times a week.

    But shyte just got dangerous up in here. If the Rays win today, or 1 more game, will be sitting with $1660 funded at a shop. Even more if the dbacks keep winning

    Will be putting the whole $1660, or whatever it is, allin on one game. I don't need the cash and I don't need back into this fukking club.

    1 NFL game...or 1 MLB playoff game...will be posted here. Feel free to send cheers or jeers. Same thing to me.

    If that allin wins shyte is gonna get fun up in here...cause I might do it again.

    So go Rays
    I have a bet on Balty, but I'd be glad to sacrifice it if that means you'll be posting plays here again.

    Plus, you're $$$ in the MLB playoffs. If you're not around posting plays for that, it's SBR's loss.

  26. #26
    Checkerboard
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    go rays go bol tatddy i wanna see the all in play correction i wanna follow the all in play

  27. #27
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I have a bet on Balty, but I'd be glad to sacrifice it if that means you'll be posting plays here again.

    Plus, you're $$$ in the MLB playoffs. If you're not around posting plays for that, it's SBR's loss.
    I don't care about Balty pal. I just need the Rays to win 87 games. The rest can lose

    Edit- never mind. You were talking about today's game. Sorry I'm fried. Been traveling all day
    Last edited by tatddy; 09-23-13 at 05:53 PM.

  28. #28
    No coincidences
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    Congrats, tat.

    Tampa hits the milestone.

  29. #29
    Louisvillekid1
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    This guy just knows how to live

  30. #30
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Congrats, tat.

    Tampa hits the milestone.
    Thanks buddy. Now gonna need a dog from you for the allin play whenever the bets are graded. +170 or better would be sexy.

  31. #31
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    This guy just knows how to live
    Most +EV poster at SBR. Period.

  32. #32
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    This guy just knows how to live
    Sorry I missed you in NY pal. We got in a day late due to Southwest ineptness. Was a bender from there.

  33. #33
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Thanks buddy. Now gonna need a dog from you for the allin play whenever the bets are graded. +170 or better would be sexy.
    Hard to go wrong with Rudy's big Central Florida play on Saturday if you want to wait that long.

    I might be hitting the Iowa State ML relatively hard on Thursday, though I haven't completely made up my mind yet.

    Not sure if I'd use it on a baseball game at this point. As you can see from the early game, things are just a total toss-up right now more often than not.

  34. #34
    tatddy
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    Haha Coiner these bets on this thread weren't even +ev. Gonna need the dbacks to even make a profit. But since in cashed out this is now a free play in my mind...

    No rush on the allin. Might not even use it until MLB playoffs. Don't know when they usually grade these futures since I barely ever play them. Time value of money makes most of them -ev.

  35. #35
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post

    Sorry I missed you in NY pal. We got in a day late due to Southwest ineptness. Was a bender from there.
    Hope you had a blast brother

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