1. #1
    nyplayer33
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    need advice on hedging super bowl

    right now if gb wins ill get back total of 600 with about 150 being my own money i bet..all of this is green bay no points..would u hedge or not..looks like a close game

  2. #2
    nli07
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    i would hedge with pitt +3. you could win both bets.

  3. #3
    nyplayer33
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    good point

  4. #4
    Mr. Peepers
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    keep your money...packer play is a winner

  5. #5
    JOHON8
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    If I were you I'd just hedge enough to get your money back on the +3. You could win both, you could win only 1 but you won't lose anything.

  6. #6
    RollPlayer
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    I agree with Johon. The bet you already have is +EV by a lot, no need to throw that away on a full blown hedge. Just get back enough to here you wont be too bummed out if the Packers lose and then watch the game and root them on

  7. #7
    tblues2005
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    I would move the line to +3 1/2 if you can then play about half as a back up so you will win either way here.

  8. #8
    masontnk
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    hedge with 3 1/2

  9. #9
    bio_blitz
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    No hedge... ride this one out

  10. #10
    stikymess
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    Don't think this land in the 3 area. I would look a little into pitt ml so you have a winner either way. better to take some profit than losing it all.

  11. #11
    Skidcom
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    Only hedge if you strongly believe that Pitt is the play independent of your existing SB bet.

  12. #12
    blackbart
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    hedging is never a good idea unless;
    the hedge bet is itself +ev
    the original bet is too big, meaning a loss will significantly affect your bankroll

  13. #13
    Powderguy
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    3.5, 20-17

  14. #14
    slatter
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    Hedging is gross, but not as gross as if you needed to hedge on GB to save your butt (like I do). I agree that betting +3 would be pretty solid, or even buying the juice on +3.5 because it could so easily end up on the 3 might be worth it.

  15. #15
    milwaukee mike
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    i have some cash on gb +800 that i am going to hedge

    it would be tough to go this far and actually be BEHIND on the wager

    your gap is a little narrower at 150 to win 450 if i am reading that correctly
    maybe take pitt +120 for 150 to win 180?

    that way you are either up 30 or up 150, still gives you a reason to root for the packers but a steelers win wouldn't be quite as painful

  16. #16
    kfranz31
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    if you can hedge and guarantee either a win or break even i would do it...where in vegas can you find guaranteed money

  17. #17
    raidersfan
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    Quote Originally Posted by nli07 View Post
    i would hedge with pitt +3. you could win both bets.

  18. #18
    str
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    Quote Originally Posted by nyplayer33 View Post
    right now if gb wins ill get back total of 600 with about 150 being my own money i bet..all of this is green bay no points..would u hedge or not..looks like a close game
    I would hedge it .
    My reason for doing this is simple.I think Pitt. is the side in this match up.
    In looking at all the various stats and numbers surrounding the game, the one that I just can not dismiss is that under Tomlin, Pitt. is 41-11 SU when they allow less than 100 yards rushing.I do not think that G.B. will rush for 100 yards.
    Right or wrong, that is the way I would play it.
    Last edited by str; 01-26-11 at 10:19 AM.

  19. #19
    msec512
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    Hedge to -3.5 and you'll have a good shot at hitting both.

  20. #20
    iwantcougars
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    hedge $200 on pitt +3

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