These seem to be my bread and butter as they tend to be big payoffs. My bankroll would probably be higher if did single bets... go big or go the penetrate home.
1 unit - wins 6.91 units
DEN -9.5 -110
GB -2.5 -120
DET -2.5 +126
I will try to drop an early game and late game parlay each Sunday. More than likely, I will be broke in 6 weeks Who wants to go down with the ship?
I didn't think my book would let me parlays these together:
1u - wins 4.58u
SF/STL - 1st Q Over 7.5 - +100
SF - -9.5 - +179
If you can't parlay those, I would still take them separate. I think the score will be 23-10 SF. Reasoning behind the first quarter play SF 1st quarter TT results this year: 24, 10, 10, 10, 10 - only one of these was a prime time game
AZ TT 1st Q: 3, 14, 7, 13
I see this as a race to 17 points. First team there, wins. Expect the Over 1st half TT but under for the game with the leading team turning to the ground
As for Props, I like:
Kaepernick rushing over 39.5 - +100
Gore rushing over 79.5 - -140
Crabtree rec over 52.5 - +100
I don't see rec yards for Vernon Davis or I would be all over that. If I can get that, I would take it and Kaep rushing Over.
I have taken a huge hit in props this week though. I will knock it off next week. I will think about putting together something tomorrow for MLB since there are 2 games.
I will start with MLB (I know this is in the NFL sub-forum). Just a warning, this is all gut but I am thinking KC completes the sweep in the ALCS tomorrow. Great story, haven't made it to the World Series since 1985, YAY! SF loses tomorrow. Putting the series at 2-2, SF wins game 5. Allowing them to win game 6 on the road. Maybe game 7, but they will win the series. Just too many "stories" for them not to be there. Expect SF to just shutdown KC in the World Series. Look for early leads and then 5 to 6 pitchers being used to close out games. Giants in 4 or 5 games.
Back to the NFL. I like:
NE/NYJ - Over 1st quarter (I haven't seen a line for this yet but I am guessing 7.5?)
HOU/PIT - initially I am leaning upset. Might take HOU moneyline. Haven't analysed anything yet
SF/DEN - leaning under on this. SF offense is firing and its hard to bet against Peyton. But both have tough D's and I think first to 27 points wins
ARI/OAK - I like Arizona here to cover.
DAL/NYG - -3.5 seems really low to open in my opinion. Which is ovbious by the way the public snatched that up. Sitting at -6 now, this will be one of my late game play and I will sell to -6.5
NO/DET - might go with the under here. Although I will probably buy to 49.5 to be on the safe side
ATL/BAL - Baltimore to cover and maybe the under.
CAR/GB - GB seems like an easy cover. Offense is lighting it up. Cam is back to 100% so the over might also be a good play
CLE/JAC - Jags just suck. Hard not to bet against them. Cover and Under on this
Too late to analyze the other games still have a few AM games to go over. Any insight is appreciated.
2-6 parlay bets - +1.04 units total (incl. non-parlay)
Still kicking... early leans:
MIA/JAC - under 43 -110
GB/NO - over 1st quarter
MIN/TB - under 1st quarter
KC -9.5 +119
NE -9.5 +153
BAL/CIN under 46 -110
OAK/CLE - under 1st quarter/half
IND/PIT - under 1st quarter
SBR Top-Rated Sportsbooks
TheKLB's Parlay Thread
Who wants to go down with the ship?
still have a few AM games to go over. Any insight is appreciated.
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