New here, some of you might know me from elsewhere.

Houston +5.5
teaser Houston +11.5 & under 56
reverse Houston +5.5 & under 51

Thoughts - I know I'm bucking some serious trends here (3rd consecutive road game, Pats December record) but I like the points tonight in a tight contest. I think the Pats are too banged up tonight - no Edelman, no Gronk, Welker dinged up with an ankle. Here's where I think this game is won - Houston's run game,play action & offensive balance, and Houston's pressure on Brady. I think the way you beat the Texans is by getting the ball down the field, and I don't think NE has the personnel (or Brady has the guts) to do that here tonight. Joseph back is a big plus for the Texans. NE has thrived on turnovers, Houston takes care of the ball.


Final score - 24-20 Houston.

Good luck.