1. #1
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Come Get Some -NFL Week 4 Picks

    Here is how I fared in the College Football week 5 pick'em contest hosted by SBR. I pretty much always finish top 5 or 6 in these and in the cross-sports weekly contests when I played them last season. My first time playing this year and went 9-2-1 and took the bronze.

    NYSportsGuy210
    Record: 9 - 2 - 1
    Percent: 81.82 %
    Current Rank: 3 of 60
    Completed Plays
    Click to edit trash talk.
    [Click to edit your trash talk.]







    Pending




    No Pending Picks



    Contest Prizes


    1. Rookie-Capper 270p
    2. toga toga 180p
    3. NYSportsGuy210 126p
    4. Andy Chloe 81p
    5. leetreaper 63p
    6. brucesmall 54p
    7. Gonz312 45p
    8. Moonpie0954 36p
    9. hugh_morris 27p
    10. yankeedj212 18p



    Contest Rules


    You must make 12 CFB plays in Week 5, ending Saturday, 10/1/11 with 4 Best Bets. Bets Bets count as 3 units and regular plays are 1 unit.






    Contest Format:Pool Start Date:Sun, September, 25, 2011 End Date:Sat, October, 1, 2011 Max Plays:12 Min Plays:12 Bet Range:1 Base Betting:Yes BestBets Required:4 BestBet Multiplier Value:3 Show Pending:No Point Entry Fee:15 Grading Method:Net Units Sport Leagues Sides ML Totals NCAAFyesnoyes

    Group Record


    WLT: 335-331-26
    Percent: 50.30 %
    Units: -14.15
    Completed Plays




    Leaderboard
    View All

    Rank Name Record Win Percent Streak Action Units Pending 1 Rookie-Capper 9-3-0 75.00 % W 4 79.0 +13.70 - 2 toga toga 8-3-1 72.73 % L 2 69.5 +12.70 - 3 NYSportsGuy210 9-2-1 81.82 % L 1 100.5 +10.60 - 4 Andy Chloe 9-3-0 75.00 % L 1 64.5 +9.50 - 5 leetreaper 7-4-1 63.64 % W 1 15.5 +8.55 - 6 brucesmall 8-3-1 72.73 % W 1 110.0 +8.45 - 7 Gonz312 8-4-0 66.67 % L 1 67.5 +7.40 - 8 Moonpie0954 6-6-0 50.00 % L 2 8.5 +7.40 - 9 hugh_morris 7-4-1 63.64 % L 1 35.5 +6.40 - 10 yankeedj212 7-5-0 58.33 % L 1 51.5 +5.30
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Now onto NFL week 4.....definitely more tricky to cap NFL than it is for me to cap NCAA FB or BB but let's see what gems I can find in this week's mine fields.....

    (a) Houston (-3.5) to hosting the Steelers - Houston's offense is one of the top 3 or 4 in the NFL this year. And now they also have a defense to boot. Pittsburgh Steelers will have the squares betting them in name only....they have looked terrible all season and their 2-1 record is deceiving. Take HOU (-3.5) to cover at home as this could get ugly quick.

    (b) Falcons (-4.5) @ Seattle - Does this game really need any explanation? Seattle is terrible and Atlanta is too good to be 1-2 and cannot afford to fall too behind a team like New Orleans this early in the season in that division. Falcons bounce back big time today.

    (c) Miami Dolphins @ San Diego Chargers UNDER 45 points - Every time both these teams meet the games don't seem to be that high scoring. I don't see Miami really doing much with their slow ground and pound attack and with Gates out I expect a mediocre performance by Ryan Mathews once again. V-Jax and Rivers may connect a couple of times though.....Chargers probably take it 27-17.


    Other leans: Jets +4, Lions +2.5, Patriots (-5).


    Good luck all. Let's stick it to the man in week 4 NFL.

  2. #2
    NYSportsGuy210
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    I also just added on 5dimes Falcons Total Team Points: OVER 21.5 points (-110).

    They will stomp out the Seahawks.

  3. #3
    MexicanStallion
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    Good luck with your picks. I'm not on any of them with you yet. I like Jets though from your leans pick. That's a play on my board.

  4. #4
    FJ_islander
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    Your plays looks to be very solid. I am very much sold on your side plays. With the totals my numbers fall right on 45 so for your sake I also hope that it falls just as you think at 44 but it's still way too close for comfort. Wishing you the best brother.

  5. #5
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Added a fifth bet too (4 team ML parlay): Texans ML, Packers ML, Patriots ML and Falcons ML - Bet $50.00 to win $151.60

    My Bets for Today
    :

    (a) Houston (-3.5) to hosting the Steelers
    (b) Falcons (-4.5) @ Seattle Seahawks
    (c) Miami Dolphins @ San Diego Chargers UNDER 45 points
    (d) Falcons Total Team Points: OVER 21.5 points
    (e) 4 Team ML Parlay: Packers, Falcons, Texans and Patriots (+200)

  6. #6
    Glitch
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    steelers are dangerous. goodluck

  7. #7
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Quote Originally Posted by Glitch View Post
    steelers are dangerous. goodluck

    In name only. Their offense has looked terrible the first three weeks and Houston Texans have scored 90 total points the first three games of the season (even with taking it easy and scoring 0 points in the second half of one of the games.)

    Watch out for Texans offense this year....they are gonna run away with that AFC South division and this week everyone around the NFL will notice.

  8. #8
    NYSportsGuy210
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    5 Dimes Prop Bet I Like:

    (a) Jahved Best OVER/UNDER 3.5 receptions - Gotta go OVER 3.5 easily at (-155)
    Jahved Best has had 6 receptions, 5 receptions and 4 receptions in his first three games so far. If Cowgirls blitz......Stafford will have to find him for the dump off pass.

  9. #9
    Cougar Bait
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    Love the Texans pick.

    Carolina/Bears over is my POD

  10. #10
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cougar Bait View Post
    Love the Texans pick.

    Carolina/Bears over is my POD

    Interesting. You don't think the Bears DEF is gonna stuff that running game of the Panther's today?

  11. #11
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Also Added 5 Dimes Prop Bets:

    (b) Jimmy Graham Receiving yards OVER 65.5 (+115)

    (c) LeSean McCoy rushing + receving yards OVER 118.5 (+100)

    (LeSean McCoy is averaging 115 rushing yards per game this season and about 25 yards receiving per game plus he put up 138 total yards last year versus the 49ers. This seems like a gimmie.)
    Last edited by NYSportsGuy210; 10-02-11 at 09:42 AM.

  12. #12
    leetreaper
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    the under is my top pick, have also atl -4.0 but its a coin flip i think, gl

  13. #13
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Final Card Today:

    (a) Houston (-3.5) to hosting the Steelers
    (b) Falcons (-4.5) @ Seattle Seahawks
    (c) Miami Dolphins @ San Diego Chargers UNDER 45 points
    (d) Falcons Total Team Points: OVER 21.5 points
    (e) 4 Team ML Parlay: Packers, Falcons, Texans and Patriots (+200)

    Prop Bets:

    (f) Jahved Best OVER/UNDER 3.5 receptions - Gotta go OVER 3.5 easily at (-155)
    (g) Jimmy Graham Receiving yards OVER 65.5 (+115)
    (h) LeSean McCoy rushing + receving yards OVER 118.5 (+100)

  14. #14
    aggieshawn
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    What is your opinion on Dallas/Detroit?

  15. #15
    shocktopme
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    .

    Hey bud...if ya had to choose Colts over 40.5 or under?Thanx

  16. #16
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Quote Originally Posted by aggieshawn View Post
    What is your opinion on Dallas/Detroit?
    I woulda bet the OVER if anything.

  17. #17
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocktopme View Post
    Hey bud...if ya had to choose Colts over 40.5 or under?Thanx
    No play for me. Quite frankly I'd rather watch paint dry than play this game. TB's defense is tough though so I'd excpect a 23-10 Bucs victory.

  18. #18
    CBASS
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    Good calls buddy

  19. #19
    beeps220
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    Great picks today, tailed you on Houston, Atlanta, Atlanta TT, Miami Under. Atlanta was a good play, can't figure out how Seattle came back. But some real solid picks

  20. #20
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Thanks guys. Though i am a bit dissappointed that my jahved best prop bet didnt hit either. That and the backdoor cover in the Falcons game is killing me. All in all still a profitable day.

  21. #21
    doin
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    i love trolling nfl handicapping and see your name many spots. glad to see you're in your own labeled thread now; much easier for me to find you and i appreciate that.

    saw a teaser for tonight -3 and O 38 (or so). That one does seem reasonable. Novice qb is gonna be shaking in his tennies I believe.

  22. #22
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Guys I am already recommending and jumping on Falcons-Packs OVER 54 for next week. I think this goes as high as 56 come Saturday night.

  23. #23
    travismcilrath
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    falcons didnt cover I got it at -5

  24. #24
    travismcilrath
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    georgia tech screwed me by .5

  25. #25
    travismcilrath
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    would have won me 922.00

  26. #26
    travismcilrath
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    my kinda luc

  27. #27
    NYSportsGuy210
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    NCAA Football Week 6 (10/8/11) Plays:

    (1) Central Michigan versus North Carolina State - OVER 54 POINTS TOTAL

    (2) Georgia (-2) at Tennessee

    (3) Kansas vs. Oklahoma St. - OVER 72 POINTS

    (4) Baylor vs. Iowa State - OVER 64 points

    (5) Florida at LSU Tigers (-13)

  28. #28
    Aztec Empire2
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    Great job!!

  29. #29
    petermans23
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    Hi NYSportsGuy210!

    Congrat for yesterdays clean house!

    Any thoughts on Packs-Falcons Over now down to 53 and 52,5?

    Looking forward to your NFL pics for tonight!

  30. #30
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Sorry fellas just got back from Boston partying last night. My picks were submitted Friday morning and one game has already started but let's see if we can get some late games. To be honest didn't really like a lot this week and NFL is tricky to begin with so here was what I was able to salvage.

    NFL Week 5 Picks:

    (1) Steelers (-3.5) vs. Titans - Everyone expects Steelers to let down now and Titans looking like world beaters after last week. Perfect spot to get value on Steelers.

    (2) Jets (+8.5) @ New England Patriots - I see the Patriots probably winning this game but the Jets keeping it close. Jets notoriously play the Pats close and tough in the Rex Ryan era and that Jet's secondary is talented enough to prevent the Patriots' big pass play. That leads me to believe that the Pats will get a lot of FG makes and the Jets maybe a TD and two FG's to keep it close deep into the fourth quarter. Plus Jets really need to make a statement after last week's offensive ineptitude versus the Ravens.

    (3) Chargers (-3.5) @ Broncos - Seems like a Homer pick but Tim Tebow might be starting for the Broncos who are just attrocious.

    Tim Tebow starting....enough said.

    Taking the Chargers here....especially with 3 of their next 5 games against the likes of the Jets, Packers and Bears. Chargers need this win to pad their record.


    (4) Falcons vs. Packers - OVER 53.5 points

    Just see a shoot out between both these offenses. Matt Ryan and Aaron Rodgers should bring their "A'" game. Last year they played at Atlanta and it was only 20-17 final. Both offenses are more talented and in sync though. Like the OVER here.

  31. #31
    NYSportsGuy210
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    1-0 so far

    Jets down 7-0 though.

  32. #32
    NYSportsGuy210
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    10-7...TD Jets

  33. #33
    Aztec Empire2
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    With you with the Jets and over tonight. You have a lean on the side? Who do you like tomorrow night?

  34. #34
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Fcukin Tim Tebow....

  35. #35
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Cmon Pats QB sneak and get the first down. End this game on QB kneel down.

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