Hey guys, looking for advice on a bet my friend offered me since I'm not an NFL expert by any means. He's a big Packers fanboy and he also likes to gamble. After watching the Packers beat the Saints tonight he was bold enough to offer me this bet:
If the Packers finish the regular season 16-0 or 15-1, he wins
If the Packers finish the regular season with 2+ losses, I win
(Keep in mind there's 15 games left for them now, 1-0)
The odds he offered were 15:1. Would you take this bet? Statistically, for this to be favorable for me, the packers would have to go 16-0 or 15-1 less than 6.66% of the time.
If you don't like the odds, what odds would you take this bet at? I could probably get him to drop to 13:1 or 12:1
(Less than 7.7 or 8.3% respectively)
I've looked at final standings of past regular seasons, always seems to be one or maybe two 2 loss teams, there's been only about three teams that have gone 1 loss or better over the past 5-6 years or so.
Thanks!