1. 03-02-12 12:27 AM #1
    No coincidences
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    Shit surprise early Friday morning

    UNC-Wilmington +2 vs. James Madison

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  2. 03-02-12 12:30 AM #2
    BigDeem5
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    Lost by 8 @ home already this year? Why take UNC W?
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  3. 03-02-12 12:31 AM #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    Lost by 8 @ home already this year? Why take UNC W?
    Because JMU is easy money for the afternoon degens.
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  4. 03-02-12 12:32 AM #4
    BigDeem5
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    Can't fade the public everytime
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  5. 03-02-12 12:38 AM #5
    lite1up
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    Not sure why the public is hammering JMU here. James Madison has been a great fade this season.

    Makes me like this play even more.
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  6. 03-02-12 12:39 AM #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    Can't fade the public everytime
    I don't -- but I definitely am here.

    Why in the hell would UNC-W only be +2 here? They were +3 at home and lost by 8, now they're on a neutral court and they're +2?
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  7. 03-02-12 12:39 AM #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by lite1up View Post
    Not sure why the public is hammering JMU here. James Madison has been a great fade this season.

    Makes me like this play even more.
    Both teams are awful.

    Tiebreaker goes to the weird line.
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  8. 03-02-12 12:40 AM #8
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    JMU hasn't beaten a team not named Towson in well over a month.
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  9. 03-02-12 12:46 AM #9
    lite1up
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    JMU hasn't beaten a team not named Towson in well over a month.


    Then again, UNC-Wilmington hasn't beaten a team not named William & Mary in almost 2 months.

    Really don't know what to think anymore. I still think James Madison is worse. 91% on James Madison and the aforementioned reasoning behind this being a strange line make UNCW the only play here.

    It seems like following RLM and playing into these strange lines has actually been profitable over the past month or so. Have nothing concrete to back that up, however.
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  10. 03-02-12 02:41 AM #10
    PickWinnerAllDay
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    The one thing that concerns me is that uncw lost by nearly 30 to hofstra? That is a sign of a team who has quit to me.
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  11. 03-02-12 03:25 AM #11
    tony_come
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    dont do it
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  12. 03-02-12 03:37 AM #12
    drfunkmaster
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    James madison wins!!!
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  13. 03-02-12 06:50 AM #13
    BiffTFinancial
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    under. early game at Richmond Coliseum, which has one of the worst shooting backgrounds in all of college hoops.
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  14. 03-02-12 06:59 AM #14
    lite1up
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    under. early game at Richmond Coliseum, which has one of the worst shooting backgrounds in all of college hoops.
    Thanks for the tip....only area of concern here is that both teams play at a decent tempo and neither plays much defense. Really gonna have to be a brickfest to feel safe taking the under.
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  15. 03-02-12 07:16 AM #15
    Owls
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    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    The one thing that concerns me is that uncw lost by nearly 30 to hofstra? That is a sign of a team who has quit to me.
    Isn't it actually a worse sign if a team loses by 30 to Hofstra after trying their best? I'd rather have a team that didn't try their best lose by 30 than a team that tried their best and lost by 30.
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  16. 03-02-12 07:17 AM #16
    ridims
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    UNC-WILMINGTON is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all tournament games since 1997

    Thats all i need to know.
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  17. 03-02-12 07:22 AM #17
    lite1up
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    Quote Originally Posted by ridims View Post
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all tournament games since 1997

    Thats all i need to know.
    This is also probably the worst UNC Wilmington team since 1997. So you can probably throw that figure out the window. I think they cover, but this isn't why. JMU is just flat out awful.
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  18. 03-02-12 07:28 AM #18
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by lite1up View Post
    Thanks for the tip....only area of concern here is that both teams play at a decent tempo and neither plays much defense. Really gonna have to be a brickfest to feel safe taking the under.
    UNCW tempo 67.8, JMU 66.4, average tempo = 67.4. you are correct about both teams being subpar on defense, taking an under with two teams with PomOff above 105 does feel risky. however, both teams are struggling to score more than 60 or so lately. also, if you look past CAA quarterfinal scores, particularly the early games, they can be tough on shooters. when the Richmond Coliseum is empty, it's like shooting in a barn. bad lighting, drafty.
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  19. 03-02-12 07:41 AM #19
    lite1up
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    Thanks Biff, you really know your CAA

    Not to hijack this thread and I already have a thread about it...but I'd like to hear your thoughts on Delaware -12 vs. Towson and Georgia State -5.5 vs. Hofstra. Everything I'm looking at points to the favorites here easily covering.
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  20. 03-02-12 08:01 AM #20
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by lite1up View Post
    Thanks Biff, you really know your CAA

    Not to hijack this thread and I already have a thread about it...but I'd like to hear your thoughts on Delaware -12 vs. Towson and Georgia State -5.5 vs. Hofstra. Everything I'm looking at points to the favorites here easily covering.
    i would agree that the faves are the plays there so far as sides. this is the last chance to fade this Towson team. don't get caught watchin the paint dry.
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  21. 03-02-12 08:10 AM #21
    Darkside Magick
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    i like the under in this game!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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  22. 03-02-12 08:26 AM #22
    southpaw74
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    CBB(839) UNC-WILMINGTON @ (840) JAMES MADISON | 03/02/2012 - 12:00 PMPlay AGAINSTJAMES MADISON in the first half in All games as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line
    The record is 7 Wins and 31 Losses for the last three seasons (-27.10 units)
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  23. 03-02-12 08:43 AM #23
    ridims
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    Couple things i keep thinking about before I go pull the trigger here for some action....

    Towson's only win this season was against UNCW.

    UNCW has less seniors then JM.....

    This is a coin flip if any. Both teams are very bad. Small bet if any.
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  24. 03-02-12 08:44 AM #24
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    I'm taking App. State at +6 and UNC-W at +3.

    Figure I'll get a split at worst.
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  25. 03-02-12 08:46 AM #25
    Romanov
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    App St is where your free breakfast is today boys
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  26. 03-02-12 08:51 AM #26
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    Other leans:

    Youngstown State +5
    Akron +3
    Evansville +2
    William & Mary +5
    Drake + whatever (8 or 9 I'm assuming)
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  27. 03-02-12 08:53 AM #27
    Chet86
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    Jmu -3 bang it
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  28. 03-02-12 11:53 AM #28
    BigDeem5
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    App St and UNCW looking great =)
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  29. 03-02-12 11:54 AM #29
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    So far so good.
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  30. 03-02-12 12:03 PM #30
    blackeyeshamus
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    So far so good.
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  31. 03-02-12 12:05 PM #31
    BigDeem5
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    1-0 on App St. UNCW pending and I took the under
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  32. 03-02-12 12:07 PM #32
    dudekid
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    i got UNCW on the ML +135 but i still feel far from confident about this game...gotta think JMU comes out a little more inspired (and probably less fouls) in the 2h...hope they can hold onto the lead but the fact that app st. is already winning as a big dog makes me feel worse about it
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  33. 03-02-12 01:22 PM #33
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    under. early game at Richmond Coliseum, which has one of the worst shooting backgrounds in all of college hoops.
    woot!
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  34. 03-02-12 01:26 PM #34
    CappinTerp
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    Good luck.!
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  35. 03-02-12 01:57 PM #35
    PickWinnerAllDay
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    This smells like a day where the public gets buried so im thinking of playing Illinois state. Public is all over northern Iowa im guessing
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