[naslax13]

Its simple.. you parlay the grizzlies (3-1) and the hawks (4-1) both to win the series for $100.. then you go make some popcorn and enjoy the show. When its all over you collect $1900.

[naslax13]

no takers? ok, i will get rich all on my own.

[noles79]

bol

[TONISF]

good luck bro!!

[naslax13]

thank you

[naslax13]

thats the start i was lookng for, hawks came out just like i though they would. now the grizzlies(who i was more confident in to begin with) have to go out there and do their job and we will be in business. spurs are in for a nice suprise.

[Pew Pew]

hedge it bro.

[NardVa]

thats the start i was lookng for, hawks came out just like i though they would. now the grizzlies(who i was more confident in to begin with) have to go out there and do their job and we will be in business. spurs are in for a nice suprise.

Does Memphis win game 1 or 2 in San Antonio?

[dwluv3333]

Its simple.. you parlay the grizzlies (3-1) and the hawks (4-1) both to win the series for $100.. then you go make some popcorn and enjoy the show. When its all over you collect $1900.

dude u shoulda tailed the parlay i did...

pacers, hawks, hornets, sixers, and knicks series parlay

$10 to win $727,000

easy money

[naslax13]

The hornets have no shot at beating the lakers. and the sixers very very small chance, might as well go throw ur $10 in the ocean.

i parlayed:
pacers,grizzlies,hawks $5-2000
pacers, grizzles $5-400
pacers,hawks $5-500
and my best bet was grizzlies,hawks .. $100-$1900

$115 total risked, and alot of upside.


The pacers bets were made because i know theres an outside chance that they can beat the bulls, but a very small one.. HOWEVER; the real reason i made the bet is because the true odds are more in the 10 or 15-1 range.. 19-1 is worth the chance, there is alot of value in it for a small price.

[warriorfan707]

hedge it bro.

[naslax13]

Does Memphis win game 1 or 2 in San Antonio?

They Sweep.

[naslax13]

hedge it bro.

what type of hedge do you suggest? a little early for that no?

[warriorfan707]

what type of hedge do you suggest? a little early for that no?

might want to consider betting the spurs to win the series

[dwluv3333]

The hornets have no shot at beating the lakers. and the sixers very very small chance, might as well go throw ur $10 in the ocean.

i parlayed:
pacers,grizzlies,hawks $5-2000
pacers, grizzles $5-400
pacers,hawks $5-500
and my best bet was grizzlies,hawks .. $100-$1900

$115 total risked, and alot of upside.


The pacers bets were made because i know theres an outside chance that they can beat the bulls, but a very small one.. HOWEVER; the real reason i made the bet is because the true odds are more in the 10 or 15-1 range.. 19-1 is worth the chance, there is alot of value in it for a small price.

I was 100% kidding about the parlay earlier, but hornets got a better shot at an upset. First of all that's a 2-7 matchup whereas the Pacers are a 1-8 matchup. In history only three 1-8 matchups have resulted in an upset and the previous teams that did so all had winning records. Pacers are something like 37-45?

IMO betting on something because its offered value is greater than true value still doesn't justify just tossing the money around. and how did you calculate that the value is 10-15 to 1 instead of 19 to 1? You know sportsbooks will never let you get away with the actual odds on a parlay.

[naslax13]

I was 100% kidding about the parlay earlier, but hornets got a better shot at an upset. First of all that's a 2-7 matchup whereas the Pacers are a 1-8 matchup. In history only three 1-8 matchups have resulted in an upset and the previous teams that did so all had winning records. Pacers are something like 37-45?

IMO betting on something because its offered value is greater than true value still doesn't justify just tossing the money around. and how did you calculate that the value is 10-15 to 1 instead of 19 to 1? You know sportsbooks will never let you get away with the actual odds on a parlay.

i have my own systems of assigning value.. however thats why i only put 5 bucks on those parlays.. i thought they offered a great risk/reward ratio.. but my real beat is hawks/grizz. These are the only bets im making for the first round, so im not really tossing that much money around

[naslax13]

And i know that only 3 8 seeds have upset a 1 seed, so do me a favor and answer the question of why the grizz are only 3-1? Vegas knows... This year will mark the 4th team.

[naslax13]

might want to consider betting the spurs to win the series

makes no sense, they are -400... id rather optimize my winnings.. grizzlies take it in 6

[jhack704]

And i know that only 3 8 seeds have upset a 1 seed, so do me a favor and answer the question of why the grizz are only 3-1? Vegas knows... This year will mark the 4th team.

ya that is realy fn odd, i thkn you may be on to something

[naslax13]

[dwluv3333]

And i know that only 3 8 seeds have upset a 1 seed, so do me a favor and answer the question of why the grizz are only 3-1? Vegas knows... This year will mark the 4th team.

No, I think you're right that the Grizzlies can definitely be scary against the spurs and cause athleticism/matchup problems for them. Nothing odd to me about Grizzlies being +300... that's actually giving them a lot of respect and the line looks about right. Look at the Pacers and Hornets... they are both like +2000 or something in the four digit ranges to win the series...

[naslax13]

nobody plays lines like the bulls and lakers.. whos gona put down 3,000 to make 100? only a fool.. sports are unpredictable,favorites can go down. However, vegas is making the line of -400 enticing to bettors because they WANT the action taken on the spurs. grizz are NOT a good road team, however just took first game in san antonio, they are in DAMN GOOD shape right now, and also managed to physically punish the spurs.. they are old and tired, they will not make it through the series.

[BettingWizard]

should have just parlayed the game 1 ML's ..... now you sweat out 2 series

[naslax13]

should have just parlayed the game 1 ML's ..... now you sweat out 2 series

na series was the safer call to me.. first game was a crap shoot for hawks, however i did almost play grizz first game ML

[naslax13]

josh smith needs to stay healthy.. just hedged the bet with 15 to win 50 on magic,grizzlies parlay to win series, and tossed 5-75 on knicks, grizzlies series parlay for kicks

[naslax13]

if u guys wana make money... when the grizz take it home im sure the line will be around -2 spurs.. take the alternative line on the grizz -4.. will probably pay near 2-1 . they will take both games at home and u will make 4 times your money, wost case scenario they split the two and u break even

[naslax13]

grizz will be in drivers seat after tonights victory. i will be back with more picks in a different thread after round 1, follow me if you wish.

[naslax13]

Pick: take UNDER 7 in rockies/cubs at +105

[naslax13]

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Hopefully the Griz close it out in the second half!

[bleek88]

hope they dont

[ultrasouth]

Hopefully the Griz close it out in the second half!

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Your 1 quarter away. Let's go Memphis!

[dwluv3333]

got damn. what an epic call by OP. good job on the $$$$ hope you had the guts to not hedge it

[ThaTopMoron]

DAMN... i remember seeing this thread day it was made... I was like.. YEAH, maybe ATL can do it... but I too, figured MEM couldn't win a series vs the Spurs. I didn't change my mind till they got up 2-1.

go collect that cash