1. 01-07-11 10:30 AM #1
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    NHL 2 'dog system. (begins 1/7/11)

    Starting tonight, I will start two different systems inside the same post.
    First System: I will put one unit on the 'dog ranked highest in the standings according to points and double that unit if that team is at home.

    Second System: I will put one unit on the biggest 'dog of the night.

    SYSTEM 1 Play for 1/7:

    +105, 1unit. (S1 YTD 0-0-0)

    SYSTEM 2 Play for 1/7:

    +235, 1unit. (S2 YTD 0-0-0)

    There are clearly other things to consider here, and I am more than willing to listen to any ideas that will make us all some $$. Let's see how we do.
    Points Awarded:

    MUHerd37 gave rthoughton 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    MUHerd37 gave rthoughton 10 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    MUHerd37 gave rthoughton 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 01-07-11 11:07 AM #2
    Axis
    3minutedrill.com
    Axis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-09
    Posts: 1,255
    Betpoints: 918

    I'm interested in the "highest in the standings" portion...as for the biggest dog of the night...I posted some stats in your other thread about that...

    I've tracked it all season because I too was looking at it and it hasn't fared all that well...27-53 on the season thus far (when there are 4 or more games on the day)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 01-07-11 11:30 AM #3
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    of all of the underdogs on any given night, the one who has the most points will be played for one unit. if that team is at home, I will play it for 2.

    And 27-53 would be pretty close to + money, right? I mean, if it was always +200 then you would be up 1unit.
    Anyway, Im just gonna track these ideas and see how it goes.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 01-07-11 11:47 AM #4
    Axis
    3minutedrill.com
    Axis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-09
    Posts: 1,255
    Betpoints: 918

    Yea, just shared what I had...and I know some of the lines were +200, but more often than not they were between +175 and +190...

    So yes...it would be close to being even...what I was/am doing was playing them biggest dog SU in a parlay with another game...and it has hit quite well (I'll have to go count up the wins) and was netting roughly 4-6u every time it won...

    Edit: Parlay has won 16 times this season...I've played it 50 times...so, 16-34...also has been very streaky...recently hadn't hit one in 7 games...

    it's never won me less than 4u's...I don't have my exact stats but even at a minimum of 4u's...it'd be up 32u's...(4*16)-(34 losses at 1u each)...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 01-07-11 01:48 PM #5
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    hm. I like that, too. good luck with it. Keep me posted. you got a thread link?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 01-07-11 04:49 PM #6
    Axis
    3minutedrill.com
    Axis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-09
    Posts: 1,255
    Betpoints: 918

    ^
    I did, but I went on vacation and hadn't updated it...but if you want/don't mind...I'll just post the parlay play in this thread...or your other dogs one.

    Tonight the parlay is: Edmonton ML/Chicago PL 1u for 7u
    And I also play Chicago PL 1u...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 01-07-11 04:52 PM #7
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,811
    Betpoints: 9245

    Sorry for dumb question. What is PL? I assume it means Puck Line, but up until now I had just thought that was a hockey term for ML.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 01-07-11 04:57 PM #8
    Axis
    3minutedrill.com
    Axis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-09
    Posts: 1,255
    Betpoints: 918

    Correct, it means PL so...I'll be playing Chicago -1.5.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 01-07-11 05:01 PM #9
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,811
    Betpoints: 9245

    Thanks.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 01-07-11 05:56 PM #10
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    Oilers are now at +250.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 01-07-11 06:29 PM #11
    spargament
    KHABIB
    spargament's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-22-09
    Posts: 1,739
    Betpoints: 367

    too many dogs enjoyed success yesterday for me to bet on em again like i did yesterday (sabres, montreal for me cashed as did the over 5 in the predators game)..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 01-08-11 08:35 AM #12
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    System 1 : 1-0-0, +1.05u

    System 2 : 0-1-0, -1u
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 01-08-11 11:44 AM #13
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    System 1 Play for Saturday 1/8:
    Boston Bruins (48pts) +EV

    and
    Nashville Preds (48pts) +150

    (S1 YTD : 1-0-0, +1.05)

    System 2 Play:
    New Jersey Devils +230

    (S2 YTD : 0-1-0, -1)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 01-08-11 03:20 PM #14
    chizzy
    chizzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-18-10
    Posts: 310
    Betpoints: 311

    I love this concept. Ive been playing the largest ML underdog for the last couple of weeks and despite being under 50%, I am playing it on a Labby line and it is paying off with the high lines. I am now jumping on the bandwagon with your highest points underdog system. so thanks for sharing.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 01-08-11 03:22 PM #15
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    The System 1 Plays listed above are incorrect.
    Scratch both plays.
    The Detroit Red Wings (57pts) +155 was added to the slate after I made this post. Dumb. sure.

    Saturday Jan 8th correction.
    System 1 play:
    Detroit Red Wings +155

    (S1 YTD 1-0-0, +1.05u)

    Devils listed above stands and counts as a loss.
    (s2 YTD 0-2-0, -2u)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 01-09-11 08:34 AM #16
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    another win.
    S1 YTD 2-0-0, +2.60u

    S2 YTD 0-2-0, -2u.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 01-09-11 09:25 AM #17
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    System 1 play for Sunday January 9th.

    Stars -105, 1u (Stars, 53pts, -105 'dog @ Minn -115)

    System 2 play:

    NYI +235. 1u.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 01-09-11 05:44 PM #18
    Optional
    Optional's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 06-10-10
    Posts: 57,811
    Betpoints: 9245

    Stars looking good early.

    Too scared to take Islanders because the Blackhawks have ruined my day 3 times in the last week already. :\

    GL
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 01-09-11 07:31 PM #19
    Axis
    3minutedrill.com
    Axis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-09
    Posts: 1,255
    Betpoints: 918

    I ended up taking the Stars...plus Minnesota was riding a 5 game win streak...they generally don't extend much beyond that in the NHL...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 01-10-11 05:05 AM #20
    bekmurat
    bekmurat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-10
    Posts: 337
    Betpoints: 76

    Exelent system !!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 01-10-11 06:04 AM #21
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    and yet another winner to system 1.

    S1 YTD: 3-0-0 +3.6u
    S2 YTD: 0-3-0 -3u
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 01-10-11 04:45 PM #22
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    Tonight Monday Jan 10th.
    S1 Play:

    -110, 1u
    S2 Play:

    +165, 1u
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 01-11-11 10:27 AM #23
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    s1 took it's first loss last night.
    YTD 3-1-0, +2.5u
    s2 got it's first win.
    YTD 1-3-0, -1.35u

    Plays for Tuesday Jan 11th will be posted closer to game time.
    Good luck today!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 01-11-11 04:27 PM #24
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    PLAYS FOR JANUARY 11th.
    S1 Play:
    Two plays for this system, both at 49 pts.
    PHOENIX COYOTES +105

    MONTREAL CANADIENS +120

    3-1-0 +2.5u
    S2 Play:
    TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS +190

    1-3-0, -1.35u
    Points Awarded:

    Optional gave rthoughton 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 01-12-11 08:52 AM #25
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    Thanks for the point love. I love me some points.
    Im glad someone likes my idea!!

    Another Great night for S1 and it looks like S2 may end up profitable as well.
    S1 YTD: 5-1, +4.75u
    S2 YTD: 2-3, +0.55u
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 01-12-11 09:14 AM #26
    Pavv4
    Pavv4's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-09
    Posts: 464
    Betpoints: 1

    Let's hope S2 will profitable as well. Thanks!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 01-12-11 09:59 AM #27
    dvw5bf
    dvw5bf's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-05-10
    Posts: 252
    Betpoints: 90

    Great systems, very helpful. Something I take into account (not base an entire system on) is the greatest dog point differential. Essentially, putting an emphasis on the dog with the best differential in points versus their opponent for that night. So tonight, it would be PIT as the odds stand now as they are at 56 points while MTL is at 51 creating a +5 differential for the PIT play, larger than any of the other three games (Caps/Lightning EVEN, Avs/Hawks +1, Blues/Ducks EVEN). Just a thought to kick around. But again, thanks for tracking these, this is great.
    Points Awarded:

    rthoughton gave dvw5bf 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 01-12-11 11:24 AM #28
    bjornbarspingvin
    bjornbarspingvin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-02-10
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 0

    very interesting... Been having a few missed bets lately after a great betting run, I think I will try this out.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 01-12-11 01:37 PM #29
    mitchp
    mitchp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-29-10
    Posts: 227
    Betpoints: 0

    So would Pittsburgh be the pick tonight?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 01-12-11 01:42 PM #30
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    Correct. unless they go favorite. Avalanche will be pick for S2.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 01-12-11 02:09 PM #31
    mitchp
    mitchp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-29-10
    Posts: 227
    Betpoints: 0

    Which Book are you using to determine your final odds (selections)?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 01-12-11 02:49 PM #32
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    i use sbr for my sbr.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 01-12-11 03:21 PM #33
    rthoughton
    rthoughton's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,992
    Betpoints: 2101

    PLAYS FOR WED JAN 12::

    S1: Pittsburgh Penguins. +ev


    S2: Colorado Avalanche. +160


    S1 YTD: 5-1 +4.75u
    S2 YTD: 2-3 +0.55u
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 01-12-11 06:43 PM #34
    cmdyrds
    cmdyrds's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-20-09
    Posts: 522
    Betpoints: 6868

    thanks for the heads up mitch and thanks to the guys for the input behind the systems.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 01-12-11 08:31 PM #35
    Duby
    Duby's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 3,608
    Betpoints: 4602

    So far so good. Keep rolling
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
1234 ... Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Hockey Betting | Next Thread »