1. 11-05-15 05:25 PM #36
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by imadegen View Post
    what are ppls thoughts on guida vs. tavares?
    Guida grinds on Tavares and takes him down time and time again, maintains top position for 3 rounds mostly to win by decision is my best guess...

    Guida has the wrestling advantage and really needs this win to stay relevant and employed in the UFC...

    Guida by decision prop isn't out but the most likely out come is that this fight goes the distance anyways... Both these guys are hard to finish and neither are dynamic finishers....

    1803 Tavares / Guida goes 3 round distance -230
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 11-05-15 at 05:31 PM.
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  2. 11-05-15 05:36 PM #37
    JIBBBY
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    Your prelim previews part 1 and 2...

    Part 1 -

    http://www.mmamania.com/2015/11/2/96...o-paulo-brazil

    Part 2 -

    http://www.mmamania.com/2015/11/3/96...ulo-brazil-mma


    Write up on best bets, odds and predictions.. What ever -

    http://www.mmamania.com/2015/11/4/96...-sao-paulo-mma
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  3. 11-06-15 10:01 AM #38
    PaperTrail07
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    Tavares is the play....too strong...guida getting old...
    Quote Originally Posted by imadegen View Post
    what are ppls thoughts on guida vs. tavares?
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  4. 11-06-15 10:33 AM #39
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    Tavares is the play....too strong...guida getting old...
    Guida may be burned out a bit but I believe he's switched things up, did win his last fight and I don't think 33 is too old just yet for a smaller guy like Guida in MMA.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Clay-Guida-8184

    You could be right though Paper, Tavares is a tough out and could lock in a submission win...

    I personally think Guida's wrestling is still good enough to control Tavares on the ground to score points though.. I'm liking the over in this fight the most. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Thiago-Tavares-4647


    UFC Fight Night 77 - Featherweight 3 rounds - Sao Paulo, Brazil - FS1
    Sat 11/7 1801 Thiago Tavares +135 o2½ -255
    8:30PM 1802 Clay Guida -155 u2½ +215

    Last edited by JIBBBY; 11-06-15 at 10:37 AM.
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  5. 11-06-15 11:26 AM #40
    PaperTrail07
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    Well all the forum are with ya....Tavares is better on the feet and should be strong enough to avoid the takedowns....
    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Guida may be burned out a bit but I believe he's switched things up, did win his last fight and I don't think 33 is too old just yet for a smaller guy like Guida in MMA.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Clay-Guida-8184

    You could be right though Paper, Tavares is a tough out and could lock in a submission win...

    I personally think Guida's wrestling is still good enough to control Tavares on the ground to score points though.. I'm liking the over in this fight the most. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Thiago-Tavares-4647


    UFC Fight Night 77 - Featherweight 3 rounds - Sao Paulo, Brazil - FS1
    Sat 11/7 1801 Thiago Tavares +135 o2½ -255
    8:30PM 1802 Clay Guida -155 u2½ +215

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  6. 11-06-15 12:53 PM #41
    UncleChael
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    Cannot fukking wait for this card.
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  7. 11-07-15 02:39 PM #42
    PaperTrail07
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    Agree chael
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  8. 11-07-15 03:47 PM #43
    JIBBBY
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    $50.00 $262.50 Pending 11/7/15 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1727 Cabral wins by submission +525* vs Any other result

    Johnny Case might win this fight by KO but Cabral is tough and mostly all his wins are by sub and this fight is in Brazil.. I can't see Cabral winning this fight in any other way then by sub as I don't think he can get the decision win..

    Thinking this prop has promise for value at those odds.. Thought to share...



    Yan
    Cabral

    BRAZIL
    Country
    USA

    12-1-0
    Record
    21-4-0

    0%
    KO/TKO
    71%

    92%
    SUB
    14%

    8%
    DEC
    14%

    71 in
    Height
    70 in

    155 lbs
    Weight
    155 lbs

    73 in
    Reach
    72 in

    40 in
    Leg Reach
    42 in

    Significant Strikes

    1.83
    Landed per minute
    3.25

    52.83%
    Accuracy
    38.23%

    0.94
    Absorbed P/M
    1.8

    71.9%
    Defense
    56.34%

    Grappling

    3.28
    Takedown Average
    3.48

    43.48%
    Takedown Accuracy
    61.54%

    33.33%
    Takedowns Defended
    80%

    1.97
    Submission Average
    000
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  9. 11-07-15 03:59 PM #44
    JIBBBY
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    Also think Cory Anderson either drops Flabio or Fabio gets the KO himself early on... This prop for value sticks out to me in this fight.. Fabio is crap...

    Cory I suppose could grapple hump Fabio to a decision but Cory has a bunch of KO's on his record and I could see him dropping or pounding out Fabio in this one.. Black beast'n for the win..

    1504 Fight won’t go 3 round distance +163




    Fabio
    Maldonado
    "Caipira de Aco"
     vs
    Corey
    Anderson
    "Beastin 25/8"
    BRAZIL
    Country
    USA

    22-8-0
    Record
    7-1-0

    64%
    KO/TKO
    43%

    9%
    SUB
    0%

    27%
    DEC
    57%

    73 in
    Height
    75 in

    205 lbs
    Weight
    205 lbs

    75 in
    Reach
    79 in

    41 in
    Leg Reach
    44 in

    Significant Strikes

    5.74
    Landed per minute
    5.83

    59.36%
    Accuracy
    47.57%

    4.35
    Absorbed P/M
    2.65

    53.3%
    Defense
    58.62%

    Grappling

    0.5
    Takedown Average
    4.3

    57.14%
    Takedown Accuracy
    56.52%

    62.5%
    Takedowns Defended
    50%

    0.62
    Submission Average
    000
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  10. 11-07-15 04:52 PM #45
    mirinquads
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    Yeah, Fabio is known for being easy to knock out.
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  11. 11-07-15 05:06 PM #46
    Sanity Check
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    zzzzzzzzzzz
    Last edited by Sanity Check; 11-07-15 at 05:24 PM.
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  12. 11-07-15 05:12 PM #47
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    Quote Originally Posted by mirinquads View Post
    Yeah, Fabio is known for being easy to knock out.
    Stipe and Glover Teix got KO stoppages on Fabio recently.. Fabio is going in against a beast.. We'll see Miri?

    I took fight ITD at +170 odds.. Had to try for small...

    Odds are too high to bet straight on Cory so looking for another angle..

    UFC Fight Night 77 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Sao Paulo, Brazil - FS1
    Sat 11/7 1501 Fabio Maldonado +440 o2½ -240
    10:00PM 1502 Corey Anderson -580 u2½ +200

    The smarter play is probably Cory by decision but I like to gamble at times..

    1511 Anderson wins by 3 round decision -142
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 11-07-15 at 05:22 PM.
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  13. 11-07-15 05:16 PM #48
    JIBBBY
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    Early prelims I'm mostly gonna pass up on.. This is a first for me.. Passing on fights I can't get a solid grip on... Brazilian fighters are slippery to gage at times especially fighting in Brazil...

    Did make a play in the 3rd fight on the Russian Umalatov as my first bet for this card.. Tough Russian will be hard to beat in that match up I believe..

    UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims



    Viscardi
    Andrade
     vs
    Gasan
    Umalatov
    "Cobra"
    BRAZIL
    Country
    RUSSIA

    17-7-0
    Record
    15-4-1
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  14. 11-07-15 05:23 PM #49
    Sanity Check
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    zzzzz
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  15. 11-07-15 05:30 PM #50
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanity Check View Post
    zzzzz
    You faired pretty well with Bellator last night Sanity if you bet your picks evenly.. The only miss you had was Held right?

    I got silly with that damn under with Held and got stung or else I would have had a winning card last night.. All good though..

    Keep up the good work tonight and don't fall asleep, God's speed bud!!!
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  16. 11-07-15 05:49 PM #51
    Sanity Check
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    The only miss I had was Held and I still failed to profit. Some of my parlays with Lashley, Straus and Sanchez might hit but probably not lol.

    Good luck to all, I was going to say some things that would make people wonder if I was their mom or something but I deleted so nvm.
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  17. 11-07-15 06:34 PM #52
    Sanity Check
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    I got Andrade. Might have set myself up for a big fail here.
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  18. 11-07-15 06:57 PM #53
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanity Check View Post
    I got Andrade. Might have set myself up for a big fail here.
    Good call Sanity as I had the small Russian and small prop by KO... Next....
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  19. 11-07-15 06:59 PM #54
    BELM0NT
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    Need Souza next for my dog parlay
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  20. 11-07-15 07:05 PM #55
    Sanity Check
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    This is how I have it.

    Vitor Belfort ? Dan Henderson
    Glover Teixeira ? Patrick Cummins
    Thomas Almeida ? Anthony Birchak
    Alex Oliveira > Piotr Hallmann
    Gilbert Burns < Rashid Magomedov
    Fabio Maldonado < Corey Anderson

    Gleison Tibau < Abel Trujillo
    Yan Cabral < Johnny Case
    Clay Guida > Thiago Tavares
    Kevin Souza > Chas Skelly

    Viscardi Andrade > Gasan Umalatov
    Pedro Munhoz < Jimmie Rivera
    Bruno Rodrigues < Matheus Nicolau Pereira

    Made extreme low cost parlays with Hendo, Birchak and Cummins in case any of them win.
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  21. 11-07-15 07:12 PM #56
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    Quote Originally Posted by BELM0NT View Post
    Need Souza next for my dog parlay
    Skelly by decision is my best guess.. Small prop play that's it. Skelly is a grinder...

    GL though Belmont...
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  22. 11-07-15 07:15 PM #57
    richie360
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    How did Kelly win that? He looked done!
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  23. 11-07-15 07:16 PM #58
    JIBBBY
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    Skelly... With the choke.. Miracle comeback... I'm tivo'd sorry fellas..
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  24. 11-07-15 07:17 PM #59
    BELM0NT
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    Damn so close
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  25. 11-07-15 07:24 PM #60
    Sanity Check
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    Gotta love that heart by Skelly who looked done.

    Good win, Jibby!
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  26. 11-07-15 07:26 PM #61
    JIBBBY
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    I'll tell ya if Vitor isn't juicing which I think he is not Hendo has a chance in this one!! I'll be rooting for the old man to land the H bomb to win later tonight...





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  27. 11-07-15 07:29 PM #62
    BELM0NT
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    You thinking 1st round finish either way jibbs?
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  28. 11-07-15 07:30 PM #63
    JIBBBY
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    I'm on wild man Guida... Not confident though...
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  29. 11-07-15 07:32 PM #64
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    Quote Originally Posted by BELM0NT View Post
    You thinking 1st round finish either way jibbs?
    Probably.. I don't think either Hendo or Belfort will try to take the fight to the ground.. So the 1st round KO's when fighters are fresh is always a good idea. IMO..
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  30. 11-07-15 07:35 PM #65
    Sanity Check
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    Ditto on not being confident w / Guida.

    Guida's endless cardio is Tavares' kryptonite. Tavares got tired in his last fight and Ortega was able to finish him.

    But Tavares and subs might also be Guida's kryptonite since he got subbed by Dennis Bermudez.
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  31. 11-07-15 07:37 PM #66
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    Damn you Guida, needed the over
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  32. 11-07-15 07:38 PM #67
    GoGoGadget
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    Just give him your neck 30 seconds in Guida
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  33. 11-07-15 07:38 PM #68
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  34. 11-07-15 07:38 PM #69
    BELM0NT
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    Feel bad for clay, hope ufc don't cut him
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  35. 11-07-15 07:39 PM #70
    Sanity Check
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    lol that sucks cuz an early sub was probably Tavares' only chance to win.

    All Guida had to do is survive long enough for Tavares to gas out and he might have had it.
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